Stochastic Population Processes

Stochastic Population Processes

Author: Eric Renshaw

Publisher: Oxford University Press

Published: 2015-03-19

Total Pages: 665

ISBN-13: 0198739060

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The vast majority of random processes in the real world have no memory - the next step in their development depends purely on their current state. Stochastic realizations are therefore defined purely in terms of successive event-time pairs, and such systems are easy to simulate irrespective of their degree of complexity. However, whilst the associated probability equations are straightforward to write down, their solution usually requires the use of approximation and perturbation procedures. Traditional books, heavy in mathematical theory, often ignore such methods and attempt to force problems into a rigid framework of closed-form solutions. This text, strongly oriented towards problem solving, has three aims. First, basic analytic tools are introduced through a suite of stochastic processes which do possess relatively simple closed-form solutions. Second, techniques are presented that enable the extraction of considerable behavioral information even when exact probability structures are intractable to direct solution. Third, a range of simulation procedures is proposed which provide insight into the way that particular systems develop - these often expose hitherto unforeseen features and thereby suggest further lines of exploration. Although the examples are slanted towards ecological and physical applications, only a little imagination is required in order to apply the techniques to problems generic to engineering, chemistry and finance. Indeed, the book provides a rich source of ideas for anyone working with random processes who is prepared to take a flexible approach. Many aspects of population dynamics are covered, including: general birth-death and power-law processes; random and correlated walks; Markov chains; perturbation and saddlepoint techniques; Wiener, Fokker-Planck and Ornstein-Uhlenbeck diffusion processes; general bivariate processes, including predator-prey, competition, epidemic, cumulative size and counting systems; MCMC and simulation techniques; and velocities, dynamic structure, Turing ring systems and cellular automata for spatial-temporal systems. Extensions include fractal structure from power-law contact distributions, and marked point processes. Since little of the material is covered at a deep mathematical level, the book will be readily accessible to a wide range of researchers and practitioners, and provides an excellent basis for constructing novel undergraduate and postgraduate courses in applied probability. The unified approach exposes the high degree of linkage that exists between apparently unconnected processes. The book can also be treated as a toolbox to be dipped into in order to select specific analytic and computational techniques.


Book Synopsis Stochastic Population Processes by : Eric Renshaw

Download or read book Stochastic Population Processes written by Eric Renshaw and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2015-03-19 with total page 665 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The vast majority of random processes in the real world have no memory - the next step in their development depends purely on their current state. Stochastic realizations are therefore defined purely in terms of successive event-time pairs, and such systems are easy to simulate irrespective of their degree of complexity. However, whilst the associated probability equations are straightforward to write down, their solution usually requires the use of approximation and perturbation procedures. Traditional books, heavy in mathematical theory, often ignore such methods and attempt to force problems into a rigid framework of closed-form solutions. This text, strongly oriented towards problem solving, has three aims. First, basic analytic tools are introduced through a suite of stochastic processes which do possess relatively simple closed-form solutions. Second, techniques are presented that enable the extraction of considerable behavioral information even when exact probability structures are intractable to direct solution. Third, a range of simulation procedures is proposed which provide insight into the way that particular systems develop - these often expose hitherto unforeseen features and thereby suggest further lines of exploration. Although the examples are slanted towards ecological and physical applications, only a little imagination is required in order to apply the techniques to problems generic to engineering, chemistry and finance. Indeed, the book provides a rich source of ideas for anyone working with random processes who is prepared to take a flexible approach. Many aspects of population dynamics are covered, including: general birth-death and power-law processes; random and correlated walks; Markov chains; perturbation and saddlepoint techniques; Wiener, Fokker-Planck and Ornstein-Uhlenbeck diffusion processes; general bivariate processes, including predator-prey, competition, epidemic, cumulative size and counting systems; MCMC and simulation techniques; and velocities, dynamic structure, Turing ring systems and cellular automata for spatial-temporal systems. Extensions include fractal structure from power-law contact distributions, and marked point processes. Since little of the material is covered at a deep mathematical level, the book will be readily accessible to a wide range of researchers and practitioners, and provides an excellent basis for constructing novel undergraduate and postgraduate courses in applied probability. The unified approach exposes the high degree of linkage that exists between apparently unconnected processes. The book can also be treated as a toolbox to be dipped into in order to select specific analytic and computational techniques.


Approximation of Population Processes

Approximation of Population Processes

Author: Thomas G. Kurtz

Publisher: SIAM

Published: 1981-01-01

Total Pages: 83

ISBN-13: 9781611970333

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Population processes are stochastic models for systems involving a number of similar particles. Examples include models for chemical reactions and for epidemics. The model may involve a finite number of attributes, or even a continuum. This monograph considers approximations that are possible when the number of particles is large. The models considered will involve a finite number of different types of particles.


Book Synopsis Approximation of Population Processes by : Thomas G. Kurtz

Download or read book Approximation of Population Processes written by Thomas G. Kurtz and published by SIAM. This book was released on 1981-01-01 with total page 83 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Population processes are stochastic models for systems involving a number of similar particles. Examples include models for chemical reactions and for epidemics. The model may involve a finite number of attributes, or even a continuum. This monograph considers approximations that are possible when the number of particles is large. The models considered will involve a finite number of different types of particles.


Approximation of Population Processes

Approximation of Population Processes

Author: Thomas G. Kurtz

Publisher: SIAM

Published: 1981-02-01

Total Pages: 76

ISBN-13: 089871169X

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This monograph considers approximations that are possible when the number of particles in population processes is large


Book Synopsis Approximation of Population Processes by : Thomas G. Kurtz

Download or read book Approximation of Population Processes written by Thomas G. Kurtz and published by SIAM. This book was released on 1981-02-01 with total page 76 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This monograph considers approximations that are possible when the number of particles in population processes is large


Stochastic Processes in Demography and Their Computer Implementation

Stochastic Processes in Demography and Their Computer Implementation

Author: C.J. Mode

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2012-12-06

Total Pages: 405

ISBN-13: 364282322X

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According to a recent report of the United States Census Bureau, world population as of June 30, 1983, was estimated at about 4. 7 billion people; of this total, an estimated 82 million had been added in the previous year. World population in 1950 was estimated at about 2. 5 billion; consequently, if 82 million poeple are added to the world population in each of the coming four years, population size will be double that of 1950. Another way of viewing the yearly increase in world population is to compare it to 234 million, the estimated current population of the United States. If the excess of births over deaths continues, a group of young people equivalent to the population of the United States will be added to the world population about every 2. 85 years. Although the rate of increase in world population has slowed since the midsixties, it seems likely that large numbers of infants will be added to the population each year for the foreseeable future. A large current world population together with a high likelihood of sub stantial increments in size every year has prompted public and scholarly recognition of population as a practical problem. Tangible evidence in the public domain that population is being increasingly viewed as a problem is provided by the fact that many governments around the world either have or plan to implement policies regarding population. Evidence of scholarly concern is provided by an increasing flow of publications dealing with population.


Book Synopsis Stochastic Processes in Demography and Their Computer Implementation by : C.J. Mode

Download or read book Stochastic Processes in Demography and Their Computer Implementation written by C.J. Mode and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 405 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: According to a recent report of the United States Census Bureau, world population as of June 30, 1983, was estimated at about 4. 7 billion people; of this total, an estimated 82 million had been added in the previous year. World population in 1950 was estimated at about 2. 5 billion; consequently, if 82 million poeple are added to the world population in each of the coming four years, population size will be double that of 1950. Another way of viewing the yearly increase in world population is to compare it to 234 million, the estimated current population of the United States. If the excess of births over deaths continues, a group of young people equivalent to the population of the United States will be added to the world population about every 2. 85 years. Although the rate of increase in world population has slowed since the midsixties, it seems likely that large numbers of infants will be added to the population each year for the foreseeable future. A large current world population together with a high likelihood of sub stantial increments in size every year has prompted public and scholarly recognition of population as a practical problem. Tangible evidence in the public domain that population is being increasingly viewed as a problem is provided by the fact that many governments around the world either have or plan to implement policies regarding population. Evidence of scholarly concern is provided by an increasing flow of publications dealing with population.


Stochastic Population and Epidemic Models

Stochastic Population and Epidemic Models

Author: Linda J. S. Allen

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2015-08-20

Total Pages: 55

ISBN-13: 331921554X

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This monograph provides a summary of the basic theory of branching processes for single-type and multi-type processes. Classic examples of population and epidemic models illustrate the probability of population or epidemic extinction obtained from the theory of branching processes. The first chapter develops the branching process theory, while in the second chapter two applications to population and epidemic processes of single-type branching process theory are explored. The last two chapters present multi-type branching process applications to epidemic models, and then continuous-time and continuous-state branching processes with applications. In addition, several MATLAB programs for simulating stochastic sample paths are provided in an Appendix. These notes originated as part of a lecture series on Stochastics in Biological Systems at the Mathematical Biosciences Institute in Ohio, USA. Professor Linda Allen is a Paul Whitfield Horn Professor of Mathematics in the Department of Mathematics and Statistics at Texas Tech University, USA.


Book Synopsis Stochastic Population and Epidemic Models by : Linda J. S. Allen

Download or read book Stochastic Population and Epidemic Models written by Linda J. S. Allen and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-08-20 with total page 55 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This monograph provides a summary of the basic theory of branching processes for single-type and multi-type processes. Classic examples of population and epidemic models illustrate the probability of population or epidemic extinction obtained from the theory of branching processes. The first chapter develops the branching process theory, while in the second chapter two applications to population and epidemic processes of single-type branching process theory are explored. The last two chapters present multi-type branching process applications to epidemic models, and then continuous-time and continuous-state branching processes with applications. In addition, several MATLAB programs for simulating stochastic sample paths are provided in an Appendix. These notes originated as part of a lecture series on Stochastics in Biological Systems at the Mathematical Biosciences Institute in Ohio, USA. Professor Linda Allen is a Paul Whitfield Horn Professor of Mathematics in the Department of Mathematics and Statistics at Texas Tech University, USA.


Stochastic Population Processes

Stochastic Population Processes

Author: Eric Renshaw

Publisher: OUP Oxford

Published: 2015-03-19

Total Pages: 664

ISBN-13: 0191060399

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The vast majority of random processes in the real world have no memory - the next step in their development depends purely on their current state. Stochastic realizations are therefore defined purely in terms of successive event-time pairs, and such systems are easy to simulate irrespective of their degree of complexity. However, whilst the associated probability equations are straightforward to write down, their solution usually requires the use of approximation and perturbation


Book Synopsis Stochastic Population Processes by : Eric Renshaw

Download or read book Stochastic Population Processes written by Eric Renshaw and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2015-03-19 with total page 664 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The vast majority of random processes in the real world have no memory - the next step in their development depends purely on their current state. Stochastic realizations are therefore defined purely in terms of successive event-time pairs, and such systems are easy to simulate irrespective of their degree of complexity. However, whilst the associated probability equations are straightforward to write down, their solution usually requires the use of approximation and perturbation


Stochastic Population Models

Stochastic Population Models

Author: James H. Matis

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2012-12-06

Total Pages: 215

ISBN-13: 1461212448

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The book focuses on stochastic modeling of population processes. The book presents new symbolic mathematical software to develop practical methodological tools for stochastic population modeling. The book assumes calculus and some knowledge of mathematical modeling, including the use of differential equations and matrix algebra.


Book Synopsis Stochastic Population Models by : James H. Matis

Download or read book Stochastic Population Models written by James H. Matis and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 215 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book focuses on stochastic modeling of population processes. The book presents new symbolic mathematical software to develop practical methodological tools for stochastic population modeling. The book assumes calculus and some knowledge of mathematical modeling, including the use of differential equations and matrix algebra.


Using Science to Improve the BLM Wild Horse and Burro Program

Using Science to Improve the BLM Wild Horse and Burro Program

Author: National Research Council

Publisher: National Academies Press

Published: 2013-10-04

Total Pages: 399

ISBN-13: 0309264944

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Using Science to Improve the BLM Wild Horse and Burro Program: A Way Forward reviews the science that underpins the Bureau of Land Management's oversight of free-ranging horses and burros on federal public lands in the western United States, concluding that constructive changes could be implemented. The Wild Horse and Burro Program has not used scientifically rigorous methods to estimate the population sizes of horses and burros, to model the effects of management actions on the animals, or to assess the availability and use of forage on rangelands. Evidence suggests that horse populations are growing by 15 to 20 percent each year, a level that is unsustainable for maintaining healthy horse populations as well as healthy ecosystems. Promising fertility-control methods are available to help limit this population growth, however. In addition, science-based methods exist for improving population estimates, predicting the effects of management practices in order to maintain genetically diverse, healthy populations, and estimating the productivity of rangelands. Greater transparency in how science-based methods are used to inform management decisions may help increase public confidence in the Wild Horse and Burro Program.


Book Synopsis Using Science to Improve the BLM Wild Horse and Burro Program by : National Research Council

Download or read book Using Science to Improve the BLM Wild Horse and Burro Program written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2013-10-04 with total page 399 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using Science to Improve the BLM Wild Horse and Burro Program: A Way Forward reviews the science that underpins the Bureau of Land Management's oversight of free-ranging horses and burros on federal public lands in the western United States, concluding that constructive changes could be implemented. The Wild Horse and Burro Program has not used scientifically rigorous methods to estimate the population sizes of horses and burros, to model the effects of management actions on the animals, or to assess the availability and use of forage on rangelands. Evidence suggests that horse populations are growing by 15 to 20 percent each year, a level that is unsustainable for maintaining healthy horse populations as well as healthy ecosystems. Promising fertility-control methods are available to help limit this population growth, however. In addition, science-based methods exist for improving population estimates, predicting the effects of management practices in order to maintain genetically diverse, healthy populations, and estimating the productivity of rangelands. Greater transparency in how science-based methods are used to inform management decisions may help increase public confidence in the Wild Horse and Burro Program.


Stochastic Population Dynamics in Ecology and Conservation

Stochastic Population Dynamics in Ecology and Conservation

Author: Russell Lande

Publisher: OUP Oxford

Published: 2003

Total Pages: 698

ISBN-13: 9780198525257

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1. Demographic and environmental stochasticity -- 2. Extinction dynamics -- 3. Age structure -- 4. Spatial structure -- 5. Population viability analysis -- 6. Sustainable harvesting -- 7. Species diversity -- 8. Community dynamics.


Book Synopsis Stochastic Population Dynamics in Ecology and Conservation by : Russell Lande

Download or read book Stochastic Population Dynamics in Ecology and Conservation written by Russell Lande and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2003 with total page 698 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 1. Demographic and environmental stochasticity -- 2. Extinction dynamics -- 3. Age structure -- 4. Spatial structure -- 5. Population viability analysis -- 6. Sustainable harvesting -- 7. Species diversity -- 8. Community dynamics.


Stochastic Processes

Stochastic Processes

Author: Peter Watts Jones

Publisher: CRC Press

Published: 2017-10-30

Total Pages: 255

ISBN-13: 1498778127

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Based on a well-established and popular course taught by the authors over many years, Stochastic Processes: An Introduction, Third Edition, discusses the modelling and analysis of random experiments, where processes evolve over time. The text begins with a review of relevant fundamental probability. It then covers gambling problems, random walks, and Markov chains. The authors go on to discuss random processes continuous in time, including Poisson, birth and death processes, and general population models, and present an extended discussion on the analysis of associated stationary processes in queues. The book also explores reliability and other random processes, such as branching, martingales, and simple epidemics. A new chapter describing Brownian motion, where the outcomes are continuously observed over continuous time, is included. Further applications, worked examples and problems, and biographical details have been added to this edition. Much of the text has been reworked. The appendix contains key results in probability for reference. This concise, updated book makes the material accessible, highlighting simple applications and examples. A solutions manual with fully worked answers of all end-of-chapter problems, and Mathematica® and R programs illustrating many processes discussed in the book, can be downloaded from crcpress.com.


Book Synopsis Stochastic Processes by : Peter Watts Jones

Download or read book Stochastic Processes written by Peter Watts Jones and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2017-10-30 with total page 255 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Based on a well-established and popular course taught by the authors over many years, Stochastic Processes: An Introduction, Third Edition, discusses the modelling and analysis of random experiments, where processes evolve over time. The text begins with a review of relevant fundamental probability. It then covers gambling problems, random walks, and Markov chains. The authors go on to discuss random processes continuous in time, including Poisson, birth and death processes, and general population models, and present an extended discussion on the analysis of associated stationary processes in queues. The book also explores reliability and other random processes, such as branching, martingales, and simple epidemics. A new chapter describing Brownian motion, where the outcomes are continuously observed over continuous time, is included. Further applications, worked examples and problems, and biographical details have been added to this edition. Much of the text has been reworked. The appendix contains key results in probability for reference. This concise, updated book makes the material accessible, highlighting simple applications and examples. A solutions manual with fully worked answers of all end-of-chapter problems, and Mathematica® and R programs illustrating many processes discussed in the book, can be downloaded from crcpress.com.