Predicting Semiconductor Business Trends After Moore's Law

Predicting Semiconductor Business Trends After Moore's Law

Author: Walden Rhines

Publisher:

Published: 2019-12

Total Pages: 106

ISBN-13: 9781674536026

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The semiconductor industry exhibited life cycles that were longer than the disk drive industry but had the same free market characteristics. Over time this unfettered competition followed trends in a worldwide market that could be quantified and used to predict the future. Over the past forty years or more, I've collected data and made presentations showing how the actual economics and technology of the semiconductor industry can be used to predict its future direction and magnitude. This book is built upon excerpts of presentations made during the last thirty years that analyze the business and technology of the semiconductor industry. In most cases, the figures in the book are copies of the original slides as they were presented during one or more of those presentations. In general, they show how predictable the semiconductor industry has been. They should also provide insight into the future of the industry.


Book Synopsis Predicting Semiconductor Business Trends After Moore's Law by : Walden Rhines

Download or read book Predicting Semiconductor Business Trends After Moore's Law written by Walden Rhines and published by . This book was released on 2019-12 with total page 106 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The semiconductor industry exhibited life cycles that were longer than the disk drive industry but had the same free market characteristics. Over time this unfettered competition followed trends in a worldwide market that could be quantified and used to predict the future. Over the past forty years or more, I've collected data and made presentations showing how the actual economics and technology of the semiconductor industry can be used to predict its future direction and magnitude. This book is built upon excerpts of presentations made during the last thirty years that analyze the business and technology of the semiconductor industry. In most cases, the figures in the book are copies of the original slides as they were presented during one or more of those presentations. In general, they show how predictable the semiconductor industry has been. They should also provide insight into the future of the industry.

Predicting Semiconductor Business Trends After Moore's Law

Predicting Semiconductor Business Trends After Moore's Law

Author: Walden Rhines

Publisher:

Published: 2020-02-05

Total Pages: 110

ISBN-13:

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The semiconductor industry exhibited life cycles that were longer than the disk drive industry but had the same free market characteristics. Over time this unfettered competition followed trends in a worldwide market that could be quantified and used to predict the future. Over the past forty years or more, I've collected data and made presentations showing how the actual economics and technology of the semiconductor industry can be used to predict its future direction and magnitude. This book is built upon excerpts of presentations made during the last thirty years that analyze the business and technology of the semiconductor industry. In most cases, the figures in the book are copies of the original slides as they were presented during one or more of those presentations. In general, they show how predictable the semiconductor industry has been. They should also provide insight into the future of the industry.


Book Synopsis Predicting Semiconductor Business Trends After Moore's Law by : Walden Rhines

Download or read book Predicting Semiconductor Business Trends After Moore's Law written by Walden Rhines and published by . This book was released on 2020-02-05 with total page 110 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The semiconductor industry exhibited life cycles that were longer than the disk drive industry but had the same free market characteristics. Over time this unfettered competition followed trends in a worldwide market that could be quantified and used to predict the future. Over the past forty years or more, I've collected data and made presentations showing how the actual economics and technology of the semiconductor industry can be used to predict its future direction and magnitude. This book is built upon excerpts of presentations made during the last thirty years that analyze the business and technology of the semiconductor industry. In most cases, the figures in the book are copies of the original slides as they were presented during one or more of those presentations. In general, they show how predictable the semiconductor industry has been. They should also provide insight into the future of the industry.

Productivity and Cyclicality in Semiconductors

Productivity and Cyclicality in Semiconductors

Author: National Research Council

Publisher: National Academies Press

Published: 2004-11-20

Total Pages: 214

ISBN-13: 0309092744

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Hosted by Harvard University's Kennedy School of Government, this symposium brought together leading technologists and economists to review technical challenges facing the semiconductor industry, the industry's business cycle, the interconnections between the two, and the implications of growth in semiconductors for the economy as a whole. This volume includes a summary of the symposium proceedings and three major research papers. Topics reviewed encompass the industry technology roadmap, challenges to be overcome to maintain the trajectory of Moore's Law, the drivers of the continued growth in productivity in the U.S. economy, and economic models for gaining a better understanding of this leading U.S. industry.


Book Synopsis Productivity and Cyclicality in Semiconductors by : National Research Council

Download or read book Productivity and Cyclicality in Semiconductors written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2004-11-20 with total page 214 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Hosted by Harvard University's Kennedy School of Government, this symposium brought together leading technologists and economists to review technical challenges facing the semiconductor industry, the industry's business cycle, the interconnections between the two, and the implications of growth in semiconductors for the economy as a whole. This volume includes a summary of the symposium proceedings and three major research papers. Topics reviewed encompass the industry technology roadmap, challenges to be overcome to maintain the trajectory of Moore's Law, the drivers of the continued growth in productivity in the U.S. economy, and economic models for gaining a better understanding of this leading U.S. industry.

Soft Machines

Soft Machines

Author: Richard Anthony Lewis Jones

Publisher: Oxford University Press

Published: 2004

Total Pages: 238

ISBN-13: 0198528558

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Enthusiasts look forward to a time when tiny machines reassemble matter and process information but is their vision realistic? 'Soft Machines' explains why the nanoworld is so different to the macro-world that we are all familar with and shows how it has more in common with biology than conventional engineering.


Book Synopsis Soft Machines by : Richard Anthony Lewis Jones

Download or read book Soft Machines written by Richard Anthony Lewis Jones and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2004 with total page 238 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Enthusiasts look forward to a time when tiny machines reassemble matter and process information but is their vision realistic? 'Soft Machines' explains why the nanoworld is so different to the macro-world that we are all familar with and shows how it has more in common with biology than conventional engineering.

Understanding Moore's Law

Understanding Moore's Law

Author: David C. Brock

Publisher: Chemical Heritage Foundation

Published: 2006

Total Pages: 136

ISBN-13: 9780941901413

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Book Synopsis Understanding Moore's Law by : David C. Brock

Download or read book Understanding Moore's Law written by David C. Brock and published by Chemical Heritage Foundation. This book was released on 2006 with total page 136 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Smart Things

Smart Things

Author: Mike Kuniavsky

Publisher: Elsevier

Published: 2010-09-14

Total Pages: 332

ISBN-13: 0080954081

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The world of smart shoes, appliances, and phones is already here, but the practice of user experience (UX) design for ubiquitous computing is still relatively new. Design companies like IDEO and frogdesign are regularly asked to design products that unify software interaction, device design and service design -- which are all the key components of ubiquitous computing UX -- and practicing designers need a way to tackle practical challenges of design. Theory is not enough for them -- luckily the industry is now mature enough to have tried and tested best practices and case studies from the field. Smart Things presents a problem-solving approach to addressing designers' needs and concentrates on process, rather than technological detail, to keep from being quickly outdated. It pays close attention to the capabilities and limitations of the medium in question and discusses the tradeoffs and challenges of design in a commercial environment. Divided into two sections, frameworks and techniques, the book discusses broad design methods and case studies that reflect key aspects of these approaches. The book then presents a set of techniques highly valuable to a practicing designer. It is intentionally not a comprehensive tutorial of user-centered design'as that is covered in many other books'but it is a handful of techniques useful when designing ubiquitous computing user experiences. In short, Smart Things gives its readers both the "why" of this kind of design and the "how," in well-defined chunks. Tackles design of products in the post-Web world where computers no longer have to be monolithic, expensive general-purpose devices Features broad frameworks and processes, practical advice to help approach specifics, and techniques for the unique design challenges Presents case studies that describe, in detail, how others have solved problems, managed trade-offs, and met successes


Book Synopsis Smart Things by : Mike Kuniavsky

Download or read book Smart Things written by Mike Kuniavsky and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2010-09-14 with total page 332 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The world of smart shoes, appliances, and phones is already here, but the practice of user experience (UX) design for ubiquitous computing is still relatively new. Design companies like IDEO and frogdesign are regularly asked to design products that unify software interaction, device design and service design -- which are all the key components of ubiquitous computing UX -- and practicing designers need a way to tackle practical challenges of design. Theory is not enough for them -- luckily the industry is now mature enough to have tried and tested best practices and case studies from the field. Smart Things presents a problem-solving approach to addressing designers' needs and concentrates on process, rather than technological detail, to keep from being quickly outdated. It pays close attention to the capabilities and limitations of the medium in question and discusses the tradeoffs and challenges of design in a commercial environment. Divided into two sections, frameworks and techniques, the book discusses broad design methods and case studies that reflect key aspects of these approaches. The book then presents a set of techniques highly valuable to a practicing designer. It is intentionally not a comprehensive tutorial of user-centered design'as that is covered in many other books'but it is a handful of techniques useful when designing ubiquitous computing user experiences. In short, Smart Things gives its readers both the "why" of this kind of design and the "how," in well-defined chunks. Tackles design of products in the post-Web world where computers no longer have to be monolithic, expensive general-purpose devices Features broad frameworks and processes, practical advice to help approach specifics, and techniques for the unique design challenges Presents case studies that describe, in detail, how others have solved problems, managed trade-offs, and met successes

Silicon Triangle

Silicon Triangle

Author: Larry Diamond

Publisher: Hoover Press

Published: 2023-10-01

Total Pages: 357

ISBN-13: 081792616X

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The United States, Taiwan, and China are bound within a "silicon triangle." Semiconductors link our geopolitics, our ongoing economic prosperity, and our technological competitiveness. This book draws on the deliberations of a multidisciplinary Hoover Institution–Asia Society working group of technologists, economists, military strategists, industry players, and regional policy experts to contemplate the dynamic global supply chain in semiconductors—one in which US industry faces growing vulnerabilities, China aggressively promotes home-grown semiconductor mastery, and Taiwan finds itself with a crucial monopoly on high-end logic chips sought by buyers globally. Silicon Triangle seeks to present a balanced view of how policies of the United States and its partners around semiconductors can increase the resilience of shared supply chains—and contribute to deterring conflict in the Taiwan Strait.


Book Synopsis Silicon Triangle by : Larry Diamond

Download or read book Silicon Triangle written by Larry Diamond and published by Hoover Press. This book was released on 2023-10-01 with total page 357 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The United States, Taiwan, and China are bound within a "silicon triangle." Semiconductors link our geopolitics, our ongoing economic prosperity, and our technological competitiveness. This book draws on the deliberations of a multidisciplinary Hoover Institution–Asia Society working group of technologists, economists, military strategists, industry players, and regional policy experts to contemplate the dynamic global supply chain in semiconductors—one in which US industry faces growing vulnerabilities, China aggressively promotes home-grown semiconductor mastery, and Taiwan finds itself with a crucial monopoly on high-end logic chips sought by buyers globally. Silicon Triangle seeks to present a balanced view of how policies of the United States and its partners around semiconductors can increase the resilience of shared supply chains—and contribute to deterring conflict in the Taiwan Strait.

Extending Moore's Law through Advanced Semiconductor Design and Processing Techniques

Extending Moore's Law through Advanced Semiconductor Design and Processing Techniques

Author: Wynand Lambrechts

Publisher: CRC Press

Published: 2018-09-13

Total Pages: 361

ISBN-13: 1351248650

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This book provides a methodological understanding of the theoretical and technical limitations to the longevity of Moore’s law. The book presents research on factors that have significant impact on the future of Moore’s law and those factors believed to sustain the trend of the last five decades. Research findings show that boundaries of Moore’s law primarily include physical restrictions of scaling electronic components to levels beyond that of ordinary manufacturing principles and approaching the bounds of physics. The research presented in this book provides essential background and knowledge to grasp the following principles: Traditional and modern photolithography, the primary limiting factor of Moore’s law Innovations in semiconductor manufacturing that makes current generation CMOS processing possible Multi-disciplinary technologies that could drive Moore's law forward significantly Design principles for microelectronic circuits and components that take advantage of technology miniaturization The semiconductor industry economic market trends and technical driving factors The complexity and cost associated with technology scaling have compelled researchers in the disciplines of engineering and physics to optimize previous generation nodes to improve system-on-chip performance. This is especially relevant to participate in the increased attractiveness of the Internet of Things (IoT). This book additionally provides scholarly and practical examples of principles in microelectronic circuit design and layout to mitigate technology limits of previous generation nodes. Readers are encouraged to intellectually apply the knowledge derived from this book to further research and innovation in prolonging Moore’s law and associated principles.


Book Synopsis Extending Moore's Law through Advanced Semiconductor Design and Processing Techniques by : Wynand Lambrechts

Download or read book Extending Moore's Law through Advanced Semiconductor Design and Processing Techniques written by Wynand Lambrechts and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2018-09-13 with total page 361 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a methodological understanding of the theoretical and technical limitations to the longevity of Moore’s law. The book presents research on factors that have significant impact on the future of Moore’s law and those factors believed to sustain the trend of the last five decades. Research findings show that boundaries of Moore’s law primarily include physical restrictions of scaling electronic components to levels beyond that of ordinary manufacturing principles and approaching the bounds of physics. The research presented in this book provides essential background and knowledge to grasp the following principles: Traditional and modern photolithography, the primary limiting factor of Moore’s law Innovations in semiconductor manufacturing that makes current generation CMOS processing possible Multi-disciplinary technologies that could drive Moore's law forward significantly Design principles for microelectronic circuits and components that take advantage of technology miniaturization The semiconductor industry economic market trends and technical driving factors The complexity and cost associated with technology scaling have compelled researchers in the disciplines of engineering and physics to optimize previous generation nodes to improve system-on-chip performance. This is especially relevant to participate in the increased attractiveness of the Internet of Things (IoT). This book additionally provides scholarly and practical examples of principles in microelectronic circuit design and layout to mitigate technology limits of previous generation nodes. Readers are encouraged to intellectually apply the knowledge derived from this book to further research and innovation in prolonging Moore’s law and associated principles.

Strategies to the Prediction, Mitigation and Management of Product Obsolescence

Strategies to the Prediction, Mitigation and Management of Product Obsolescence

Author: Bjoern Bartels

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2012-04-04

Total Pages: 288

ISBN-13: 1118275462

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Supply chains for electronic products are primarily driven by consumer electronics. Every year new mobile phones, computers and gaming consoles are introduced, driving the continued applicability of Moore's law. The semiconductor manufacturing industry is highly dynamic and releases new, better and cheaper products day by day. But what happens to long-field life products like airplanes or ships, which need the same components for decades? How do electronic and also non-electronic systems that need to be manufactured and supported of decades manage to continue operation using parts that were available for a few years at most? This book attempts to answer these questions. This is the only book on the market that covers obsolescence forecasting methodologies, including forecasting tactics for hardware and software that enable cost-effective proactive product life-cycle management. This book describes how to implement a comprehensive obsolescence management system within diverse companies. Strategies to the Prediction, Mitigation and Management of Product Obsolescence is a must-have work for all professionals in product/project management, sustainment engineering and purchasing.


Book Synopsis Strategies to the Prediction, Mitigation and Management of Product Obsolescence by : Bjoern Bartels

Download or read book Strategies to the Prediction, Mitigation and Management of Product Obsolescence written by Bjoern Bartels and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-04-04 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Supply chains for electronic products are primarily driven by consumer electronics. Every year new mobile phones, computers and gaming consoles are introduced, driving the continued applicability of Moore's law. The semiconductor manufacturing industry is highly dynamic and releases new, better and cheaper products day by day. But what happens to long-field life products like airplanes or ships, which need the same components for decades? How do electronic and also non-electronic systems that need to be manufactured and supported of decades manage to continue operation using parts that were available for a few years at most? This book attempts to answer these questions. This is the only book on the market that covers obsolescence forecasting methodologies, including forecasting tactics for hardware and software that enable cost-effective proactive product life-cycle management. This book describes how to implement a comprehensive obsolescence management system within diverse companies. Strategies to the Prediction, Mitigation and Management of Product Obsolescence is a must-have work for all professionals in product/project management, sustainment engineering and purchasing.

Compound Semiconductor Integrated Circuits

Compound Semiconductor Integrated Circuits

Author: Tho T. Vu

Publisher: World Scientific

Published: 2003

Total Pages: 363

ISBN-13: 9812383115

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This is the book version of a special issue of the International Journal of High Speed Electronics and Systems, reviewing recent work in the field of compound semiconductor integrated circuits. There are fourteen invited papers covering a wide range of applications, frequencies and materials. These papers deal with digital, analog, microwave and millimeter-wave technologies, devices and integrated circuits for wireline fiber-optic lightwave transmissions, and wireless radio-frequency microwave and millimeter-wave communications. In each case, the market is young and experiencing rapid growth for both commercial and millitary applications. Many new semiconductor technologies compete for these new markets, leading to an alphabet soup of semiconductor materials described in these papers. Contents: Present and Future of High-Speed Compound Semiconductor IC's (T Otsuji); Transforming MMIC (E J Martinez); Distributed Amplifier for Fiber-Optic Communication Systems (H Shigematsu et al.); Microwave GaN-Based Power Transistors on Large-Scale Silicon Wafers (S Manohar et al.); Radiation Effects in High Speed III-V Integrated Circuits (T R Weatherford); Radiation Effects in III-V Semiconductor Electronics (B D Weaver et al.); Reliability and Radiation Hardness of Compound Semiconductors (S A Kayali & A H Johnston); and other papers. Readership: Engineers, scientists and graduate students working on high speed electronics and systems, and in the area of compound semiconductor integrated circuits.


Book Synopsis Compound Semiconductor Integrated Circuits by : Tho T. Vu

Download or read book Compound Semiconductor Integrated Circuits written by Tho T. Vu and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2003 with total page 363 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the book version of a special issue of the International Journal of High Speed Electronics and Systems, reviewing recent work in the field of compound semiconductor integrated circuits. There are fourteen invited papers covering a wide range of applications, frequencies and materials. These papers deal with digital, analog, microwave and millimeter-wave technologies, devices and integrated circuits for wireline fiber-optic lightwave transmissions, and wireless radio-frequency microwave and millimeter-wave communications. In each case, the market is young and experiencing rapid growth for both commercial and millitary applications. Many new semiconductor technologies compete for these new markets, leading to an alphabet soup of semiconductor materials described in these papers. Contents: Present and Future of High-Speed Compound Semiconductor IC's (T Otsuji); Transforming MMIC (E J Martinez); Distributed Amplifier for Fiber-Optic Communication Systems (H Shigematsu et al.); Microwave GaN-Based Power Transistors on Large-Scale Silicon Wafers (S Manohar et al.); Radiation Effects in High Speed III-V Integrated Circuits (T R Weatherford); Radiation Effects in III-V Semiconductor Electronics (B D Weaver et al.); Reliability and Radiation Hardness of Compound Semiconductors (S A Kayali & A H Johnston); and other papers. Readership: Engineers, scientists and graduate students working on high speed electronics and systems, and in the area of compound semiconductor integrated circuits.