Economic Conditions and Electoral Outcomes

Economic Conditions and Electoral Outcomes

Author: Heinz Eulau

Publisher: Algora Publishing

Published: 2007

Total Pages: 260

ISBN-13: 0875862721

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Does economics influence elections? How does such influence work? Under what conditions is it more or less likely to occur? Free, popular elections matter, and they make a difference precisely because, at periodic intervals, they set the limits or constraints within which the interests of business and the interests of the people pursue their political goals. These are the basic ideas addressed in the chapters of this volume. "This fine collection of papers dealing with the effects of economic variables on electoral behaviour and electoral outcomes . . . will be of particular interest to specialists in the study of elections, but will also be valuable to students of political economy and comparative politics more generally . . ." - Canadian Journal of Politics


Book Synopsis Economic Conditions and Electoral Outcomes by : Heinz Eulau

Download or read book Economic Conditions and Electoral Outcomes written by Heinz Eulau and published by Algora Publishing. This book was released on 2007 with total page 260 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Does economics influence elections? How does such influence work? Under what conditions is it more or less likely to occur? Free, popular elections matter, and they make a difference precisely because, at periodic intervals, they set the limits or constraints within which the interests of business and the interests of the people pursue their political goals. These are the basic ideas addressed in the chapters of this volume. "This fine collection of papers dealing with the effects of economic variables on electoral behaviour and electoral outcomes . . . will be of particular interest to specialists in the study of elections, but will also be valuable to students of political economy and comparative politics more generally . . ." - Canadian Journal of Politics

The Economy and the Vote

The Economy and the Vote

Author: Wouter van der Brug

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2007-04-30

Total Pages: 11

ISBN-13: 1139464221

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Economic conditions are said to affect election outcomes, but past research has produced unstable and contradictory findings. This book argues that these problems are caused by the failure to take account of electoral competition between parties. A research strategy to correct this problem is designed and applied to investigate effects of economic conditions on (individual) voter choices and (aggregate) election outcomes over 42 elections in 15 countries. It shows that economic conditions exert small effects on individual party preferences, which can have large consequences for election outcomes. In countries where responsibility for economic policy is clear, voters vote retrospectively and reward or punish incumbent parties - although in coalition systems smaller government parties often gain at the expense of the largest party when economic conditions deteriorate. Where clarity of responsibility for economic policy is less clear, voters vote more prospectively on the basis of expected party policies.


Book Synopsis The Economy and the Vote by : Wouter van der Brug

Download or read book The Economy and the Vote written by Wouter van der Brug and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2007-04-30 with total page 11 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economic conditions are said to affect election outcomes, but past research has produced unstable and contradictory findings. This book argues that these problems are caused by the failure to take account of electoral competition between parties. A research strategy to correct this problem is designed and applied to investigate effects of economic conditions on (individual) voter choices and (aggregate) election outcomes over 42 elections in 15 countries. It shows that economic conditions exert small effects on individual party preferences, which can have large consequences for election outcomes. In countries where responsibility for economic policy is clear, voters vote retrospectively and reward or punish incumbent parties - although in coalition systems smaller government parties often gain at the expense of the largest party when economic conditions deteriorate. Where clarity of responsibility for economic policy is less clear, voters vote more prospectively on the basis of expected party policies.

The Economic Vote

The Economic Vote

Author: Raymond M. Duch

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2008-03-17

Total Pages: 359

ISBN-13: 1139470620

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This book proposes a selection model for explaining cross-national variation in economic voting: Rational voters condition the economic vote on whether incumbents are responsible for economic outcomes, because this is the optimal way to identify and elect competent economic managers under conditions of uncertainty. This model explores how political and economic institutions alter the quality of the signal that the previous economy provides about the competence of candidates. The rational economic voter is also attentive to strategic cues regarding the responsibility of parties for economic outcomes and their electoral competitiveness. Theoretical propositions are derived, linking variation in economic and political institutions to variability in economic voting. The authors demonstrate that there is economic voting, and that it varies significantly across political contexts. The data consist of 165 election studies conducted in 19 different countries over a 20-year time period.


Book Synopsis The Economic Vote by : Raymond M. Duch

Download or read book The Economic Vote written by Raymond M. Duch and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2008-03-17 with total page 359 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book proposes a selection model for explaining cross-national variation in economic voting: Rational voters condition the economic vote on whether incumbents are responsible for economic outcomes, because this is the optimal way to identify and elect competent economic managers under conditions of uncertainty. This model explores how political and economic institutions alter the quality of the signal that the previous economy provides about the competence of candidates. The rational economic voter is also attentive to strategic cues regarding the responsibility of parties for economic outcomes and their electoral competitiveness. Theoretical propositions are derived, linking variation in economic and political institutions to variability in economic voting. The authors demonstrate that there is economic voting, and that it varies significantly across political contexts. The data consist of 165 election studies conducted in 19 different countries over a 20-year time period.

Economic Voting

Economic Voting

Author: Han Dorussen

Publisher: Routledge

Published: 2003-09-02

Total Pages: 342

ISBN-13: 113452370X

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Economic voting is a phenomenon that political scientists and economists can hardly overlook. There is ample evidence for a strong link between economic conditions and government popularity. However, not everything is that simple and this edited collection focuses on 'the comparative puzzle' of economic voting. Economic Voting emphasises the importance of comparative research design and argues that the psychology of the economic voter model needs to be developed further.


Book Synopsis Economic Voting by : Han Dorussen

Download or read book Economic Voting written by Han Dorussen and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2003-09-02 with total page 342 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economic voting is a phenomenon that political scientists and economists can hardly overlook. There is ample evidence for a strong link between economic conditions and government popularity. However, not everything is that simple and this edited collection focuses on 'the comparative puzzle' of economic voting. Economic Voting emphasises the importance of comparative research design and argues that the psychology of the economic voter model needs to be developed further.

The Economy and the Vote

The Economy and the Vote

Author: Wouter van der Brug

Publisher:

Published: 2007

Total Pages: 234

ISBN-13: 9780511278846

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This book estimates he effects of economic conditions on the behaviour of individual voters and on election outcomes.


Book Synopsis The Economy and the Vote by : Wouter van der Brug

Download or read book The Economy and the Vote written by Wouter van der Brug and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 234 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book estimates he effects of economic conditions on the behaviour of individual voters and on election outcomes.

Political Control of the Economy

Political Control of the Economy

Author: Edward R. Tufte

Publisher: Princeton University Press

Published: 2020-10-06

Total Pages: 188

ISBN-13: 0691219419

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Speculations about the effects of politics on economic life have a long and vital tradition, but few efforts have been made to determine the precise relationship between them. Edward Tufte, a political scientist who covered the 1976 Presidential election for Newsweek, seeks to do just that. His sharp analyses and astute observations lead to an eye-opening view of the impact of political life on the national economy of America and other capitalist democracies. The analysis demonstrates how politicians, political parties, and voters decide who gets what, when, and how in the economic arena. A nation's politics, it is argued, shape the most important aspects of economic life--inflation, unemployment, income redistribution, the growth of government, and the extent of central economic control. Both statistical data and case studies (based on interviews and Presidential documents) are brought to bear on four topics. They are: 1) the political manipulation of the economy in election years, 2) the new international electoral-economic cycle, 3) the decisive role of political leaders and parties in shaping macroeconomic outcomes, and 4) the response of the electorate to changing economic conditions. Finally, the book clarifies a central question in political economy: How can national economic policy be conducted in both a democratic and a competent fashion?


Book Synopsis Political Control of the Economy by : Edward R. Tufte

Download or read book Political Control of the Economy written by Edward R. Tufte and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2020-10-06 with total page 188 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Speculations about the effects of politics on economic life have a long and vital tradition, but few efforts have been made to determine the precise relationship between them. Edward Tufte, a political scientist who covered the 1976 Presidential election for Newsweek, seeks to do just that. His sharp analyses and astute observations lead to an eye-opening view of the impact of political life on the national economy of America and other capitalist democracies. The analysis demonstrates how politicians, political parties, and voters decide who gets what, when, and how in the economic arena. A nation's politics, it is argued, shape the most important aspects of economic life--inflation, unemployment, income redistribution, the growth of government, and the extent of central economic control. Both statistical data and case studies (based on interviews and Presidential documents) are brought to bear on four topics. They are: 1) the political manipulation of the economy in election years, 2) the new international electoral-economic cycle, 3) the decisive role of political leaders and parties in shaping macroeconomic outcomes, and 4) the response of the electorate to changing economic conditions. Finally, the book clarifies a central question in political economy: How can national economic policy be conducted in both a democratic and a competent fashion?

The Economic Vote

The Economic Vote

Author: Duch Raymond M Stevenson Randolph T

Publisher:

Published: 2014-05-14

Total Pages: 418

ISBN-13: 9780511388231

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Defining and measuring the economic vote -- Patterns of retrospective economic voting in western democracies -- Estimation, measurement and specification -- Competency signals and rational retrospective economic voting -- What do voters know about economic variation and its sources? -- Political control of the economy -- Responsibility, contention, and the economic vote -- The distribution of responsibility and economic vote -- The pattern of contention and the economic vote.


Book Synopsis The Economic Vote by : Duch Raymond M Stevenson Randolph T

Download or read book The Economic Vote written by Duch Raymond M Stevenson Randolph T and published by . This book was released on 2014-05-14 with total page 418 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Defining and measuring the economic vote -- Patterns of retrospective economic voting in western democracies -- Estimation, measurement and specification -- Competency signals and rational retrospective economic voting -- What do voters know about economic variation and its sources? -- Political control of the economy -- Responsibility, contention, and the economic vote -- The distribution of responsibility and economic vote -- The pattern of contention and the economic vote.

The Oxford Handbook of American Elections and Political Behavior

The Oxford Handbook of American Elections and Political Behavior

Author: Jan E. Leighley

Publisher: Oxford University Press (UK)

Published: 2012-02-16

Total Pages: 796

ISBN-13: 0199604517

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The Oxford Handbooks of American Politics are the essential guide to the study of American political life in the 21st Century. With engaging contributions from the major figures in the field The Oxford Handbook of American Elections and Political Behavior provides the key point of reference for anyone working in American Politics today


Book Synopsis The Oxford Handbook of American Elections and Political Behavior by : Jan E. Leighley

Download or read book The Oxford Handbook of American Elections and Political Behavior written by Jan E. Leighley and published by Oxford University Press (UK). This book was released on 2012-02-16 with total page 796 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Oxford Handbooks of American Politics are the essential guide to the study of American political life in the 21st Century. With engaging contributions from the major figures in the field The Oxford Handbook of American Elections and Political Behavior provides the key point of reference for anyone working in American Politics today

Economics and Elections

Economics and Elections

Author: Michael S. Lewis-Beck

Publisher: University of Michigan Press

Published: 1990

Total Pages: 204

ISBN-13: 9780472081332

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A cross-national study of the effect of economic conditions on voting behavior in the United States and the Western democracies


Book Synopsis Economics and Elections by : Michael S. Lewis-Beck

Download or read book Economics and Elections written by Michael S. Lewis-Beck and published by University of Michigan Press. This book was released on 1990 with total page 204 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A cross-national study of the effect of economic conditions on voting behavior in the United States and the Western democracies

Economic Voting

Economic Voting

Author: Austin Hart

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2016-09-01

Total Pages: 233

ISBN-13: 1316883248

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The conventional wisdom of economic voting theory argues that a nation's economic performance drives electoral outcomes. Therefore, voters will hold an administration accountable for its economic stewardship. Austin Hart challenges the simplicity of this notion, drawing on cognitive-psychological research on priming to demonstrate that the intensity of voters' exposure to economic campaign messages systematically conditions the strength of the economic vote. However, this study goes further than simply saying 'campaigns matter'. Here, we learn that candidates who control the campaign narrative can capitalize on favorable economic conditions or - contrary to the predictions of conventional theory - overcome unfavorable conditions. Although the aim is not to dismiss the importance of structural variables in the study of elections, Hart shows that the choices candidates make about what to say and how often shape election outcomes in ways that cannot be explained by contextual or institutional forces alone.


Book Synopsis Economic Voting by : Austin Hart

Download or read book Economic Voting written by Austin Hart and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2016-09-01 with total page 233 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The conventional wisdom of economic voting theory argues that a nation's economic performance drives electoral outcomes. Therefore, voters will hold an administration accountable for its economic stewardship. Austin Hart challenges the simplicity of this notion, drawing on cognitive-psychological research on priming to demonstrate that the intensity of voters' exposure to economic campaign messages systematically conditions the strength of the economic vote. However, this study goes further than simply saying 'campaigns matter'. Here, we learn that candidates who control the campaign narrative can capitalize on favorable economic conditions or - contrary to the predictions of conventional theory - overcome unfavorable conditions. Although the aim is not to dismiss the importance of structural variables in the study of elections, Hart shows that the choices candidates make about what to say and how often shape election outcomes in ways that cannot be explained by contextual or institutional forces alone.