Attribution of Extreme Weather Events in the Context of Climate Change

Attribution of Extreme Weather Events in the Context of Climate Change

Author: National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine

Publisher: National Academies Press

Published: 2016-07-28

Total Pages: 187

ISBN-13: 0309380979

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As climate has warmed over recent years, a new pattern of more frequent and more intense weather events has unfolded across the globe. Climate models simulate such changes in extreme events, and some of the reasons for the changes are well understood. Warming increases the likelihood of extremely hot days and nights, favors increased atmospheric moisture that may result in more frequent heavy rainfall and snowfall, and leads to evaporation that can exacerbate droughts. Even with evidence of these broad trends, scientists cautioned in the past that individual weather events couldn't be attributed to climate change. Now, with advances in understanding the climate science behind extreme events and the science of extreme event attribution, such blanket statements may not be accurate. The relatively young science of extreme event attribution seeks to tease out the influence of human-cause climate change from other factors, such as natural sources of variability like El Niño, as contributors to individual extreme events. Event attribution can answer questions about how much climate change influenced the probability or intensity of a specific type of weather event. As event attribution capabilities improve, they could help inform choices about assessing and managing risk, and in guiding climate adaptation strategies. This report examines the current state of science of extreme weather attribution, and identifies ways to move the science forward to improve attribution capabilities.


Book Synopsis Attribution of Extreme Weather Events in the Context of Climate Change by : National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine

Download or read book Attribution of Extreme Weather Events in the Context of Climate Change written by National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2016-07-28 with total page 187 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As climate has warmed over recent years, a new pattern of more frequent and more intense weather events has unfolded across the globe. Climate models simulate such changes in extreme events, and some of the reasons for the changes are well understood. Warming increases the likelihood of extremely hot days and nights, favors increased atmospheric moisture that may result in more frequent heavy rainfall and snowfall, and leads to evaporation that can exacerbate droughts. Even with evidence of these broad trends, scientists cautioned in the past that individual weather events couldn't be attributed to climate change. Now, with advances in understanding the climate science behind extreme events and the science of extreme event attribution, such blanket statements may not be accurate. The relatively young science of extreme event attribution seeks to tease out the influence of human-cause climate change from other factors, such as natural sources of variability like El Niño, as contributors to individual extreme events. Event attribution can answer questions about how much climate change influenced the probability or intensity of a specific type of weather event. As event attribution capabilities improve, they could help inform choices about assessing and managing risk, and in guiding climate adaptation strategies. This report examines the current state of science of extreme weather attribution, and identifies ways to move the science forward to improve attribution capabilities.

Research on Short-term Weather Phenomena

Research on Short-term Weather Phenomena

Author: United States. Congress. House. Committee on Science and Astronautics. Subcommittee on Space Science and Applications

Publisher:

Published: 1974

Total Pages: 348

ISBN-13:

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Book Synopsis Research on Short-term Weather Phenomena by : United States. Congress. House. Committee on Science and Astronautics. Subcommittee on Space Science and Applications

Download or read book Research on Short-term Weather Phenomena written by United States. Congress. House. Committee on Science and Astronautics. Subcommittee on Space Science and Applications and published by . This book was released on 1974 with total page 348 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Climate and Social Stress

Climate and Social Stress

Author: National Research Council

Publisher: National Academies Press

Published: 2013-02-14

Total Pages: 253

ISBN-13: 0309278562

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Climate change can reasonably be expected to increase the frequency and intensity of a variety of potentially disruptive environmental events-slowly at first, but then more quickly. It is prudent to expect to be surprised by the way in which these events may cascade, or have far-reaching effects. During the coming decade, certain climate-related events will produce consequences that exceed the capacity of the affected societies or global systems to manage; these may have global security implications. Although focused on events outside the United States, Climate and Social Stress: Implications for Security Analysis recommends a range of research and policy actions to create a whole-of-government approach to increasing understanding of complex and contingent connections between climate and security, and to inform choices about adapting to and reducing vulnerability to climate change.


Book Synopsis Climate and Social Stress by : National Research Council

Download or read book Climate and Social Stress written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2013-02-14 with total page 253 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Climate change can reasonably be expected to increase the frequency and intensity of a variety of potentially disruptive environmental events-slowly at first, but then more quickly. It is prudent to expect to be surprised by the way in which these events may cascade, or have far-reaching effects. During the coming decade, certain climate-related events will produce consequences that exceed the capacity of the affected societies or global systems to manage; these may have global security implications. Although focused on events outside the United States, Climate and Social Stress: Implications for Security Analysis recommends a range of research and policy actions to create a whole-of-government approach to increasing understanding of complex and contingent connections between climate and security, and to inform choices about adapting to and reducing vulnerability to climate change.

The Atmospheric Sciences

The Atmospheric Sciences

Author: National Research Council

Publisher: National Academies Press

Published: 1998-11-22

Total Pages: 383

ISBN-13: 0309064155

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Technology has propelled the atmospheric sciences from a fledgling discipline to a global enterprise. Findings in this field shape a broad spectrum of decisionsâ€"what to wear outdoors, whether aircraft should fly, how to deal with the issue of climate change, and more. This book presents a comprehensive assessment of the atmospheric sciences and offers a vision for the future and a range of recommendations for federal authorities, the scientific community, and education administrators. How does atmospheric science contribute to national well-being? In the context of this question, the panel identifies imperatives in scientific observation, recommends directions for modeling and forecasting research, and examines management issues, including the growing problem of weather data availability. Five subdisciplinesâ€"physics, chemistry, dynamics and weather forecasting, upper atmosphere and near-earth space physics, climate and climate changeâ€"and their status as the science enters the twenty-first century are examined in detail, including recommendations for research. This readable book will be of interest to public-sector policy framers and private-sector decisionmakers as well as researchers, educators, and students in the atmospheric sciences.


Book Synopsis The Atmospheric Sciences by : National Research Council

Download or read book The Atmospheric Sciences written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 1998-11-22 with total page 383 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Technology has propelled the atmospheric sciences from a fledgling discipline to a global enterprise. Findings in this field shape a broad spectrum of decisionsâ€"what to wear outdoors, whether aircraft should fly, how to deal with the issue of climate change, and more. This book presents a comprehensive assessment of the atmospheric sciences and offers a vision for the future and a range of recommendations for federal authorities, the scientific community, and education administrators. How does atmospheric science contribute to national well-being? In the context of this question, the panel identifies imperatives in scientific observation, recommends directions for modeling and forecasting research, and examines management issues, including the growing problem of weather data availability. Five subdisciplinesâ€"physics, chemistry, dynamics and weather forecasting, upper atmosphere and near-earth space physics, climate and climate changeâ€"and their status as the science enters the twenty-first century are examined in detail, including recommendations for research. This readable book will be of interest to public-sector policy framers and private-sector decisionmakers as well as researchers, educators, and students in the atmospheric sciences.

Research on Short-term Weather Phenomena, Hearings Before the Subcommittee on Space Science and Applications of the Science and Astronautics Committee, 93-1, November 6, 7, 9, 1973

Research on Short-term Weather Phenomena, Hearings Before the Subcommittee on Space Science and Applications of the Science and Astronautics Committee, 93-1, November 6, 7, 9, 1973

Author: United States. Congress. House. Science and Astronautics

Publisher:

Published: 1974

Total Pages: 344

ISBN-13:

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Book Synopsis Research on Short-term Weather Phenomena, Hearings Before the Subcommittee on Space Science and Applications of the Science and Astronautics Committee, 93-1, November 6, 7, 9, 1973 by : United States. Congress. House. Science and Astronautics

Download or read book Research on Short-term Weather Phenomena, Hearings Before the Subcommittee on Space Science and Applications of the Science and Astronautics Committee, 93-1, November 6, 7, 9, 1973 written by United States. Congress. House. Science and Astronautics and published by . This book was released on 1974 with total page 344 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Research on Short-term Weather Phenomena

Research on Short-term Weather Phenomena

Author: United States. Congress. House. Committee on Science and Astronautics. Subcommittee on Space Science and Applications

Publisher:

Published: 1974

Total Pages: 352

ISBN-13:

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Book Synopsis Research on Short-term Weather Phenomena by : United States. Congress. House. Committee on Science and Astronautics. Subcommittee on Space Science and Applications

Download or read book Research on Short-term Weather Phenomena written by United States. Congress. House. Committee on Science and Astronautics. Subcommittee on Space Science and Applications and published by . This book was released on 1974 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Satellite Observations of the Earth's Environment

Satellite Observations of the Earth's Environment

Author: National Research Council

Publisher: National Academies Press

Published: 2003-07-03

Total Pages: 182

ISBN-13: 030908749X

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This report addresses the transition of research satellites, instruments, and calculations into operational service for accurately observing and predicting the Earth's environment. These transitions, which take place in large part between NASA and NOAA, are important for maintaining the health, safety, and prosperity of the nation, and for achieving the vision of an Earth Information System in which quantitative information about the complete Earth system is readily available to myriad users. Many transitions have been ad hoc, sometimes taking several years or even decades to occur, and others have encountered roadblocksâ€"lack of long-range planning, resources, institutional or cultural differences, for instanceâ€"and never reached fruition. Satellite Observations of Earth's Environment recommends new structures and methods that will allow seamless transitions from research to practice.


Book Synopsis Satellite Observations of the Earth's Environment by : National Research Council

Download or read book Satellite Observations of the Earth's Environment written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2003-07-03 with total page 182 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report addresses the transition of research satellites, instruments, and calculations into operational service for accurately observing and predicting the Earth's environment. These transitions, which take place in large part between NASA and NOAA, are important for maintaining the health, safety, and prosperity of the nation, and for achieving the vision of an Earth Information System in which quantitative information about the complete Earth system is readily available to myriad users. Many transitions have been ad hoc, sometimes taking several years or even decades to occur, and others have encountered roadblocksâ€"lack of long-range planning, resources, institutional or cultural differences, for instanceâ€"and never reached fruition. Satellite Observations of Earth's Environment recommends new structures and methods that will allow seamless transitions from research to practice.

Atmospheric Science: Weather and Climate

Atmospheric Science: Weather and Climate

Author: Bruce Mullan

Publisher:

Published: 2019-06-06

Total Pages: 225

ISBN-13: 9781682868409

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Atmospheric science studies the Earth's atmosphere, its processes and the influence of other systems on the atmosphere and vice versa. The study of the weather and the climate is integral to the study of atmospheric science. Meteorology is concerned with weather forecasting and studies short-term weather systems that last up to a few weeks. Meteorological phenomena are quantified by atmospheric variables of air pressure, temperature, mass flow and water vapor. Climatology studies the periodicity of weather events occurring over years to millennia, and long-term weather patterns and changes. It studies climate at local, regional and global levels as well as human-induced or natural factors contributing to climate change. Some of the experimental instruments used in atmospheric sciences are rocketsondes, weather balloons, satellites, radiosondes and lasers. This book brings forth some of the most innovative concepts and elucidates the unexplored aspects of atmospheric science. The ever-growing need of advanced technology is the reason that has fueled the research in this field in recent times. Researchers and students in this field will be assisted by this book.


Book Synopsis Atmospheric Science: Weather and Climate by : Bruce Mullan

Download or read book Atmospheric Science: Weather and Climate written by Bruce Mullan and published by . This book was released on 2019-06-06 with total page 225 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Atmospheric science studies the Earth's atmosphere, its processes and the influence of other systems on the atmosphere and vice versa. The study of the weather and the climate is integral to the study of atmospheric science. Meteorology is concerned with weather forecasting and studies short-term weather systems that last up to a few weeks. Meteorological phenomena are quantified by atmospheric variables of air pressure, temperature, mass flow and water vapor. Climatology studies the periodicity of weather events occurring over years to millennia, and long-term weather patterns and changes. It studies climate at local, regional and global levels as well as human-induced or natural factors contributing to climate change. Some of the experimental instruments used in atmospheric sciences are rocketsondes, weather balloons, satellites, radiosondes and lasers. This book brings forth some of the most innovative concepts and elucidates the unexplored aspects of atmospheric science. The ever-growing need of advanced technology is the reason that has fueled the research in this field in recent times. Researchers and students in this field will be assisted by this book.

Climate Change

Climate Change

Author: The Royal Society

Publisher: National Academies Press

Published: 2014-02-26

Total Pages: 62

ISBN-13: 0309302021

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Climate Change: Evidence and Causes is a jointly produced publication of The US National Academy of Sciences and The Royal Society. Written by a UK-US team of leading climate scientists and reviewed by climate scientists and others, the publication is intended as a brief, readable reference document for decision makers, policy makers, educators, and other individuals seeking authoritative information on the some of the questions that continue to be asked. Climate Change makes clear what is well-established and where understanding is still developing. It echoes and builds upon the long history of climate-related work from both national academies, as well as on the newest climate-change assessment from the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. It touches on current areas of active debate and ongoing research, such as the link between ocean heat content and the rate of warming.


Book Synopsis Climate Change by : The Royal Society

Download or read book Climate Change written by The Royal Society and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2014-02-26 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Climate Change: Evidence and Causes is a jointly produced publication of The US National Academy of Sciences and The Royal Society. Written by a UK-US team of leading climate scientists and reviewed by climate scientists and others, the publication is intended as a brief, readable reference document for decision makers, policy makers, educators, and other individuals seeking authoritative information on the some of the questions that continue to be asked. Climate Change makes clear what is well-established and where understanding is still developing. It echoes and builds upon the long history of climate-related work from both national academies, as well as on the newest climate-change assessment from the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. It touches on current areas of active debate and ongoing research, such as the link between ocean heat content and the rate of warming.

Loss and Damage from Climate Change

Loss and Damage from Climate Change

Author: Reinhard Mechler

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2018-11-28

Total Pages: 557

ISBN-13: 3319720260

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This book provides an authoritative insight on the Loss and Damage discourse by highlighting state-of-the-art research and policy linked to this discourse and articulating its multiple concepts, principles and methods. Written by leading researchers and practitioners, it identifies practical and evidence-based policy options to inform the discourse and climate negotiations. With climate-related risks on the rise and impacts being felt around the globe has come the recognition that climate mitigation and adaptation may not be enough to manage the effects from anthropogenic climate change. This recognition led to the creation of the Warsaw International Mechanism on Loss and Damage in 2013, a climate policy mechanism dedicated to dealing with climate-related effects in highly vulnerable countries that face severe constraints and limits to adaptation. Endorsed in 2015 by the Paris Agreement and effectively considered a third pillar of international climate policy, debate and research on Loss and Damage continues to gain enormous traction. Yet, concepts, methods and tools as well as directions for policy and implementation have remained contested and vague. Suitable for researchers, policy-advisors, practitioners and the interested public, the book furthermore: • discusses the political, legal, economic and institutional dimensions of the issue• highlights normative questions central to the discourse • provides a focus on climate risks and climate risk management. • presents salient case studies from around the world.


Book Synopsis Loss and Damage from Climate Change by : Reinhard Mechler

Download or read book Loss and Damage from Climate Change written by Reinhard Mechler and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-11-28 with total page 557 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides an authoritative insight on the Loss and Damage discourse by highlighting state-of-the-art research and policy linked to this discourse and articulating its multiple concepts, principles and methods. Written by leading researchers and practitioners, it identifies practical and evidence-based policy options to inform the discourse and climate negotiations. With climate-related risks on the rise and impacts being felt around the globe has come the recognition that climate mitigation and adaptation may not be enough to manage the effects from anthropogenic climate change. This recognition led to the creation of the Warsaw International Mechanism on Loss and Damage in 2013, a climate policy mechanism dedicated to dealing with climate-related effects in highly vulnerable countries that face severe constraints and limits to adaptation. Endorsed in 2015 by the Paris Agreement and effectively considered a third pillar of international climate policy, debate and research on Loss and Damage continues to gain enormous traction. Yet, concepts, methods and tools as well as directions for policy and implementation have remained contested and vague. Suitable for researchers, policy-advisors, practitioners and the interested public, the book furthermore: • discusses the political, legal, economic and institutional dimensions of the issue• highlights normative questions central to the discourse • provides a focus on climate risks and climate risk management. • presents salient case studies from around the world.