Appraisal, Risk and Uncertainty

Appraisal, Risk and Uncertainty

Author: Nigel J. Smith

Publisher: Thomas Telford

Published: 2003-11-28

Total Pages: 156

ISBN-13: 9780727731852

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Projects need to achieve strategic goals and to that end must work in different levels of uncertainty. Engineers must be aware of methods to operate in ambiguous situations. This book offers one of the first integrated approaches to these three topics based on the views of experts in these disciplines.


Book Synopsis Appraisal, Risk and Uncertainty by : Nigel J. Smith

Download or read book Appraisal, Risk and Uncertainty written by Nigel J. Smith and published by Thomas Telford. This book was released on 2003-11-28 with total page 156 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Projects need to achieve strategic goals and to that end must work in different levels of uncertainty. Engineers must be aware of methods to operate in ambiguous situations. This book offers one of the first integrated approaches to these three topics based on the views of experts in these disciplines.


Investment Appraisal

Investment Appraisal

Author: Terence Lucey

Publisher:

Published: 1971

Total Pages: 70

ISBN-13:

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Book Synopsis Investment Appraisal by : Terence Lucey

Download or read book Investment Appraisal written by Terence Lucey and published by . This book was released on 1971 with total page 70 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:


Techniques for Project Appraisal Under Uncertainty

Techniques for Project Appraisal Under Uncertainty

Author: Shlomo Reutlinger

Publisher: Johns Hopkins University Press

Published: 1970

Total Pages: 116

ISBN-13:

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The appraisal of events that have uncertain outcomes is discussed with particular reference to a feasible method for evaluating the riskiness of investment projects. The essence of the uncertainty problem is that many of the variables affecting the outcome of a particular plan are outside of the planner's control. Uncertainty, which is relevant for most decisions, is best characterized in terms of a decision agent's subjective beliefs about probabilities. The probabilistic approach lends itself best to an appraisal of possible outcomes of a project that is affected by uncertainties from many sources. Probability judgments about many basic variables and parameters affecting the final outcome can be aggregated into an estimate of the probability distribution of that final outcome. This aggregation method is demonstrated for calculation of the economic returns of a project. The method of approximation by a simulated sample is described, and its application to probability distribution rates of returns from actual projects is explained. The preparation of a mathematical model is detailed, emphasizing the usefulness of computerized calculations. Fourteen tables and nine figures are provided.


Book Synopsis Techniques for Project Appraisal Under Uncertainty by : Shlomo Reutlinger

Download or read book Techniques for Project Appraisal Under Uncertainty written by Shlomo Reutlinger and published by Johns Hopkins University Press. This book was released on 1970 with total page 116 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The appraisal of events that have uncertain outcomes is discussed with particular reference to a feasible method for evaluating the riskiness of investment projects. The essence of the uncertainty problem is that many of the variables affecting the outcome of a particular plan are outside of the planner's control. Uncertainty, which is relevant for most decisions, is best characterized in terms of a decision agent's subjective beliefs about probabilities. The probabilistic approach lends itself best to an appraisal of possible outcomes of a project that is affected by uncertainties from many sources. Probability judgments about many basic variables and parameters affecting the final outcome can be aggregated into an estimate of the probability distribution of that final outcome. This aggregation method is demonstrated for calculation of the economic returns of a project. The method of approximation by a simulated sample is described, and its application to probability distribution rates of returns from actual projects is explained. The preparation of a mathematical model is detailed, emphasizing the usefulness of computerized calculations. Fourteen tables and nine figures are provided.


Investment Appraisal

Investment Appraisal

Author: T. Lucey

Publisher:

Published: 1980

Total Pages: 70

ISBN-13:

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Book Synopsis Investment Appraisal by : T. Lucey

Download or read book Investment Appraisal written by T. Lucey and published by . This book was released on 1980 with total page 70 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:


Uncertainty in Risk Assessment, Risk Management, and Decision Making

Uncertainty in Risk Assessment, Risk Management, and Decision Making

Author: V.T. Covello

Publisher: Springer

Published: 1987-05-31

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13: 9780306425578

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The subject of this volume--uncertainties in risk assessment and management--reflects an important theme in health, safety, and environ mental decision making. MOst technological hazards are characterized by substantial uncertainty. Recent examples include nuclear waste disposal, acid rain, asbestos in schools, carcinogens in food, and hazardous waste. realing with such uncertainty is arguably the most difficult and challeng ing task facing risk assessors and managers today. Four primary sources of uncertainty in risk assessment and management can be identified: (1) uncertainties about definitions; (2) uncertainties about scientific facts; (3) uncertainties about risk perceptions and atti tudes; and (4) uncertainties about values. Uncertainties about definitions derive primarily from disagreements about the meaning and interpretation of key concepts, such as probability. Uncertainties about scientific facts derive primarily from disagreements about failure modes, the probability and magnitude of adverse health or environmental consequences, cause and effect relationships, dose-response relationships, and exposure patterns. Uncertainties about risk perceptions and attitudes derive primarily from disagreements about what constitutes a significant or acceptable level of risk. Uncertainties about values derive primarily from disagreements about the desirability or worth of alternative risk management actions or conse quences. The papers in this volume address each of these sources of uncertainty from a variety of perspectives. Reflecting the broad scope of risk assess ment and risk management research, the papers include contributions from safety engineers, epidemiologists, toxicologists, chemists, biostatisticians, biologists, decision analysts, economists, psychologists, political scien tists, sociologists, ethicists, and lawyers.


Book Synopsis Uncertainty in Risk Assessment, Risk Management, and Decision Making by : V.T. Covello

Download or read book Uncertainty in Risk Assessment, Risk Management, and Decision Making written by V.T. Covello and published by Springer. This book was released on 1987-05-31 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The subject of this volume--uncertainties in risk assessment and management--reflects an important theme in health, safety, and environ mental decision making. MOst technological hazards are characterized by substantial uncertainty. Recent examples include nuclear waste disposal, acid rain, asbestos in schools, carcinogens in food, and hazardous waste. realing with such uncertainty is arguably the most difficult and challeng ing task facing risk assessors and managers today. Four primary sources of uncertainty in risk assessment and management can be identified: (1) uncertainties about definitions; (2) uncertainties about scientific facts; (3) uncertainties about risk perceptions and atti tudes; and (4) uncertainties about values. Uncertainties about definitions derive primarily from disagreements about the meaning and interpretation of key concepts, such as probability. Uncertainties about scientific facts derive primarily from disagreements about failure modes, the probability and magnitude of adverse health or environmental consequences, cause and effect relationships, dose-response relationships, and exposure patterns. Uncertainties about risk perceptions and attitudes derive primarily from disagreements about what constitutes a significant or acceptable level of risk. Uncertainties about values derive primarily from disagreements about the desirability or worth of alternative risk management actions or conse quences. The papers in this volume address each of these sources of uncertainty from a variety of perspectives. Reflecting the broad scope of risk assess ment and risk management research, the papers include contributions from safety engineers, epidemiologists, toxicologists, chemists, biostatisticians, biologists, decision analysts, economists, psychologists, political scien tists, sociologists, ethicists, and lawyers.


Risk, Uncertainty and Decision-Making in Property

Risk, Uncertainty and Decision-Making in Property

Author: P. Byrne

Publisher: Routledge

Published: 2002-11-01

Total Pages: 176

ISBN-13: 1135821267

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Provides undergraduates in surveying and property professionals with a clear practical explanation of the various management techniques to improve their property development decisions.


Book Synopsis Risk, Uncertainty and Decision-Making in Property by : P. Byrne

Download or read book Risk, Uncertainty and Decision-Making in Property written by P. Byrne and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2002-11-01 with total page 176 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Provides undergraduates in surveying and property professionals with a clear practical explanation of the various management techniques to improve their property development decisions.


ITF Research Reports Adapting Transport Policy to Climate Change Carbon Valuation, Risk and Uncertainty

ITF Research Reports Adapting Transport Policy to Climate Change Carbon Valuation, Risk and Uncertainty

Author: International Transport Forum

Publisher: OECD Publishing

Published: 2015-11-24

Total Pages: 94

ISBN-13: 9282107922

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Transport accounts for nearly a quarter of anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions. The price attached to these emissions is critical to climate policies and emissions mitigation efforts in the sector. As the impact of emissions on climate does not depend on where CO2 is released, the price of ...


Book Synopsis ITF Research Reports Adapting Transport Policy to Climate Change Carbon Valuation, Risk and Uncertainty by : International Transport Forum

Download or read book ITF Research Reports Adapting Transport Policy to Climate Change Carbon Valuation, Risk and Uncertainty written by International Transport Forum and published by OECD Publishing. This book was released on 2015-11-24 with total page 94 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Transport accounts for nearly a quarter of anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions. The price attached to these emissions is critical to climate policies and emissions mitigation efforts in the sector. As the impact of emissions on climate does not depend on where CO2 is released, the price of ...


Investment Appraisal

Investment Appraisal

Author: Uwe Götze

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2007-12-22

Total Pages: 393

ISBN-13: 3540399690

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This book presents a range of investment appraisal methods and models to help readers make good investment decisions. Each approach is thoroughly described, evaluated, and illustrated using examples, with its assumptions and limitations analyzed in terms of their implications for investment decision-making practice. Getting investment decisions right is crucial but due to a complex and dynamic business environment this remains a challenging management task.


Book Synopsis Investment Appraisal by : Uwe Götze

Download or read book Investment Appraisal written by Uwe Götze and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-12-22 with total page 393 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents a range of investment appraisal methods and models to help readers make good investment decisions. Each approach is thoroughly described, evaluated, and illustrated using examples, with its assumptions and limitations analyzed in terms of their implications for investment decision-making practice. Getting investment decisions right is crucial but due to a complex and dynamic business environment this remains a challenging management task.


Risk Appraisal and Venture Capital in High Technology New Ventures

Risk Appraisal and Venture Capital in High Technology New Ventures

Author: Gavin C. Reid

Publisher: Routledge

Published: 2007-09-06

Total Pages: 258

ISBN-13: 1134190360

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This book is a 'crossover' treatment of quantitative and qualitative risk analysis within the setting of new high technology ventures in the UK. Reid and Smith have based their research on extensive fieldwork in patent-intensive, high-technology firms. This has included face-to-face interviews with leading investors, and is illustrated by two chapt


Book Synopsis Risk Appraisal and Venture Capital in High Technology New Ventures by : Gavin C. Reid

Download or read book Risk Appraisal and Venture Capital in High Technology New Ventures written by Gavin C. Reid and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2007-09-06 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a 'crossover' treatment of quantitative and qualitative risk analysis within the setting of new high technology ventures in the UK. Reid and Smith have based their research on extensive fieldwork in patent-intensive, high-technology firms. This has included face-to-face interviews with leading investors, and is illustrated by two chapt


CIMA Official Learning System Performance Operations

CIMA Official Learning System Performance Operations

Author: Robert Scarlett

Publisher: Elsevier

Published: 2009-08-24

Total Pages: 636

ISBN-13: 185617722X

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CIMA Official Learning Systems are the only textbooks recommended by CIMA as core reading. Written by the CIMA examiners, markers and lecturers, they specifically prepare students to pass the CIMA exams first time. Fully updated to reflect the 2010 syllabus, they are crammed with features to reinforce learning, including: - step by step coverage directly linked to CIMA's learning outcomes - fully revised examples and case studies - extensive question practice to test knowledge and understanding - integrated readings to increase understanding of key theory - colour used throughout to aid navigation * The Official Learning systems are the only study materials endorsed by CIMA * Key sections written by former examiners for the most accurate, up-to-date guidance towards exam success * Complete integrated package incorporating syllabus guidance, full text, recommended articles, revision guides and extensive question practice


Book Synopsis CIMA Official Learning System Performance Operations by : Robert Scarlett

Download or read book CIMA Official Learning System Performance Operations written by Robert Scarlett and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2009-08-24 with total page 636 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: CIMA Official Learning Systems are the only textbooks recommended by CIMA as core reading. Written by the CIMA examiners, markers and lecturers, they specifically prepare students to pass the CIMA exams first time. Fully updated to reflect the 2010 syllabus, they are crammed with features to reinforce learning, including: - step by step coverage directly linked to CIMA's learning outcomes - fully revised examples and case studies - extensive question practice to test knowledge and understanding - integrated readings to increase understanding of key theory - colour used throughout to aid navigation * The Official Learning systems are the only study materials endorsed by CIMA * Key sections written by former examiners for the most accurate, up-to-date guidance towards exam success * Complete integrated package incorporating syllabus guidance, full text, recommended articles, revision guides and extensive question practice