Probabilistic Logic Networks

Probabilistic Logic Networks

Author: Ben Goertzel

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2008-12-16

Total Pages: 331

ISBN-13: 0387768726

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Abstract In this chapter we provide an overview of probabilistic logic networks (PLN), including our motivations for developing PLN and the guiding principles underlying PLN. We discuss foundational choices we made, introduce PLN knowledge representation, and briefly introduce inference rules and truth-values. We also place PLN in context with other approaches to uncertain inference. 1.1 Motivations This book presents Probabilistic Logic Networks (PLN), a systematic and pragmatic framework for computationally carrying out uncertain reasoning – r- soning about uncertain data, and/or reasoning involving uncertain conclusions. We begin with a few comments about why we believe this is such an interesting and important domain of investigation. First of all, we hold to a philosophical perspective in which “reasoning” – properly understood – plays a central role in cognitive activity. We realize that other perspectives exist; in particular, logical reasoning is sometimes construed as a special kind of cognition that humans carry out only occasionally, as a deviation from their usual (intuitive, emotional, pragmatic, sensorimotor, etc.) modes of thought. However, we consider this alternative view to be valid only according to a very limited definition of “logic.” Construed properly, we suggest, logical reasoning may be understood as the basic framework underlying all forms of cognition, including those conventionally thought of as illogical and irrational.


Book Synopsis Probabilistic Logic Networks by : Ben Goertzel

Download or read book Probabilistic Logic Networks written by Ben Goertzel and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-12-16 with total page 331 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abstract In this chapter we provide an overview of probabilistic logic networks (PLN), including our motivations for developing PLN and the guiding principles underlying PLN. We discuss foundational choices we made, introduce PLN knowledge representation, and briefly introduce inference rules and truth-values. We also place PLN in context with other approaches to uncertain inference. 1.1 Motivations This book presents Probabilistic Logic Networks (PLN), a systematic and pragmatic framework for computationally carrying out uncertain reasoning – r- soning about uncertain data, and/or reasoning involving uncertain conclusions. We begin with a few comments about why we believe this is such an interesting and important domain of investigation. First of all, we hold to a philosophical perspective in which “reasoning” – properly understood – plays a central role in cognitive activity. We realize that other perspectives exist; in particular, logical reasoning is sometimes construed as a special kind of cognition that humans carry out only occasionally, as a deviation from their usual (intuitive, emotional, pragmatic, sensorimotor, etc.) modes of thought. However, we consider this alternative view to be valid only according to a very limited definition of “logic.” Construed properly, we suggest, logical reasoning may be understood as the basic framework underlying all forms of cognition, including those conventionally thought of as illogical and irrational.

Probabilistic Logics and Probabilistic Networks

Probabilistic Logics and Probabilistic Networks

Author: Rolf Haenni

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2010-11-19

Total Pages: 154

ISBN-13: 9400700083

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While probabilistic logics in principle might be applied to solve a range of problems, in practice they are rarely applied - perhaps because they seem disparate, complicated, and computationally intractable. This programmatic book argues that several approaches to probabilistic logic fit into a simple unifying framework in which logically complex evidence is used to associate probability intervals or probabilities with sentences. Specifically, Part I shows that there is a natural way to present a question posed in probabilistic logic, and that various inferential procedures provide semantics for that question, while Part II shows that there is the potential to develop computationally feasible methods to mesh with this framework. The book is intended for researchers in philosophy, logic, computer science and statistics. A familiarity with mathematical concepts and notation is presumed, but no advanced knowledge of logic or probability theory is required.


Book Synopsis Probabilistic Logics and Probabilistic Networks by : Rolf Haenni

Download or read book Probabilistic Logics and Probabilistic Networks written by Rolf Haenni and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-11-19 with total page 154 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: While probabilistic logics in principle might be applied to solve a range of problems, in practice they are rarely applied - perhaps because they seem disparate, complicated, and computationally intractable. This programmatic book argues that several approaches to probabilistic logic fit into a simple unifying framework in which logically complex evidence is used to associate probability intervals or probabilities with sentences. Specifically, Part I shows that there is a natural way to present a question posed in probabilistic logic, and that various inferential procedures provide semantics for that question, while Part II shows that there is the potential to develop computationally feasible methods to mesh with this framework. The book is intended for researchers in philosophy, logic, computer science and statistics. A familiarity with mathematical concepts and notation is presumed, but no advanced knowledge of logic or probability theory is required.

Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems

Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems

Author: Judea Pearl

Publisher: Elsevier

Published: 2014-06-28

Total Pages: 552

ISBN-13: 0080514898

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Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems is a complete and accessible account of the theoretical foundations and computational methods that underlie plausible reasoning under uncertainty. The author provides a coherent explication of probability as a language for reasoning with partial belief and offers a unifying perspective on other AI approaches to uncertainty, such as the Dempster-Shafer formalism, truth maintenance systems, and nonmonotonic logic. The author distinguishes syntactic and semantic approaches to uncertainty--and offers techniques, based on belief networks, that provide a mechanism for making semantics-based systems operational. Specifically, network-propagation techniques serve as a mechanism for combining the theoretical coherence of probability theory with modern demands of reasoning-systems technology: modular declarative inputs, conceptually meaningful inferences, and parallel distributed computation. Application areas include diagnosis, forecasting, image interpretation, multi-sensor fusion, decision support systems, plan recognition, planning, speech recognition--in short, almost every task requiring that conclusions be drawn from uncertain clues and incomplete information. Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems will be of special interest to scholars and researchers in AI, decision theory, statistics, logic, philosophy, cognitive psychology, and the management sciences. Professionals in the areas of knowledge-based systems, operations research, engineering, and statistics will find theoretical and computational tools of immediate practical use. The book can also be used as an excellent text for graduate-level courses in AI, operations research, or applied probability.


Book Synopsis Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems by : Judea Pearl

Download or read book Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems written by Judea Pearl and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2014-06-28 with total page 552 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems is a complete and accessible account of the theoretical foundations and computational methods that underlie plausible reasoning under uncertainty. The author provides a coherent explication of probability as a language for reasoning with partial belief and offers a unifying perspective on other AI approaches to uncertainty, such as the Dempster-Shafer formalism, truth maintenance systems, and nonmonotonic logic. The author distinguishes syntactic and semantic approaches to uncertainty--and offers techniques, based on belief networks, that provide a mechanism for making semantics-based systems operational. Specifically, network-propagation techniques serve as a mechanism for combining the theoretical coherence of probability theory with modern demands of reasoning-systems technology: modular declarative inputs, conceptually meaningful inferences, and parallel distributed computation. Application areas include diagnosis, forecasting, image interpretation, multi-sensor fusion, decision support systems, plan recognition, planning, speech recognition--in short, almost every task requiring that conclusions be drawn from uncertain clues and incomplete information. Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems will be of special interest to scholars and researchers in AI, decision theory, statistics, logic, philosophy, cognitive psychology, and the management sciences. Professionals in the areas of knowledge-based systems, operations research, engineering, and statistics will find theoretical and computational tools of immediate practical use. The book can also be used as an excellent text for graduate-level courses in AI, operations research, or applied probability.

Probabilistic Logics and Probabilistic Networks

Probabilistic Logics and Probabilistic Networks

Author: Rolf Haenni

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2011-04-08

Total Pages: 155

ISBN-13: 9789400700093

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While probabilistic logics in principle might be applied to solve a range of problems, in practice they are rarely applied - perhaps because they seem disparate, complicated, and computationally intractable. This programmatic book argues that several approaches to probabilistic logic fit into a simple unifying framework in which logically complex evidence is used to associate probability intervals or probabilities with sentences. Specifically, Part I shows that there is a natural way to present a question posed in probabilistic logic, and that various inferential procedures provide semantics for that question, while Part II shows that there is the potential to develop computationally feasible methods to mesh with this framework. The book is intended for researchers in philosophy, logic, computer science and statistics. A familiarity with mathematical concepts and notation is presumed, but no advanced knowledge of logic or probability theory is required.


Book Synopsis Probabilistic Logics and Probabilistic Networks by : Rolf Haenni

Download or read book Probabilistic Logics and Probabilistic Networks written by Rolf Haenni and published by Springer. This book was released on 2011-04-08 with total page 155 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: While probabilistic logics in principle might be applied to solve a range of problems, in practice they are rarely applied - perhaps because they seem disparate, complicated, and computationally intractable. This programmatic book argues that several approaches to probabilistic logic fit into a simple unifying framework in which logically complex evidence is used to associate probability intervals or probabilities with sentences. Specifically, Part I shows that there is a natural way to present a question posed in probabilistic logic, and that various inferential procedures provide semantics for that question, while Part II shows that there is the potential to develop computationally feasible methods to mesh with this framework. The book is intended for researchers in philosophy, logic, computer science and statistics. A familiarity with mathematical concepts and notation is presumed, but no advanced knowledge of logic or probability theory is required.

Probabilistic Inductive Logic Programming

Probabilistic Inductive Logic Programming

Author: Luc De Raedt

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2008-02-26

Total Pages: 348

ISBN-13: 354078652X

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This book provides an introduction to probabilistic inductive logic programming. It places emphasis on the methods based on logic programming principles and covers formalisms and systems, implementations and applications, as well as theory.


Book Synopsis Probabilistic Inductive Logic Programming by : Luc De Raedt

Download or read book Probabilistic Inductive Logic Programming written by Luc De Raedt and published by Springer. This book was released on 2008-02-26 with total page 348 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides an introduction to probabilistic inductive logic programming. It places emphasis on the methods based on logic programming principles and covers formalisms and systems, implementations and applications, as well as theory.

Probability on Trees and Networks

Probability on Trees and Networks

Author: Russell Lyons

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2017-01-20

Total Pages: 1106

ISBN-13: 1316785335

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Starting around the late 1950s, several research communities began relating the geometry of graphs to stochastic processes on these graphs. This book, twenty years in the making, ties together research in the field, encompassing work on percolation, isoperimetric inequalities, eigenvalues, transition probabilities, and random walks. Written by two leading researchers, the text emphasizes intuition, while giving complete proofs and more than 850 exercises. Many recent developments, in which the authors have played a leading role, are discussed, including percolation on trees and Cayley graphs, uniform spanning forests, the mass-transport technique, and connections on random walks on graphs to embedding in Hilbert space. This state-of-the-art account of probability on networks will be indispensable for graduate students and researchers alike.


Book Synopsis Probability on Trees and Networks by : Russell Lyons

Download or read book Probability on Trees and Networks written by Russell Lyons and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2017-01-20 with total page 1106 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Starting around the late 1950s, several research communities began relating the geometry of graphs to stochastic processes on these graphs. This book, twenty years in the making, ties together research in the field, encompassing work on percolation, isoperimetric inequalities, eigenvalues, transition probabilities, and random walks. Written by two leading researchers, the text emphasizes intuition, while giving complete proofs and more than 850 exercises. Many recent developments, in which the authors have played a leading role, are discussed, including percolation on trees and Cayley graphs, uniform spanning forests, the mass-transport technique, and connections on random walks on graphs to embedding in Hilbert space. This state-of-the-art account of probability on networks will be indispensable for graduate students and researchers alike.

Probabilistic Logics and Probabilistic Networks

Probabilistic Logics and Probabilistic Networks

Author: Rolf Haenni

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2010-12-02

Total Pages: 155

ISBN-13: 9789400700079

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While probabilistic logics in principle might be applied to solve a range of problems, in practice they are rarely applied - perhaps because they seem disparate, complicated, and computationally intractable. This programmatic book argues that several approaches to probabilistic logic fit into a simple unifying framework in which logically complex evidence is used to associate probability intervals or probabilities with sentences. Specifically, Part I shows that there is a natural way to present a question posed in probabilistic logic, and that various inferential procedures provide semantics for that question, while Part II shows that there is the potential to develop computationally feasible methods to mesh with this framework. The book is intended for researchers in philosophy, logic, computer science and statistics. A familiarity with mathematical concepts and notation is presumed, but no advanced knowledge of logic or probability theory is required.


Book Synopsis Probabilistic Logics and Probabilistic Networks by : Rolf Haenni

Download or read book Probabilistic Logics and Probabilistic Networks written by Rolf Haenni and published by Springer. This book was released on 2010-12-02 with total page 155 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: While probabilistic logics in principle might be applied to solve a range of problems, in practice they are rarely applied - perhaps because they seem disparate, complicated, and computationally intractable. This programmatic book argues that several approaches to probabilistic logic fit into a simple unifying framework in which logically complex evidence is used to associate probability intervals or probabilities with sentences. Specifically, Part I shows that there is a natural way to present a question posed in probabilistic logic, and that various inferential procedures provide semantics for that question, while Part II shows that there is the potential to develop computationally feasible methods to mesh with this framework. The book is intended for researchers in philosophy, logic, computer science and statistics. A familiarity with mathematical concepts and notation is presumed, but no advanced knowledge of logic or probability theory is required.

Probabilistic Inductive Logic Programming

Probabilistic Inductive Logic Programming

Author: Luc De Raedt

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2008-03-14

Total Pages: 348

ISBN-13: 3540786511

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The question, how to combine probability and logic with learning, is getting an increased attention in several disciplines such as knowledge representation, reasoning about uncertainty, data mining, and machine learning simulateously. This results in the newly emerging subfield known under the names of statistical relational learning and probabilistic inductive logic programming. This book provides an introduction to the field with an emphasis on the methods based on logic programming principles. It is concerned with formalisms and systems, implementations and applications, as well as with the theory of probabilistic inductive logic programming. The 13 chapters of this state-of-the-art survey start with an introduction to probabilistic inductive logic programming; moreover the book presents a detailed overview of the most important probabilistic logic learning formalisms and systems such as relational sequence learning techniques, using kernels with logical representations, Markov logic, the PRISM system, CLP(BN), Bayesian logic programs, and the independent choice logic. The third part provides a detailed account of some show-case applications of probabilistic inductive logic programming. The final part touches upon some theoretical investigations and includes chapters on behavioural comparison of probabilistic logic programming representations and a model-theoretic expressivity analysis.


Book Synopsis Probabilistic Inductive Logic Programming by : Luc De Raedt

Download or read book Probabilistic Inductive Logic Programming written by Luc De Raedt and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-03-14 with total page 348 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The question, how to combine probability and logic with learning, is getting an increased attention in several disciplines such as knowledge representation, reasoning about uncertainty, data mining, and machine learning simulateously. This results in the newly emerging subfield known under the names of statistical relational learning and probabilistic inductive logic programming. This book provides an introduction to the field with an emphasis on the methods based on logic programming principles. It is concerned with formalisms and systems, implementations and applications, as well as with the theory of probabilistic inductive logic programming. The 13 chapters of this state-of-the-art survey start with an introduction to probabilistic inductive logic programming; moreover the book presents a detailed overview of the most important probabilistic logic learning formalisms and systems such as relational sequence learning techniques, using kernels with logical representations, Markov logic, the PRISM system, CLP(BN), Bayesian logic programs, and the independent choice logic. The third part provides a detailed account of some show-case applications of probabilistic inductive logic programming. The final part touches upon some theoretical investigations and includes chapters on behavioural comparison of probabilistic logic programming representations and a model-theoretic expressivity analysis.

Probabilistic Networks and Expert Systems

Probabilistic Networks and Expert Systems

Author: Robert G. Cowell

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2007-07-16

Total Pages: 340

ISBN-13: 9780387718231

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Probabilistic expert systems are graphical networks which support the modeling of uncertainty and decisions in large complex domains, while retaining ease of calculation. Building on original research by the authors, this book gives a thorough and rigorous mathematical treatment of the underlying ideas, structures, and algorithms. The book will be of interest to researchers in both artificial intelligence and statistics, who desire an introduction to this fascinating and rapidly developing field. The book, winner of the DeGroot Prize 2002, the only book prize in the field of statistics, is new in paperback.


Book Synopsis Probabilistic Networks and Expert Systems by : Robert G. Cowell

Download or read book Probabilistic Networks and Expert Systems written by Robert G. Cowell and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-07-16 with total page 340 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Probabilistic expert systems are graphical networks which support the modeling of uncertainty and decisions in large complex domains, while retaining ease of calculation. Building on original research by the authors, this book gives a thorough and rigorous mathematical treatment of the underlying ideas, structures, and algorithms. The book will be of interest to researchers in both artificial intelligence and statistics, who desire an introduction to this fascinating and rapidly developing field. The book, winner of the DeGroot Prize 2002, the only book prize in the field of statistics, is new in paperback.

Bayesian Networks for Probabilistic Inference and Decision Analysis in Forensic Science

Bayesian Networks for Probabilistic Inference and Decision Analysis in Forensic Science

Author: Franco Taroni

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2014-09-22

Total Pages: 472

ISBN-13: 0470979739

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Bayesian Networks “This book should have a place on the bookshelf of every forensic scientist who cares about the science of evidence interpretation.” Dr. Ian Evett, Principal Forensic Services Ltd, London, UK Bayesian Networks for Probabilistic Inference and Decision Analysis in Forensic Science Second Edition Continuing developments in science and technology mean that the amounts of information forensic scientists are able to provide for criminal investigations is ever increasing. The commensurate increase in complexity creates diffculties for scientists and lawyers with regard to evaluation and interpretation, notably with respect to issues of inference and decision. Probability theory, implemented through graphical methods, and specifically Bayesian networks, provides powerful methods to deal with this complexity. Extensions of these methods to elements of decision theory provide further support and assistance to the judicial system. Bayesian Networks for Probabilistic Inference and Decision Analysis in Forensic Science provides a unique and comprehensive introduction to the use of Bayesian decision networks for the evaluation and interpretation of scientific findings in forensic science, and for the support of decision-makers in their scientific and legal tasks. Includes self-contained introductions to probability and decision theory. Develops the characteristics of Bayesian networks, object-oriented Bayesian networks and their extension to decision models. Features implementation of the methodology with reference to commercial and academically available software. Presents standard networks and their extensions that can be easily implemented and that can assist in the reader’s own analysis of real cases. Provides a technique for structuring problems and organizing data based on methods and principles of scientific reasoning. Contains a method for the construction of coherent and defensible arguments for the analysis and evaluation of scientific findings and for decisions based on them. Is written in a lucid style, suitable for forensic scientists and lawyers with minimal mathematical background. Includes a foreword by Ian Evett. The clear and accessible style of this second edition makes this book ideal for all forensic scientists, applied statisticians and graduate students wishing to evaluate forensic findings from the perspective of probability and decision analysis. It will also appeal to lawyers and other scientists and professionals interested in the evaluation and interpretation of forensic findings, including decision making based on scientific information.


Book Synopsis Bayesian Networks for Probabilistic Inference and Decision Analysis in Forensic Science by : Franco Taroni

Download or read book Bayesian Networks for Probabilistic Inference and Decision Analysis in Forensic Science written by Franco Taroni and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2014-09-22 with total page 472 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bayesian Networks “This book should have a place on the bookshelf of every forensic scientist who cares about the science of evidence interpretation.” Dr. Ian Evett, Principal Forensic Services Ltd, London, UK Bayesian Networks for Probabilistic Inference and Decision Analysis in Forensic Science Second Edition Continuing developments in science and technology mean that the amounts of information forensic scientists are able to provide for criminal investigations is ever increasing. The commensurate increase in complexity creates diffculties for scientists and lawyers with regard to evaluation and interpretation, notably with respect to issues of inference and decision. Probability theory, implemented through graphical methods, and specifically Bayesian networks, provides powerful methods to deal with this complexity. Extensions of these methods to elements of decision theory provide further support and assistance to the judicial system. Bayesian Networks for Probabilistic Inference and Decision Analysis in Forensic Science provides a unique and comprehensive introduction to the use of Bayesian decision networks for the evaluation and interpretation of scientific findings in forensic science, and for the support of decision-makers in their scientific and legal tasks. Includes self-contained introductions to probability and decision theory. Develops the characteristics of Bayesian networks, object-oriented Bayesian networks and their extension to decision models. Features implementation of the methodology with reference to commercial and academically available software. Presents standard networks and their extensions that can be easily implemented and that can assist in the reader’s own analysis of real cases. Provides a technique for structuring problems and organizing data based on methods and principles of scientific reasoning. Contains a method for the construction of coherent and defensible arguments for the analysis and evaluation of scientific findings and for decisions based on them. Is written in a lucid style, suitable for forensic scientists and lawyers with minimal mathematical background. Includes a foreword by Ian Evett. The clear and accessible style of this second edition makes this book ideal for all forensic scientists, applied statisticians and graduate students wishing to evaluate forensic findings from the perspective of probability and decision analysis. It will also appeal to lawyers and other scientists and professionals interested in the evaluation and interpretation of forensic findings, including decision making based on scientific information.