Microsimulation as a Tool for the Evaluation of Public Policies

Microsimulation as a Tool for the Evaluation of Public Policies

Author: Amedeo Spadaro

Publisher: Fundacion BBVA

Published: 2007

Total Pages: 359

ISBN-13: 8496515176

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Los desarrollos en el ámbito de la investigación sobre la evaluación de políticas públicas están experimentando actualmente un gran avance. En este contexto, las técnicas de microsimulación -basadas en la representación del comportamiento de los individuos frente a cambios reales o hipotéticos en su entorno económico e institucional- han adquirido particular relevancia por su capacidad para evaluar a priori diferentes escenarios y facilitar la toma de decisiones. Las técnicas de simulación se realizan con modelos de absoluta precisión y exactitud que permiten estudiar y predecir el impacto y los efectos de una política sobre una muestra de individuos, familias o empresas representativa de la población total. Este libro presenta la microsimulación como técnica de evaluación de las políticas públicas, al mismo tiempo que propone una revisión razonada de los recientes avances. Una conclusión común es que, gracias a un modelo de microsimulación, es posible identificar la mejor política de redistribución posible (en el sentido de maximizar una determinada función de bienestar social). De manera general, mediante el uso de esta técnica es posible hacer complementarios los enfoques macro de equilibrio económico general y micro de simulación de los comportamientos individuales. La presente publicación ofrece una herramienta de referencia a investigadores, académicos, políticos y analistas.


Book Synopsis Microsimulation as a Tool for the Evaluation of Public Policies by : Amedeo Spadaro

Download or read book Microsimulation as a Tool for the Evaluation of Public Policies written by Amedeo Spadaro and published by Fundacion BBVA. This book was released on 2007 with total page 359 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Los desarrollos en el ámbito de la investigación sobre la evaluación de políticas públicas están experimentando actualmente un gran avance. En este contexto, las técnicas de microsimulación -basadas en la representación del comportamiento de los individuos frente a cambios reales o hipotéticos en su entorno económico e institucional- han adquirido particular relevancia por su capacidad para evaluar a priori diferentes escenarios y facilitar la toma de decisiones. Las técnicas de simulación se realizan con modelos de absoluta precisión y exactitud que permiten estudiar y predecir el impacto y los efectos de una política sobre una muestra de individuos, familias o empresas representativa de la población total. Este libro presenta la microsimulación como técnica de evaluación de las políticas públicas, al mismo tiempo que propone una revisión razonada de los recientes avances. Una conclusión común es que, gracias a un modelo de microsimulación, es posible identificar la mejor política de redistribución posible (en el sentido de maximizar una determinada función de bienestar social). De manera general, mediante el uso de esta técnica es posible hacer complementarios los enfoques macro de equilibrio económico general y micro de simulación de los comportamientos individuales. La presente publicación ofrece una herramienta de referencia a investigadores, académicos, políticos y analistas.


Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions -- The Uses of Microsimulation Modeling

Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions -- The Uses of Microsimulation Modeling

Author: National Research Council

Publisher: National Academies Press

Published: 1991-02-01

Total Pages: 361

ISBN-13: 030904541X

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This book reviews the uses and abuses of microsimulation modelsâ€"large, complex models that produce estimates of the effects on program costs and who would gain and who would lose from proposed changes in government policies ranging from health care to welfare to taxes. Volume 1 is designed to guide future investment in modeling and analysis capability on the part of government agencies that produce policy estimates. It will inform congressional and executive decision makers about the strengths and weaknesses of models and estimates and will interest social scientists in the potential of microsimulation techniques for basic and applied research as well as policy uses. The book concludes that a "second revolution" is needed to improve the quality of microsimulation and other policy analysis models and the estimates they produce, with a special emphasis on systematic validation of models and communication of validation results to decision makers.


Book Synopsis Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions -- The Uses of Microsimulation Modeling by : National Research Council

Download or read book Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions -- The Uses of Microsimulation Modeling written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 1991-02-01 with total page 361 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book reviews the uses and abuses of microsimulation modelsâ€"large, complex models that produce estimates of the effects on program costs and who would gain and who would lose from proposed changes in government policies ranging from health care to welfare to taxes. Volume 1 is designed to guide future investment in modeling and analysis capability on the part of government agencies that produce policy estimates. It will inform congressional and executive decision makers about the strengths and weaknesses of models and estimates and will interest social scientists in the potential of microsimulation techniques for basic and applied research as well as policy uses. The book concludes that a "second revolution" is needed to improve the quality of microsimulation and other policy analysis models and the estimates they produce, with a special emphasis on systematic validation of models and communication of validation results to decision makers.


Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions -- The Uses of Microsimulation Modeling

Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions -- The Uses of Microsimulation Modeling

Author: National Research Council

Publisher: National Academies Press

Published: 1991-01-01

Total Pages: 360

ISBN-13: 9780309073813

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This book reviews the uses and abuses of microsimulation models--large, complex models that produce estimates of the effects on program costs and who would gain and who would lose from proposed changes in government policies ranging from health care to welfare to taxes. Volume 1 is designed to guide future investment in modeling and analysis capability on the part of government agencies that produce policy estimates. It will inform congressional and executive decision makers about the strengths and weaknesses of models and estimates and will interest social scientists in the potential of microsimulation techniques for basic and applied research as well as policy uses. The book concludes that a "second revolution" is needed to improve the quality of microsimulation and other policy analysis models and the estimates they produce, with a special emphasis on systematic validation of models and communication of validation results to decision makers.


Book Synopsis Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions -- The Uses of Microsimulation Modeling by : National Research Council

Download or read book Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions -- The Uses of Microsimulation Modeling written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 1991-01-01 with total page 360 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book reviews the uses and abuses of microsimulation models--large, complex models that produce estimates of the effects on program costs and who would gain and who would lose from proposed changes in government policies ranging from health care to welfare to taxes. Volume 1 is designed to guide future investment in modeling and analysis capability on the part of government agencies that produce policy estimates. It will inform congressional and executive decision makers about the strengths and weaknesses of models and estimates and will interest social scientists in the potential of microsimulation techniques for basic and applied research as well as policy uses. The book concludes that a "second revolution" is needed to improve the quality of microsimulation and other policy analysis models and the estimates they produce, with a special emphasis on systematic validation of models and communication of validation results to decision makers.


Development Policies and Policy Processes in Africa

Development Policies and Policy Processes in Africa

Author: Christian Henning

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2017-10-05

Total Pages: 351

ISBN-13: 3319607146

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This book is open access under a CC BY 4.0 license. The book examines the methodological challenges in analyzing the effectiveness of development policies. It presents a selection of tools and methodologies that can help tackle the complexities of which policies work best and why, and how they can be implemented effectively given the political and economic framework conditions of a country. The contributions in this book offer a continuation of the ongoing evidence-based debate on the role of agriculture and participatory policy processes in reducing poverty. They develop and apply quantitative political economy approaches by integrating quantitative models of political decision-making into existing economic modeling tools, allowing a more comprehensive growth-poverty analysis. The book addresses not only scholars who use quantitative policy modeling and evaluation techniques in their empirical or theoretical research, but also technical experts, including policy makers and analysts from stakeholder organizations, involved in formulating and implementing policies to reduce poverty and to increase economic and social well-being in African countries.


Book Synopsis Development Policies and Policy Processes in Africa by : Christian Henning

Download or read book Development Policies and Policy Processes in Africa written by Christian Henning and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-10-05 with total page 351 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is open access under a CC BY 4.0 license. The book examines the methodological challenges in analyzing the effectiveness of development policies. It presents a selection of tools and methodologies that can help tackle the complexities of which policies work best and why, and how they can be implemented effectively given the political and economic framework conditions of a country. The contributions in this book offer a continuation of the ongoing evidence-based debate on the role of agriculture and participatory policy processes in reducing poverty. They develop and apply quantitative political economy approaches by integrating quantitative models of political decision-making into existing economic modeling tools, allowing a more comprehensive growth-poverty analysis. The book addresses not only scholars who use quantitative policy modeling and evaluation techniques in their empirical or theoretical research, but also technical experts, including policy makers and analysts from stakeholder organizations, involved in formulating and implementing policies to reduce poverty and to increase economic and social well-being in African countries.


Spatial Microsimulation with R

Spatial Microsimulation with R

Author: Robin Lovelace

Publisher: CRC Press

Published: 2017-09-07

Total Pages: 260

ISBN-13: 131536316X

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Generate and Analyze Multi-Level Data Spatial microsimulation involves the generation, analysis, and modeling of individual-level data allocated to geographical zones. Spatial Microsimulation with R is the first practical book to illustrate this approach in a modern statistical programming language. Get Insight into Complex Behaviors The book progresses from the principles underlying population synthesis toward more complex issues such as household allocation and using the results of spatial microsimulation for agent-based modeling. This equips you with the skills needed to apply the techniques to real-world situations. The book demonstrates methods for population synthesis by combining individual and geographically aggregated datasets using the recent R packages ipfp and mipfp. This approach represents the "best of both worlds" in terms of spatial resolution and person-level detail, overcoming issues of data confidentiality and reproducibility. Implement the Methods on Your Own Data Full of reproducible examples using code and data, the book is suitable for students and applied researchers in health, economics, transport, geography, and other fields that require individual-level data allocated to small geographic zones. By explaining how to use tools for modeling phenomena that vary over space, the book enhances your knowledge of complex systems and empowers you to provide evidence-based policy guidance.


Book Synopsis Spatial Microsimulation with R by : Robin Lovelace

Download or read book Spatial Microsimulation with R written by Robin Lovelace and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2017-09-07 with total page 260 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Generate and Analyze Multi-Level Data Spatial microsimulation involves the generation, analysis, and modeling of individual-level data allocated to geographical zones. Spatial Microsimulation with R is the first practical book to illustrate this approach in a modern statistical programming language. Get Insight into Complex Behaviors The book progresses from the principles underlying population synthesis toward more complex issues such as household allocation and using the results of spatial microsimulation for agent-based modeling. This equips you with the skills needed to apply the techniques to real-world situations. The book demonstrates methods for population synthesis by combining individual and geographically aggregated datasets using the recent R packages ipfp and mipfp. This approach represents the "best of both worlds" in terms of spatial resolution and person-level detail, overcoming issues of data confidentiality and reproducibility. Implement the Methods on Your Own Data Full of reproducible examples using code and data, the book is suitable for students and applied researchers in health, economics, transport, geography, and other fields that require individual-level data allocated to small geographic zones. By explaining how to use tools for modeling phenomena that vary over space, the book enhances your knowledge of complex systems and empowers you to provide evidence-based policy guidance.


Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions

Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions

Author: National Research Council (U.S.). Panel to Evaluate Microsimulation Models for Social Welfare Programs

Publisher:

Published: 1991

Total Pages: 364

ISBN-13:

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Book Synopsis Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions by : National Research Council (U.S.). Panel to Evaluate Microsimulation Models for Social Welfare Programs

Download or read book Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions written by National Research Council (U.S.). Panel to Evaluate Microsimulation Models for Social Welfare Programs and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 364 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:


Microsimulation Modelling for Policy Analysis

Microsimulation Modelling for Policy Analysis

Author: Lavinia Mitton

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2000-09-21

Total Pages: 360

ISBN-13: 9780521790062

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Applications and methods of state of the art microsimulation modelling.


Book Synopsis Microsimulation Modelling for Policy Analysis by : Lavinia Mitton

Download or read book Microsimulation Modelling for Policy Analysis written by Lavinia Mitton and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2000-09-21 with total page 360 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Applications and methods of state of the art microsimulation modelling.


Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions -- The Uses of Microsimulation Modeling

Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions -- The Uses of Microsimulation Modeling

Author: Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education

Publisher: National Academies Press

Published: 1991-02-01

Total Pages: 359

ISBN-13: 0309045428

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This volume, second in the series, provides essential background material for policy analysts, researchers, statisticians, and others interested in the application of microsimulation techniques to develop estimates of the costs and population impacts of proposed changes in government policies ranging from welfare to retirement income to health care to taxes. The material spans data inputs to models, design and computer implementation of models, validation of model outputs, and model documentation.


Book Synopsis Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions -- The Uses of Microsimulation Modeling by : Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education

Download or read book Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions -- The Uses of Microsimulation Modeling written by Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 1991-02-01 with total page 359 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume, second in the series, provides essential background material for policy analysts, researchers, statisticians, and others interested in the application of microsimulation techniques to develop estimates of the costs and population impacts of proposed changes in government policies ranging from welfare to retirement income to health care to taxes. The material spans data inputs to models, design and computer implementation of models, validation of model outputs, and model documentation.


Spatial Microsimulation: A Reference Guide for Users

Spatial Microsimulation: A Reference Guide for Users

Author: Robert Tanton

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2012-11-13

Total Pages: 272

ISBN-13: 9400746237

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This book is a practical guide on how to design, create and validate a spatial microsimulation model. These models are becoming more popular as academics and policy makers recognise the value of place in research and policy making. Recent spatial microsimulation models have been used to analyse health and social disadvantage for small areas; and to look at the effect of policy change for small areas. This provides a powerful analysis tool for researchers and policy makers. This book covers preparing the data for spatial microsimulation; a number of methods for both static and dynamic spatial microsimulation models; validation of the models to ensure the outputs are reasonable; and the future of spatial microsimulation. The book will be an essential handbook for any researcher or policy maker looking to design and create a spatial microsimulation model. This book will also be useful to those policy makers who are commissioning a spatial microsimulation model, or looking to commission work using a spatial microsimulation model, as it provides information on the different methods in a non-technical way.


Book Synopsis Spatial Microsimulation: A Reference Guide for Users by : Robert Tanton

Download or read book Spatial Microsimulation: A Reference Guide for Users written by Robert Tanton and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-11-13 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a practical guide on how to design, create and validate a spatial microsimulation model. These models are becoming more popular as academics and policy makers recognise the value of place in research and policy making. Recent spatial microsimulation models have been used to analyse health and social disadvantage for small areas; and to look at the effect of policy change for small areas. This provides a powerful analysis tool for researchers and policy makers. This book covers preparing the data for spatial microsimulation; a number of methods for both static and dynamic spatial microsimulation models; validation of the models to ensure the outputs are reasonable; and the future of spatial microsimulation. The book will be an essential handbook for any researcher or policy maker looking to design and create a spatial microsimulation model. This book will also be useful to those policy makers who are commissioning a spatial microsimulation model, or looking to commission work using a spatial microsimulation model, as it provides information on the different methods in a non-technical way.


A Roadmap to Reducing Child Poverty

A Roadmap to Reducing Child Poverty

Author: National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine

Publisher: National Academies Press

Published: 2019-09-16

Total Pages: 619

ISBN-13: 0309483980

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The strengths and abilities children develop from infancy through adolescence are crucial for their physical, emotional, and cognitive growth, which in turn help them to achieve success in school and to become responsible, economically self-sufficient, and healthy adults. Capable, responsible, and healthy adults are clearly the foundation of a well-functioning and prosperous society, yet America's future is not as secure as it could be because millions of American children live in families with incomes below the poverty line. A wealth of evidence suggests that a lack of adequate economic resources for families with children compromises these children's ability to grow and achieve adult success, hurting them and the broader society. A Roadmap to Reducing Child Poverty reviews the research on linkages between child poverty and child well-being, and analyzes the poverty-reducing effects of major assistance programs directed at children and families. This report also provides policy and program recommendations for reducing the number of children living in poverty in the United States by half within 10 years.


Book Synopsis A Roadmap to Reducing Child Poverty by : National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine

Download or read book A Roadmap to Reducing Child Poverty written by National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2019-09-16 with total page 619 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The strengths and abilities children develop from infancy through adolescence are crucial for their physical, emotional, and cognitive growth, which in turn help them to achieve success in school and to become responsible, economically self-sufficient, and healthy adults. Capable, responsible, and healthy adults are clearly the foundation of a well-functioning and prosperous society, yet America's future is not as secure as it could be because millions of American children live in families with incomes below the poverty line. A wealth of evidence suggests that a lack of adequate economic resources for families with children compromises these children's ability to grow and achieve adult success, hurting them and the broader society. A Roadmap to Reducing Child Poverty reviews the research on linkages between child poverty and child well-being, and analyzes the poverty-reducing effects of major assistance programs directed at children and families. This report also provides policy and program recommendations for reducing the number of children living in poverty in the United States by half within 10 years.