Leaning Against the Wind and the Timing of Monetary Policy

Leaning Against the Wind and the Timing of Monetary Policy

Author: Mr.Itai Agur

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2013-04-03

Total Pages: 29

ISBN-13: 1484394577

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If monetary policy is to aim also at financial stability, how would it change? To analyze this question, this paper develops a general-form framework. Financial stability objectives are shown to make monetary policy more aggressive: in reaction to negative shocks, cuts are deeper but shorter-lived than otherwise. By keeping cuts brief, monetary policy tightens as soon as bank risk appetite heats up. Within this shorter time span, cuts must then be deeper than otherwise to also achieve standard objectives. Finally, we analyze how robust this result is to the presence of a bank regulatory tool, and provide a parameterized example.


Book Synopsis Leaning Against the Wind and the Timing of Monetary Policy by : Mr.Itai Agur

Download or read book Leaning Against the Wind and the Timing of Monetary Policy written by Mr.Itai Agur and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-04-03 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: If monetary policy is to aim also at financial stability, how would it change? To analyze this question, this paper develops a general-form framework. Financial stability objectives are shown to make monetary policy more aggressive: in reaction to negative shocks, cuts are deeper but shorter-lived than otherwise. By keeping cuts brief, monetary policy tightens as soon as bank risk appetite heats up. Within this shorter time span, cuts must then be deeper than otherwise to also achieve standard objectives. Finally, we analyze how robust this result is to the presence of a bank regulatory tool, and provide a parameterized example.

"Leaning Against the Wind" and the Timing of Monetary Policy

Author: Itai Agur

Publisher:

Published: 2011

Total Pages: 13

ISBN-13:

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Book Synopsis "Leaning Against the Wind" and the Timing of Monetary Policy by : Itai Agur

Download or read book "Leaning Against the Wind" and the Timing of Monetary Policy written by Itai Agur and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 13 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Leaning Against the Wind: A Cost-Benefit Analysis for an Integrated Policy Framework

Leaning Against the Wind: A Cost-Benefit Analysis for an Integrated Policy Framework

Author: Mr.Luis Brandao-Marques

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2020-07-07

Total Pages: 59

ISBN-13: 1513549650

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This paper takes a new approach to assess the costs and benefits of using different policy tools—macroprudential, monetary, foreign exchange interventions, and capital flow management—in response to changes in financial conditions. The approach evaluates net benefits of policies using quadratic loss functions, estimating policy effects on the full distribution of future output growth and inflation with quantile regressions. Tightening macroprudential policy dampens downside risks to growth stemming from loose financial conditions, and is beneficial in net terms. By contrast, tightening monetary policy entails net losses, calling for caution in the use of monetary policy to “lean against the wind.” These findings hold when policies are used in response to easing global financial conditions. Buying foreign-exchange or tightening capital controls has small net benefits.


Book Synopsis Leaning Against the Wind: A Cost-Benefit Analysis for an Integrated Policy Framework by : Mr.Luis Brandao-Marques

Download or read book Leaning Against the Wind: A Cost-Benefit Analysis for an Integrated Policy Framework written by Mr.Luis Brandao-Marques and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-07-07 with total page 59 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper takes a new approach to assess the costs and benefits of using different policy tools—macroprudential, monetary, foreign exchange interventions, and capital flow management—in response to changes in financial conditions. The approach evaluates net benefits of policies using quadratic loss functions, estimating policy effects on the full distribution of future output growth and inflation with quantile regressions. Tightening macroprudential policy dampens downside risks to growth stemming from loose financial conditions, and is beneficial in net terms. By contrast, tightening monetary policy entails net losses, calling for caution in the use of monetary policy to “lean against the wind.” These findings hold when policies are used in response to easing global financial conditions. Buying foreign-exchange or tightening capital controls has small net benefits.

Leaning Against the Wind and the Timing of Monetary Policy

Leaning Against the Wind and the Timing of Monetary Policy

Author: Mr.Itai Agur

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2013-04-03

Total Pages: 29

ISBN-13: 1484378385

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If monetary policy is to aim also at financial stability, how would it change? To analyze this question, this paper develops a general-form framework. Financial stability objectives are shown to make monetary policy more aggressive: in reaction to negative shocks, cuts are deeper but shorter-lived than otherwise. By keeping cuts brief, monetary policy tightens as soon as bank risk appetite heats up. Within this shorter time span, cuts must then be deeper than otherwise to also achieve standard objectives. Finally, we analyze how robust this result is to the presence of a bank regulatory tool, and provide a parameterized example.


Book Synopsis Leaning Against the Wind and the Timing of Monetary Policy by : Mr.Itai Agur

Download or read book Leaning Against the Wind and the Timing of Monetary Policy written by Mr.Itai Agur and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-04-03 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: If monetary policy is to aim also at financial stability, how would it change? To analyze this question, this paper develops a general-form framework. Financial stability objectives are shown to make monetary policy more aggressive: in reaction to negative shocks, cuts are deeper but shorter-lived than otherwise. By keeping cuts brief, monetary policy tightens as soon as bank risk appetite heats up. Within this shorter time span, cuts must then be deeper than otherwise to also achieve standard objectives. Finally, we analyze how robust this result is to the presence of a bank regulatory tool, and provide a parameterized example.

Cost-Benefit Analysis of Leaning Against the Wind

Cost-Benefit Analysis of Leaning Against the Wind

Author: Mr.Lars E. O. Svensson

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2016-01-11

Total Pages: 76

ISBN-13: 1498310737

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“Leaning against the wind” (LAW) with a higher monetary policy interest rate may have benefits in terms of lower real debt growth and associated lower probability of a financial crisis but has costs in terms of higher unemployment and lower inflation, importantly including a higher cost of a crisis when the economy is weaker. For existing empirical estimates, costs exceed benefits by a substantial margin, even if monetary policy is nonneutral and permanently affects real debt. Somewhat surprisingly, less effective macroprudential policy and generally a credit boom, with resulting higher probability, severity, or duration of a crisis, increases costs of LAW more than benefits, thus further strengthening the strong case against LAW.


Book Synopsis Cost-Benefit Analysis of Leaning Against the Wind by : Mr.Lars E. O. Svensson

Download or read book Cost-Benefit Analysis of Leaning Against the Wind written by Mr.Lars E. O. Svensson and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-01-11 with total page 76 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: “Leaning against the wind” (LAW) with a higher monetary policy interest rate may have benefits in terms of lower real debt growth and associated lower probability of a financial crisis but has costs in terms of higher unemployment and lower inflation, importantly including a higher cost of a crisis when the economy is weaker. For existing empirical estimates, costs exceed benefits by a substantial margin, even if monetary policy is nonneutral and permanently affects real debt. Somewhat surprisingly, less effective macroprudential policy and generally a credit boom, with resulting higher probability, severity, or duration of a crisis, increases costs of LAW more than benefits, thus further strengthening the strong case against LAW.

Monetary Policy Rules

Monetary Policy Rules

Author: John B. Taylor

Publisher: University of Chicago Press

Published: 2007-12-01

Total Pages: 460

ISBN-13: 0226791262

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This timely volume presents the latest thinking on the monetary policy rules and seeks to determine just what types of rules and policy guidelines function best. A unique cooperative research effort that allowed contributors to evaluate different policy rules using their own specific approaches, this collection presents their striking findings on the potential response of interest rates to an array of variables, including alterations in the rates of inflation, unemployment, and exchange. Monetary Policy Rules illustrates that simple policy rules are more robust and more efficient than complex rules with multiple variables. A state-of-the-art appraisal of the fundamental issues facing the Federal Reserve Board and other central banks, Monetary Policy Rules is essential reading for economic analysts and policymakers alike.


Book Synopsis Monetary Policy Rules by : John B. Taylor

Download or read book Monetary Policy Rules written by John B. Taylor and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-12-01 with total page 460 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This timely volume presents the latest thinking on the monetary policy rules and seeks to determine just what types of rules and policy guidelines function best. A unique cooperative research effort that allowed contributors to evaluate different policy rules using their own specific approaches, this collection presents their striking findings on the potential response of interest rates to an array of variables, including alterations in the rates of inflation, unemployment, and exchange. Monetary Policy Rules illustrates that simple policy rules are more robust and more efficient than complex rules with multiple variables. A state-of-the-art appraisal of the fundamental issues facing the Federal Reserve Board and other central banks, Monetary Policy Rules is essential reading for economic analysts and policymakers alike.

Leaning Against the Wind

Leaning Against the Wind

Author: Ms.Longmei Zhang

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2014-02-06

Total Pages: 37

ISBN-13: 1475572476

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In recent years, macroprudential policy has become an increasingly active policy area. Many countries have adopted it as a tool to safeguard financial stability, in particular to deal with the credit and asset price cycles driven by global capital flows. This paper reviews the use of key macroprudential instruments and capital flow measures in 13 Asian economies and 33 economies in other regions since 2000, and constructs various macroprudential policy indices, aggregating sub-indices on key instruments. Asian economies appear to have made greater use of macroprudential tools, especially housing-related measures, than their counterparts in other regions. The effects of macroprudential policy are then assessed through an event study, cross-country macro panel regressions and bank-level micro panel regressions. The analysis suggests that macroprudential policy and capital flow measures have helped curb housing price growth, equity flows, credit growth, and bank leverage. The instruments that have been particularly effective in this regard include loan-to-value ratio caps, housing tax measures, and foreign currency-related measures.


Book Synopsis Leaning Against the Wind by : Ms.Longmei Zhang

Download or read book Leaning Against the Wind written by Ms.Longmei Zhang and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-02-06 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In recent years, macroprudential policy has become an increasingly active policy area. Many countries have adopted it as a tool to safeguard financial stability, in particular to deal with the credit and asset price cycles driven by global capital flows. This paper reviews the use of key macroprudential instruments and capital flow measures in 13 Asian economies and 33 economies in other regions since 2000, and constructs various macroprudential policy indices, aggregating sub-indices on key instruments. Asian economies appear to have made greater use of macroprudential tools, especially housing-related measures, than their counterparts in other regions. The effects of macroprudential policy are then assessed through an event study, cross-country macro panel regressions and bank-level micro panel regressions. The analysis suggests that macroprudential policy and capital flow measures have helped curb housing price growth, equity flows, credit growth, and bank leverage. The instruments that have been particularly effective in this regard include loan-to-value ratio caps, housing tax measures, and foreign currency-related measures.

Leaning Against the Wind

Leaning Against the Wind

Author: Paula A. Tosini

Publisher: Princeton, N.J. : International Finance Section, Department of Economics, Princeton University

Published: 1977

Total Pages: 44

ISBN-13:

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Book Synopsis Leaning Against the Wind by : Paula A. Tosini

Download or read book Leaning Against the Wind written by Paula A. Tosini and published by Princeton, N.J. : International Finance Section, Department of Economics, Princeton University. This book was released on 1977 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Will Macroprudential Policy Counteract Monetary Policy’s Effects on Financial Stability?

Will Macroprudential Policy Counteract Monetary Policy’s Effects on Financial Stability?

Author: Mr.Itai Agur

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2015-12-29

Total Pages: 23

ISBN-13: 1513545337

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How does monetary policy impact upon macroprudential regulation? This paper models monetary policy's transmission to bank risk taking, and its interaction with a regulator's optimization problem. The regulator uses its macroprudential tool, a leverage ratio, to maintain financial stability, while taking account of the impact on credit provision. A change in the monetary policy rate tilts the regulator's entire trade-off. We show that the regulator allows interest rate changes to partly "pass through" to bank soundness by not neutralizing the risk-taking channel of monetary policy. Thus, monetary policy affects financial stability, even in the presence of macroprudential regulation.


Book Synopsis Will Macroprudential Policy Counteract Monetary Policy’s Effects on Financial Stability? by : Mr.Itai Agur

Download or read book Will Macroprudential Policy Counteract Monetary Policy’s Effects on Financial Stability? written by Mr.Itai Agur and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-12-29 with total page 23 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How does monetary policy impact upon macroprudential regulation? This paper models monetary policy's transmission to bank risk taking, and its interaction with a regulator's optimization problem. The regulator uses its macroprudential tool, a leverage ratio, to maintain financial stability, while taking account of the impact on credit provision. A change in the monetary policy rate tilts the regulator's entire trade-off. We show that the regulator allows interest rate changes to partly "pass through" to bank soundness by not neutralizing the risk-taking channel of monetary policy. Thus, monetary policy affects financial stability, even in the presence of macroprudential regulation.

Macroprudential Banking Supervision & Monetary Policy

Macroprudential Banking Supervision & Monetary Policy

Author: Luca Amorello

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2018-08-27

Total Pages: 408

ISBN-13: 3319941569

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The European experience suggests that the efforts made to achieve an efficient trade-off between monetary policy and prudential supervision ultimately failed. The severity of the global crisis have pushed central banks to explore innovative tools—within or beyond their statutory constraints—capable of restoring the smooth functioning of the financial cycle, including setting macroprudential policy instruments in the regulatory toolkit. But macroprudential and monetary policies, by sharing multiple transmission channels, may interact—and conflict—with each other. Such conflicts may represent not only an economic challenge in the pursuit of price and financial stability, but also a legal uncertainty characterizing the regulatory developments of the EU macroprudential and monetary frameworks. In analyzing the “legal interaction” between the two frameworks in the EU, this book seeks to provide evidence of the inconsistencies associated with the structural separation of macroprudential and monetary frameworks, shedding light upon the legal instruments that could reconcile any potential policy inconsistency.


Book Synopsis Macroprudential Banking Supervision & Monetary Policy by : Luca Amorello

Download or read book Macroprudential Banking Supervision & Monetary Policy written by Luca Amorello and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-08-27 with total page 408 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The European experience suggests that the efforts made to achieve an efficient trade-off between monetary policy and prudential supervision ultimately failed. The severity of the global crisis have pushed central banks to explore innovative tools—within or beyond their statutory constraints—capable of restoring the smooth functioning of the financial cycle, including setting macroprudential policy instruments in the regulatory toolkit. But macroprudential and monetary policies, by sharing multiple transmission channels, may interact—and conflict—with each other. Such conflicts may represent not only an economic challenge in the pursuit of price and financial stability, but also a legal uncertainty characterizing the regulatory developments of the EU macroprudential and monetary frameworks. In analyzing the “legal interaction” between the two frameworks in the EU, this book seeks to provide evidence of the inconsistencies associated with the structural separation of macroprudential and monetary frameworks, shedding light upon the legal instruments that could reconcile any potential policy inconsistency.