More Growth Or Fewer Collapses? a New Look at Long Run Growth in Sub-saharan Africa

More Growth Or Fewer Collapses? a New Look at Long Run Growth in Sub-saharan Africa

Author: Jorge Saba Arbache

Publisher: World Bank Publications

Published: 2007

Total Pages: 29

ISBN-13:

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Abstract: Low and highly volatile growth define Africa's growth experience. But there is no evidence that growth volatility is associated to long term economic performance. This result may be misleading if it suggests that volatility is not important for economic and social progress. In this paper we use a variant of the method developed by Hausmann, Pritchett, and Rodrik (2005) to identify both growth acceleration and deceleration episodes in Africa between 1975 and 2005. The authors find that Africa has had numerous growth acceleration episodes in the last 30 years, but also nearly a comparable number of growth collapses, offsetting most of the benefits of growth. Had Africa avoided its growth collapses, it would have grown 1.7 percent a year instead of 0.7 percent, and its GDP per capita would have been more than 30 percent higher in 2005. The authors also find that growth accelerations and decelerations have an asymmetric impact on human development outcomes. Finally, our results suggest that it is easier to identify the likely institutional and policy origins of growth decelerations than of growth accelerations.


Book Synopsis More Growth Or Fewer Collapses? a New Look at Long Run Growth in Sub-saharan Africa by : Jorge Saba Arbache

Download or read book More Growth Or Fewer Collapses? a New Look at Long Run Growth in Sub-saharan Africa written by Jorge Saba Arbache and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2007 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abstract: Low and highly volatile growth define Africa's growth experience. But there is no evidence that growth volatility is associated to long term economic performance. This result may be misleading if it suggests that volatility is not important for economic and social progress. In this paper we use a variant of the method developed by Hausmann, Pritchett, and Rodrik (2005) to identify both growth acceleration and deceleration episodes in Africa between 1975 and 2005. The authors find that Africa has had numerous growth acceleration episodes in the last 30 years, but also nearly a comparable number of growth collapses, offsetting most of the benefits of growth. Had Africa avoided its growth collapses, it would have grown 1.7 percent a year instead of 0.7 percent, and its GDP per capita would have been more than 30 percent higher in 2005. The authors also find that growth accelerations and decelerations have an asymmetric impact on human development outcomes. Finally, our results suggest that it is easier to identify the likely institutional and policy origins of growth decelerations than of growth accelerations.

More Growth or Fewer Collapses - A New Look at Long Run Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa

More Growth or Fewer Collapses - A New Look at Long Run Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa

Author: Jorge Saba Arbache

Publisher:

Published: 2016

Total Pages: 29

ISBN-13:

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Low and highly volatile growth define Africa's growth experience. But there is no evidence that growth volatility is associated to long term economic performance. This result may be misleading if it suggests that volatility is not important for economic and social progress. In this paper we use a variant of the method developed by Hausmann, Pritchett, and Rodrik (2005) to identify both growth acceleration and deceleration episodes in Africa between 1975 and 2005. The authors find that Africa has had numerous growth acceleration episodes in the last 30 years, but also nearly a comparable number of growth collapses, offsetting most of the benefits of growth. Had Africa avoided its growth collapses, it would have grown 1.7 percent a year instead of 0.7 percent, and its GDP per capita would have been more than 30 percent higher in 2005. The authors also find that growth accelerations and decelerations have an asymmetric impact on human development outcomes. Finally, our results suggest that it is easier to identify the likely institutional and policy origins of growth decelerations than of growth accelerations.


Book Synopsis More Growth or Fewer Collapses - A New Look at Long Run Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa by : Jorge Saba Arbache

Download or read book More Growth or Fewer Collapses - A New Look at Long Run Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa written by Jorge Saba Arbache and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Low and highly volatile growth define Africa's growth experience. But there is no evidence that growth volatility is associated to long term economic performance. This result may be misleading if it suggests that volatility is not important for economic and social progress. In this paper we use a variant of the method developed by Hausmann, Pritchett, and Rodrik (2005) to identify both growth acceleration and deceleration episodes in Africa between 1975 and 2005. The authors find that Africa has had numerous growth acceleration episodes in the last 30 years, but also nearly a comparable number of growth collapses, offsetting most of the benefits of growth. Had Africa avoided its growth collapses, it would have grown 1.7 percent a year instead of 0.7 percent, and its GDP per capita would have been more than 30 percent higher in 2005. The authors also find that growth accelerations and decelerations have an asymmetric impact on human development outcomes. Finally, our results suggest that it is easier to identify the likely institutional and policy origins of growth decelerations than of growth accelerations.

More Growth Or Fewer Collapses? a New Look at Long Run Growth in Sub-saharan Africa

More Growth Or Fewer Collapses? a New Look at Long Run Growth in Sub-saharan Africa

Author: Jorge Saba Arbache

Publisher: World Bank Publications

Published: 2012

Total Pages: 29

ISBN-13:

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Low and highly volatile growth define Africa's growth experience. But there is no evidence that growth volatility is associated to long term economic performance. This result may be misleading if it suggests that volatility is not important for economic and social progress. In this paper we use a variant of the method developed by Hausmann, Pritchett, and Rodrik (2005) to identify both growth acceleration and deceleration episodes in Africa between 1975 and 2005. The authors find that Africa has had numerous growth acceleration episodes in the last 30 years, but also nearly a comparable number of growth collapses, offsetting most of the benefits of growth. Had Africa avoided its growth collapses, it would have grown 1.7 percent a year instead of 0.7 percent, and its GDP per capita would have been more than 30 percent higher in 2005. The authors also find that growth accelerations and decelerations have an asymmetric impact on human development outcomes. Finally, our results suggest that it is easier to identify the likely institutional and policy origins of growth decelerations than of growth accelerations.


Book Synopsis More Growth Or Fewer Collapses? a New Look at Long Run Growth in Sub-saharan Africa by : Jorge Saba Arbache

Download or read book More Growth Or Fewer Collapses? a New Look at Long Run Growth in Sub-saharan Africa written by Jorge Saba Arbache and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2012 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Low and highly volatile growth define Africa's growth experience. But there is no evidence that growth volatility is associated to long term economic performance. This result may be misleading if it suggests that volatility is not important for economic and social progress. In this paper we use a variant of the method developed by Hausmann, Pritchett, and Rodrik (2005) to identify both growth acceleration and deceleration episodes in Africa between 1975 and 2005. The authors find that Africa has had numerous growth acceleration episodes in the last 30 years, but also nearly a comparable number of growth collapses, offsetting most of the benefits of growth. Had Africa avoided its growth collapses, it would have grown 1.7 percent a year instead of 0.7 percent, and its GDP per capita would have been more than 30 percent higher in 2005. The authors also find that growth accelerations and decelerations have an asymmetric impact on human development outcomes. Finally, our results suggest that it is easier to identify the likely institutional and policy origins of growth decelerations than of growth accelerations.

Productivity Convergence

Productivity Convergence

Author: Edward N. Wolff

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2014

Total Pages: 537

ISBN-13: 0521662842

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This book critically reviews the most significant works that examine the sources of economic growth.


Book Synopsis Productivity Convergence by : Edward N. Wolff

Download or read book Productivity Convergence written by Edward N. Wolff and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2014 with total page 537 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book critically reviews the most significant works that examine the sources of economic growth.

Building Resilience in Sub-Saharan Africa's Fragile States

Building Resilience in Sub-Saharan Africa's Fragile States

Author: Mr.Enrique Gelbard

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2015-06-26

Total Pages: 99

ISBN-13: 1513500538

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This paper analyzes the persistence of fragility in some sub-Saharan African states and the multiple dimensions of state weakness that are simultaneously at play. This study also provides an overview of the analytics of fragility, conflict, and international engagement with fragile states before turning to an assessment of the current state of affairs and the areas in which there has been progress in building resilience. The paper also looks at the role of fiscal policies and institutions and analyzes growth accelerations and decelerations. Seven country case studies help identify more concretely some key factors at play, and the diversity of paths followed, with an emphasis on the sequencing of reforms. The paper concludes with a summary of the main findings and policy implications.


Book Synopsis Building Resilience in Sub-Saharan Africa's Fragile States by : Mr.Enrique Gelbard

Download or read book Building Resilience in Sub-Saharan Africa's Fragile States written by Mr.Enrique Gelbard and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-06-26 with total page 99 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes the persistence of fragility in some sub-Saharan African states and the multiple dimensions of state weakness that are simultaneously at play. This study also provides an overview of the analytics of fragility, conflict, and international engagement with fragile states before turning to an assessment of the current state of affairs and the areas in which there has been progress in building resilience. The paper also looks at the role of fiscal policies and institutions and analyzes growth accelerations and decelerations. Seven country case studies help identify more concretely some key factors at play, and the diversity of paths followed, with an emphasis on the sequencing of reforms. The paper concludes with a summary of the main findings and policy implications.

Pathways to Industrialization in the Twenty-First Century

Pathways to Industrialization in the Twenty-First Century

Author: Adam Szirmai

Publisher: Oxford University Press

Published: 2013-02-28

Total Pages: 466

ISBN-13: 0199667853

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"A study prepared by the World Institute for Development Economics Research of the United Nations University (UNU-WIDER), Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology of the United Nations University (UNU-MERIT), and the United Nations Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO)."


Book Synopsis Pathways to Industrialization in the Twenty-First Century by : Adam Szirmai

Download or read book Pathways to Industrialization in the Twenty-First Century written by Adam Szirmai and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2013-02-28 with total page 466 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "A study prepared by the World Institute for Development Economics Research of the United Nations University (UNU-WIDER), Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology of the United Nations University (UNU-MERIT), and the United Nations Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO)."

Cognitive Informatics and Wisdom Development: Interdisciplinary Approaches

Cognitive Informatics and Wisdom Development: Interdisciplinary Approaches

Author: Targowski, Andrew

Publisher: IGI Global

Published: 2010-12-31

Total Pages: 260

ISBN-13: 160960170X

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Since wisdom is the ultimate human virtue, its application is important for humans and civilization. Cognitive Informatics and Wisdom Development: Interdisciplinary Approaches argues that wise civilization cannot function without wise people and vice versa, that wise people cannot function without positive conditions for the development of wise civilization. Using the cognitive informatics approach as a basis for the investigation of wisdom, this book offers solutions on how to study and evaluate the state of wisdom in 21st century society and the requirements for wise civilization and its monitoring systems.


Book Synopsis Cognitive Informatics and Wisdom Development: Interdisciplinary Approaches by : Targowski, Andrew

Download or read book Cognitive Informatics and Wisdom Development: Interdisciplinary Approaches written by Targowski, Andrew and published by IGI Global. This book was released on 2010-12-31 with total page 260 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since wisdom is the ultimate human virtue, its application is important for humans and civilization. Cognitive Informatics and Wisdom Development: Interdisciplinary Approaches argues that wise civilization cannot function without wise people and vice versa, that wise people cannot function without positive conditions for the development of wise civilization. Using the cognitive informatics approach as a basis for the investigation of wisdom, this book offers solutions on how to study and evaluate the state of wisdom in 21st century society and the requirements for wise civilization and its monitoring systems.

Immiserizing Growth

Immiserizing Growth

Author: Paul Shaffer

Publisher: Oxford University Press

Published: 2019-01-10

Total Pages: 304

ISBN-13: 0192568345

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Immiserizing growth occurs when growth fails to benefit, or harms, those at the bottom. It is not a new concept, appearing in some of the towering figures of the classical tradition of political economy including Malthus, Ricardo, and Marx. It is also not empirically insignificant, occurring in between 10% and 35% of cases. In spite of this, it has not received its due attention in the academic literature, dominated by the prevailing narrative that 'growth is good for the poor'. Immiserizing Growth: When Growth Fails the Poor challenges this view to arrive at a better understanding of when, why, and how growth fails the poor. Taking a diverse disciplinary perspective, Immiserizing Growth combines discussion of mechanisms of this troubling economic phenomenon with empirical data on trends in growth, poverty, and related welfare indicators. It draws on political economy, applied social anthropology, and development studies, including contributions from experts in these fields. A number of methodological approaches are represented including statistical analysis of household survey and cross-country data, detailed ethnographic work and case study analysis drawing on secondary data. Geographical coverage is wide including Bolivia, the Dominican Republic, Ecuador, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Nigeria, the People's Republic of China, Singapore, and South Korea, in addition to cross-country analysis. This volume is the first full-length treatment of immiserizing growth, and constitutes an important step in redirecting attention to this major challenge.


Book Synopsis Immiserizing Growth by : Paul Shaffer

Download or read book Immiserizing Growth written by Paul Shaffer and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2019-01-10 with total page 304 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Immiserizing growth occurs when growth fails to benefit, or harms, those at the bottom. It is not a new concept, appearing in some of the towering figures of the classical tradition of political economy including Malthus, Ricardo, and Marx. It is also not empirically insignificant, occurring in between 10% and 35% of cases. In spite of this, it has not received its due attention in the academic literature, dominated by the prevailing narrative that 'growth is good for the poor'. Immiserizing Growth: When Growth Fails the Poor challenges this view to arrive at a better understanding of when, why, and how growth fails the poor. Taking a diverse disciplinary perspective, Immiserizing Growth combines discussion of mechanisms of this troubling economic phenomenon with empirical data on trends in growth, poverty, and related welfare indicators. It draws on political economy, applied social anthropology, and development studies, including contributions from experts in these fields. A number of methodological approaches are represented including statistical analysis of household survey and cross-country data, detailed ethnographic work and case study analysis drawing on secondary data. Geographical coverage is wide including Bolivia, the Dominican Republic, Ecuador, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Nigeria, the People's Republic of China, Singapore, and South Korea, in addition to cross-country analysis. This volume is the first full-length treatment of immiserizing growth, and constitutes an important step in redirecting attention to this major challenge.

Africa Development Indicators 2007

Africa Development Indicators 2007

Author: World Bank

Publisher: World Bank Publications

Published: 2008

Total Pages: 180

ISBN-13: 082137284X

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The world's demand for food is expected to double within the next 50 years, while the natural resources that sustain agriculture will become increasingly scarce, degraded, and vulnerable to the effects of climate change. In many poor countries, agriculture accounts for at least 40 percent of GDP and 80 percent of employment. At the same time, about 70 percent of the world's poor live in rural areas and most depend on agriculture for their livelihoods. World Development Report 2008 seeks to assess where, when, and how agriculture can be an effective instrument for economic development, especially development that favors the poor. It examines several broad questions: How has agriculture changed in developing countries in the past 20 years? What are the important new challenges and opportunities for agriculture? Which new sources of agricultural growth can be captured cost effectively in particular in poor countries with large agricultural sectors as in Africa? How can agricultural growth be made more effective for poverty reduction? How can governments facilitate the transition of large populations out of agriculture, without simply transferring the burden of rural poverty to urban areas? How can the natural resource endowment for agriculture be protected? How can agriculture's negative environmental effects be contained? This year's report marks the 30th year the World Bank has been publishing the World Development Report.


Book Synopsis Africa Development Indicators 2007 by : World Bank

Download or read book Africa Development Indicators 2007 written by World Bank and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2008 with total page 180 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The world's demand for food is expected to double within the next 50 years, while the natural resources that sustain agriculture will become increasingly scarce, degraded, and vulnerable to the effects of climate change. In many poor countries, agriculture accounts for at least 40 percent of GDP and 80 percent of employment. At the same time, about 70 percent of the world's poor live in rural areas and most depend on agriculture for their livelihoods. World Development Report 2008 seeks to assess where, when, and how agriculture can be an effective instrument for economic development, especially development that favors the poor. It examines several broad questions: How has agriculture changed in developing countries in the past 20 years? What are the important new challenges and opportunities for agriculture? Which new sources of agricultural growth can be captured cost effectively in particular in poor countries with large agricultural sectors as in Africa? How can agricultural growth be made more effective for poverty reduction? How can governments facilitate the transition of large populations out of agriculture, without simply transferring the burden of rural poverty to urban areas? How can the natural resource endowment for agriculture be protected? How can agriculture's negative environmental effects be contained? This year's report marks the 30th year the World Bank has been publishing the World Development Report.

Africa at a Turning Point?

Africa at a Turning Point?

Author: Delfin Sia Go

Publisher: World Bank Publications

Published: 2008-04-14

Total Pages: 520

ISBN-13: 9780821372784

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Since the mid-1990s, sub-Saharan Africa has experienced an acceleration of economic growth that has produced rising incomes and faster human development. However, this growth contrasts with the continent's experience between 1975 and 1995, when it largely missed out on two decades of economic progress. This disparity between Africa's current experience and its history raises questions about the continent's development. Is there a turnaround in Africa s economy? Will growth persist? 'Africa at a Turning Point?' is a collection of essays that analyzes three interrelated aspects of Africa's recent revival. The first set of essays examines Africa's recent growth in the context of its history of growth accelerations and collapses. It seeks to answer such questions as, is Africa at a turning point? Are the economic fundamentals finally pointing toward more sustainable growth? The second set of essays looks at donor flows, which play a large role in Africa's growth. These essays focus on such issues as the management and delivery of increased aid, and the history and volatility of donor flows to Africa. The third set of essays considers the recent impact of one persistent threat to sustained growth in Africa: commodity price shocks, particularly those resulting from fluctuations in oil prices.


Book Synopsis Africa at a Turning Point? by : Delfin Sia Go

Download or read book Africa at a Turning Point? written by Delfin Sia Go and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2008-04-14 with total page 520 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the mid-1990s, sub-Saharan Africa has experienced an acceleration of economic growth that has produced rising incomes and faster human development. However, this growth contrasts with the continent's experience between 1975 and 1995, when it largely missed out on two decades of economic progress. This disparity between Africa's current experience and its history raises questions about the continent's development. Is there a turnaround in Africa s economy? Will growth persist? 'Africa at a Turning Point?' is a collection of essays that analyzes three interrelated aspects of Africa's recent revival. The first set of essays examines Africa's recent growth in the context of its history of growth accelerations and collapses. It seeks to answer such questions as, is Africa at a turning point? Are the economic fundamentals finally pointing toward more sustainable growth? The second set of essays looks at donor flows, which play a large role in Africa's growth. These essays focus on such issues as the management and delivery of increased aid, and the history and volatility of donor flows to Africa. The third set of essays considers the recent impact of one persistent threat to sustained growth in Africa: commodity price shocks, particularly those resulting from fluctuations in oil prices.