Bad News and Good Judgment

Bad News and Good Judgment

Author: Jim Pumarlo

Publisher: Marion Street Press, Inc.

Published: 2005

Total Pages: 120

ISBN-13: 9780966517613

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Helps editors of small-town newspapers decide how to report on sensitive issues such as suicides, sexual abuse, and accidents.


Book Synopsis Bad News and Good Judgment by : Jim Pumarlo

Download or read book Bad News and Good Judgment written by Jim Pumarlo and published by Marion Street Press, Inc.. This book was released on 2005 with total page 120 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Helps editors of small-town newspapers decide how to report on sensitive issues such as suicides, sexual abuse, and accidents.


Good News and Bad News about the Judgment

Good News and Bad News about the Judgment

Author: Morris L. Venden

Publisher:

Published: 1982

Total Pages: 96

ISBN-13: 9780816304844

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Book Synopsis Good News and Bad News about the Judgment by : Morris L. Venden

Download or read book Good News and Bad News about the Judgment written by Morris L. Venden and published by . This book was released on 1982 with total page 96 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:


Superforecasting

Superforecasting

Author: Philip E. Tetlock

Publisher: Crown

Published: 2015-09-29

Total Pages: 331

ISBN-13: 080413670X

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NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST “The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow.”—Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week’s meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts’ predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight, and Tetlock has spent the past decade trying to figure out why. What makes some people so good? And can this talent be taught? In Superforecasting, Tetlock and coauthor Dan Gardner offer a masterwork on prediction, drawing on decades of research and the results of a massive, government-funded forecasting tournament. The Good Judgment Project involves tens of thousands of ordinary people—including a Brooklyn filmmaker, a retired pipe installer, and a former ballroom dancer—who set out to forecast global events. Some of the volunteers have turned out to be astonishingly good. They’ve beaten other benchmarks, competitors, and prediction markets. They’ve even beaten the collective judgment of intelligence analysts with access to classified information. They are "superforecasters." In this groundbreaking and accessible book, Tetlock and Gardner show us how we can learn from this elite group. Weaving together stories of forecasting successes (the raid on Osama bin Laden’s compound) and failures (the Bay of Pigs) and interviews with a range of high-level decision makers, from David Petraeus to Robert Rubin, they show that good forecasting doesn’t require powerful computers or arcane methods. It involves gathering evidence from a variety of sources, thinking probabilistically, working in teams, keeping score, and being willing to admit error and change course. Superforecasting offers the first demonstrably effective way to improve our ability to predict the future—whether in business, finance, politics, international affairs, or daily life—and is destined to become a modern classic.


Book Synopsis Superforecasting by : Philip E. Tetlock

Download or read book Superforecasting written by Philip E. Tetlock and published by Crown. This book was released on 2015-09-29 with total page 331 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST “The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow.”—Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week’s meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts’ predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight, and Tetlock has spent the past decade trying to figure out why. What makes some people so good? And can this talent be taught? In Superforecasting, Tetlock and coauthor Dan Gardner offer a masterwork on prediction, drawing on decades of research and the results of a massive, government-funded forecasting tournament. The Good Judgment Project involves tens of thousands of ordinary people—including a Brooklyn filmmaker, a retired pipe installer, and a former ballroom dancer—who set out to forecast global events. Some of the volunteers have turned out to be astonishingly good. They’ve beaten other benchmarks, competitors, and prediction markets. They’ve even beaten the collective judgment of intelligence analysts with access to classified information. They are "superforecasters." In this groundbreaking and accessible book, Tetlock and Gardner show us how we can learn from this elite group. Weaving together stories of forecasting successes (the raid on Osama bin Laden’s compound) and failures (the Bay of Pigs) and interviews with a range of high-level decision makers, from David Petraeus to Robert Rubin, they show that good forecasting doesn’t require powerful computers or arcane methods. It involves gathering evidence from a variety of sources, thinking probabilistically, working in teams, keeping score, and being willing to admit error and change course. Superforecasting offers the first demonstrably effective way to improve our ability to predict the future—whether in business, finance, politics, international affairs, or daily life—and is destined to become a modern classic.


Secret Sisters

Secret Sisters

Author: Jayne Ann Krentz

Publisher: Penguin

Published: 2016-11-29

Total Pages: 434

ISBN-13: 0515156345

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No one does romantic suspense better than Jayne Ann Krentz. Now, the New York Times bestselling author of Untouchable and Promise Not to Tell delivers a novel that twists and turns into a read that will leave you breathless. Madeline and Daphne were once as close as sisters—until a secret tore them apart. Now, it might take them to their graves.... Nearly two decades after her childhood—and her friendship with Daphne—were destroyed in one traumatic night, a dying man’s last words convey a warning to Madeline: the secrets she believed buried forever have been discovered. Unable to trust anyone else, Madeline reaches out to Daphne and to the only man she can count on to help: Jack Rayner, a security expert with a profoundly intimate understanding of warped and dangerous minds. Along with his high-tech genius of a brother, the four of them will form an uneasy alliance against a killer who will stop at nothing to hide the truth....


Book Synopsis Secret Sisters by : Jayne Ann Krentz

Download or read book Secret Sisters written by Jayne Ann Krentz and published by Penguin. This book was released on 2016-11-29 with total page 434 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: No one does romantic suspense better than Jayne Ann Krentz. Now, the New York Times bestselling author of Untouchable and Promise Not to Tell delivers a novel that twists and turns into a read that will leave you breathless. Madeline and Daphne were once as close as sisters—until a secret tore them apart. Now, it might take them to their graves.... Nearly two decades after her childhood—and her friendship with Daphne—were destroyed in one traumatic night, a dying man’s last words convey a warning to Madeline: the secrets she believed buried forever have been discovered. Unable to trust anyone else, Madeline reaches out to Daphne and to the only man she can count on to help: Jack Rayner, a security expert with a profoundly intimate understanding of warped and dangerous minds. Along with his high-tech genius of a brother, the four of them will form an uneasy alliance against a killer who will stop at nothing to hide the truth....


Forbes

Forbes

Author:

Publisher:

Published: 1922

Total Pages: 1296

ISBN-13:

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Book Synopsis Forbes by :

Download or read book Forbes written by and published by . This book was released on 1922 with total page 1296 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:


Reeds 21st Century Ship Management

Reeds 21st Century Ship Management

Author: John W Dickie

Publisher: A&C Black

Published: 2014-05-08

Total Pages: 273

ISBN-13: 1472900685

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First modern title to cover the varied and complex world of ship management in the 21st century.


Book Synopsis Reeds 21st Century Ship Management by : John W Dickie

Download or read book Reeds 21st Century Ship Management written by John W Dickie and published by A&C Black. This book was released on 2014-05-08 with total page 273 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: First modern title to cover the varied and complex world of ship management in the 21st century.


Good Judgment in Foreign Policy

Good Judgment in Foreign Policy

Author: Stanley Allen Renshon

Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield

Published: 2003

Total Pages: 362

ISBN-13: 9780742510074

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At the heart of political leadership lies choice. And at the heart of choice lies judgment. A leader's psychology and experience intersect with political realities to produce consequences that can make or break a leader--or a country. Nowhere is judgment more important than in the making of foreign policy. Good judgments can avoid wars, or win them. Poor judgments can start wars or lose them. This book draws together a distinguished group of contributors--psychologists, political scientists, and policymakers--to focus on and understand both good and poor judgment in foreign policy making. Case studies of key leadership decisions combine with theoretical overviews and analyses to offer a highly textured portrait of judgment in action in the all-important foreign policy arena. An up-to-the-minute case on George W. Bush and the war on terrorism applies good judgment theory to contemporary events.


Book Synopsis Good Judgment in Foreign Policy by : Stanley Allen Renshon

Download or read book Good Judgment in Foreign Policy written by Stanley Allen Renshon and published by Rowman & Littlefield. This book was released on 2003 with total page 362 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: At the heart of political leadership lies choice. And at the heart of choice lies judgment. A leader's psychology and experience intersect with political realities to produce consequences that can make or break a leader--or a country. Nowhere is judgment more important than in the making of foreign policy. Good judgments can avoid wars, or win them. Poor judgments can start wars or lose them. This book draws together a distinguished group of contributors--psychologists, political scientists, and policymakers--to focus on and understand both good and poor judgment in foreign policy making. Case studies of key leadership decisions combine with theoretical overviews and analyses to offer a highly textured portrait of judgment in action in the all-important foreign policy arena. An up-to-the-minute case on George W. Bush and the war on terrorism applies good judgment theory to contemporary events.


Bad News Box Set

Bad News Box Set

Author: Scott Nicholson

Publisher: Haunted Computer Books

Published:

Total Pages: 592

ISBN-13:

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"One of the most thrilling writers working today. Miss him at your peril." - Blake Crouch, Wayward Pines "Always surprises and always entertains." - Jonathan Maberry, Patient Zero BAD NEWS: FOUR CHILLING THRILLERS A box set of four science fiction, post-apocalyptic, and creature thrillers by international bestselling author Scott Nicholson. Features the complete text of: AFTERBURN- Five years after a massive solar storm, survivors must face the strange mutants that have taken over a world populated by bloodthirsty monsters. MOSTLY HUMAN- An embittered British policeman is drawn into a series of murders that point to an unnatural suspect. BONE AND CINDER- In the immediate aftermath of a technological collapse, Mackie Dailey organizes a small band of survivors to fight mysterious, savage mutants and a vicious crime lord. THE HARVEST- When an alien entity falls into the remote mountains, a strange infection spreads to a small town and changes people. ------------------------------------- Scott Nicholson is the international bestselling author of more than 30 books, including the After and Next post-apocalyptic thriller series. His website is AuthorScottNicholson.com. keywords: zombie action adventure box set, Stephen King, Hugh Howey, Bobby Adair, Justin Cronin, walking dead, post-apocalyptic horror, survival dystopian fiction, bargain ebooks, Google Play science fiction books, monsters, mutants, technothrillers, near-future doomsday tales, psychological suspense, alien invasion, Jeff VanderMeer, Scott Sigler, Steve Savile, D.J. Molles, A. American, T.W. Piperbrook, A.G. Riddle,, mutant zombies, David Moody


Book Synopsis Bad News Box Set by : Scott Nicholson

Download or read book Bad News Box Set written by Scott Nicholson and published by Haunted Computer Books. This book was released on with total page 592 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "One of the most thrilling writers working today. Miss him at your peril." - Blake Crouch, Wayward Pines "Always surprises and always entertains." - Jonathan Maberry, Patient Zero BAD NEWS: FOUR CHILLING THRILLERS A box set of four science fiction, post-apocalyptic, and creature thrillers by international bestselling author Scott Nicholson. Features the complete text of: AFTERBURN- Five years after a massive solar storm, survivors must face the strange mutants that have taken over a world populated by bloodthirsty monsters. MOSTLY HUMAN- An embittered British policeman is drawn into a series of murders that point to an unnatural suspect. BONE AND CINDER- In the immediate aftermath of a technological collapse, Mackie Dailey organizes a small band of survivors to fight mysterious, savage mutants and a vicious crime lord. THE HARVEST- When an alien entity falls into the remote mountains, a strange infection spreads to a small town and changes people. ------------------------------------- Scott Nicholson is the international bestselling author of more than 30 books, including the After and Next post-apocalyptic thriller series. His website is AuthorScottNicholson.com. keywords: zombie action adventure box set, Stephen King, Hugh Howey, Bobby Adair, Justin Cronin, walking dead, post-apocalyptic horror, survival dystopian fiction, bargain ebooks, Google Play science fiction books, monsters, mutants, technothrillers, near-future doomsday tales, psychological suspense, alien invasion, Jeff VanderMeer, Scott Sigler, Steve Savile, D.J. Molles, A. American, T.W. Piperbrook, A.G. Riddle,, mutant zombies, David Moody


Judgment

Judgment

Author: Noel M. Tichy

Publisher: Penguin

Published: 2007-11-08

Total Pages: 412

ISBN-13: 1101216549

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“With good judgment, little else matters. Without it, nothing else matters.” Whether we’re talking about United States presidents, CEOs, Major League coaches, or wartime generals, leaders are remembered for their best and worst judgment calls. In the face of ambiguity, uncertainty, and conflicting demands, the quality of a leader’s judgment determines the fate of the entire organization. That’s why judgment is the essence of leadership. Yet despite its importance, judgment has always been a fairly murky concept. The leadership literature has been conspicuously quiet on what, exactly, defines it. Does judgment differ from common sense or gut instinct? Is it a product of luck? Of smarts? Or is there a process for making consistently good calls? Noel Tichy and Warren Bennis have each spent decades studying and teaching leadership and advising top CEOs such as Jack Welch and Howard Schultz. Now, in their first collaboration, they offer a powerful framework for making tough calls when the stakes are high and the right path is far from obvious. They show how to recognize the critical moment before a judgment call, when swift and decisive action is essential, and also how to execute a decision after the call. Tichy and Bennis bring their three-dimensional model to life with interviews with world-class leaders who have thrived or suffered because of their judgment calls. These stories include: • Jeff Immelt, CEO of General Electric, whose judgment to grow through research and development transformed GE into the world’s premier technology growth company. • Joel Klein, chancellor of the New York City Department of Education, who made tough calls about teachers, students, and parents while turning around a troubled school system. • Jim McNerney, CEO of Boeing, whose strategic judgment helped him reinvigorate his company and restore a culture of trust and respect. • The late general Wayne Downing, who found an unexpected opportunity in the midst of crisis when he led the Special Operations raid to capture Manuel Noriega. • A. G. Lafley, CEO of Procter & Gamble, who bet $57 billion to purchase Gillette and reinvent his company. • Brad Anderson, CEO of Best Buy, who made the call to commit totally to a customer-centric strategy and led his people to execute it. Whether you’re running a small department or a global corporation, Judgment will give you a framework for evaluating any situation, making the call, and correcting if necessary during the execution phase. It will show you how to handle the overlapping domains of people, strategy, and crisis management. And it will help you teach your entire team to make the right call more often. No organization can afford to neglect this crucial discipline—and no previous book has ever brought it into such clear focus.


Book Synopsis Judgment by : Noel M. Tichy

Download or read book Judgment written by Noel M. Tichy and published by Penguin. This book was released on 2007-11-08 with total page 412 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: “With good judgment, little else matters. Without it, nothing else matters.” Whether we’re talking about United States presidents, CEOs, Major League coaches, or wartime generals, leaders are remembered for their best and worst judgment calls. In the face of ambiguity, uncertainty, and conflicting demands, the quality of a leader’s judgment determines the fate of the entire organization. That’s why judgment is the essence of leadership. Yet despite its importance, judgment has always been a fairly murky concept. The leadership literature has been conspicuously quiet on what, exactly, defines it. Does judgment differ from common sense or gut instinct? Is it a product of luck? Of smarts? Or is there a process for making consistently good calls? Noel Tichy and Warren Bennis have each spent decades studying and teaching leadership and advising top CEOs such as Jack Welch and Howard Schultz. Now, in their first collaboration, they offer a powerful framework for making tough calls when the stakes are high and the right path is far from obvious. They show how to recognize the critical moment before a judgment call, when swift and decisive action is essential, and also how to execute a decision after the call. Tichy and Bennis bring their three-dimensional model to life with interviews with world-class leaders who have thrived or suffered because of their judgment calls. These stories include: • Jeff Immelt, CEO of General Electric, whose judgment to grow through research and development transformed GE into the world’s premier technology growth company. • Joel Klein, chancellor of the New York City Department of Education, who made tough calls about teachers, students, and parents while turning around a troubled school system. • Jim McNerney, CEO of Boeing, whose strategic judgment helped him reinvigorate his company and restore a culture of trust and respect. • The late general Wayne Downing, who found an unexpected opportunity in the midst of crisis when he led the Special Operations raid to capture Manuel Noriega. • A. G. Lafley, CEO of Procter & Gamble, who bet $57 billion to purchase Gillette and reinvent his company. • Brad Anderson, CEO of Best Buy, who made the call to commit totally to a customer-centric strategy and led his people to execute it. Whether you’re running a small department or a global corporation, Judgment will give you a framework for evaluating any situation, making the call, and correcting if necessary during the execution phase. It will show you how to handle the overlapping domains of people, strategy, and crisis management. And it will help you teach your entire team to make the right call more often. No organization can afford to neglect this crucial discipline—and no previous book has ever brought it into such clear focus.


The Ethical Challenges of Academic Administration

The Ethical Challenges of Academic Administration

Author: Elaine E. Englehardt

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2009-09-18

Total Pages: 216

ISBN-13: 9048128412

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This book is an invitation to academic administrators, at every level, to engage in reflection on the ethical dimensions of their working lives. Academics are very good at reflecting on the ethical issues in other professions but not so interested in reflecting on those in their own, including those faced by faculty and administrators. Yet it is a topic of great importance. Academic institutions are value-driven; hence virtually every decision made by an academic administrator has an ethical component with implications for students, faculty, the institution, and the broader community. Despite this, they receive little systematic preparation for this aspect of their professional lives when they take up administrative posts, especially when compared to, say, medical or legal training. Surprisingly little has been written about the ethical challenges that academic administrators are likely to face. Most of the literature relating to academic administration focuses on “leadership” and draws heavily on management and social science theory. The importance of focusing on ethical deliberation and decision-making often goes unrecognized.


Book Synopsis The Ethical Challenges of Academic Administration by : Elaine E. Englehardt

Download or read book The Ethical Challenges of Academic Administration written by Elaine E. Englehardt and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-09-18 with total page 216 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is an invitation to academic administrators, at every level, to engage in reflection on the ethical dimensions of their working lives. Academics are very good at reflecting on the ethical issues in other professions but not so interested in reflecting on those in their own, including those faced by faculty and administrators. Yet it is a topic of great importance. Academic institutions are value-driven; hence virtually every decision made by an academic administrator has an ethical component with implications for students, faculty, the institution, and the broader community. Despite this, they receive little systematic preparation for this aspect of their professional lives when they take up administrative posts, especially when compared to, say, medical or legal training. Surprisingly little has been written about the ethical challenges that academic administrators are likely to face. Most of the literature relating to academic administration focuses on “leadership” and draws heavily on management and social science theory. The importance of focusing on ethical deliberation and decision-making often goes unrecognized.