How Behavioral Time Method Explains And Predicts

How Behavioral Time Method Explains And Predicts

Author: Johnny Ch Lok

Publisher:

Published: 2019-05-25

Total Pages: 568

ISBN-13: 9781070214122

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I assume that online shopping consumers won't like to stay to view on any webpage long time. It is possible that they choose to click more web pages to hope to find more different familiar and unfamiliar both brands of products informations in order to make more accurate comparison and evaluation from more different kinds of brands of products in order to make the most accurate online shopping decision. Hence, any brands of products online webpage information will be one time pressure limited sale environment to consumers feel that they need to make the most accurate online purchase decision in short time. Moreover, it seems that if the brand of products which can be showed on the popular product webpage, the it will have much sale chance to let online purchasers familiarize in order to increase sale opportunity more easily.Finally, I shall explain what is the meaning of external time pressure consumption environment is the long time queue waiting consumption environment. I shall explain how to achieve one simplistic queueing system to solve long time queue waiting problem to bring consumers' negative emotion influence to choose to consume the service or buy the product in preference.For entertainment service example, e.g. queueing at the cinema counter to buy one ticket to watch the movie, or queueing at the music hall to buy one ticket to listen the music performance show activities. The audiences' ticket purchase aims to sit down in the cinema or music hall to enjoy to listen and see pretty music performance or watch the attractive movie comfortable within one to two hours entertainment time. If the movie or music performance show is attractive, the cinema or music hall will have many audiences accept to spend long time to queue to buy the ticket. However, if the cinema ot music hall needs audience consumers to queue long time to buy the ticket, e.g. one houe, even more than one houe queueing time to wait to buy the ticket to watch the movie or listen the music performance show. Then, the long time queue waiting problem will be possible to cause a lot audiences number to be reduced, because they feel that they need to spend much time pressure to queue to by the ticket to listen the music performance show or watch the movie. However, of these unacceptable too long queue time audiences can have another/ other cinema(s), music hall(s) to buy the same price, even more low price of movie ticket or music performance show ticket in short time. Then, they must leave the present cinema queue and go to the another cinema or music hall to buy ticket to watch the same movie or listen the same music performance show. So, long time queue is one external time pressure environment to influence consumer's preference choice to the service provider, when they feel it has another service provider does not need them or these audiences need to spend same long time queue time to wait to buy the ticket in order to enjoy the service, e.g. listening music performance show, watching movie.Hence, in a high time pressure queue situation where decision makers, e.g. audiences have less time than needed ( or perceived needed).


Book Synopsis How Behavioral Time Method Explains And Predicts by : Johnny Ch Lok

Download or read book How Behavioral Time Method Explains And Predicts written by Johnny Ch Lok and published by . This book was released on 2019-05-25 with total page 568 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I assume that online shopping consumers won't like to stay to view on any webpage long time. It is possible that they choose to click more web pages to hope to find more different familiar and unfamiliar both brands of products informations in order to make more accurate comparison and evaluation from more different kinds of brands of products in order to make the most accurate online shopping decision. Hence, any brands of products online webpage information will be one time pressure limited sale environment to consumers feel that they need to make the most accurate online purchase decision in short time. Moreover, it seems that if the brand of products which can be showed on the popular product webpage, the it will have much sale chance to let online purchasers familiarize in order to increase sale opportunity more easily.Finally, I shall explain what is the meaning of external time pressure consumption environment is the long time queue waiting consumption environment. I shall explain how to achieve one simplistic queueing system to solve long time queue waiting problem to bring consumers' negative emotion influence to choose to consume the service or buy the product in preference.For entertainment service example, e.g. queueing at the cinema counter to buy one ticket to watch the movie, or queueing at the music hall to buy one ticket to listen the music performance show activities. The audiences' ticket purchase aims to sit down in the cinema or music hall to enjoy to listen and see pretty music performance or watch the attractive movie comfortable within one to two hours entertainment time. If the movie or music performance show is attractive, the cinema or music hall will have many audiences accept to spend long time to queue to buy the ticket. However, if the cinema ot music hall needs audience consumers to queue long time to buy the ticket, e.g. one houe, even more than one houe queueing time to wait to buy the ticket to watch the movie or listen the music performance show. Then, the long time queue waiting problem will be possible to cause a lot audiences number to be reduced, because they feel that they need to spend much time pressure to queue to by the ticket to listen the music performance show or watch the movie. However, of these unacceptable too long queue time audiences can have another/ other cinema(s), music hall(s) to buy the same price, even more low price of movie ticket or music performance show ticket in short time. Then, they must leave the present cinema queue and go to the another cinema or music hall to buy ticket to watch the same movie or listen the same music performance show. So, long time queue is one external time pressure environment to influence consumer's preference choice to the service provider, when they feel it has another service provider does not need them or these audiences need to spend same long time queue time to wait to buy the ticket in order to enjoy the service, e.g. listening music performance show, watching movie.Hence, in a high time pressure queue situation where decision makers, e.g. audiences have less time than needed ( or perceived needed).

HOW BEHAVIORAL ECONOMIC METHOD EXPLAINS AND PREDICTS

HOW BEHAVIORAL ECONOMIC METHOD EXPLAINS AND PREDICTS

Author: JOHNNY. LOK

Publisher:

Published: 2019

Total Pages:

ISBN-13: 9781097438396

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Book Synopsis HOW BEHAVIORAL ECONOMIC METHOD EXPLAINS AND PREDICTS by : JOHNNY. LOK

Download or read book HOW BEHAVIORAL ECONOMIC METHOD EXPLAINS AND PREDICTS written by JOHNNY. LOK and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

How Behavioral Time Method Explains And Predicts

How Behavioral Time Method Explains And Predicts

Author: Johnny Ch Lok

Publisher: Independently Published

Published: 2019-05-22

Total Pages: 568

ISBN-13: 9781099731686

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These two universities presidents' fundraising responsibilities were creation and communication of a vision for their universities. Thus, they should temper whose ideas and goals to match the overall fundraising potential of their universities. The fund donors wanted to know about their presidents' vision and their universities; strategic direction along with the resources their universities needed to get.


Book Synopsis How Behavioral Time Method Explains And Predicts by : Johnny Ch Lok

Download or read book How Behavioral Time Method Explains And Predicts written by Johnny Ch Lok and published by Independently Published. This book was released on 2019-05-22 with total page 568 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: These two universities presidents' fundraising responsibilities were creation and communication of a vision for their universities. Thus, they should temper whose ideas and goals to match the overall fundraising potential of their universities. The fund donors wanted to know about their presidents' vision and their universities; strategic direction along with the resources their universities needed to get.

HowBehavioral Time Method Explains And Predicts

HowBehavioral Time Method Explains And Predicts

Author: Johnny Ch Lok

Publisher:

Published: 2019-05-26

Total Pages: 568

ISBN-13: 9781070339030

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I shall explain why travelling exhibition show/fair can play an important role in travelling consumer perceived quality and travelling country destination choice decision making to influence travelling visitors feel time limited pressure. However, perceived value has been show to be a value has been shown to be a value of perceived quality and perceived sacrifice to cause travelling visitors feel more interesting to choose to travel the country when they can view the attractive beautiful scence photos in the travelling exhibition show/fair.A successful travelling exhibition show/fair can bring time limited process increases, the travelling visitors pay more attention to key travelling destination features and positive travelling information from the scene photos and travelling destinations introduction. So, the country's attractive travelling destinations scene photos and clear travelling introduction to different destinations information will be important message to let the different countries' travelling visitors to know when they spend a limited time to enter the travelling exhibition show/fair to view the different scene photos . If the travelling visitor feel very satisfied to the country's travelling exhibition show/fair. Then, this travelling exhibition excite whom travelling interest to choose to go to the country to travell in short time, when the travelling visitors are influenced to feel the country has many beautiful destinations where they feel have travelling interest in the limited time pressure travelling exhibition show/fair environment. If the travelling exhibition show/fair needs they to pay enter fee and it has only two hours or less time to premit to stay in the travelling exhibition show/fair.Hence, if the time pressure limited travelling exhibition show/fair can let the travelling visitors feel attractive and enjoyable view feeling when they look every the country's any scene beautiful photos and indication how to the different travelling destinations and explains why the country's travelling places are value travelling destinations to let the exhibition visitors to know, when they do not know or discover these any one of value travelling places in the country before. Then, this limited time staying travelling exhibition show/fair will bring positive time pressure to influence some travelling visitors feel interesting to visit the country's inknown or undiscovery travelling destinations in short time. So, all attractive travelling exhibition shows/fairs are one external environment time limited positive pressure factor to excite some travelling visitors' travelling desires in short time in possible.


Book Synopsis HowBehavioral Time Method Explains And Predicts by : Johnny Ch Lok

Download or read book HowBehavioral Time Method Explains And Predicts written by Johnny Ch Lok and published by . This book was released on 2019-05-26 with total page 568 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I shall explain why travelling exhibition show/fair can play an important role in travelling consumer perceived quality and travelling country destination choice decision making to influence travelling visitors feel time limited pressure. However, perceived value has been show to be a value has been shown to be a value of perceived quality and perceived sacrifice to cause travelling visitors feel more interesting to choose to travel the country when they can view the attractive beautiful scence photos in the travelling exhibition show/fair.A successful travelling exhibition show/fair can bring time limited process increases, the travelling visitors pay more attention to key travelling destination features and positive travelling information from the scene photos and travelling destinations introduction. So, the country's attractive travelling destinations scene photos and clear travelling introduction to different destinations information will be important message to let the different countries' travelling visitors to know when they spend a limited time to enter the travelling exhibition show/fair to view the different scene photos . If the travelling visitor feel very satisfied to the country's travelling exhibition show/fair. Then, this travelling exhibition excite whom travelling interest to choose to go to the country to travell in short time, when the travelling visitors are influenced to feel the country has many beautiful destinations where they feel have travelling interest in the limited time pressure travelling exhibition show/fair environment. If the travelling exhibition show/fair needs they to pay enter fee and it has only two hours or less time to premit to stay in the travelling exhibition show/fair.Hence, if the time pressure limited travelling exhibition show/fair can let the travelling visitors feel attractive and enjoyable view feeling when they look every the country's any scene beautiful photos and indication how to the different travelling destinations and explains why the country's travelling places are value travelling destinations to let the exhibition visitors to know, when they do not know or discover these any one of value travelling places in the country before. Then, this limited time staying travelling exhibition show/fair will bring positive time pressure to influence some travelling visitors feel interesting to visit the country's inknown or undiscovery travelling destinations in short time. So, all attractive travelling exhibition shows/fairs are one external environment time limited positive pressure factor to excite some travelling visitors' travelling desires in short time in possible.

Understanding Behavior in the Context of Time

Understanding Behavior in the Context of Time

Author: Alan Strathman

Publisher: Psychology Press

Published: 2006-04-21

Total Pages: 410

ISBN-13: 1135611815

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Understanding Behavior in the Context of Time reviews the research on temporal orientation and brings together the disparate social behaviors influenced by time perspective. Organized into four sections, each chapter includes theory, research, applications, and directions for future research. Some chapters outline novel theoretical approaches that help to expand and/or integrate existing theories. The second part focuses on individual level processes and reviews the conceptualization, measurement, and lifespan development of time orientation; the outcomes associated with various time orientations; and how temporal factors influence attitudes and persuasion. Part three explores the role of time within interpersonal and group level processes as applied to such areas as close relationships, group cooperation, aggression, organizational behavior, pro-environmental behavior, and cultural issues. This book will be of interest to social and personality psychologists, and the book's applied emphasis will appeal to health, environmental, and industrial psychologists.


Book Synopsis Understanding Behavior in the Context of Time by : Alan Strathman

Download or read book Understanding Behavior in the Context of Time written by Alan Strathman and published by Psychology Press. This book was released on 2006-04-21 with total page 410 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Understanding Behavior in the Context of Time reviews the research on temporal orientation and brings together the disparate social behaviors influenced by time perspective. Organized into four sections, each chapter includes theory, research, applications, and directions for future research. Some chapters outline novel theoretical approaches that help to expand and/or integrate existing theories. The second part focuses on individual level processes and reviews the conceptualization, measurement, and lifespan development of time orientation; the outcomes associated with various time orientations; and how temporal factors influence attitudes and persuasion. Part three explores the role of time within interpersonal and group level processes as applied to such areas as close relationships, group cooperation, aggression, organizational behavior, pro-environmental behavior, and cultural issues. This book will be of interest to social and personality psychologists, and the book's applied emphasis will appeal to health, environmental, and industrial psychologists.

Consumer And Organizational Time Psychology

Consumer And Organizational Time Psychology

Author: Johnny Ch Lok

Publisher:

Published: 2019-07-18

Total Pages: 524

ISBN-13: 9781081252311

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Whether can apply behavioral economic method to raise productivity, service performance in organizations and predict consumer individual emotion in consumption market. I write this book aims to explain whether behavioral economy methods can be attempted to solve how to raise productivities challenge in organizational situations as well as how to predict consumption behaviors challenges. This book divides two parts. Part one, I explain what behavioral economy mean and what behavioral economic methods can be applied to predict consumer emotions and raise staff productivities behaviors.In part one, chapter one I shall explain how to apply behavioral economic method to predict normal basic income consumption client group's habitual spending behavior as well as how to apply behavioral economic method to predict how labor market changing behavior and predict when labor market changes will occur in order to solve shortage of labor or job supply shortage challenges, I shall explain how can apply behavioral economy method raises basic stable income consumer consumption desire, I shall explain behavioral economy method to explain what is the mean of basic stable income consumption great of small amount desire, how to apply life-cycle advertisement method to predict of consumer behavior, and explain how to apply behavioral economy method to raise electricity consumption from electricity user individual habit.In part one, chapter two, I shall explain how to apply behavioral economic method to build consumer confidence is as a predictor of consumption spending. I shall also explain what confidence in consumption survey means and I shall apply behavioral economy method to explain how and why to apply survey to gather data in consumption market. It can measure how much degree of confidence of overall clients to the brand of product or service as well as how to build consumer confidence to buy the brand of product or consume the brand of service as well as I shall also explain what a confidence indicator means and how to apply confidence indicator to predict how many potential consumers will choose to buy the brand of product or consume the brand of service. I shall explain how to apply behavioral economy methods to influence employee individual psychology to achieve to raise productivity of long term incentive invention. I shall apply behavioral economy method to explain why increasing salary is short term incentive productivity method, how to improve the design of incentive structures to encourage productivities organizations, how to build employees and managers kindly co-operational relationship method, explain whether bonus method can encourage service performance to be raised as well as how to apply behavioral economy method to explain how to predict human motivation natural behaviors. I shall apply behavioral economic method to explain that why under-level productive efficiency is not represent low production number to the manufacturer as well as low-consumption desire is not represent less consumer demands or customers lose confidence to the product.In part two, I shall indicate some large organization cases how to apply behavioral economy methods to predict consumer behaviors and solve consumer desire challenges as well as how to apply behavioral economic methods to raise staff productivities.On part three, This first part explains how and why time pressure will influence marketing behavior. I shall indicate some service and product case to explain what the time pressure consumption environment can influence consumer decision making. I also indicate some large international organizations to explain how and why consumers will feel time pressure to influence their consumption behaviors. This second part explains how and why time pressure will influence employees feel that they need learn how to change their working behavior in order to adapt their working pressure environment.


Book Synopsis Consumer And Organizational Time Psychology by : Johnny Ch Lok

Download or read book Consumer And Organizational Time Psychology written by Johnny Ch Lok and published by . This book was released on 2019-07-18 with total page 524 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Whether can apply behavioral economic method to raise productivity, service performance in organizations and predict consumer individual emotion in consumption market. I write this book aims to explain whether behavioral economy methods can be attempted to solve how to raise productivities challenge in organizational situations as well as how to predict consumption behaviors challenges. This book divides two parts. Part one, I explain what behavioral economy mean and what behavioral economic methods can be applied to predict consumer emotions and raise staff productivities behaviors.In part one, chapter one I shall explain how to apply behavioral economic method to predict normal basic income consumption client group's habitual spending behavior as well as how to apply behavioral economic method to predict how labor market changing behavior and predict when labor market changes will occur in order to solve shortage of labor or job supply shortage challenges, I shall explain how can apply behavioral economy method raises basic stable income consumer consumption desire, I shall explain behavioral economy method to explain what is the mean of basic stable income consumption great of small amount desire, how to apply life-cycle advertisement method to predict of consumer behavior, and explain how to apply behavioral economy method to raise electricity consumption from electricity user individual habit.In part one, chapter two, I shall explain how to apply behavioral economic method to build consumer confidence is as a predictor of consumption spending. I shall also explain what confidence in consumption survey means and I shall apply behavioral economy method to explain how and why to apply survey to gather data in consumption market. It can measure how much degree of confidence of overall clients to the brand of product or service as well as how to build consumer confidence to buy the brand of product or consume the brand of service as well as I shall also explain what a confidence indicator means and how to apply confidence indicator to predict how many potential consumers will choose to buy the brand of product or consume the brand of service. I shall explain how to apply behavioral economy methods to influence employee individual psychology to achieve to raise productivity of long term incentive invention. I shall apply behavioral economy method to explain why increasing salary is short term incentive productivity method, how to improve the design of incentive structures to encourage productivities organizations, how to build employees and managers kindly co-operational relationship method, explain whether bonus method can encourage service performance to be raised as well as how to apply behavioral economy method to explain how to predict human motivation natural behaviors. I shall apply behavioral economic method to explain that why under-level productive efficiency is not represent low production number to the manufacturer as well as low-consumption desire is not represent less consumer demands or customers lose confidence to the product.In part two, I shall indicate some large organization cases how to apply behavioral economy methods to predict consumer behaviors and solve consumer desire challenges as well as how to apply behavioral economic methods to raise staff productivities.On part three, This first part explains how and why time pressure will influence marketing behavior. I shall indicate some service and product case to explain what the time pressure consumption environment can influence consumer decision making. I also indicate some large international organizations to explain how and why consumers will feel time pressure to influence their consumption behaviors. This second part explains how and why time pressure will influence employees feel that they need learn how to change their working behavior in order to adapt their working pressure environment.

Conscious Mind, Resonant Brain

Conscious Mind, Resonant Brain

Author: Stephen Grossberg

Publisher: Oxford University Press

Published: 2021-05-28

Total Pages: 640

ISBN-13: 0190070579

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How does your mind work? How does your brain give rise to your mind? These are questions that all of us have wondered about at some point in our lives, if only because everything that we know is experienced in our minds. They are also very hard questions to answer. After all, how can a mind understand itself? How can you understand something as complex as the tool that is being used to understand it? This book provides an introductory and self-contained description of some of the exciting answers to these questions that modern theories of mind and brain have recently proposed. Stephen Grossberg is broadly acknowledged to be the most important pioneer and current research leader who has, for the past 50 years, modelled how brains give rise to minds, notably how neural circuits in multiple brain regions interact together to generate psychological functions. This research has led to a unified understanding of how, where, and why our brains can consciously see, hear, feel, and know about the world, and effectively plan and act within it. The work embodies revolutionary Principia of Mind that clarify how autonomous adaptive intelligence is achieved. It provides mechanistic explanations of multiple mental disorders, including symptoms of Alzheimer's disease, autism, amnesia, and sleep disorders; biological bases of morality and religion, including why our brains are biased towards the good so that values are not purely relative; perplexing aspects of the human condition, including why many decisions are irrational and self-defeating despite evolution's selection of adaptive behaviors; and solutions to large-scale problems in machine learning, technology, and Artificial Intelligence that provide a blueprint for autonomously intelligent algorithms and robots. Because brains embody a universal developmental code, unifying insights also emerge about shared laws that are found in all living cellular tissues, from the most primitive to the most advanced, notably how the laws governing networks of interacting cells support developmental and learning processes in all species. The fundamental brain design principles of complementarity, uncertainty, and resonance that Grossberg has discovered also reflect laws of the physical world with which our brains ceaselessly interact, and which enable our brains to incrementally learn to understand those laws, thereby enabling humans to understand the world scientifically. Accessibly written, and lavishly illustrated, Conscious Mind/Resonant Brain is the magnum opus of one of the most influential scientists of the past 50 years, and will appeal to a broad readership across the sciences and humanities.


Book Synopsis Conscious Mind, Resonant Brain by : Stephen Grossberg

Download or read book Conscious Mind, Resonant Brain written by Stephen Grossberg and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2021-05-28 with total page 640 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How does your mind work? How does your brain give rise to your mind? These are questions that all of us have wondered about at some point in our lives, if only because everything that we know is experienced in our minds. They are also very hard questions to answer. After all, how can a mind understand itself? How can you understand something as complex as the tool that is being used to understand it? This book provides an introductory and self-contained description of some of the exciting answers to these questions that modern theories of mind and brain have recently proposed. Stephen Grossberg is broadly acknowledged to be the most important pioneer and current research leader who has, for the past 50 years, modelled how brains give rise to minds, notably how neural circuits in multiple brain regions interact together to generate psychological functions. This research has led to a unified understanding of how, where, and why our brains can consciously see, hear, feel, and know about the world, and effectively plan and act within it. The work embodies revolutionary Principia of Mind that clarify how autonomous adaptive intelligence is achieved. It provides mechanistic explanations of multiple mental disorders, including symptoms of Alzheimer's disease, autism, amnesia, and sleep disorders; biological bases of morality and religion, including why our brains are biased towards the good so that values are not purely relative; perplexing aspects of the human condition, including why many decisions are irrational and self-defeating despite evolution's selection of adaptive behaviors; and solutions to large-scale problems in machine learning, technology, and Artificial Intelligence that provide a blueprint for autonomously intelligent algorithms and robots. Because brains embody a universal developmental code, unifying insights also emerge about shared laws that are found in all living cellular tissues, from the most primitive to the most advanced, notably how the laws governing networks of interacting cells support developmental and learning processes in all species. The fundamental brain design principles of complementarity, uncertainty, and resonance that Grossberg has discovered also reflect laws of the physical world with which our brains ceaselessly interact, and which enable our brains to incrementally learn to understand those laws, thereby enabling humans to understand the world scientifically. Accessibly written, and lavishly illustrated, Conscious Mind/Resonant Brain is the magnum opus of one of the most influential scientists of the past 50 years, and will appeal to a broad readership across the sciences and humanities.

The Lockwood Analytical Method for Prediction (LAMP)

The Lockwood Analytical Method for Prediction (LAMP)

Author: Jonathan S. Lockwood

Publisher: Bloomsbury Publishing USA

Published: 2013-09-12

Total Pages: 282

ISBN-13: 1623568617

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The Lockwood Analytical Method for Prediction (LAMP) is a systematic technique for predicting short-term, unique behaviors. Using primarily qualitative empirical data, LAMP allows the analyst to predict the most likely outcomes for specific research questions across a wide range of intelligence problems, such as cyber threats in the U.S., the possibility of an Al Qaeda attack, the likelihood of Iran providing nuclear capability to terrorist groups, or the future actions of the Mexican drug cartel. LAMP offers an innovative and powerful method for organizing all available information based on the perceptions of the national actors, using it to make relevant predictions as to which alternate future is most likely to occur at a given moment in time. Its transparent structure enables anyone to see how an analyst gets from point A to point B to produce an intelligence estimate. LAMP differs from other analytical techniques in that it is based on determining the relative probability of a range of alternate futures, rather than attempting to determine the quantitative probability of their occurrence. After explaining its theoretical framework, the text leads the reader through the process of predictive analysis before providing practical case studies showing how LAMP is applied against real world problems, such as the possible responses of Israel, the U.S., and Lebanon to the behavior of Hezbollah or the competing visions of the future of Afghanistan. Evaluation of the method is provided with the case studies to show the effectiveness of the LAMP predictions over time. The book is complemented by a website with downloadable software for use by students of intelligence in conducting their own predictive analysis. It will be an essential tool for the analyst and the student, not only for national security issues but also for competitive intelligence.


Book Synopsis The Lockwood Analytical Method for Prediction (LAMP) by : Jonathan S. Lockwood

Download or read book The Lockwood Analytical Method for Prediction (LAMP) written by Jonathan S. Lockwood and published by Bloomsbury Publishing USA. This book was released on 2013-09-12 with total page 282 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Lockwood Analytical Method for Prediction (LAMP) is a systematic technique for predicting short-term, unique behaviors. Using primarily qualitative empirical data, LAMP allows the analyst to predict the most likely outcomes for specific research questions across a wide range of intelligence problems, such as cyber threats in the U.S., the possibility of an Al Qaeda attack, the likelihood of Iran providing nuclear capability to terrorist groups, or the future actions of the Mexican drug cartel. LAMP offers an innovative and powerful method for organizing all available information based on the perceptions of the national actors, using it to make relevant predictions as to which alternate future is most likely to occur at a given moment in time. Its transparent structure enables anyone to see how an analyst gets from point A to point B to produce an intelligence estimate. LAMP differs from other analytical techniques in that it is based on determining the relative probability of a range of alternate futures, rather than attempting to determine the quantitative probability of their occurrence. After explaining its theoretical framework, the text leads the reader through the process of predictive analysis before providing practical case studies showing how LAMP is applied against real world problems, such as the possible responses of Israel, the U.S., and Lebanon to the behavior of Hezbollah or the competing visions of the future of Afghanistan. Evaluation of the method is provided with the case studies to show the effectiveness of the LAMP predictions over time. The book is complemented by a website with downloadable software for use by students of intelligence in conducting their own predictive analysis. It will be an essential tool for the analyst and the student, not only for national security issues but also for competitive intelligence.

Predicting and Changing Behavior

Predicting and Changing Behavior

Author: Martin Fishbein

Publisher: Psychology Press

Published: 2011-02-14

Total Pages: 628

ISBN-13: 1136874720

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This book describes the reasoned action approach, an integrative framework for the prediction and change of human social behavior. It provides an up-to-date review of relevant research, discusses critical issues related to the reasoned action framework, and provides methodological and conceptual tools for the prediction and explanation of social behavior and for designing behavior change interventions.


Book Synopsis Predicting and Changing Behavior by : Martin Fishbein

Download or read book Predicting and Changing Behavior written by Martin Fishbein and published by Psychology Press. This book was released on 2011-02-14 with total page 628 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book describes the reasoned action approach, an integrative framework for the prediction and change of human social behavior. It provides an up-to-date review of relevant research, discusses critical issues related to the reasoned action framework, and provides methodological and conceptual tools for the prediction and explanation of social behavior and for designing behavior change interventions.

Organization Change

Organization Change

Author: W. Warner Burke

Publisher: SAGE Publications

Published: 2023-04-04

Total Pages: 309

ISBN-13: 1071870718

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Change is a constant in today′s organizations. Leaders, managers, and employees must understand how to implement planned change and handle unexpected change. The Sixth Edition of Organization Change: Theory and Practice provides an eye-opening exploration into the nature of change by presenting the latest evidence-based research to discuss a range of theories, models, and perspectives on organizational change. Bestselling author, W. Warner Burke, skillfully connects theory to practice with modern cases of effective and ineffective organizational change, recent examples of transformational leadership and planned and revolutionary change, and best practices to successfully influence change. The fully-updated sixth edition includes a new chapter on current evidence about organization change, including reviews of prescriptive models of planned change, evidence-based principles of change management, the role of an organization′s history as part of the change process, and leaders′ impact on organizational change.


Book Synopsis Organization Change by : W. Warner Burke

Download or read book Organization Change written by W. Warner Burke and published by SAGE Publications. This book was released on 2023-04-04 with total page 309 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Change is a constant in today′s organizations. Leaders, managers, and employees must understand how to implement planned change and handle unexpected change. The Sixth Edition of Organization Change: Theory and Practice provides an eye-opening exploration into the nature of change by presenting the latest evidence-based research to discuss a range of theories, models, and perspectives on organizational change. Bestselling author, W. Warner Burke, skillfully connects theory to practice with modern cases of effective and ineffective organizational change, recent examples of transformational leadership and planned and revolutionary change, and best practices to successfully influence change. The fully-updated sixth edition includes a new chapter on current evidence about organization change, including reviews of prescriptive models of planned change, evidence-based principles of change management, the role of an organization′s history as part of the change process, and leaders′ impact on organizational change.