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This book offers solutions to such topical problems as developing mathematical models and descriptions of typical distortions in applied forecasting problems; evaluating robustness for traditional forecasting procedures under distortionism and more.
Book Synopsis Robustness in Statistical Forecasting by : Yuriy Kharin
Download or read book Robustness in Statistical Forecasting written by Yuriy Kharin and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-09-04 with total page 369 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book offers solutions to such topical problems as developing mathematical models and descriptions of typical distortions in applied forecasting problems; evaluating robustness for traditional forecasting procedures under distortionism and more.
This book offers a collection of recent contributions and emerging ideas in the areas of robust statistics presented at the International Conference on Robust Statistics 2015 (ICORS 2015) held in Kolkata during 12–16 January, 2015. The book explores the applicability of robust methods in other non-traditional areas which includes the use of new techniques such as skew and mixture of skew distributions, scaled Bregman divergences, and multilevel functional data methods; application areas being circular data models and prediction of mortality and life expectancy. The contributions are of both theoretical as well as applied in nature. Robust statistics is a relatively young branch of statistical sciences that is rapidly emerging as the bedrock of statistical analysis in the 21st century due to its flexible nature and wide scope. Robust statistics supports the application of parametric and other inference techniques over a broader domain than the strictly interpreted model scenarios employed in classical statistical methods. The aim of the ICORS conference, which is being organized annually since 2001, is to bring together researchers interested in robust statistics, data analysis and related areas. The conference is meant for theoretical and applied statisticians, data analysts from other fields, leading experts, junior researchers and graduate students. The ICORS meetings offer a forum for discussing recent advances and emerging ideas in statistics with a focus on robustness, and encourage informal contacts and discussions among all the participants. They also play an important role in maintaining a cohesive group of international researchers interested in robust statistics and related topics, whose interactions transcend the meetings and endure year round.
Book Synopsis Recent Advances in Robust Statistics: Theory and Applications by : Claudio Agostinelli
Download or read book Recent Advances in Robust Statistics: Theory and Applications written by Claudio Agostinelli and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-11-10 with total page 204 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book offers a collection of recent contributions and emerging ideas in the areas of robust statistics presented at the International Conference on Robust Statistics 2015 (ICORS 2015) held in Kolkata during 12–16 January, 2015. The book explores the applicability of robust methods in other non-traditional areas which includes the use of new techniques such as skew and mixture of skew distributions, scaled Bregman divergences, and multilevel functional data methods; application areas being circular data models and prediction of mortality and life expectancy. The contributions are of both theoretical as well as applied in nature. Robust statistics is a relatively young branch of statistical sciences that is rapidly emerging as the bedrock of statistical analysis in the 21st century due to its flexible nature and wide scope. Robust statistics supports the application of parametric and other inference techniques over a broader domain than the strictly interpreted model scenarios employed in classical statistical methods. The aim of the ICORS conference, which is being organized annually since 2001, is to bring together researchers interested in robust statistics, data analysis and related areas. The conference is meant for theoretical and applied statisticians, data analysts from other fields, leading experts, junior researchers and graduate students. The ICORS meetings offer a forum for discussing recent advances and emerging ideas in statistics with a focus on robustness, and encourage informal contacts and discussions among all the participants. They also play an important role in maintaining a cohesive group of international researchers interested in robust statistics and related topics, whose interactions transcend the meetings and endure year round.
This highly accessible book presents robustness testing as the methodology for conducting quantitative analyses in the presence of model uncertainty.
Book Synopsis Robustness Tests for Quantitative Research by : Eric Neumayer
Download or read book Robustness Tests for Quantitative Research written by Eric Neumayer and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2017-08-17 with total page 269 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This highly accessible book presents robustness testing as the methodology for conducting quantitative analyses in the presence of model uncertainty.
Aspects of Robust Statistics are important in many areas. Based on the International Conference on Robust Statistics 2001 (ICORS 2001) in Vorau, Austria, this volume discusses future directions of the discipline, bringing together leading scientists, experienced researchers and practitioners, as well as younger researchers. The papers cover a multitude of different aspects of Robust Statistics. For instance, the fundamental problem of data summary (weights of evidence) is considered and its robustness properties are studied. Further theoretical subjects include e.g.: robust methods for skewness, time series, longitudinal data, multivariate methods, and tests. Some papers deal with computational aspects and algorithms. Finally, the aspects of application and programming tools complete the volume.
Book Synopsis Developments in Robust Statistics by : Rudolf Dutter
Download or read book Developments in Robust Statistics written by Rudolf Dutter and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 445 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Aspects of Robust Statistics are important in many areas. Based on the International Conference on Robust Statistics 2001 (ICORS 2001) in Vorau, Austria, this volume discusses future directions of the discipline, bringing together leading scientists, experienced researchers and practitioners, as well as younger researchers. The papers cover a multitude of different aspects of Robust Statistics. For instance, the fundamental problem of data summary (weights of evidence) is considered and its robustness properties are studied. Further theoretical subjects include e.g.: robust methods for skewness, time series, longitudinal data, multivariate methods, and tests. Some papers deal with computational aspects and algorithms. Finally, the aspects of application and programming tools complete the volume.
This book presents recent research on robustness in econometrics. Robust data processing techniques – i.e., techniques that yield results minimally affected by outliers – and their applications to real-life economic and financial situations are the main focus of this book. The book also discusses applications of more traditional statistical techniques to econometric problems. Econometrics is a branch of economics that uses mathematical (especially statistical) methods to analyze economic systems, to forecast economic and financial dynamics, and to develop strategies for achieving desirable economic performance. In day-by-day data, we often encounter outliers that do not reflect the long-term economic trends, e.g., unexpected and abrupt fluctuations. As such, it is important to develop robust data processing techniques that can accommodate these fluctuations.
Book Synopsis Robustness in Econometrics by : Vladik Kreinovich
Download or read book Robustness in Econometrics written by Vladik Kreinovich and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-02-11 with total page 693 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents recent research on robustness in econometrics. Robust data processing techniques – i.e., techniques that yield results minimally affected by outliers – and their applications to real-life economic and financial situations are the main focus of this book. The book also discusses applications of more traditional statistical techniques to econometric problems. Econometrics is a branch of economics that uses mathematical (especially statistical) methods to analyze economic systems, to forecast economic and financial dynamics, and to develop strategies for achieving desirable economic performance. In day-by-day data, we often encounter outliers that do not reflect the long-term economic trends, e.g., unexpected and abrupt fluctuations. As such, it is important to develop robust data processing techniques that can accommodate these fluctuations.
Model robustness has become increasingly popular in recent decades. We study multiple aspects of robustness (in the setting of time series, image classification and linear regression) in this dissertation work. First three chapters concerns the time series setting. Specifically, Chapter 1 establishes a novel Bernstein-type inequality for high dimensional linear processes. We then apply it to investigate two high dimensional robust estimation problems: (1) time series regression with fat-tailed and correlated covariates and errors, (2) fat-tailed vector autoregression. As a natural requirement of consistency, the dimension can be allowed to increase exponentially with the sample size under very mild moment and dependence conditions. In Chapter 2, we develop Gaussian approximation theory for VAR model to derive the asymptotic distribution of the de-biased estimator and propose a multiplier bootstrap-assisted procedure to obtain critical values under very mild moment conditions on the innovations. Chapter 3 studies the threats of adversarial attack on multivariate probabilistic forecasting models and viable defense mechanisms. Our studies discover a new attack pattern that negatively impact the forecasting of a target time series via making strategic, sparse (imperceptible) modifications to the past observations of a small number of other time series. To mitigate the impact of such attack, we also develop two defense strategies. First, we extend a previously developed randomized smoothing technique in classification to multivariate forecasting scenarios. Second, we develop an adversarial training algorithm that learns to create adversarial examples and at the same time optimizes the forecasting model to improve its robustness against such adversarial simulation. In Chapter 4, we improve the robustness of image classifier by enhancing the randomized smoothing technique and model ensemble. Chapter 5 considers the robust estimation of linear regression coefficients under heavy-tailed noise and covariates using a clipping idea.
Book Synopsis Robust Inference and Learning of Multivariate Statistical Models by : Linbo Liu
Download or read book Robust Inference and Learning of Multivariate Statistical Models written by Linbo Liu and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Model robustness has become increasingly popular in recent decades. We study multiple aspects of robustness (in the setting of time series, image classification and linear regression) in this dissertation work. First three chapters concerns the time series setting. Specifically, Chapter 1 establishes a novel Bernstein-type inequality for high dimensional linear processes. We then apply it to investigate two high dimensional robust estimation problems: (1) time series regression with fat-tailed and correlated covariates and errors, (2) fat-tailed vector autoregression. As a natural requirement of consistency, the dimension can be allowed to increase exponentially with the sample size under very mild moment and dependence conditions. In Chapter 2, we develop Gaussian approximation theory for VAR model to derive the asymptotic distribution of the de-biased estimator and propose a multiplier bootstrap-assisted procedure to obtain critical values under very mild moment conditions on the innovations. Chapter 3 studies the threats of adversarial attack on multivariate probabilistic forecasting models and viable defense mechanisms. Our studies discover a new attack pattern that negatively impact the forecasting of a target time series via making strategic, sparse (imperceptible) modifications to the past observations of a small number of other time series. To mitigate the impact of such attack, we also develop two defense strategies. First, we extend a previously developed randomized smoothing technique in classification to multivariate forecasting scenarios. Second, we develop an adversarial training algorithm that learns to create adversarial examples and at the same time optimizes the forecasting model to improve its robustness against such adversarial simulation. In Chapter 4, we improve the robustness of image classifier by enhancing the randomized smoothing technique and model ensemble. Chapter 5 considers the robust estimation of linear regression coefficients under heavy-tailed noise and covariates using a clipping idea.
The goal of this book is multidimensional: a) to help reviving Statistics education in many parts in the world where it is in crisis. For the first time authors from many developing countries have an opportunity to write together with the most prominent world authorities. The editor has spent several years searching for the most reputable statisticians all over the world. International contributors are either presidents of the local statistical societies, or head of the Statistics department at the main university, or the most distinguished statisticians in their countries. b) to enable any non-statistician to obtain quick and yet comprehensive and highly understandable view on certain statistical term, method or application c) to enable all the researchers, managers and practicioners to refresh their knowledge in Statistics, especially in certain controversial fields. d) to revive interest in statistics among students, since they will see its usefulness and relevance in almost all branches of Science.
Book Synopsis International Encyclopedia of Statistical Science by : Miodrag Lovric
Download or read book International Encyclopedia of Statistical Science written by Miodrag Lovric and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-12-01 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The goal of this book is multidimensional: a) to help reviving Statistics education in many parts in the world where it is in crisis. For the first time authors from many developing countries have an opportunity to write together with the most prominent world authorities. The editor has spent several years searching for the most reputable statisticians all over the world. International contributors are either presidents of the local statistical societies, or head of the Statistics department at the main university, or the most distinguished statisticians in their countries. b) to enable any non-statistician to obtain quick and yet comprehensive and highly understandable view on certain statistical term, method or application c) to enable all the researchers, managers and practicioners to refresh their knowledge in Statistics, especially in certain controversial fields. d) to revive interest in statistics among students, since they will see its usefulness and relevance in almost all branches of Science.
This Festschrift in honour of Ursula Gather’s 60th birthday deals with modern topics in the field of robust statistical methods, especially for time series and regression analysis, and with statistical methods for complex data structures. The individual contributions of leading experts provide a textbook-style overview of the topic, supplemented by current research results and questions. The statistical theory and methods in this volume aim at the analysis of data which deviate from classical stringent model assumptions, which contain outlying values and/or have a complex structure. Written for researchers as well as master and PhD students with a good knowledge of statistics.
Book Synopsis Robustness and Complex Data Structures by : Claudia Becker
Download or read book Robustness and Complex Data Structures written by Claudia Becker and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2014-07-08 with total page 377 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Festschrift in honour of Ursula Gather’s 60th birthday deals with modern topics in the field of robust statistical methods, especially for time series and regression analysis, and with statistical methods for complex data structures. The individual contributions of leading experts provide a textbook-style overview of the topic, supplemented by current research results and questions. The statistical theory and methods in this volume aim at the analysis of data which deviate from classical stringent model assumptions, which contain outlying values and/or have a complex structure. Written for researchers as well as master and PhD students with a good knowledge of statistics.
The book serves as an insightful and useful companion for students interested in research or scientists who want to learn about modern developments in the field of data analysis.
Book Synopsis New Directions in Statistical Data Analysis and Robustness by : Stephan Morgenthaler
Download or read book New Directions in Statistical Data Analysis and Robustness written by Stephan Morgenthaler and published by Birkhauser. This book was released on 1993 with total page 304 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book serves as an insightful and useful companion for students interested in research or scientists who want to learn about modern developments in the field of data analysis.
The standard theory of decision making under uncertainty advises the decision maker to form a statistical model linking outcomes to decisions and then to choose the optimal distribution of outcomes. This assumes that the decision maker trusts the model completely. But what should a decision maker do if the model cannot be trusted? Lars Hansen and Thomas Sargent, two leading macroeconomists, push the field forward as they set about answering this question. They adapt robust control techniques and apply them to economics. By using this theory to let decision makers acknowledge misspecification in economic modeling, the authors develop applications to a variety of problems in dynamic macroeconomics. Technical, rigorous, and self-contained, this book will be useful for macroeconomists who seek to improve the robustness of decision-making processes.
Book Synopsis Robustness by : Lars Peter Hansen
Download or read book Robustness written by Lars Peter Hansen and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2016-06-28 with total page 453 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The standard theory of decision making under uncertainty advises the decision maker to form a statistical model linking outcomes to decisions and then to choose the optimal distribution of outcomes. This assumes that the decision maker trusts the model completely. But what should a decision maker do if the model cannot be trusted? Lars Hansen and Thomas Sargent, two leading macroeconomists, push the field forward as they set about answering this question. They adapt robust control techniques and apply them to economics. By using this theory to let decision makers acknowledge misspecification in economic modeling, the authors develop applications to a variety of problems in dynamic macroeconomics. Technical, rigorous, and self-contained, this book will be useful for macroeconomists who seek to improve the robustness of decision-making processes.
