Predictive Methods for Football and Betting Markets

Predictive Methods for Football and Betting Markets

Author: Enrique Dóal Pérez Frías

Publisher: Enrique Dóal Pérez Frías

Published: 2023-09-23

Total Pages: 349

ISBN-13:

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What variables are relevant to predict the future results of a football team? Are there any inefficiencies in the betting markets that can be exploited? How many games are necessary to correctly measure the level of a team or a footballer? Is it better to bet on a team that is on a winning streak or is it better to bet on a team that is on a losing streak? What is the probability that a team that has just been promoted will be relegated in the next few seasons? What is the optimal size and composition of a team squad? How are the best and worst clubs different? What are the best bookmakers? In this book the reader will find the answer to these and many other questions about the beautiful game, thanks to data mining techniques applied to a historical database of more than 200,000 football matches and a statistical approach explained in an easily accesible style.


Book Synopsis Predictive Methods for Football and Betting Markets by : Enrique Dóal Pérez Frías

Download or read book Predictive Methods for Football and Betting Markets written by Enrique Dóal Pérez Frías and published by Enrique Dóal Pérez Frías. This book was released on 2023-09-23 with total page 349 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What variables are relevant to predict the future results of a football team? Are there any inefficiencies in the betting markets that can be exploited? How many games are necessary to correctly measure the level of a team or a footballer? Is it better to bet on a team that is on a winning streak or is it better to bet on a team that is on a losing streak? What is the probability that a team that has just been promoted will be relegated in the next few seasons? What is the optimal size and composition of a team squad? How are the best and worst clubs different? What are the best bookmakers? In this book the reader will find the answer to these and many other questions about the beautiful game, thanks to data mining techniques applied to a historical database of more than 200,000 football matches and a statistical approach explained in an easily accesible style.


Predictive Methods for Football and Betting Markets

Predictive Methods for Football and Betting Markets

Author: Enrique Dóal Perez Frias

Publisher: Independently Published

Published: 2023-01-17

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13:

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What variables are relevant to predict the future results of a football team? Are there any inefficiencies in the betting markets that can be exploited? How many games are necessary to correctly measure the level of a team or a footballer? Is it better to bet on a team that is on a winning streak or is it better to bet on a team that is on a losing streak? What is the probability that a team that has just been promoted will be relegated in the next few seasons? What is the optimal size and composition of a team squad? How are the best and worst clubs different? What are the best bookmakers? In this book the reader will find the answer to these and many other questions about the beautiful game, thanks to data mining techniques applied to a historical database of more than 200,000 football matches and a statistical approach explained in an easily accesible style.


Book Synopsis Predictive Methods for Football and Betting Markets by : Enrique Dóal Perez Frias

Download or read book Predictive Methods for Football and Betting Markets written by Enrique Dóal Perez Frias and published by Independently Published. This book was released on 2023-01-17 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What variables are relevant to predict the future results of a football team? Are there any inefficiencies in the betting markets that can be exploited? How many games are necessary to correctly measure the level of a team or a footballer? Is it better to bet on a team that is on a winning streak or is it better to bet on a team that is on a losing streak? What is the probability that a team that has just been promoted will be relegated in the next few seasons? What is the optimal size and composition of a team squad? How are the best and worst clubs different? What are the best bookmakers? In this book the reader will find the answer to these and many other questions about the beautiful game, thanks to data mining techniques applied to a historical database of more than 200,000 football matches and a statistical approach explained in an easily accesible style.


Information Efficiency in Financial and Betting Markets

Information Efficiency in Financial and Betting Markets

Author: Leighton Vaughan Williams

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2005-09-29

Total Pages: 412

ISBN-13: 1139445405

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The degree to which markets incorporate information is one of the most important questions facing economists today. This book provides a fascinating study of the existence and extent of information efficiency in financial markets, with a special focus on betting markets. Betting markets are selected for study because they incorporate features highly appropriate to a study of information efficiency, in particular the fact that each bet has a well-defined end point at which its value becomes certain. Using international examples, this book reviews and analyses the issue of information efficiency in both financial and betting markets. Part I is an extensive survey of the existing literature, while Part II presents a range of readings by leading academics. Insights gained from the book will interest students of financial economics, financial market analysts, mathematicians and statisticians, and all those with a special interest in finance or gambling.


Book Synopsis Information Efficiency in Financial and Betting Markets by : Leighton Vaughan Williams

Download or read book Information Efficiency in Financial and Betting Markets written by Leighton Vaughan Williams and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2005-09-29 with total page 412 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The degree to which markets incorporate information is one of the most important questions facing economists today. This book provides a fascinating study of the existence and extent of information efficiency in financial markets, with a special focus on betting markets. Betting markets are selected for study because they incorporate features highly appropriate to a study of information efficiency, in particular the fact that each bet has a well-defined end point at which its value becomes certain. Using international examples, this book reviews and analyses the issue of information efficiency in both financial and betting markets. Part I is an extensive survey of the existing literature, while Part II presents a range of readings by leading academics. Insights gained from the book will interest students of financial economics, financial market analysts, mathematicians and statisticians, and all those with a special interest in finance or gambling.


Data-Driven Football Predictions: Constructing the Perfect Over 2. 5 Goals Betting Strategy for the English Premier League

Data-Driven Football Predictions: Constructing the Perfect Over 2. 5 Goals Betting Strategy for the English Premier League

Author: Martin Chamberlain

Publisher:

Published: 2019-08-19

Total Pages: 98

ISBN-13: 9781097263981

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Inspired by the fact that only 5% of football punters make a profit over the long term ,a group of data scientists created the Football Data Labs project with the aim of developing profitable, data-driven and easily applicable betting strategies for novice and experienced punters alike. The first publication of the Data-Driven Football Predictions series will cover a betting methodology for the over 2.5 goals market, as applied to the English Premier League. The book will serve three purposes. Firstly, it will present a data-driven league-specific, profitable and back-tested betting strategy with detailed illustrations and examples. Secondly, by presenting each step of the betting methodology, the book will actually serve as a guide on constructing any sports betting strategy. Lastly, the book will introduce the novice bettors with some of the most relevant factors to consider when placing an over 2.5 goals bet. By reviewing data patterns as applied to the English Premier League, the book will expose the power of league-specific data patterns. This book will help transform the typical fun-loving recreational punter into a wealthier and data-wise smarter ... fun-loving punter. After all, the major inspiration for this book, and for the Football Data Labs project as a whole, is to educate bettors about profitable data patterns that would give them an edge against the bookmakers.


Book Synopsis Data-Driven Football Predictions: Constructing the Perfect Over 2. 5 Goals Betting Strategy for the English Premier League by : Martin Chamberlain

Download or read book Data-Driven Football Predictions: Constructing the Perfect Over 2. 5 Goals Betting Strategy for the English Premier League written by Martin Chamberlain and published by . This book was released on 2019-08-19 with total page 98 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inspired by the fact that only 5% of football punters make a profit over the long term ,a group of data scientists created the Football Data Labs project with the aim of developing profitable, data-driven and easily applicable betting strategies for novice and experienced punters alike. The first publication of the Data-Driven Football Predictions series will cover a betting methodology for the over 2.5 goals market, as applied to the English Premier League. The book will serve three purposes. Firstly, it will present a data-driven league-specific, profitable and back-tested betting strategy with detailed illustrations and examples. Secondly, by presenting each step of the betting methodology, the book will actually serve as a guide on constructing any sports betting strategy. Lastly, the book will introduce the novice bettors with some of the most relevant factors to consider when placing an over 2.5 goals bet. By reviewing data patterns as applied to the English Premier League, the book will expose the power of league-specific data patterns. This book will help transform the typical fun-loving recreational punter into a wealthier and data-wise smarter ... fun-loving punter. After all, the major inspiration for this book, and for the Football Data Labs project as a whole, is to educate bettors about profitable data patterns that would give them an edge against the bookmakers.


The Football Code

The Football Code

Author: James Tippett

Publisher: Self-Publisher

Published: 2017-09-06

Total Pages: 268

ISBN-13: 9781527211940

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The Football Code outlines an innovative, ground-breaking philosophy that will change the way you watch the beautiful game. In a sport which is so largely dictated by randomness, how can we accurately assess the performance of teams, players and managers? How can we tell who is good and who is simply lucky? The Football Code teaches how a more scientific approach can eradicate the damaging effects of chance, leaving a clearer image of what is actually happening on the field of play. Only then can managers sign better players. Only then can pundits offer better judgements. Only then can fans compile better fantasy football teams. This book addresses the intrinsic errors and inefficiencies which plague the sport, whilst at the same time revealing the top secret methods that professional gambling syndicates use to predict future outcomes. Above all, it discloses the top secret, data-driven system that one football mastermind has used to make millions in the betting markets, and that has allowed the Championship team he owns to punch spectacularly above its financial weight. Football has finally found it's answer to baseball's 'Moneyball'. "Any fan who doesn't read this book will be left behind." - William Lund. "Unveils a revolutionary approach to the transfer market. Truly exceptional." - FootballNow. "A masterclass. The sport of football will never be the same again" - Levi Janssen.


Book Synopsis The Football Code by : James Tippett

Download or read book The Football Code written by James Tippett and published by Self-Publisher. This book was released on 2017-09-06 with total page 268 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Football Code outlines an innovative, ground-breaking philosophy that will change the way you watch the beautiful game. In a sport which is so largely dictated by randomness, how can we accurately assess the performance of teams, players and managers? How can we tell who is good and who is simply lucky? The Football Code teaches how a more scientific approach can eradicate the damaging effects of chance, leaving a clearer image of what is actually happening on the field of play. Only then can managers sign better players. Only then can pundits offer better judgements. Only then can fans compile better fantasy football teams. This book addresses the intrinsic errors and inefficiencies which plague the sport, whilst at the same time revealing the top secret methods that professional gambling syndicates use to predict future outcomes. Above all, it discloses the top secret, data-driven system that one football mastermind has used to make millions in the betting markets, and that has allowed the Championship team he owns to punch spectacularly above its financial weight. Football has finally found it's answer to baseball's 'Moneyball'. "Any fan who doesn't read this book will be left behind." - William Lund. "Unveils a revolutionary approach to the transfer market. Truly exceptional." - FootballNow. "A masterclass. The sport of football will never be the same again" - Levi Janssen.


Gambler's Dharma

Gambler's Dharma

Author: Simon Chokoisky

Publisher: Simon and Schuster

Published: 2017-04-24

Total Pages: 240

ISBN-13: 1620555662

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Win bets on sporting events using the prediction system of Vedic Astrology • Describes the basics of Vedic Astrology and how it can be applied to sports betting • Outlines 5 powerful techniques for predicting the outcome of any one-on-one competition • Details how to determine the physical strength of each side, whose motivation and drive to win is strongest, and who has fate on their side Everything that is born, which has a lifespan and an ending, is a space-time event. That includes contests as well as human beings. And just as your personal astrological chart can describe success or failure in various areas of your life, so too can a contest chart created from the time, date, and location of an event show us winners and losers of one-on-one competitions. Drawing on traditional Vedic Astrology as well as his own research and winning experience, Simon Chokoisky outlines 5 powerful techniques for predicting the outcome of any competition between two opponents with 70–80 percent accuracy. He explains how sports betting offers black-and-white outcomes and you do not have to be an advanced astrologer to understand the principles in this book or to apply them to daily life. Using examples from his bets in the World Cup and baseball, the author shows how to judge the favorite and determine the underdog’s chances by looking into the body, mind, and soul of a team and its players. He details how to use the planets to determine the physical strength of each side and whose motivation, mental toughness, and drive to win is strongest as well as the more subtle spiritual nature of each team--who is luckier and who has fate on their side. He details how he used these simple principles to win hundreds of bets and how he now uses them to fund charitable causes. Including personal stories of his experiences with grace, beginner’s luck, and the Vedic philosophy of karma and dharma, Chokoisky demonstrates how the planets and stars relate not only to our sports competitions but also our individual lives. He shows us how the astrologer must become part of the prediction, how a bad day can mean bad luck, and how to ride the wave of good fortune by avoiding specific days that are ill-disposed to betting. Chokoisky explains that one way to remain in the good graces of the gods is to donate a portion of your winnings to charity. He describes how right conduct is essential to continue profiting from this technique and how your own karma and dharma can indicate how to approach gambling as well as how to use your winnings.


Book Synopsis Gambler's Dharma by : Simon Chokoisky

Download or read book Gambler's Dharma written by Simon Chokoisky and published by Simon and Schuster. This book was released on 2017-04-24 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Win bets on sporting events using the prediction system of Vedic Astrology • Describes the basics of Vedic Astrology and how it can be applied to sports betting • Outlines 5 powerful techniques for predicting the outcome of any one-on-one competition • Details how to determine the physical strength of each side, whose motivation and drive to win is strongest, and who has fate on their side Everything that is born, which has a lifespan and an ending, is a space-time event. That includes contests as well as human beings. And just as your personal astrological chart can describe success or failure in various areas of your life, so too can a contest chart created from the time, date, and location of an event show us winners and losers of one-on-one competitions. Drawing on traditional Vedic Astrology as well as his own research and winning experience, Simon Chokoisky outlines 5 powerful techniques for predicting the outcome of any competition between two opponents with 70–80 percent accuracy. He explains how sports betting offers black-and-white outcomes and you do not have to be an advanced astrologer to understand the principles in this book or to apply them to daily life. Using examples from his bets in the World Cup and baseball, the author shows how to judge the favorite and determine the underdog’s chances by looking into the body, mind, and soul of a team and its players. He details how to use the planets to determine the physical strength of each side and whose motivation, mental toughness, and drive to win is strongest as well as the more subtle spiritual nature of each team--who is luckier and who has fate on their side. He details how he used these simple principles to win hundreds of bets and how he now uses them to fund charitable causes. Including personal stories of his experiences with grace, beginner’s luck, and the Vedic philosophy of karma and dharma, Chokoisky demonstrates how the planets and stars relate not only to our sports competitions but also our individual lives. He shows us how the astrologer must become part of the prediction, how a bad day can mean bad luck, and how to ride the wave of good fortune by avoiding specific days that are ill-disposed to betting. Chokoisky explains that one way to remain in the good graces of the gods is to donate a portion of your winnings to charity. He describes how right conduct is essential to continue profiting from this technique and how your own karma and dharma can indicate how to approach gambling as well as how to use your winnings.


Economics of Betting Markets

Economics of Betting Markets

Author: David Peel

Publisher: Routledge

Published: 2013-09-13

Total Pages: 130

ISBN-13: 131798823X

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During the last few decades, commercial gambling has increased substantially throughout the Western world. More people than ever before have access to sources of legalised gambling, leading to bumper revenues for the institutions involved. Naturally enough, this has led to an increased interest in the area of the economics of betting. This book addresses the issues raised by the continued growth of the gambling sector. How can we model the behaviour of people who seemingly act irrationally? What are the implications of different tax policies with regard to gambling? Are casinos capable of taking money away from state-run lotteries and the causes they fund? Can bookmakers’ odds be influenced in such a way as to make the gambling market inefficient? The authors in this volume provide insights based on data from many different countries, including England, the USA, Australia, Spain and Cyprus. This volume brings together work which addresses the economic impact of the huge growth of commercial gambling in the Western world, as well as trying to model the cognitive processes which can explain why individuals are prepared to behave in such apparently irrational ways. This book was published as a special issue of Applied Economics. The academic editor of this journal is Mark P. Taylor.


Book Synopsis Economics of Betting Markets by : David Peel

Download or read book Economics of Betting Markets written by David Peel and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-09-13 with total page 130 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: During the last few decades, commercial gambling has increased substantially throughout the Western world. More people than ever before have access to sources of legalised gambling, leading to bumper revenues for the institutions involved. Naturally enough, this has led to an increased interest in the area of the economics of betting. This book addresses the issues raised by the continued growth of the gambling sector. How can we model the behaviour of people who seemingly act irrationally? What are the implications of different tax policies with regard to gambling? Are casinos capable of taking money away from state-run lotteries and the causes they fund? Can bookmakers’ odds be influenced in such a way as to make the gambling market inefficient? The authors in this volume provide insights based on data from many different countries, including England, the USA, Australia, Spain and Cyprus. This volume brings together work which addresses the economic impact of the huge growth of commercial gambling in the Western world, as well as trying to model the cognitive processes which can explain why individuals are prepared to behave in such apparently irrational ways. This book was published as a special issue of Applied Economics. The academic editor of this journal is Mark P. Taylor.


The Economics of Sports Betting

The Economics of Sports Betting

Author: Plácido Rodríguez

Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing

Published:

Total Pages:

ISBN-13: 1785364553

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This unique book delves into a number of intriguing issues and addresses several pertinent questions including, should gambling markets be privatized? Is the ‘hot hand’ hypothesis real or a myth? Are the ‘many’ smarter than the ‘few’ in estimating betting odds? How are prices set in fixed odds betting markets? The book also explores the informational efficiency of betting markets and the prevalence of corruption and illegal betting in sports.


Book Synopsis The Economics of Sports Betting by : Plácido Rodríguez

Download or read book The Economics of Sports Betting written by Plácido Rodríguez and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This unique book delves into a number of intriguing issues and addresses several pertinent questions including, should gambling markets be privatized? Is the ‘hot hand’ hypothesis real or a myth? Are the ‘many’ smarter than the ‘few’ in estimating betting odds? How are prices set in fixed odds betting markets? The book also explores the informational efficiency of betting markets and the prevalence of corruption and illegal betting in sports.


How to Win Your NCAA Tournament Pool

How to Win Your NCAA Tournament Pool

Author: Ed Feng

Publisher:

Published: 2016-12-16

Total Pages:

ISBN-13: 9780998442303

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Book Synopsis How to Win Your NCAA Tournament Pool by : Ed Feng

Download or read book How to Win Your NCAA Tournament Pool written by Ed Feng and published by . This book was released on 2016-12-16 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:


Computer and Information Science

Computer and Information Science

Author: Roger Lee

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2008-05-07

Total Pages: 284

ISBN-13: 3540791876

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The 7th IEEE/ACIS Conference and the 2nd IEEE/ACIS Workshop on e-Activity (IWEA 2008) featured researchers from around the world. The conference organizers selected 23 outstanding papers for this volume of Springer’s Studies in Computational Intelligence.


Book Synopsis Computer and Information Science by : Roger Lee

Download or read book Computer and Information Science written by Roger Lee and published by Springer. This book was released on 2008-05-07 with total page 284 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The 7th IEEE/ACIS Conference and the 2nd IEEE/ACIS Workshop on e-Activity (IWEA 2008) featured researchers from around the world. The conference organizers selected 23 outstanding papers for this volume of Springer’s Studies in Computational Intelligence.