IMF Staff papers, Volume 45 No. 3

IMF Staff papers, Volume 45 No. 3

Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 1998-01-01

Total Pages: 168

ISBN-13: 1451973608

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This paper presents international evidence on the determinants of trade dynamics. It provides some new empirical perspectives on the relationship between international trade and macroeconomic fluctuations in industrial economies. A comprehensive set of stylized facts concerning fluctuations in trade variables and their determinants is presented. A measure of the quantitative importance of international trade for the propagation of domestic business cycles is then constructed, focusing on the role of external trade as a catalyst for cyclical recoveries.


Book Synopsis IMF Staff papers, Volume 45 No. 3 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book IMF Staff papers, Volume 45 No. 3 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-01-01 with total page 168 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents international evidence on the determinants of trade dynamics. It provides some new empirical perspectives on the relationship between international trade and macroeconomic fluctuations in industrial economies. A comprehensive set of stylized facts concerning fluctuations in trade variables and their determinants is presented. A measure of the quantitative importance of international trade for the propagation of domestic business cycles is then constructed, focusing on the role of external trade as a catalyst for cyclical recoveries.

IMF Staff papers, Volume 45 No. 2

IMF Staff papers, Volume 45 No. 2

Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 1998-01-01

Total Pages: 204

ISBN-13: 1451974167

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This paper analyzes contagion and volatility with imperfect credit markets. The paper interprets contagion effects as an increase in the volatility of shocks impinging on the economy. The implications of this approach are analyzed in a model in which domestic banks borrow at a premium on world capital markets, and domestic producers borrow at a premium from domestic banks. Financial spreads depend on a markup that compensates lenders, in particular, for the expected cost of contract enforcement. Higher volatility increases financial spreads and the producers’ cost of capital.


Book Synopsis IMF Staff papers, Volume 45 No. 2 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book IMF Staff papers, Volume 45 No. 2 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-01-01 with total page 204 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes contagion and volatility with imperfect credit markets. The paper interprets contagion effects as an increase in the volatility of shocks impinging on the economy. The implications of this approach are analyzed in a model in which domestic banks borrow at a premium on world capital markets, and domestic producers borrow at a premium from domestic banks. Financial spreads depend on a markup that compensates lenders, in particular, for the expected cost of contract enforcement. Higher volatility increases financial spreads and the producers’ cost of capital.

IMF Staff papers, Volume 45 No. 1

IMF Staff papers, Volume 45 No. 1

Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 1998-01-01

Total Pages: 216

ISBN-13: 1451974515

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This paper analyzes some leading indicators of currency crises, and proposes a specific early warning system. This system involves monitoring the evolution of several indicators that tend to exhibit an unusual behavior in the periods preceding a crisis. When an indicator exceeds a certain threshold value, this is interpreted as a warning “signal” that a currency crisis may take place. The variables that have the best track record within this approach include exports, deviations of the real exchange rate from trend, and the ratio of broad money to gross international reserves, output, and equity prices.


Book Synopsis IMF Staff papers, Volume 45 No. 1 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book IMF Staff papers, Volume 45 No. 1 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-01-01 with total page 216 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes some leading indicators of currency crises, and proposes a specific early warning system. This system involves monitoring the evolution of several indicators that tend to exhibit an unusual behavior in the periods preceding a crisis. When an indicator exceeds a certain threshold value, this is interpreted as a warning “signal” that a currency crisis may take place. The variables that have the best track record within this approach include exports, deviations of the real exchange rate from trend, and the ratio of broad money to gross international reserves, output, and equity prices.

IMF Staff papers, Volume 45 No. 4

IMF Staff papers, Volume 45 No. 4

Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 1998-01-01

Total Pages: 180

ISBN-13: 1451972776

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This paper describes the issue of corruption around the world. The paper surveys and discusses issues related to the causes, consequences, and scope of corruption, and possible corrective actions. It emphasizes the costs of corruption in terms of economic growth. It also emphasizes that the fight against corruption may not be cheap and cannot be independent from the reform of the state. If certain reforms are not made, corruption is likely to continue to be a problem regardless of actions directly aimed at curtailing it.


Book Synopsis IMF Staff papers, Volume 45 No. 4 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book IMF Staff papers, Volume 45 No. 4 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-01-01 with total page 180 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper describes the issue of corruption around the world. The paper surveys and discusses issues related to the causes, consequences, and scope of corruption, and possible corrective actions. It emphasizes the costs of corruption in terms of economic growth. It also emphasizes that the fight against corruption may not be cheap and cannot be independent from the reform of the state. If certain reforms are not made, corruption is likely to continue to be a problem regardless of actions directly aimed at curtailing it.

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 52, No. 3

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 52, No. 3

Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2005-12-22

Total Pages: 193

ISBN-13: 1589064755

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This last issue for 2005 comprises seven new papers, including a contribution to the journal's occasional Special Data Section about domestic debt markets in Sub-Saharan Africa, and also an in-depth look at the internal job market for entry-level economists at the IMF. The remaining articles cover toics as diverse as: modeling of asset markets, exchange rates in developing countries, international bank claims on Latin America, the effectiveness of "early warning" systems, and the use (by emerging market countries) of the IMF's Special Data Dissemination Standard (SDDS).


Book Synopsis IMF Staff Papers, Volume 52, No. 3 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book IMF Staff Papers, Volume 52, No. 3 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2005-12-22 with total page 193 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This last issue for 2005 comprises seven new papers, including a contribution to the journal's occasional Special Data Section about domestic debt markets in Sub-Saharan Africa, and also an in-depth look at the internal job market for entry-level economists at the IMF. The remaining articles cover toics as diverse as: modeling of asset markets, exchange rates in developing countries, international bank claims on Latin America, the effectiveness of "early warning" systems, and the use (by emerging market countries) of the IMF's Special Data Dissemination Standard (SDDS).

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 49, No. 3

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 49, No. 3

Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2002-09-23

Total Pages: 260

ISBN-13: 9781589061224

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This paper empirically investigates the monetary impact of banking crises in Chile, Colombia, Denmark, Japan, Kenya, Malaysia, and Uruguay during 1975–98. Cointegration analysis and error correction modeling are used to research two issues: (i) whether money demand stability is threatened by banking crises; and (ii) whether crises lead to structural breaks in the relation between monetary indicators and prices. Overall, no systematic evidence that banking crises cause money demand instability is found. The paper also analyzes inflation targeting in the context of the IMF-supported adjustment programs.


Book Synopsis IMF Staff Papers, Volume 49, No. 3 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book IMF Staff Papers, Volume 49, No. 3 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2002-09-23 with total page 260 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper empirically investigates the monetary impact of banking crises in Chile, Colombia, Denmark, Japan, Kenya, Malaysia, and Uruguay during 1975–98. Cointegration analysis and error correction modeling are used to research two issues: (i) whether money demand stability is threatened by banking crises; and (ii) whether crises lead to structural breaks in the relation between monetary indicators and prices. Overall, no systematic evidence that banking crises cause money demand instability is found. The paper also analyzes inflation targeting in the context of the IMF-supported adjustment programs.

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 56, No. 3

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 56, No. 3

Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2009-07-31

Total Pages: 248

ISBN-13: 1589068203

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Studies of the impact of trade openness on growth are based either on crosscountry analysis—which lacks transparency—or case studies—which lack statistical rigor. This paper applies a transparent econometric method drawn from the treatment evaluation literature (matching estimators) to make the comparison between treated (that is, open) and control (that is, closed) countries explicit while remaining within a statistical framework. Matching estimators highlight that common cross-country evidence is based on rather far-fetched country comparisons, which stem from the lack of common support of treated and control countries in the covariate space. The paper therefore advocates paying more attention to appropriate sample restriction in crosscountry macro research.


Book Synopsis IMF Staff Papers, Volume 56, No. 3 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book IMF Staff Papers, Volume 56, No. 3 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-07-31 with total page 248 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Studies of the impact of trade openness on growth are based either on crosscountry analysis—which lacks transparency—or case studies—which lack statistical rigor. This paper applies a transparent econometric method drawn from the treatment evaluation literature (matching estimators) to make the comparison between treated (that is, open) and control (that is, closed) countries explicit while remaining within a statistical framework. Matching estimators highlight that common cross-country evidence is based on rather far-fetched country comparisons, which stem from the lack of common support of treated and control countries in the covariate space. The paper therefore advocates paying more attention to appropriate sample restriction in crosscountry macro research.

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 53, No. 3

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 53, No. 3

Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2006-12-15

Total Pages: 183

ISBN-13: 1589065816

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This is the final issue for 2006 (Volume 53), and contains another paper in the occasional Special Data Section that seeks to measure financial development in the Middle East and North Africa by utilizing a new database. The issue also contains a comment from Jacques J. Polak on parity reversion in real exchange rates.


Book Synopsis IMF Staff Papers, Volume 53, No. 3 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book IMF Staff Papers, Volume 53, No. 3 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-12-15 with total page 183 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the final issue for 2006 (Volume 53), and contains another paper in the occasional Special Data Section that seeks to measure financial development in the Middle East and North Africa by utilizing a new database. The issue also contains a comment from Jacques J. Polak on parity reversion in real exchange rates.

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 47, No. 3

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 47, No. 3

Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2001-10-10

Total Pages: 140

ISBN-13: 1451973748

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This paper provides an overview of the recent theoretical and empirical research on herd behavior in financial markets. It looks at what precisely is meant by herding, the causes of herd behavior, the success of existing studies in identifying the phenomenon, and the effect that herding has on financial markets. The paper also surveys a selected number of studies that evaluated the demand for money using the error-correction model approach in the 1990s across a range of industrial and developing countries.


Book Synopsis IMF Staff Papers, Volume 47, No. 3 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book IMF Staff Papers, Volume 47, No. 3 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2001-10-10 with total page 140 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides an overview of the recent theoretical and empirical research on herd behavior in financial markets. It looks at what precisely is meant by herding, the causes of herd behavior, the success of existing studies in identifying the phenomenon, and the effect that herding has on financial markets. The paper also surveys a selected number of studies that evaluated the demand for money using the error-correction model approach in the 1990s across a range of industrial and developing countries.

IMF Staff papers, Volume 46 No. 3

IMF Staff papers, Volume 46 No. 3

Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 1999-01-01

Total Pages: 104

ISBN-13: 1451973683

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This paper examines determinants and leading indicators of banking crises. The paper examines episodes of banking system distress and crisis in a large sample of countries to identify which macroeconomic and financial variables can be useful leading indicators. The best warning signs of the recent Asian crises were proxies for the vulnerability of the banking and corporate sector. Full-blown banking crises are shown to be associated more with external developments, and domestic variables are the main leading indicators of severe but contained banking distress.


Book Synopsis IMF Staff papers, Volume 46 No. 3 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book IMF Staff papers, Volume 46 No. 3 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1999-01-01 with total page 104 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines determinants and leading indicators of banking crises. The paper examines episodes of banking system distress and crisis in a large sample of countries to identify which macroeconomic and financial variables can be useful leading indicators. The best warning signs of the recent Asian crises were proxies for the vulnerability of the banking and corporate sector. Full-blown banking crises are shown to be associated more with external developments, and domestic variables are the main leading indicators of severe but contained banking distress.