Macroeconomic Stability in Resource-Rich Countries

Macroeconomic Stability in Resource-Rich Countries

Author: Ms.Elva Bova

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2016-02-23

Total Pages: 28

ISBN-13: 149837722X

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Resource-rich countries face large and persistent shocks, especially coming from volatile commodity prices. Given the severity of the shocks, it would be expected that these countries adopt countercyclical fiscal policies to help shield the domestic economy. Taking advantage of a new dataset covering 48 non-renewable commodity exporters for the period 1970-2014, we investigate whether fiscal policy does indeed play a stabilizing role. Our analysis shows that fiscal policy tends to have a procyclical bias (mainly via expenditures) and, contrary to others, we do not find evidence that this bias has declined in recent years. Adoption of fiscal rules does not seem to reduce procyclicality in a significant way, but the quality of political institutions does matter. Finally, non-commodity revenues tend to respond only to persistent changes in commodity prices.


Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Stability in Resource-Rich Countries by : Ms.Elva Bova

Download or read book Macroeconomic Stability in Resource-Rich Countries written by Ms.Elva Bova and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-02-23 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Resource-rich countries face large and persistent shocks, especially coming from volatile commodity prices. Given the severity of the shocks, it would be expected that these countries adopt countercyclical fiscal policies to help shield the domestic economy. Taking advantage of a new dataset covering 48 non-renewable commodity exporters for the period 1970-2014, we investigate whether fiscal policy does indeed play a stabilizing role. Our analysis shows that fiscal policy tends to have a procyclical bias (mainly via expenditures) and, contrary to others, we do not find evidence that this bias has declined in recent years. Adoption of fiscal rules does not seem to reduce procyclicality in a significant way, but the quality of political institutions does matter. Finally, non-commodity revenues tend to respond only to persistent changes in commodity prices.


Macroeconomic Stability in Resource-rich Countries

Macroeconomic Stability in Resource-rich Countries

Author: Elva Bova

Publisher:

Published: 2016

Total Pages:

ISBN-13: 9781498377508

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Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Stability in Resource-rich Countries by : Elva Bova

Download or read book Macroeconomic Stability in Resource-rich Countries written by Elva Bova and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:


Macroeconomic Policy Frameworks for Resource-Rich Developing Countries - Background Paper 1

Macroeconomic Policy Frameworks for Resource-Rich Developing Countries - Background Paper 1

Author: International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2012-08-24

Total Pages: 75

ISBN-13: 1498339980

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This paper provides deeper insights on a few themes with regard to the experience with macroeconomic management in resource-rich developing countries (RRDCs). First, some stylized facts on the performance of these economies relative to their non-resource peers are provided. Second, the experience of Fund engagement in these economies with respect to surveillance, programs, and technical assistance is assessed. Third, the experience of selected countries with good practices in the management of the natural resource wealth is presented. Fourth, the experience of IMF advice in helping RRDCs set up resource funds is discussed. Finally, the main themes and messages from the IMF staff consultation with external stakeholders (CSOs, policy makers, academics) are presented.


Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Policy Frameworks for Resource-Rich Developing Countries - Background Paper 1 by : International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department

Download or read book Macroeconomic Policy Frameworks for Resource-Rich Developing Countries - Background Paper 1 written by International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-08-24 with total page 75 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides deeper insights on a few themes with regard to the experience with macroeconomic management in resource-rich developing countries (RRDCs). First, some stylized facts on the performance of these economies relative to their non-resource peers are provided. Second, the experience of Fund engagement in these economies with respect to surveillance, programs, and technical assistance is assessed. Third, the experience of selected countries with good practices in the management of the natural resource wealth is presented. Fourth, the experience of IMF advice in helping RRDCs set up resource funds is discussed. Finally, the main themes and messages from the IMF staff consultation with external stakeholders (CSOs, policy makers, academics) are presented.


Natural Resources, Volatility, and Inclusive Growth

Natural Resources, Volatility, and Inclusive Growth

Author: Mr.Rabah Arezki

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2012-05-01

Total Pages: 49

ISBN-13: 1475553625

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This paper takes stock of the economic performance of resource rich countries in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) over the past forty years. While those countries have maintained high levels of income per capita, they have performed poorly when going beyond the assessment based on standard income level measures. Resource rich countries in MENA have experienced relatively low and non inclusive economic growth as well as high levels of macroeconomic volatility. Important improvements in health and education have taken place but the quality of the provision of public goods and services remains an important source of concerns. Looking forward we argue that the success of economic reforms in MENA rests on the ability of those countries to invest boldly in building inclusive institutions as well as high levels of human capacity in public administrations.


Book Synopsis Natural Resources, Volatility, and Inclusive Growth by : Mr.Rabah Arezki

Download or read book Natural Resources, Volatility, and Inclusive Growth written by Mr.Rabah Arezki and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-05-01 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper takes stock of the economic performance of resource rich countries in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) over the past forty years. While those countries have maintained high levels of income per capita, they have performed poorly when going beyond the assessment based on standard income level measures. Resource rich countries in MENA have experienced relatively low and non inclusive economic growth as well as high levels of macroeconomic volatility. Important improvements in health and education have taken place but the quality of the provision of public goods and services remains an important source of concerns. Looking forward we argue that the success of economic reforms in MENA rests on the ability of those countries to invest boldly in building inclusive institutions as well as high levels of human capacity in public administrations.


Institutions and Macroeconomic Policies in Resource-Rich Arab Economies

Institutions and Macroeconomic Policies in Resource-Rich Arab Economies

Author: Kamiar Mohaddes

Publisher: Oxford University Press

Published: 2019-05-22

Total Pages: 400

ISBN-13: 0192555383

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For over eighty years the Arab region has been deriving massive wealth from its natural resources. Nevertheless, its economic performance has been at the mercy of ebbs and flows of oil prices and its resources have been slowly depleting. The two critical questions are why and how Arab countries might escape the oil curse. Institutions and Macroeconomic Policies in Resource-Rich Arab Economies focuses on the unique features of the Arab world to explain the disappointing outcomes of macroeconomic policy. It explores the interaction between oil and institutions to draw policy recommendations on how Arab countries can best exploit their oil revenues to avoid the resource curse. Case studies and contributions from experts provide an understanding of macroeconomic institutions (including their underlying rules, procedures and institutional arrangements) in oil-rich Arab economies and of their political economy environment, which has largely been overlooked in previous research. Institutions and Macroeconomic Policies in Resource-Rich Arab Economies offers novel macroeconomic policy propositions for exchange rate regimes, fiscal policy and oil wealth distribution that is more consistent with macroeconomic stability and fiscal sustainability. These policy reforms, if implemented successfully, could go a long way in helping the resource-rich countries of the Arab region and elsewhere to avoid the oil curse.


Book Synopsis Institutions and Macroeconomic Policies in Resource-Rich Arab Economies by : Kamiar Mohaddes

Download or read book Institutions and Macroeconomic Policies in Resource-Rich Arab Economies written by Kamiar Mohaddes and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2019-05-22 with total page 400 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: For over eighty years the Arab region has been deriving massive wealth from its natural resources. Nevertheless, its economic performance has been at the mercy of ebbs and flows of oil prices and its resources have been slowly depleting. The two critical questions are why and how Arab countries might escape the oil curse. Institutions and Macroeconomic Policies in Resource-Rich Arab Economies focuses on the unique features of the Arab world to explain the disappointing outcomes of macroeconomic policy. It explores the interaction between oil and institutions to draw policy recommendations on how Arab countries can best exploit their oil revenues to avoid the resource curse. Case studies and contributions from experts provide an understanding of macroeconomic institutions (including their underlying rules, procedures and institutional arrangements) in oil-rich Arab economies and of their political economy environment, which has largely been overlooked in previous research. Institutions and Macroeconomic Policies in Resource-Rich Arab Economies offers novel macroeconomic policy propositions for exchange rate regimes, fiscal policy and oil wealth distribution that is more consistent with macroeconomic stability and fiscal sustainability. These policy reforms, if implemented successfully, could go a long way in helping the resource-rich countries of the Arab region and elsewhere to avoid the oil curse.


From Volatility to Stability in Expenditure

From Volatility to Stability in Expenditure

Author: Naotaka Sugawara

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2014-03-12

Total Pages: 49

ISBN-13: 1484334566

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This paper examines the effect of stabilization funds on the volatility of government expenditure in resource-rich countries. Using a panel data set of 68 resource-rich countries over 1988–2012, the results find that the existence of stabilization funds contributes to smoothing government expenditure. The spending volatility in countries that have established such funds is found to be 13 percent lower in the main estimation, and similar impacts are found in robustness tests. The analysis also shows that political institutions and fiscal rules are significant factors in reducing the expenditure volatility, while highlighting the roles of the size of economy, diversified exports, real sector management, and financial markets.


Book Synopsis From Volatility to Stability in Expenditure by : Naotaka Sugawara

Download or read book From Volatility to Stability in Expenditure written by Naotaka Sugawara and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-03-12 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the effect of stabilization funds on the volatility of government expenditure in resource-rich countries. Using a panel data set of 68 resource-rich countries over 1988–2012, the results find that the existence of stabilization funds contributes to smoothing government expenditure. The spending volatility in countries that have established such funds is found to be 13 percent lower in the main estimation, and similar impacts are found in robustness tests. The analysis also shows that political institutions and fiscal rules are significant factors in reducing the expenditure volatility, while highlighting the roles of the size of economy, diversified exports, real sector management, and financial markets.


Resource Windfalls, Macroeconomic Stability and Growth

Resource Windfalls, Macroeconomic Stability and Growth

Author: Mr.Rabah Arezki

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2011-06-01

Total Pages: 27

ISBN-13: 1455266434

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We use a new dataset on non-resource GDP to examine the performance of commodity-exporting countries in terms of macroeconomic stability and economic growth in a panel of up to 129 countries during the period 1970-2007. Our main findings are threefold. First, we find that overall government spending in commodity-exporting countries has been procyclical. Second, we find that resource windfalls initially crowd out non-resource GDP which then increases as a result of the fiscal expansion. Third, we find that in the long run resource windfalls have negative effects on non-resource sector GDP growth. Yet, the effects turn out to be statistically insignificant when controlling for government spending. Both the effects of resource windfalls on macroeconomic stability and economic growth are moderated by the quality of political institutions.


Book Synopsis Resource Windfalls, Macroeconomic Stability and Growth by : Mr.Rabah Arezki

Download or read book Resource Windfalls, Macroeconomic Stability and Growth written by Mr.Rabah Arezki and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-06-01 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We use a new dataset on non-resource GDP to examine the performance of commodity-exporting countries in terms of macroeconomic stability and economic growth in a panel of up to 129 countries during the period 1970-2007. Our main findings are threefold. First, we find that overall government spending in commodity-exporting countries has been procyclical. Second, we find that resource windfalls initially crowd out non-resource GDP which then increases as a result of the fiscal expansion. Third, we find that in the long run resource windfalls have negative effects on non-resource sector GDP growth. Yet, the effects turn out to be statistically insignificant when controlling for government spending. Both the effects of resource windfalls on macroeconomic stability and economic growth are moderated by the quality of political institutions.


Fiscal Management in Resource-Rich Countries

Fiscal Management in Resource-Rich Countries

Author: Rolando Ossowski

Publisher: World Bank Publications

Published: 2016-06-28

Total Pages: 164

ISBN-13: 1464804966

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The extractive industries (EI) sector occupies an outsize space in the economies of many developing countries. Policy makers, economists, and public finance professionals working in such countries are frequently confronted with issues that require an in-depth understanding of the sector, its economics, governance, and policy challenges, as well as the implications of natural resource wealth for fiscal and public financial management. The objective of the two-volume Essentials for Economists, Public Finance Professionals, and Policy Makers, published in the World Bank Studies series, is to provide a concise overview of the EI-related topics these professionals are likely to encounter. This second volume, Fiscal Management in Resource-Rich Countries, addresses critical fiscal challenges typically associated with large revenue flows from the EI sector. The volume discusses fiscal policy across four related dimensions: short-run stabilization, the management of fiscal risks and vulnerabilities, the promotion of long-term sustainability, and the importance of good public financial management and public investment management systems. The volume subsequently examines several institutional mechanisms used to aid fiscal management, including medium-term expenditure frameworks, resource funds, fiscal rules, and fiscal councils. The volume also discusses the earmarking of revenue, resource revenue projections as applied to the government budget, and fiscal transparency, and outlines several fiscal indicators used to assess the fiscal stance of resource-rich countries. The authors hope that economists, public finance professionals, and policy makers working in resource-rich countries—including decision makers in ministries of finance, international organizations, and other relevant entities—will find the volume useful to their understanding and analysis of fiscal management in resource-rich countries.


Book Synopsis Fiscal Management in Resource-Rich Countries by : Rolando Ossowski

Download or read book Fiscal Management in Resource-Rich Countries written by Rolando Ossowski and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2016-06-28 with total page 164 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The extractive industries (EI) sector occupies an outsize space in the economies of many developing countries. Policy makers, economists, and public finance professionals working in such countries are frequently confronted with issues that require an in-depth understanding of the sector, its economics, governance, and policy challenges, as well as the implications of natural resource wealth for fiscal and public financial management. The objective of the two-volume Essentials for Economists, Public Finance Professionals, and Policy Makers, published in the World Bank Studies series, is to provide a concise overview of the EI-related topics these professionals are likely to encounter. This second volume, Fiscal Management in Resource-Rich Countries, addresses critical fiscal challenges typically associated with large revenue flows from the EI sector. The volume discusses fiscal policy across four related dimensions: short-run stabilization, the management of fiscal risks and vulnerabilities, the promotion of long-term sustainability, and the importance of good public financial management and public investment management systems. The volume subsequently examines several institutional mechanisms used to aid fiscal management, including medium-term expenditure frameworks, resource funds, fiscal rules, and fiscal councils. The volume also discusses the earmarking of revenue, resource revenue projections as applied to the government budget, and fiscal transparency, and outlines several fiscal indicators used to assess the fiscal stance of resource-rich countries. The authors hope that economists, public finance professionals, and policy makers working in resource-rich countries—including decision makers in ministries of finance, international organizations, and other relevant entities—will find the volume useful to their understanding and analysis of fiscal management in resource-rich countries.


Macroeconomic Policy Frameworks for Resource-Rich Developing Countries--Analytic Frameworks and Applications

Macroeconomic Policy Frameworks for Resource-Rich Developing Countries--Analytic Frameworks and Applications

Author: International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2012-08-24

Total Pages: 104

ISBN-13: 1498340008

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This supplement presents the analytical frameworks underlying the IMF’s staff’s enhanced policy analysis and advice to resource-rich developing countries (RRDCs). The proposed macro-fiscal models, which are applied to selected country or regional cases, are aimed at addressing questions regarding how to deal with resource revenue uncertainty and how to scale up spending within relevant frameworks that ensure fiscal and external sustainability while addressing absorptive capacity constraints. The country applications confirm the importance attached by both IMF staff and country authorities of using the appropriate macro-fiscal frameworks to address the specific challenges faced by RRDCs.


Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Policy Frameworks for Resource-Rich Developing Countries--Analytic Frameworks and Applications by : International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department

Download or read book Macroeconomic Policy Frameworks for Resource-Rich Developing Countries--Analytic Frameworks and Applications written by International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-08-24 with total page 104 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This supplement presents the analytical frameworks underlying the IMF’s staff’s enhanced policy analysis and advice to resource-rich developing countries (RRDCs). The proposed macro-fiscal models, which are applied to selected country or regional cases, are aimed at addressing questions regarding how to deal with resource revenue uncertainty and how to scale up spending within relevant frameworks that ensure fiscal and external sustainability while addressing absorptive capacity constraints. The country applications confirm the importance attached by both IMF staff and country authorities of using the appropriate macro-fiscal frameworks to address the specific challenges faced by RRDCs.


Fiscal Frameworks for Resource Rich Developing Countries

Fiscal Frameworks for Resource Rich Developing Countries

Author: Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2012-05-16

Total Pages: 29

ISBN-13: 1475572085

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Staff Discussion Notes showcase the latest policy-related analysis and research being developed by individual IMF staff and are published to elicit comment and to further debate. These papers are generally brief and written in nontechnical language, and so are aimed at a broad audience interested in economic policy issues. This Web-only series replaced Staff Position Notes in January 2011.


Book Synopsis Fiscal Frameworks for Resource Rich Developing Countries by : Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro

Download or read book Fiscal Frameworks for Resource Rich Developing Countries written by Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-05-16 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Staff Discussion Notes showcase the latest policy-related analysis and research being developed by individual IMF staff and are published to elicit comment and to further debate. These papers are generally brief and written in nontechnical language, and so are aimed at a broad audience interested in economic policy issues. This Web-only series replaced Staff Position Notes in January 2011.