A Dynamic Use Of Survey Data And High Frequency Model Forecasting

A Dynamic Use Of Survey Data And High Frequency Model Forecasting

Author: Inada Yoshihisa

Publisher: World Scientific

Published: 2018-03-07

Total Pages: 128

ISBN-13: 9813232382

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This volume investigates the accuracy and dynamic performance of a high-frequency forecast model for the Japanese and United States economies based on the Current Quarter Model (CQM) or High Frequency Model (HFM) developed by the late Professor Emeritus Lawrence R. Klein. It also presents a survey of recent developments in high-frequency forecasts and gives an example application of the CQM model in forecasting Gross Regional Products (GRPs). Contents: Introduction: Background to a High-Frequency Model Forecast (Yoshihisa Inada) A Survey of Flash Data and Nowcasting in Japan (Nariyasu Yamasawa) The Development of the Japanese CQM and Examples of Its Dynamic Applications (Yoshihisa Inada) Utilization and Precision of the US Current Quarter Model (Yuzo Kumasaka) Using the High-Frequency Forecast Method to Estimate Local Government GRP (Ryoh Ogawa) Nationwide Development of Preliminary Estimates of Local Government GRPs (Hajime Watabe) Readership: Advance postgraduates and researchers studying high frequency model forecasting. Keywords: Current Quarter Model;High Frequency Model;Lawrence R Klein;Gross Regional Products;ForecastingReview:0


Book Synopsis A Dynamic Use Of Survey Data And High Frequency Model Forecasting by : Inada Yoshihisa

Download or read book A Dynamic Use Of Survey Data And High Frequency Model Forecasting written by Inada Yoshihisa and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2018-03-07 with total page 128 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume investigates the accuracy and dynamic performance of a high-frequency forecast model for the Japanese and United States economies based on the Current Quarter Model (CQM) or High Frequency Model (HFM) developed by the late Professor Emeritus Lawrence R. Klein. It also presents a survey of recent developments in high-frequency forecasts and gives an example application of the CQM model in forecasting Gross Regional Products (GRPs). Contents: Introduction: Background to a High-Frequency Model Forecast (Yoshihisa Inada) A Survey of Flash Data and Nowcasting in Japan (Nariyasu Yamasawa) The Development of the Japanese CQM and Examples of Its Dynamic Applications (Yoshihisa Inada) Utilization and Precision of the US Current Quarter Model (Yuzo Kumasaka) Using the High-Frequency Forecast Method to Estimate Local Government GRP (Ryoh Ogawa) Nationwide Development of Preliminary Estimates of Local Government GRPs (Hajime Watabe) Readership: Advance postgraduates and researchers studying high frequency model forecasting. Keywords: Current Quarter Model;High Frequency Model;Lawrence R Klein;Gross Regional Products;ForecastingReview:0

Econometric Forecasting and High-frequency Data Analysis

Econometric Forecasting and High-frequency Data Analysis

Author: Roberto S. Mariano

Publisher: World Scientific

Published: 2008

Total Pages: 200

ISBN-13: 9812778969

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This important book consists of surveys of high-frequency financial data analysis and econometric forecasting, written by pioneers in these areas including Nobel laureate Lawrence Klein. Some of the chapters were presented as tutorials to an audience in the Econometric Forecasting and High-Frequency Data Analysis Workshop at the Institute for Mathematical Science, National University of Singapore in May 2006. They will be of interest to researchers working in macroeconometrics as well as financial econometrics. Moreover, readers will find these chapters useful as a guide to the literature as well as suggestions for future research. Sample Chapter(s). Foreword (32 KB). Chapter 1: Forecast Uncertainty, Its Representation and Evaluation* (97 KB). Contents: Forecasting Uncertainty, Its Representation and Evaluation (K F Wallis); The University of Pennsylvania Models for High-Frequency Macroeconomic Modeling (L R Klein & S Ozmucur); Forecasting Seasonal Time Series (P H Franses); Car and Affine Processes (C Gourieroux); Multivariate Time Series Analysis and Forecasting (M Deistler). Readership: Professionals and researchers in econometric forecasting and financial data analysis.


Book Synopsis Econometric Forecasting and High-frequency Data Analysis by : Roberto S. Mariano

Download or read book Econometric Forecasting and High-frequency Data Analysis written by Roberto S. Mariano and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2008 with total page 200 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This important book consists of surveys of high-frequency financial data analysis and econometric forecasting, written by pioneers in these areas including Nobel laureate Lawrence Klein. Some of the chapters were presented as tutorials to an audience in the Econometric Forecasting and High-Frequency Data Analysis Workshop at the Institute for Mathematical Science, National University of Singapore in May 2006. They will be of interest to researchers working in macroeconometrics as well as financial econometrics. Moreover, readers will find these chapters useful as a guide to the literature as well as suggestions for future research. Sample Chapter(s). Foreword (32 KB). Chapter 1: Forecast Uncertainty, Its Representation and Evaluation* (97 KB). Contents: Forecasting Uncertainty, Its Representation and Evaluation (K F Wallis); The University of Pennsylvania Models for High-Frequency Macroeconomic Modeling (L R Klein & S Ozmucur); Forecasting Seasonal Time Series (P H Franses); Car and Affine Processes (C Gourieroux); Multivariate Time Series Analysis and Forecasting (M Deistler). Readership: Professionals and researchers in econometric forecasting and financial data analysis.

High-Frequency Financial Econometrics

High-Frequency Financial Econometrics

Author: Yacine Aït-Sahalia

Publisher: Princeton University Press

Published: 2014-07-21

Total Pages: 683

ISBN-13: 0691161437

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A comprehensive introduction to the statistical and econometric methods for analyzing high-frequency financial data High-frequency trading is an algorithm-based computerized trading practice that allows firms to trade stocks in milliseconds. Over the last fifteen years, the use of statistical and econometric methods for analyzing high-frequency financial data has grown exponentially. This growth has been driven by the increasing availability of such data, the technological advancements that make high-frequency trading strategies possible, and the need of practitioners to analyze these data. This comprehensive book introduces readers to these emerging methods and tools of analysis. Yacine Aït-Sahalia and Jean Jacod cover the mathematical foundations of stochastic processes, describe the primary characteristics of high-frequency financial data, and present the asymptotic concepts that their analysis relies on. Aït-Sahalia and Jacod also deal with estimation of the volatility portion of the model, including methods that are robust to market microstructure noise, and address estimation and testing questions involving the jump part of the model. As they demonstrate, the practical importance and relevance of jumps in financial data are universally recognized, but only recently have econometric methods become available to rigorously analyze jump processes. Aït-Sahalia and Jacod approach high-frequency econometrics with a distinct focus on the financial side of matters while maintaining technical rigor, which makes this book invaluable to researchers and practitioners alike.


Book Synopsis High-Frequency Financial Econometrics by : Yacine Aït-Sahalia

Download or read book High-Frequency Financial Econometrics written by Yacine Aït-Sahalia and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2014-07-21 with total page 683 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive introduction to the statistical and econometric methods for analyzing high-frequency financial data High-frequency trading is an algorithm-based computerized trading practice that allows firms to trade stocks in milliseconds. Over the last fifteen years, the use of statistical and econometric methods for analyzing high-frequency financial data has grown exponentially. This growth has been driven by the increasing availability of such data, the technological advancements that make high-frequency trading strategies possible, and the need of practitioners to analyze these data. This comprehensive book introduces readers to these emerging methods and tools of analysis. Yacine Aït-Sahalia and Jean Jacod cover the mathematical foundations of stochastic processes, describe the primary characteristics of high-frequency financial data, and present the asymptotic concepts that their analysis relies on. Aït-Sahalia and Jacod also deal with estimation of the volatility portion of the model, including methods that are robust to market microstructure noise, and address estimation and testing questions involving the jump part of the model. As they demonstrate, the practical importance and relevance of jumps in financial data are universally recognized, but only recently have econometric methods become available to rigorously analyze jump processes. Aït-Sahalia and Jacod approach high-frequency econometrics with a distinct focus on the financial side of matters while maintaining technical rigor, which makes this book invaluable to researchers and practitioners alike.

Handbook of Economic Forecasting

Handbook of Economic Forecasting

Author: Graham Elliott

Publisher: Newnes

Published: 2013-08-23

Total Pages: 719

ISBN-13: 0444536841

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The highly prized ability to make financial plans with some certainty about the future comes from the core fields of economics. In recent years the availability of more data, analytical tools of greater precision, and ex post studies of business decisions have increased demand for information about economic forecasting. Volumes 2A and 2B, which follows Nobel laureate Clive Granger's Volume 1 (2006), concentrate on two major subjects. Volume 2A covers innovations in methodologies, specifically macroforecasting and forecasting financial variables. Volume 2B investigates commercial applications, with sections on forecasters' objectives and methodologies. Experts provide surveys of a large range of literature scattered across applied and theoretical statistics journals as well as econometrics and empirical economics journals. The Handbook of Economic Forecasting Volumes 2A and 2B provide a unique compilation of chapters giving a coherent overview of forecasting theory and applications in one place and with up-to-date accounts of all major conceptual issues. Focuses on innovation in economic forecasting via industry applications Presents coherent summaries of subjects in economic forecasting that stretch from methodologies to applications Makes details about economic forecasting accessible to scholars in fields outside economics


Book Synopsis Handbook of Economic Forecasting by : Graham Elliott

Download or read book Handbook of Economic Forecasting written by Graham Elliott and published by Newnes. This book was released on 2013-08-23 with total page 719 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The highly prized ability to make financial plans with some certainty about the future comes from the core fields of economics. In recent years the availability of more data, analytical tools of greater precision, and ex post studies of business decisions have increased demand for information about economic forecasting. Volumes 2A and 2B, which follows Nobel laureate Clive Granger's Volume 1 (2006), concentrate on two major subjects. Volume 2A covers innovations in methodologies, specifically macroforecasting and forecasting financial variables. Volume 2B investigates commercial applications, with sections on forecasters' objectives and methodologies. Experts provide surveys of a large range of literature scattered across applied and theoretical statistics journals as well as econometrics and empirical economics journals. The Handbook of Economic Forecasting Volumes 2A and 2B provide a unique compilation of chapters giving a coherent overview of forecasting theory and applications in one place and with up-to-date accounts of all major conceptual issues. Focuses on innovation in economic forecasting via industry applications Presents coherent summaries of subjects in economic forecasting that stretch from methodologies to applications Makes details about economic forecasting accessible to scholars in fields outside economics

Tailings Management Handbook

Tailings Management Handbook

Author: Kimberly Finke Morrison

Publisher: Society for Mining, Metallurgy & Exploration

Published: 2022-02-01

Total Pages: 1026

ISBN-13: 0873354907

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As long as we have mining and mineral processing, tailings and the responsible management thereof will remain at the forefront, with a company’s environmental, social, and governance (ESG) performance in part a reflection of how well tailings risks are being managed. The Global Industry Standard on Tailings Management (GISTM) was published in August 2020, aiming to prevent catastrophic failure of tailings facilities by providing operators with specified measures and approaches throughout the mine life cycle, taking into account multiple stakeholder perspectives. In 2021, the International Council on Mining & Metals (ICMM) published the Tailings Management: Good Practice Guide intended to support safe, responsible management of tailings across the global mining industry, providing guidance on good governance and engineering practices to support continual improvement in tailings storage facility (TSF) management and help foster and strengthen the safety culture of mining companies. The Tailings Management Handbook is important and timely because there is no other comprehensive resource rooted in these new fundamentals and global principles for tailings management. Tailings management requires interdisciplinary and cross-functional understanding and support, which is apparent throughout this handbook. Dive into the wealth of information contributed by more than 100 world-renowned experts, beautifully crafted into a full-color handbook that focuses on the basics, life-cycle planning, site and tailings characterization, TSF design and construction, as well as systems and operations of TSFs. The inclusion of 42 case studies is an added plus with real-world successes and lessons learned.


Book Synopsis Tailings Management Handbook by : Kimberly Finke Morrison

Download or read book Tailings Management Handbook written by Kimberly Finke Morrison and published by Society for Mining, Metallurgy & Exploration. This book was released on 2022-02-01 with total page 1026 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As long as we have mining and mineral processing, tailings and the responsible management thereof will remain at the forefront, with a company’s environmental, social, and governance (ESG) performance in part a reflection of how well tailings risks are being managed. The Global Industry Standard on Tailings Management (GISTM) was published in August 2020, aiming to prevent catastrophic failure of tailings facilities by providing operators with specified measures and approaches throughout the mine life cycle, taking into account multiple stakeholder perspectives. In 2021, the International Council on Mining & Metals (ICMM) published the Tailings Management: Good Practice Guide intended to support safe, responsible management of tailings across the global mining industry, providing guidance on good governance and engineering practices to support continual improvement in tailings storage facility (TSF) management and help foster and strengthen the safety culture of mining companies. The Tailings Management Handbook is important and timely because there is no other comprehensive resource rooted in these new fundamentals and global principles for tailings management. Tailings management requires interdisciplinary and cross-functional understanding and support, which is apparent throughout this handbook. Dive into the wealth of information contributed by more than 100 world-renowned experts, beautifully crafted into a full-color handbook that focuses on the basics, life-cycle planning, site and tailings characterization, TSF design and construction, as well as systems and operations of TSFs. The inclusion of 42 case studies is an added plus with real-world successes and lessons learned.

The Oxford Handbook of Economic Forecasting

The Oxford Handbook of Economic Forecasting

Author: Michael P. Clements

Publisher: OUP USA

Published: 2011-07-08

Total Pages: 732

ISBN-13: 0195398645

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Greater data availability has been coupled with developments in statistical theory and economic theory to allow more elaborate and complicated models to be entertained. These include factor models, DSGE models, restricted vector autoregressions, and non-linear models.


Book Synopsis The Oxford Handbook of Economic Forecasting by : Michael P. Clements

Download or read book The Oxford Handbook of Economic Forecasting written by Michael P. Clements and published by OUP USA. This book was released on 2011-07-08 with total page 732 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Greater data availability has been coupled with developments in statistical theory and economic theory to allow more elaborate and complicated models to be entertained. These include factor models, DSGE models, restricted vector autoregressions, and non-linear models.

The Use of High-frequency Data in Model-based Forecasting at the Federal Reserve Board

The Use of High-frequency Data in Model-based Forecasting at the Federal Reserve Board

Author: Carol Corrado

Publisher:

Published: 1988

Total Pages: 90

ISBN-13:

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Book Synopsis The Use of High-frequency Data in Model-based Forecasting at the Federal Reserve Board by : Carol Corrado

Download or read book The Use of High-frequency Data in Model-based Forecasting at the Federal Reserve Board written by Carol Corrado and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 90 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Proceedings of the 2023 4th International Conference on Big Data and Social Sciences (ICBDSS 2023)

Proceedings of the 2023 4th International Conference on Big Data and Social Sciences (ICBDSS 2023)

Author: Xiaofeng Ding

Publisher: Springer Nature

Published: 2023-11-25

Total Pages: 536

ISBN-13: 9464632763

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This is an open access book. As a leading role in the global megatrend of scientific innovation, China has been creating a more and more open environment for scientific innovation, increasing the depth and breadth of academic cooperation, and building a community of innovation that benefits all. Such endeavors are making new contributions to the globalization and creating a community of shared future. The 4th International Conference on Big Data and Social Sciences (ICBDSS 2023) was held on August 18 - 20, 2023, in Changsha, China. In order to allow more scholars to have the opportunity to participate in the conference to share and exchange experience. This conference mainly focused on "big data", "social science" and other research fields to discuss. At present, my country has entered the era of "big data cloud migration", that is, the era of big data, the Internet of things, cloud computing and mobile Internet. The market demand for big data talents is also increasing day by day. The purpose of the conference is to provide a way for experts, scholars, engineering technicians, and technical R&D personnel engaged in big data and social science research to share scientific research results and cutting-edge technologies, understand academic development trends, broaden research ideas, strengthen academic research and discussion, and promote the academic achievement industry Platform for chemical cooperation. The conference sincerely invites experts, scholars from domestic and foreign universities, scientific research institutions, business people and other relevant personnel to participate in the conference.


Book Synopsis Proceedings of the 2023 4th International Conference on Big Data and Social Sciences (ICBDSS 2023) by : Xiaofeng Ding

Download or read book Proceedings of the 2023 4th International Conference on Big Data and Social Sciences (ICBDSS 2023) written by Xiaofeng Ding and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-11-25 with total page 536 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is an open access book. As a leading role in the global megatrend of scientific innovation, China has been creating a more and more open environment for scientific innovation, increasing the depth and breadth of academic cooperation, and building a community of innovation that benefits all. Such endeavors are making new contributions to the globalization and creating a community of shared future. The 4th International Conference on Big Data and Social Sciences (ICBDSS 2023) was held on August 18 - 20, 2023, in Changsha, China. In order to allow more scholars to have the opportunity to participate in the conference to share and exchange experience. This conference mainly focused on "big data", "social science" and other research fields to discuss. At present, my country has entered the era of "big data cloud migration", that is, the era of big data, the Internet of things, cloud computing and mobile Internet. The market demand for big data talents is also increasing day by day. The purpose of the conference is to provide a way for experts, scholars, engineering technicians, and technical R&D personnel engaged in big data and social science research to share scientific research results and cutting-edge technologies, understand academic development trends, broaden research ideas, strengthen academic research and discussion, and promote the academic achievement industry Platform for chemical cooperation. The conference sincerely invites experts, scholars from domestic and foreign universities, scientific research institutions, business people and other relevant personnel to participate in the conference.

The Making of National Economic Forecasts

The Making of National Economic Forecasts

Author: Lawrence Robert Klein

Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing

Published: 2009-01-01

Total Pages: 400

ISBN-13: 1849802165

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In this valuable volume, Nobel Prize-winner Klein gathers together a group of authors who focus on forecasting models for a number of economies. The variety of the models and the structural differences among them are especially interesting. . . Readers interested in forecasting methodologies will find much of value in this volume. Highly recommended. I. Walter, Choice This important book, prepared under the direction of Nobel Laureate Lawrence R. Klein, shows how economic forecasts are made. It explains how modern developments in information technology have made it possible to forecast frequently at least monthly but also weekly or bi-weekly depending upon the perceived needs of potential forecast users and also on the availability of updated material. The book focuses on forecasts in a diverse range of economies including the United States, China, India, Russia, Germany, Japan, South Korea, and Turkey. At a time of great economic uncertainty, this book makes an important contribution by showing how new information technology can be used to prepare national economic forecasts.


Book Synopsis The Making of National Economic Forecasts by : Lawrence Robert Klein

Download or read book The Making of National Economic Forecasts written by Lawrence Robert Klein and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2009-01-01 with total page 400 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this valuable volume, Nobel Prize-winner Klein gathers together a group of authors who focus on forecasting models for a number of economies. The variety of the models and the structural differences among them are especially interesting. . . Readers interested in forecasting methodologies will find much of value in this volume. Highly recommended. I. Walter, Choice This important book, prepared under the direction of Nobel Laureate Lawrence R. Klein, shows how economic forecasts are made. It explains how modern developments in information technology have made it possible to forecast frequently at least monthly but also weekly or bi-weekly depending upon the perceived needs of potential forecast users and also on the availability of updated material. The book focuses on forecasts in a diverse range of economies including the United States, China, India, Russia, Germany, Japan, South Korea, and Turkey. At a time of great economic uncertainty, this book makes an important contribution by showing how new information technology can be used to prepare national economic forecasts.

Economic Forecasts

Economic Forecasts

Author: Ralf Brüggemann

Publisher: Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG

Published: 2016-11-21

Total Pages: 176

ISBN-13: 3110510847

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Forecasts guide decisions in all areas of economics and finance. Economic policy makers base their decisions on business cycle forecasts, investment decisions of firms are based on demand forecasts, and portfolio managers try to outperform the market based on financial market forecasts. Forecasts extract relevant information from the past and help to reduce the inherent uncertainty of the future. The topic of this special issue of the Journal of Economics and Statistics is the theory and practise of forecasting and forecast evaluation and an overview of the state of the art of forecasting.


Book Synopsis Economic Forecasts by : Ralf Brüggemann

Download or read book Economic Forecasts written by Ralf Brüggemann and published by Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG. This book was released on 2016-11-21 with total page 176 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasts guide decisions in all areas of economics and finance. Economic policy makers base their decisions on business cycle forecasts, investment decisions of firms are based on demand forecasts, and portfolio managers try to outperform the market based on financial market forecasts. Forecasts extract relevant information from the past and help to reduce the inherent uncertainty of the future. The topic of this special issue of the Journal of Economics and Statistics is the theory and practise of forecasting and forecast evaluation and an overview of the state of the art of forecasting.