Anticipatory Optimization for Dynamic Decision Making

Anticipatory Optimization for Dynamic Decision Making

Author: Stephan Meisel

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2011-06-23

Total Pages: 192

ISBN-13: 146140505X

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The availability of today’s online information systems rapidly increases the relevance of dynamic decision making within a large number of operational contexts. Whenever a sequence of interdependent decisions occurs, making a single decision raises the need for anticipation of its future impact on the entire decision process. Anticipatory support is needed for a broad variety of dynamic and stochastic decision problems from different operational contexts such as finance, energy management, manufacturing and transportation. Example problems include asset allocation, feed-in of electricity produced by wind power as well as scheduling and routing. All these problems entail a sequence of decisions contributing to an overall goal and taking place in the course of a certain period of time. Each of the decisions is derived by solution of an optimization problem. As a consequence a stochastic and dynamic decision problem resolves into a series of optimization problems to be formulated and solved by anticipation of the remaining decision process. However, actually solving a dynamic decision problem by means of approximate dynamic programming still is a major scientific challenge. Most of the work done so far is devoted to problems allowing for formulation of the underlying optimization problems as linear programs. Problem domains like scheduling and routing, where linear programming typically does not produce a significant benefit for problem solving, have not been considered so far. Therefore, the industry demand for dynamic scheduling and routing is still predominantly satisfied by purely heuristic approaches to anticipatory decision making. Although this may work well for certain dynamic decision problems, these approaches lack transferability of findings to other, related problems. This book has serves two major purposes: ‐ It provides a comprehensive and unique view of anticipatory optimization for dynamic decision making. It fully integrates Markov decision processes, dynamic programming, data mining and optimization and introduces a new perspective on approximate dynamic programming. Moreover, the book identifies different degrees of anticipation, enabling an assessment of specific approaches to dynamic decision making. ‐ It shows for the first time how to successfully solve a dynamic vehicle routing problem by approximate dynamic programming. It elaborates on every building block required for this kind of approach to dynamic vehicle routing. Thereby the book has a pioneering character and is intended to provide a footing for the dynamic vehicle routing community.


Book Synopsis Anticipatory Optimization for Dynamic Decision Making by : Stephan Meisel

Download or read book Anticipatory Optimization for Dynamic Decision Making written by Stephan Meisel and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-06-23 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The availability of today’s online information systems rapidly increases the relevance of dynamic decision making within a large number of operational contexts. Whenever a sequence of interdependent decisions occurs, making a single decision raises the need for anticipation of its future impact on the entire decision process. Anticipatory support is needed for a broad variety of dynamic and stochastic decision problems from different operational contexts such as finance, energy management, manufacturing and transportation. Example problems include asset allocation, feed-in of electricity produced by wind power as well as scheduling and routing. All these problems entail a sequence of decisions contributing to an overall goal and taking place in the course of a certain period of time. Each of the decisions is derived by solution of an optimization problem. As a consequence a stochastic and dynamic decision problem resolves into a series of optimization problems to be formulated and solved by anticipation of the remaining decision process. However, actually solving a dynamic decision problem by means of approximate dynamic programming still is a major scientific challenge. Most of the work done so far is devoted to problems allowing for formulation of the underlying optimization problems as linear programs. Problem domains like scheduling and routing, where linear programming typically does not produce a significant benefit for problem solving, have not been considered so far. Therefore, the industry demand for dynamic scheduling and routing is still predominantly satisfied by purely heuristic approaches to anticipatory decision making. Although this may work well for certain dynamic decision problems, these approaches lack transferability of findings to other, related problems. This book has serves two major purposes: ‐ It provides a comprehensive and unique view of anticipatory optimization for dynamic decision making. It fully integrates Markov decision processes, dynamic programming, data mining and optimization and introduces a new perspective on approximate dynamic programming. Moreover, the book identifies different degrees of anticipation, enabling an assessment of specific approaches to dynamic decision making. ‐ It shows for the first time how to successfully solve a dynamic vehicle routing problem by approximate dynamic programming. It elaborates on every building block required for this kind of approach to dynamic vehicle routing. Thereby the book has a pioneering character and is intended to provide a footing for the dynamic vehicle routing community.


Dynamic Decision Making

Dynamic Decision Making

Author: Johanna Helena Kerstholt

Publisher:

Published: 1996

Total Pages: 147

ISBN-13: 9789090092560

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Book Synopsis Dynamic Decision Making by : Johanna Helena Kerstholt

Download or read book Dynamic Decision Making written by Johanna Helena Kerstholt and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 147 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:


Dynamic decision making

Dynamic decision making

Author: José H. Kerstholt

Publisher:

Published: 1996

Total Pages: 147

ISBN-13:

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Book Synopsis Dynamic decision making by : José H. Kerstholt

Download or read book Dynamic decision making written by José H. Kerstholt and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 147 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:


Decision Making

Decision Making

Author: Tatiana Valentine Guy

Publisher:

Published: 2015

Total Pages: 184

ISBN-13: 9783319151458

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This volume focuses on uncovering the fundamental forces underlying dynamic decision making among multiple interacting, imperfect and selƠ̐lsh decision makers. The chapters are written by leading experts from different disciplines, all considering the many sources of imperfection in decision making, and always with an eye to decreasing the myriad discrepancies between theory and real world human decision making. Topics addressed include uncertainty, deliberation cost and the complexity arising from the inherent large computational scale of decision making in these systems. In particular, analyses and experiments are presented which concern: ĺØ task allocation to maximize ĺlthe wisdom of the crowdĺl; ĺØ design of a society of ĺledutainmentĺl robots who account for one anothersĺl emotional states; ĺØ recognizing and counteracting seemingly non-rational human decision making; ĺØ coping with extreme scale when learning causality in networks; ĺØ efƠ̐lciently incorporating expert knowledge in personalized medicine; ĺØ the effects of personality on risky decision making. The volume is a valuable source for researchers, graduate students and practitioners in machine learning, stochastic control, robotics, and economics, among other Ơ̐lelds.


Book Synopsis Decision Making by : Tatiana Valentine Guy

Download or read book Decision Making written by Tatiana Valentine Guy and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 184 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume focuses on uncovering the fundamental forces underlying dynamic decision making among multiple interacting, imperfect and selƠ̐lsh decision makers. The chapters are written by leading experts from different disciplines, all considering the many sources of imperfection in decision making, and always with an eye to decreasing the myriad discrepancies between theory and real world human decision making. Topics addressed include uncertainty, deliberation cost and the complexity arising from the inherent large computational scale of decision making in these systems. In particular, analyses and experiments are presented which concern: ĺØ task allocation to maximize ĺlthe wisdom of the crowdĺl; ĺØ design of a society of ĺledutainmentĺl robots who account for one anothersĺl emotional states; ĺØ recognizing and counteracting seemingly non-rational human decision making; ĺØ coping with extreme scale when learning causality in networks; ĺØ efƠ̐lciently incorporating expert knowledge in personalized medicine; ĺØ the effects of personality on risky decision making. The volume is a valuable source for researchers, graduate students and practitioners in machine learning, stochastic control, robotics, and economics, among other Ơ̐lelds.


Measuring Performance in Dynamic Decision Making

Measuring Performance in Dynamic Decision Making

Author: Daniel Danner

Publisher:

Published: 2012

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13:

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Book Synopsis Measuring Performance in Dynamic Decision Making by : Daniel Danner

Download or read book Measuring Performance in Dynamic Decision Making written by Daniel Danner and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:


Robust Discrete Optimization and Its Applications

Robust Discrete Optimization and Its Applications

Author: Panos Kouvelis

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2013-03-09

Total Pages: 373

ISBN-13: 1475726201

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This book deals with decision making in environments of significant data un certainty, with particular emphasis on operations and production management applications. For such environments, we suggest the use of the robustness ap proach to decision making, which assumes inadequate knowledge of the decision maker about the random state of nature and develops a decision that hedges against the worst contingency that may arise. The main motivating factors for a decision maker to use the robustness approach are: • It does not ignore uncertainty and takes a proactive step in response to the fact that forecasted values of uncertain parameters will not occur in most environments; • It applies to decisions of unique, non-repetitive nature, which are common in many fast and dynamically changing environments; • It accounts for the risk averse nature of decision makers; and • It recognizes that even though decision environments are fraught with data uncertainties, decisions are evaluated ex post with the realized data. For all of the above reasons, robust decisions are dear to the heart of opera tional decision makers. This book takes a giant first step in presenting decision support tools and solution methods for generating robust decisions in a variety of interesting application environments. Robust Discrete Optimization is a comprehensive mathematical programming framework for robust decision making.


Book Synopsis Robust Discrete Optimization and Its Applications by : Panos Kouvelis

Download or read book Robust Discrete Optimization and Its Applications written by Panos Kouvelis and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-09 with total page 373 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book deals with decision making in environments of significant data un certainty, with particular emphasis on operations and production management applications. For such environments, we suggest the use of the robustness ap proach to decision making, which assumes inadequate knowledge of the decision maker about the random state of nature and develops a decision that hedges against the worst contingency that may arise. The main motivating factors for a decision maker to use the robustness approach are: • It does not ignore uncertainty and takes a proactive step in response to the fact that forecasted values of uncertain parameters will not occur in most environments; • It applies to decisions of unique, non-repetitive nature, which are common in many fast and dynamically changing environments; • It accounts for the risk averse nature of decision makers; and • It recognizes that even though decision environments are fraught with data uncertainties, decisions are evaluated ex post with the realized data. For all of the above reasons, robust decisions are dear to the heart of opera tional decision makers. This book takes a giant first step in presenting decision support tools and solution methods for generating robust decisions in a variety of interesting application environments. Robust Discrete Optimization is a comprehensive mathematical programming framework for robust decision making.


Practical Modelling of Dynamic Decision Making

Practical Modelling of Dynamic Decision Making

Author: Rick Evertsz

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2019-04-04

Total Pages: 104

ISBN-13: 9783319951942

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This book presents TDF (Tactics Development Framework), a practical methodology for eliciting and engineering models of expert decision-making in dynamic domains. The authors apply the BDI (Beliefs, Desires, Intentions) paradigm to the elicitation and modelling of dynamic decision making expertise, including team behaviour, and map it to a diagrammatic representation that is intuitive to domain experts. The book will be of value to researchers and practitioners engaged in dynamic decision making.


Book Synopsis Practical Modelling of Dynamic Decision Making by : Rick Evertsz

Download or read book Practical Modelling of Dynamic Decision Making written by Rick Evertsz and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-04-04 with total page 104 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents TDF (Tactics Development Framework), a practical methodology for eliciting and engineering models of expert decision-making in dynamic domains. The authors apply the BDI (Beliefs, Desires, Intentions) paradigm to the elicitation and modelling of dynamic decision making expertise, including team behaviour, and map it to a diagrammatic representation that is intuitive to domain experts. The book will be of value to researchers and practitioners engaged in dynamic decision making.


Dynamic Decision Making with Long-Term Binding Actions

Dynamic Decision Making with Long-Term Binding Actions

Author: Yevgeny Tsodikovich

Publisher:

Published: 2019

Total Pages: 82

ISBN-13:

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Book Synopsis Dynamic Decision Making with Long-Term Binding Actions by : Yevgeny Tsodikovich

Download or read book Dynamic Decision Making with Long-Term Binding Actions written by Yevgeny Tsodikovich and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 82 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:


Practical Modelling of Dynamic Decision Making

Practical Modelling of Dynamic Decision Making

Author: Rick Evertsz

Publisher:

Published: 2019

Total Pages: 104

ISBN-13: 9783319951966

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This book presents TDF (Tactics Development Framework), a practical methodology for eliciting and engineering models of expert decision-making in dynamic domains. The authors apply the BDI (Beliefs, Desires, Intentions) paradigm to the elicitation and modelling of dynamic decision making expertise, including team behaviour, and map it to a diagrammatic representation that is intuitive to domain experts. The book will be of value to researchers and practitioners engaged in dynamic decision making.


Book Synopsis Practical Modelling of Dynamic Decision Making by : Rick Evertsz

Download or read book Practical Modelling of Dynamic Decision Making written by Rick Evertsz and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 104 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents TDF (Tactics Development Framework), a practical methodology for eliciting and engineering models of expert decision-making in dynamic domains. The authors apply the BDI (Beliefs, Desires, Intentions) paradigm to the elicitation and modelling of dynamic decision making expertise, including team behaviour, and map it to a diagrammatic representation that is intuitive to domain experts. The book will be of value to researchers and practitioners engaged in dynamic decision making.


The Value of Action and Inference in Dynamic Decision Making

The Value of Action and Inference in Dynamic Decision Making

Author: Don N. Kleinmuntz

Publisher:

Published: 1985

Total Pages: 40

ISBN-13:

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Book Synopsis The Value of Action and Inference in Dynamic Decision Making by : Don N. Kleinmuntz

Download or read book The Value of Action and Inference in Dynamic Decision Making written by Don N. Kleinmuntz and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: