Global Economic Trends and the Future of Warfare

Global Economic Trends and the Future of Warfare

Author: Howard J. Shatz

Publisher:

Published: 2020

Total Pages: 133

ISBN-13:

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Economic developments, trends, and disputes rarely are the sole cause of wars, but economic conditions can contribute to the risk of war and affect how wars are fought. Medium-term economic trends as of 2018 are raising the risk of war and lowering U.S. ability to win wars decisively, although only modestly. The global trading system is undergoing a period of turbulence, a major competitor-China-is expanding its economic and security reach, and the search for new resources presents a continued uncertainty. At the same time, U.S. and allied economic heft is declining relatively in the world, and with that, U.S. and allied defense industrial bases have consolidated, reducing industry resilience and the ability to replenish arms in times of stress. Furthermore, less economic heft in the world could lessen U.S. ability to attain leverage via sanctions. Despite these trends, the risk that economic conditions or events will spark war by 2030 is small. Nonetheless they add to a background of greater uncertainty of which defense planners need to take account.


Book Synopsis Global Economic Trends and the Future of Warfare by : Howard J. Shatz

Download or read book Global Economic Trends and the Future of Warfare written by Howard J. Shatz and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 133 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economic developments, trends, and disputes rarely are the sole cause of wars, but economic conditions can contribute to the risk of war and affect how wars are fought. Medium-term economic trends as of 2018 are raising the risk of war and lowering U.S. ability to win wars decisively, although only modestly. The global trading system is undergoing a period of turbulence, a major competitor-China-is expanding its economic and security reach, and the search for new resources presents a continued uncertainty. At the same time, U.S. and allied economic heft is declining relatively in the world, and with that, U.S. and allied defense industrial bases have consolidated, reducing industry resilience and the ability to replenish arms in times of stress. Furthermore, less economic heft in the world could lessen U.S. ability to attain leverage via sanctions. Despite these trends, the risk that economic conditions or events will spark war by 2030 is small. Nonetheless they add to a background of greater uncertainty of which defense planners need to take account.

Global Trends 2040

Global Trends 2040

Author: National Intelligence Council

Publisher: Cosimo Reports

Published: 2021-03

Total Pages: 158

ISBN-13: 9781646794973

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"The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.


Book Synopsis Global Trends 2040 by : National Intelligence Council

Download or read book Global Trends 2040 written by National Intelligence Council and published by Cosimo Reports. This book was released on 2021-03 with total page 158 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.

The Future of Warfare in 2030

The Future of Warfare in 2030

Author: Raphael S. Cohen

Publisher:

Published: 2022-03-31

Total Pages: 102

ISBN-13: 9781977402950

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This report is the overview in a series that seeks to answer questions about the future of warfare, including who might be the United States' adversaries and allies, where conflicts will be fought, and how and why they might occur.


Book Synopsis The Future of Warfare in 2030 by : Raphael S. Cohen

Download or read book The Future of Warfare in 2030 written by Raphael S. Cohen and published by . This book was released on 2022-03-31 with total page 102 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report is the overview in a series that seeks to answer questions about the future of warfare, including who might be the United States' adversaries and allies, where conflicts will be fought, and how and why they might occur.

Global Economic Trends and the Future of Warfare

Global Economic Trends and the Future of Warfare

Author: Howard J. Shatz

Publisher:

Published: 2022-04-30

Total Pages: 150

ISBN-13: 9781977402981

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This volume of the Future of Warfare series examines economic trends that could affect U.S. national security, including pressure on the global trading system, the rise of China, searches for new resources, and the decreasing power of U.S. sanctions.


Book Synopsis Global Economic Trends and the Future of Warfare by : Howard J. Shatz

Download or read book Global Economic Trends and the Future of Warfare written by Howard J. Shatz and published by . This book was released on 2022-04-30 with total page 150 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume of the Future of Warfare series examines economic trends that could affect U.S. national security, including pressure on the global trading system, the rise of China, searches for new resources, and the decreasing power of U.S. sanctions.

The Economics of World War I

The Economics of World War I

Author: Stephen Broadberry

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2005-09-29

Total Pages: 363

ISBN-13: 1139448358

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This unique volume offers a definitive new history of European economies at war from 1914 to 1918. It studies how European economies mobilised for war, how existing economic institutions stood up under the strain, how economic development influenced outcomes and how wartime experience influenced post-war economic growth. Leading international experts provide the first systematic comparison of economies at war between 1914 and 1918 based on the best available data for Britain, Germany, France, Russia, the USA, Italy, Turkey, Austria-Hungary and the Netherlands. The editors' overview draws some stark lessons about the role of economic development, the importance of markets and the damage done by nationalism and protectionism. A companion volume to the acclaimed The Economics of World War II, this is a major contribution to our understanding of total war.


Book Synopsis The Economics of World War I by : Stephen Broadberry

Download or read book The Economics of World War I written by Stephen Broadberry and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2005-09-29 with total page 363 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This unique volume offers a definitive new history of European economies at war from 1914 to 1918. It studies how European economies mobilised for war, how existing economic institutions stood up under the strain, how economic development influenced outcomes and how wartime experience influenced post-war economic growth. Leading international experts provide the first systematic comparison of economies at war between 1914 and 1918 based on the best available data for Britain, Germany, France, Russia, the USA, Italy, Turkey, Austria-Hungary and the Netherlands. The editors' overview draws some stark lessons about the role of economic development, the importance of markets and the damage done by nationalism and protectionism. A companion volume to the acclaimed The Economics of World War II, this is a major contribution to our understanding of total war.

Geopolitical Trends and the Future of Warfare

Geopolitical Trends and the Future of Warfare

Author: Raphael S. Cohen

Publisher:

Published: 2022-03-31

Total Pages: 130

ISBN-13: 9781977402967

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This volume of the Future of Warfare series explains six trends--U.S. polarization, China's rise, Asia's realignment, a revanchist Russia, upheaval in Europe, and turmoil in the Islamic world--that will drive conflict between now and 2030.


Book Synopsis Geopolitical Trends and the Future of Warfare by : Raphael S. Cohen

Download or read book Geopolitical Trends and the Future of Warfare written by Raphael S. Cohen and published by . This book was released on 2022-03-31 with total page 130 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume of the Future of Warfare series explains six trends--U.S. polarization, China's rise, Asia's realignment, a revanchist Russia, upheaval in Europe, and turmoil in the Islamic world--that will drive conflict between now and 2030.

The Future of Global Conflict

The Future of Global Conflict

Author: Volker Bornschier

Publisher: SAGE Publications Limited

Published: 1999-07-06

Total Pages: 328

ISBN-13:

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In this critical analysis of long-term trends and recent developments in world systems the contributors' works include comprehensive discussion of the economic, political and military role of the Pacific Rim, former Soviet Union and Japan.


Book Synopsis The Future of Global Conflict by : Volker Bornschier

Download or read book The Future of Global Conflict written by Volker Bornschier and published by SAGE Publications Limited. This book was released on 1999-07-06 with total page 328 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this critical analysis of long-term trends and recent developments in world systems the contributors' works include comprehensive discussion of the economic, political and military role of the Pacific Rim, former Soviet Union and Japan.

Environment, Geography, and the Future of Warfare

Environment, Geography, and the Future of Warfare

Author: Shira Efron

Publisher:

Published: 2020

Total Pages: 84

ISBN-13:

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Climate and geography shape where and why conflicts occur. As part of an effort to characterize the future of warfare in 2030, this report assesses the implications of six key climate and geographical trends: the steady rise of global temperatures, the opening of the Arctic, sea level rise, more-frequent and more-extreme weather events, growing water scarcity, and the development of megacities. The ramifications of each trend are analyzed for how they are likely to affect security in specific areas. Implications for the U.S. Air Force are also considered. While these trends on their own are unlikely to lead to state collapse or interstate conflict, they are nonetheless threat multipliers and are likely to exacerbate existing problems and fuel instability around the world. This suggests that the U.S. military, including the Air Force, will have to deal with continued demand for counterterrorism and stability operations and with increased demand for humanitarian assistance and disaster relief missions in the years to come. These trends could also shape where and how the Air Force trains and operates as bases are affected by extreme temperatures and flooding from sea level rise.


Book Synopsis Environment, Geography, and the Future of Warfare by : Shira Efron

Download or read book Environment, Geography, and the Future of Warfare written by Shira Efron and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 84 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Climate and geography shape where and why conflicts occur. As part of an effort to characterize the future of warfare in 2030, this report assesses the implications of six key climate and geographical trends: the steady rise of global temperatures, the opening of the Arctic, sea level rise, more-frequent and more-extreme weather events, growing water scarcity, and the development of megacities. The ramifications of each trend are analyzed for how they are likely to affect security in specific areas. Implications for the U.S. Air Force are also considered. While these trends on their own are unlikely to lead to state collapse or interstate conflict, they are nonetheless threat multipliers and are likely to exacerbate existing problems and fuel instability around the world. This suggests that the U.S. military, including the Air Force, will have to deal with continued demand for counterterrorism and stability operations and with increased demand for humanitarian assistance and disaster relief missions in the years to come. These trends could also shape where and how the Air Force trains and operates as bases are affected by extreme temperatures and flooding from sea level rise.

The Future of the Global Economy Towards a Long Boom?

The Future of the Global Economy Towards a Long Boom?

Author: OECD

Publisher: OECD Publishing

Published: 1999-12-20

Total Pages: 198

ISBN-13: 926417401X

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This book reviews the forces driving economic and social change in today's world. It asesses the likelihood of a long boom materialising in the first decades of the 21st century and explores the strategic policies essential for making it happen.


Book Synopsis The Future of the Global Economy Towards a Long Boom? by : OECD

Download or read book The Future of the Global Economy Towards a Long Boom? written by OECD and published by OECD Publishing. This book was released on 1999-12-20 with total page 198 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book reviews the forces driving economic and social change in today's world. It asesses the likelihood of a long boom materialising in the first decades of the 21st century and explores the strategic policies essential for making it happen.

Global Trends

Global Trends

Author: National Intelligence Council and Office

Publisher: Createspace Independent Publishing Platform

Published: 2017-02-17

Total Pages: 80

ISBN-13: 9781543054705

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This edition of Global Trends revolves around a core argument about how the changing nature of power is increasing stress both within countries and between countries, and bearing on vexing transnational issues. The main section lays out the key trends, explores their implications, and offers up three scenarios to help readers imagine how different choices and developments could play out in very different ways over the next several decades. Two annexes lay out more detail. The first lays out five-year forecasts for each region of the world. The second provides more context on the key global trends in train.


Book Synopsis Global Trends by : National Intelligence Council and Office

Download or read book Global Trends written by National Intelligence Council and Office and published by Createspace Independent Publishing Platform. This book was released on 2017-02-17 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This edition of Global Trends revolves around a core argument about how the changing nature of power is increasing stress both within countries and between countries, and bearing on vexing transnational issues. The main section lays out the key trends, explores their implications, and offers up three scenarios to help readers imagine how different choices and developments could play out in very different ways over the next several decades. Two annexes lay out more detail. The first lays out five-year forecasts for each region of the world. The second provides more context on the key global trends in train.