Global Liquidity and Drivers of Cross-Border Bank Flows

Global Liquidity and Drivers of Cross-Border Bank Flows

Author: Mr.Eugenio Cerutti

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2014-04-29

Total Pages: 33

ISBN-13: 148436211X

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This paper provides a definition of global liquidity consistent with its meaning as the “ease of financing” in international financial markets. Using a longer time series and broader sample of countries than in previous studies, it identifies global factors driving cross-border bank flows, alongside country-specific factors. It confirms the explanatory power of US financial conditions, with flows decreasing in market volatility (VIX) and term premia, and increasing in bank leverage, growth in domestic credit and M2. A new finding is that similar variables for other systemic countries – the UK and the Euro Area – are also important, sometimes even more so, consistent with the dominant role of European banks in cross-border banking. Furthermore, recipient country characteristics are found to affect not only the level of country-specific flows, but also the cyclical impact of global liquidity, with sensitivities of flows to banks decreasing with stronger macroeconomic frameworks and better bank regulation, but less so for flows to non-financial firms.


Book Synopsis Global Liquidity and Drivers of Cross-Border Bank Flows by : Mr.Eugenio Cerutti

Download or read book Global Liquidity and Drivers of Cross-Border Bank Flows written by Mr.Eugenio Cerutti and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-04-29 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides a definition of global liquidity consistent with its meaning as the “ease of financing” in international financial markets. Using a longer time series and broader sample of countries than in previous studies, it identifies global factors driving cross-border bank flows, alongside country-specific factors. It confirms the explanatory power of US financial conditions, with flows decreasing in market volatility (VIX) and term premia, and increasing in bank leverage, growth in domestic credit and M2. A new finding is that similar variables for other systemic countries – the UK and the Euro Area – are also important, sometimes even more so, consistent with the dominant role of European banks in cross-border banking. Furthermore, recipient country characteristics are found to affect not only the level of country-specific flows, but also the cyclical impact of global liquidity, with sensitivities of flows to banks decreasing with stronger macroeconomic frameworks and better bank regulation, but less so for flows to non-financial firms.

Capital Flows, Cross-Border Banking and Global Liquidity

Capital Flows, Cross-Border Banking and Global Liquidity

Author: Valentina Bruno

Publisher:

Published: 2013

Total Pages:

ISBN-13:

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We investigate global factors associated with cross-border capital flows. We formulate a model of gross capital flows through the international banking system and derive a closed form solution that highlights the leverage cycle of global banks as being a prime determinant of the transmission of financial conditions across borders. We then test the predictions of our model in a panel study of 46 countries and find that global factors dominate local factors as determinants of banking sector capital flows.


Book Synopsis Capital Flows, Cross-Border Banking and Global Liquidity by : Valentina Bruno

Download or read book Capital Flows, Cross-Border Banking and Global Liquidity written by Valentina Bruno and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate global factors associated with cross-border capital flows. We formulate a model of gross capital flows through the international banking system and derive a closed form solution that highlights the leverage cycle of global banks as being a prime determinant of the transmission of financial conditions across borders. We then test the predictions of our model in a panel study of 46 countries and find that global factors dominate local factors as determinants of banking sector capital flows.

Global Liquidity - Issues for Surveillance

Global Liquidity - Issues for Surveillance

Author: International Monetary Fund

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2014-12-03

Total Pages: 63

ISBN-13: 1498343651

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The paper starts by presenting evidence of commonality in global financial conditions. This commonality is then related to specific drivers of global financial conditions through a range of transmission channels, including cross-border banking and portfolio flows. Empirical analysis shows a range of price and quantity factors, including measures of risk, bank leverage, and interest rates in financial centers, to drive in part these flows. Country specific policies, including exchange rate and prudential frameworks, are shown to affect the transmission of global conditions. Much remains unknown though, including how evolving structures of global funding, changing institutions, and ongoing financial innovations affect the mechanics of liquidity creation, the channels of liquidity transmission, and potential risks going forward.


Book Synopsis Global Liquidity - Issues for Surveillance by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Global Liquidity - Issues for Surveillance written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-12-03 with total page 63 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper starts by presenting evidence of commonality in global financial conditions. This commonality is then related to specific drivers of global financial conditions through a range of transmission channels, including cross-border banking and portfolio flows. Empirical analysis shows a range of price and quantity factors, including measures of risk, bank leverage, and interest rates in financial centers, to drive in part these flows. Country specific policies, including exchange rate and prudential frameworks, are shown to affect the transmission of global conditions. Much remains unknown though, including how evolving structures of global funding, changing institutions, and ongoing financial innovations affect the mechanics of liquidity creation, the channels of liquidity transmission, and potential risks going forward.

Cross-border Banking and Global Liquidity

Cross-border Banking and Global Liquidity

Author: Valentina G. Bruno

Publisher:

Published: 2014

Total Pages: 45

ISBN-13:

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"The authors investigate global factors associated with bank capital flows. They formulate a model of the international banking system where global banks interact with local banks. The solution highlights the bank leverage cycle as the determinant of the transmission of financial conditions across borders through banking sector capital flows. A distinctive prediction of the model is that local currency appreciation is associated with higher leverage of the banking sector, thereby providing a conceptual bridge between exchange rates and financial stability. In a panel study of 46 countries, they find support for the key predictions of our model."--Abstract.


Book Synopsis Cross-border Banking and Global Liquidity by : Valentina G. Bruno

Download or read book Cross-border Banking and Global Liquidity written by Valentina G. Bruno and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The authors investigate global factors associated with bank capital flows. They formulate a model of the international banking system where global banks interact with local banks. The solution highlights the bank leverage cycle as the determinant of the transmission of financial conditions across borders through banking sector capital flows. A distinctive prediction of the model is that local currency appreciation is associated with higher leverage of the banking sector, thereby providing a conceptual bridge between exchange rates and financial stability. In a panel study of 46 countries, they find support for the key predictions of our model."--Abstract.

Cross-Border Credit Intermediation and Domestic Liquidity Provision in a Small Open Economy

Cross-Border Credit Intermediation and Domestic Liquidity Provision in a Small Open Economy

Author: Thorvardur T. Olafsson

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2018-09-11

Total Pages: 50

ISBN-13: 1484373359

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This paper develops a small open economy model where global and domestic liquidity is intermediated to the corporate sector through two financial processes. Investment banks intermediate cross-border credit through interlinked debt contracts to entrepreneurs and commercial banks intermediate domestic savings to liquidity constrained final good producers. Both processes are needed to facilitate development of key production inputs. The model captures procyclical investment bank leverage dynamics, global liquidity spillovers, domestic money market pressures, and macrofinancial linkages through which shocks propagate across the two processes, affecting spreads and balance sheets, as well as the real economy through investment and working capital channels.


Book Synopsis Cross-Border Credit Intermediation and Domestic Liquidity Provision in a Small Open Economy by : Thorvardur T. Olafsson

Download or read book Cross-Border Credit Intermediation and Domestic Liquidity Provision in a Small Open Economy written by Thorvardur T. Olafsson and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-09-11 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper develops a small open economy model where global and domestic liquidity is intermediated to the corporate sector through two financial processes. Investment banks intermediate cross-border credit through interlinked debt contracts to entrepreneurs and commercial banks intermediate domestic savings to liquidity constrained final good producers. Both processes are needed to facilitate development of key production inputs. The model captures procyclical investment bank leverage dynamics, global liquidity spillovers, domestic money market pressures, and macrofinancial linkages through which shocks propagate across the two processes, affecting spreads and balance sheets, as well as the real economy through investment and working capital channels.

Understanding Global Liquidity

Understanding Global Liquidity

Author: Sandra Eickmeier

Publisher:

Published: 2013

Total Pages: 42

ISBN-13:

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Book Synopsis Understanding Global Liquidity by : Sandra Eickmeier

Download or read book Understanding Global Liquidity written by Sandra Eickmeier and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Uncertainty and Cross-Border Banking Flows

Uncertainty and Cross-Border Banking Flows

Author: Sangyup Choi

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2018-01-05

Total Pages: 51

ISBN-13: 1484336933

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While global uncertainty—measured by the VIX—has proven to be a robust global “push” factor of international capital flows, there has been no systematic study assessing the role of country-specific uncertainty as a key (pull and push) factor of international capital flows. This paper tries to fill this gap in the literature by examining the effects of country-specific uncertainty shocks on cross-border banking flows using the confidential Bank for International Settlements Locational Banking Statistics data. The dyadic structure of this data allows to disentangle supply and demand factors and to better identify the effect of uncertainty shocks on cross-border banking flows. The results of this analysis suggest that: (i) uncertainty is both a push and pull factor that robustly predicts a decrease in both outflows (retrenchment) and inflows (stops); (ii) global banks rebalance their lending towards safer foreign borrowers from local borrowers when facing higher uncertainty; (iii) this rebalancing occurs only towards advanced economies (flight to quality), but not emerging market economies.


Book Synopsis Uncertainty and Cross-Border Banking Flows by : Sangyup Choi

Download or read book Uncertainty and Cross-Border Banking Flows written by Sangyup Choi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-01-05 with total page 51 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: While global uncertainty—measured by the VIX—has proven to be a robust global “push” factor of international capital flows, there has been no systematic study assessing the role of country-specific uncertainty as a key (pull and push) factor of international capital flows. This paper tries to fill this gap in the literature by examining the effects of country-specific uncertainty shocks on cross-border banking flows using the confidential Bank for International Settlements Locational Banking Statistics data. The dyadic structure of this data allows to disentangle supply and demand factors and to better identify the effect of uncertainty shocks on cross-border banking flows. The results of this analysis suggest that: (i) uncertainty is both a push and pull factor that robustly predicts a decrease in both outflows (retrenchment) and inflows (stops); (ii) global banks rebalance their lending towards safer foreign borrowers from local borrowers when facing higher uncertainty; (iii) this rebalancing occurs only towards advanced economies (flight to quality), but not emerging market economies.

Cross-border Banking and Global Liquidity

Cross-border Banking and Global Liquidity

Author: Valentina Bruno

Publisher:

Published: 2014

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13:

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Book Synopsis Cross-border Banking and Global Liquidity by : Valentina Bruno

Download or read book Cross-border Banking and Global Liquidity written by Valentina Bruno and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Managing Elevated Risk

Managing Elevated Risk

Author: Iwan J. Azis

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2014-12-11

Total Pages: 124

ISBN-13: 9812872841

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This book discusses the risks and opportunities that arise in Emerging Asia given the context of a new environment in global liquidity and capital flows. It elaborates on the need to ensure financial and overall economic stability in the region through improved financial regulation and other policy measures to minimize the emergent risks. "Managing Elevated Risk: Global Liquidity, Capital Flows, and Macroprudential Policy—An Asian Perspective" also explores the range of policy options that may be deployed to address the impact of global liquidity on domestic financial and socio-economic conditions including income inequality. The book is primarily aimed at policy makers, financial market regulators and supervisory agencies to help them improve national regulatory systems and to promote harmonization of national regulations and practices in line with global standards. Scholars and researchers will also gain important information and knowledge about the overall impacts of changing global liquidity from the book.


Book Synopsis Managing Elevated Risk by : Iwan J. Azis

Download or read book Managing Elevated Risk written by Iwan J. Azis and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-12-11 with total page 124 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book discusses the risks and opportunities that arise in Emerging Asia given the context of a new environment in global liquidity and capital flows. It elaborates on the need to ensure financial and overall economic stability in the region through improved financial regulation and other policy measures to minimize the emergent risks. "Managing Elevated Risk: Global Liquidity, Capital Flows, and Macroprudential Policy—An Asian Perspective" also explores the range of policy options that may be deployed to address the impact of global liquidity on domestic financial and socio-economic conditions including income inequality. The book is primarily aimed at policy makers, financial market regulators and supervisory agencies to help them improve national regulatory systems and to promote harmonization of national regulations and practices in line with global standards. Scholars and researchers will also gain important information and knowledge about the overall impacts of changing global liquidity from the book.

US vs. Euro Area: Who Drives Cross-Border Bank Lending to EMs?

US vs. Euro Area: Who Drives Cross-Border Bank Lending to EMs?

Author: Mr.Eugenio M Cerutti

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2019-09-20

Total Pages: 32

ISBN-13: 151351556X

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This paper analyzes the drivers of cross-border bank lending to 49 Emerging Markets (EMs) during the period 1990Q1-2014Q4, by assessing the impact of monetary, financial and real sector shocks in both the US and the euro area. The literature has traditionally highlighted the influence of US monetary policy on driving cross-border bank flows, and more recently the importance of both US and Euro Area (EA) financial/banking sectors’ related variables. Our contribution is the simultaneous analysis of the role of these US and EA drivers, as well as their interactions with real sector shocks. We corroborate the negative impact of US monetary policy tightening on cross-border lending to EMs, but we find that EA monetary policy seems to have an impact mostly on Emerging Europe, reflecting the fact that cross-border lending to most other EM regions is dollar denominated. We also find that real sector shocks in both the US and EA trigger an increase in cross-border lending, but less in EA when modeling the financial sector. Finally, for financial sector shocks, such as those associated with a decrease in bank leverage, our results indicate a broad-based overall contraction of cross-border lending if the shock originates in the US, and heterogenous effects across borrowing regions if the shock originates in the EA.


Book Synopsis US vs. Euro Area: Who Drives Cross-Border Bank Lending to EMs? by : Mr.Eugenio M Cerutti

Download or read book US vs. Euro Area: Who Drives Cross-Border Bank Lending to EMs? written by Mr.Eugenio M Cerutti and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-09-20 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes the drivers of cross-border bank lending to 49 Emerging Markets (EMs) during the period 1990Q1-2014Q4, by assessing the impact of monetary, financial and real sector shocks in both the US and the euro area. The literature has traditionally highlighted the influence of US monetary policy on driving cross-border bank flows, and more recently the importance of both US and Euro Area (EA) financial/banking sectors’ related variables. Our contribution is the simultaneous analysis of the role of these US and EA drivers, as well as their interactions with real sector shocks. We corroborate the negative impact of US monetary policy tightening on cross-border lending to EMs, but we find that EA monetary policy seems to have an impact mostly on Emerging Europe, reflecting the fact that cross-border lending to most other EM regions is dollar denominated. We also find that real sector shocks in both the US and EA trigger an increase in cross-border lending, but less in EA when modeling the financial sector. Finally, for financial sector shocks, such as those associated with a decrease in bank leverage, our results indicate a broad-based overall contraction of cross-border lending if the shock originates in the US, and heterogenous effects across borrowing regions if the shock originates in the EA.