The Probability of Spent Fuel Transportation Accidents

The Probability of Spent Fuel Transportation Accidents

Author: J. D. McClure

Publisher:

Published: 1981

Total Pages: 46

ISBN-13:

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Review of truck-transported volume of spent fuel, incident/accident experience and accident environment probabilities.


Book Synopsis The Probability of Spent Fuel Transportation Accidents by : J. D. McClure

Download or read book The Probability of Spent Fuel Transportation Accidents written by J. D. McClure and published by . This book was released on 1981 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Review of truck-transported volume of spent fuel, incident/accident experience and accident environment probabilities.


Probability of Spent Fuel Transportation Accidents

Probability of Spent Fuel Transportation Accidents

Author:

Publisher:

Published: 1981

Total Pages:

ISBN-13:

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The transported volume of spent fuel, incident/accident experience and accident environment probabilities were reviewed in order to provide an estimate of spent fuel accident probabilities. In particular, the accident review assessed the accident experience for large casks of the type that could transport spent (irradiated) nuclear fuel. This review determined that since 1971, the beginning of official US Department of Transportation record keeping for accidents/incidents, there has been one spent fuel transportation accident. This information, coupled with estimated annual shipping volumes for spent fuel, indicated an estimated annual probability of a spent fuel transport accident of 5 x 10−7 spent fuel accidents per mile. This is consistent with ordinary truck accident rates. A comparison of accident environments and regulatory test environments suggests that the probability of truck accidents exceeding regulatory test for impact is approximately 10−9/mile.


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Download or read book Probability of Spent Fuel Transportation Accidents written by and published by . This book was released on 1981 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The transported volume of spent fuel, incident/accident experience and accident environment probabilities were reviewed in order to provide an estimate of spent fuel accident probabilities. In particular, the accident review assessed the accident experience for large casks of the type that could transport spent (irradiated) nuclear fuel. This review determined that since 1971, the beginning of official US Department of Transportation record keeping for accidents/incidents, there has been one spent fuel transportation accident. This information, coupled with estimated annual shipping volumes for spent fuel, indicated an estimated annual probability of a spent fuel transport accident of 5 x 10−7 spent fuel accidents per mile. This is consistent with ordinary truck accident rates. A comparison of accident environments and regulatory test environments suggests that the probability of truck accidents exceeding regulatory test for impact is approximately 10−9/mile.


Risk Comparisons for the Transportation of Spent Fuel from Nuclear Reactors

Risk Comparisons for the Transportation of Spent Fuel from Nuclear Reactors

Author:

Publisher:

Published: 1985

Total Pages: 9

ISBN-13:

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Download or read book Risk Comparisons for the Transportation of Spent Fuel from Nuclear Reactors written by and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 9 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:


Risk Comparisons for the Transportation of Spent Fuel from Nuclear Reactors

Risk Comparisons for the Transportation of Spent Fuel from Nuclear Reactors

Author:

Publisher:

Published: 1985

Total Pages:

ISBN-13:

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In summary, on the basis of calculated estimates, tests and accident statistics, the transport of spent nuclear fuel by whatever means has been shown to represent an infinitesimally small risk to the public, wherever they may be located enroute. This conclusion is based on three points (1) the probability of an accident involving spent fuel is small, (2) the probability that this hypothetical accident releases radioactive materials is even smaller and (3) the public-health consequences of such a release are trivial. It hardly seems to warrant the extensive assessment that it has received. If the risk to the public is of concern, this attention and analysis might have been more profitably spent on the improvement of the safety of the transport of a wide variety of other hazardous substances, which at present are given little if any prior scrutiny.


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Download or read book Risk Comparisons for the Transportation of Spent Fuel from Nuclear Reactors written by and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In summary, on the basis of calculated estimates, tests and accident statistics, the transport of spent nuclear fuel by whatever means has been shown to represent an infinitesimally small risk to the public, wherever they may be located enroute. This conclusion is based on three points (1) the probability of an accident involving spent fuel is small, (2) the probability that this hypothetical accident releases radioactive materials is even smaller and (3) the public-health consequences of such a release are trivial. It hardly seems to warrant the extensive assessment that it has received. If the risk to the public is of concern, this attention and analysis might have been more profitably spent on the improvement of the safety of the transport of a wide variety of other hazardous substances, which at present are given little if any prior scrutiny.


Transportation-accident Scenarios for Commercial Spent Fuel

Transportation-accident Scenarios for Commercial Spent Fuel

Author: Edwin L. Wilmot

Publisher:

Published: 1981

Total Pages:

ISBN-13:

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Book Synopsis Transportation-accident Scenarios for Commercial Spent Fuel by : Edwin L. Wilmot

Download or read book Transportation-accident Scenarios for Commercial Spent Fuel written by Edwin L. Wilmot and published by . This book was released on 1981 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:


Probability and Consequences of Accidents in the Nuclear Fuel Cycle

Probability and Consequences of Accidents in the Nuclear Fuel Cycle

Author:

Publisher:

Published: 1973

Total Pages:

ISBN-13:

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From winter meeting of American Society of Mechanical Engineers; Detroit, Michigan, USA (11 Nov 1973). The probability of accidents occurring in the nuclear fuel cycle is examined by considering: projected number of shipments of nuclear materials for power reactors (excluding breeder and gascooled reactors); transport by truck, rail, aircraft, and barge; and statistics on the frequency and severity of accidents in each of these modes of transport. The consequences of accidents involving nuclear fuel cycle materials are discussed in terms of package integrity; estimates of radioactivity releases; radiation doses to humans from estimated releases of radioactive materials; and environmental contamination from accidental radioactivity releases. (LCL).


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Download or read book Probability and Consequences of Accidents in the Nuclear Fuel Cycle written by and published by . This book was released on 1973 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From winter meeting of American Society of Mechanical Engineers; Detroit, Michigan, USA (11 Nov 1973). The probability of accidents occurring in the nuclear fuel cycle is examined by considering: projected number of shipments of nuclear materials for power reactors (excluding breeder and gascooled reactors); transport by truck, rail, aircraft, and barge; and statistics on the frequency and severity of accidents in each of these modes of transport. The consequences of accidents involving nuclear fuel cycle materials are discussed in terms of package integrity; estimates of radioactivity releases; radiation doses to humans from estimated releases of radioactive materials; and environmental contamination from accidental radioactivity releases. (LCL).


Site Specific Analyses of a Spent Nuclear Fuel Transportation Accident

Site Specific Analyses of a Spent Nuclear Fuel Transportation Accident

Author: B. M. Biwer

Publisher:

Published: 2003

Total Pages: 12

ISBN-13:

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The number of spent nuclear fuel (SNF) shipments is expected to increase significantly during the time period that the United States' inventory of SNF is sent to a final disposal site. Prior work estimated that the highest accident risks of a SNF shipping campaign to the proposed geologic repository at Yucca Mountain were in the corridor states, such as Illinois. The largest potential human health impacts would be expected to occur in areas with high population densities such as urban settings. Thus, our current study examined the human health impacts from the most plausible severe SNF transportation accidents in the Chicago metropolitan area. The RISKIND 2.0 program was used to model site-specific data for an area where the largest impacts might occur. The results have shown that the radiological human health consequences of a severe SNF rail transportation accident on average might be similar to one year of exposure to natural background radiation for those persons living a nd working in the most affected areas downwind of the actual accident location. For maximally exposed individuals, an exposure similar to about two years of exposure to natural background radiation was estimated. In addition to the accident probabilities being very low (approximately 1 chance in 10,000 or less during the entire shipping campaign), the actual human health impacts are expected to be lower if any of the accidents considered did occur, because the results are dependent on the specific location and weather conditions, such as wind speed and direction, that were selected to maximize the results. Also, comparison of the results of longer duration accident scenarios against U.S. Environmental Protection Agency guidelines was made to demonstrate the usefulness of this site-specific analysis for emergency planning purposes.


Book Synopsis Site Specific Analyses of a Spent Nuclear Fuel Transportation Accident by : B. M. Biwer

Download or read book Site Specific Analyses of a Spent Nuclear Fuel Transportation Accident written by B. M. Biwer and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 12 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The number of spent nuclear fuel (SNF) shipments is expected to increase significantly during the time period that the United States' inventory of SNF is sent to a final disposal site. Prior work estimated that the highest accident risks of a SNF shipping campaign to the proposed geologic repository at Yucca Mountain were in the corridor states, such as Illinois. The largest potential human health impacts would be expected to occur in areas with high population densities such as urban settings. Thus, our current study examined the human health impacts from the most plausible severe SNF transportation accidents in the Chicago metropolitan area. The RISKIND 2.0 program was used to model site-specific data for an area where the largest impacts might occur. The results have shown that the radiological human health consequences of a severe SNF rail transportation accident on average might be similar to one year of exposure to natural background radiation for those persons living a nd working in the most affected areas downwind of the actual accident location. For maximally exposed individuals, an exposure similar to about two years of exposure to natural background radiation was estimated. In addition to the accident probabilities being very low (approximately 1 chance in 10,000 or less during the entire shipping campaign), the actual human health impacts are expected to be lower if any of the accidents considered did occur, because the results are dependent on the specific location and weather conditions, such as wind speed and direction, that were selected to maximize the results. Also, comparison of the results of longer duration accident scenarios against U.S. Environmental Protection Agency guidelines was made to demonstrate the usefulness of this site-specific analysis for emergency planning purposes.


Projected Consequence for Potential Sabotage Events Related to Spent Fuel Shipments

Projected Consequence for Potential Sabotage Events Related to Spent Fuel Shipments

Author:

Publisher:

Published: 1999

Total Pages: 4

ISBN-13:

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There is a growing interest in understanding the potential consequences of malevolent acts against shipments of nuclear waste and/or material. Recently, Sandia National Laboratories (SNL) conducted a study' to evaluate the potential source terms available for release in a sabotage event for spent fuel shipments. Using these source terms, we developed an approach to assess the potential radiological consequences of the hypothesized events and to compare them to consequences of transportation accidents involving the same types of shipments. Our analysis showed that there could be orders of magnitude differences in consequence for urban, suburban, and rural events. Sabotage consequences could be orders of magnitude higher than those of transportation accidents with a probability of 10−12 or higher and be similar to events with a probability less than 10−12. Also, explosive-induced buoyancy would disperse the source further out than a non-buoyant release in a transportation accident, which, therefore, would have a higher dose near the release point.


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Download or read book Projected Consequence for Potential Sabotage Events Related to Spent Fuel Shipments written by and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 4 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There is a growing interest in understanding the potential consequences of malevolent acts against shipments of nuclear waste and/or material. Recently, Sandia National Laboratories (SNL) conducted a study' to evaluate the potential source terms available for release in a sabotage event for spent fuel shipments. Using these source terms, we developed an approach to assess the potential radiological consequences of the hypothesized events and to compare them to consequences of transportation accidents involving the same types of shipments. Our analysis showed that there could be orders of magnitude differences in consequence for urban, suburban, and rural events. Sabotage consequences could be orders of magnitude higher than those of transportation accidents with a probability of 10−12 or higher and be similar to events with a probability less than 10−12. Also, explosive-induced buoyancy would disperse the source further out than a non-buoyant release in a transportation accident, which, therefore, would have a higher dose near the release point.


US Spent Fuel Policy

US Spent Fuel Policy

Author:

Publisher:

Published: 1980

Total Pages: 778

ISBN-13:

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Download or read book US Spent Fuel Policy written by and published by . This book was released on 1980 with total page 778 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:


Urban Transportation of Irradiated Fuel

Urban Transportation of Irradiated Fuel

Author: John Surrey

Publisher: Springer

Published: 1984-02-01

Total Pages: 352

ISBN-13: 1349173541

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Book Synopsis Urban Transportation of Irradiated Fuel by : John Surrey

Download or read book Urban Transportation of Irradiated Fuel written by John Surrey and published by Springer. This book was released on 1984-02-01 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: