The Skeptical Handicapper

The Skeptical Handicapper

Author: Barry Meadow

Publisher:

Published: 2019-01-15

Total Pages:

ISBN-13: 9780945322047

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Is betting a horse who was claimed last start a winning strategy?What are the signs that an upcoming favorite looks vulnerable?How about if you combine a class drop with a jockey switch?Should you bet everyone who won last out by 8 lengths or more?You may have an opinion about these handicapping questions. But wouldn't it be nice to see long-term data? What if you could analyze these topics-and dozens more-by seeing how they did in every race in North America from 2014 through 2017-some 168,227 in all?That's what The Skeptical Handicapper: Using Data and Brains to Win at the Racetrack is all about. Is what you believe true? Let's find out.But this book is not just a dry recitation of numbers. Author Barry Meadow-who wrote Money Secrets at the Racetrack, the definitive guide to money management at the races-takes you on a handicapping journey which covers virtually every question you may have about what's profitable and what isn't, and why. He should know-for more than 20 years, he was a full-time thoroughbred player. And he was a steady, big-money winner. Now he reveals for the first time what he's learned-and what can help you win. With the help of thoroughbred analytic specialist Ken Massa of Handicapping Technology and Research, he'll show you exactly how to win now and into the future. With data and facts, not just opinions.If you're serious about winning at the races today, this is the one book you must have. And only Barry Meadow could write it.


Book Synopsis The Skeptical Handicapper by : Barry Meadow

Download or read book The Skeptical Handicapper written by Barry Meadow and published by . This book was released on 2019-01-15 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Is betting a horse who was claimed last start a winning strategy?What are the signs that an upcoming favorite looks vulnerable?How about if you combine a class drop with a jockey switch?Should you bet everyone who won last out by 8 lengths or more?You may have an opinion about these handicapping questions. But wouldn't it be nice to see long-term data? What if you could analyze these topics-and dozens more-by seeing how they did in every race in North America from 2014 through 2017-some 168,227 in all?That's what The Skeptical Handicapper: Using Data and Brains to Win at the Racetrack is all about. Is what you believe true? Let's find out.But this book is not just a dry recitation of numbers. Author Barry Meadow-who wrote Money Secrets at the Racetrack, the definitive guide to money management at the races-takes you on a handicapping journey which covers virtually every question you may have about what's profitable and what isn't, and why. He should know-for more than 20 years, he was a full-time thoroughbred player. And he was a steady, big-money winner. Now he reveals for the first time what he's learned-and what can help you win. With the help of thoroughbred analytic specialist Ken Massa of Handicapping Technology and Research, he'll show you exactly how to win now and into the future. With data and facts, not just opinions.If you're serious about winning at the races today, this is the one book you must have. And only Barry Meadow could write it.

Handicapping 101

Handicapping 101

Author: Brad Free

Publisher: Daily Racing Form Press

Published: 2007

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13: 9781932910803

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Oxford Studies in Normative Ethics is an annual forum for new work in normative ethical theory. Leading philosophers present original contributions to our understanding of a wide range of moral issues and positions, from analysis of competing approaches to normative ethics (including moral realism, constructivism, and expressivism) to questions of how we should act and live well. OSNE will be an essential resource for scholars and students working in moral philosophy.


Book Synopsis Handicapping 101 by : Brad Free

Download or read book Handicapping 101 written by Brad Free and published by Daily Racing Form Press. This book was released on 2007 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Oxford Studies in Normative Ethics is an annual forum for new work in normative ethical theory. Leading philosophers present original contributions to our understanding of a wide range of moral issues and positions, from analysis of competing approaches to normative ethics (including moral realism, constructivism, and expressivism) to questions of how we should act and live well. OSNE will be an essential resource for scholars and students working in moral philosophy.

Precision

Precision

Author: C. X. Wong

Publisher: Outskirts Press

Published: 2011-03

Total Pages: 282

ISBN-13: 9781432768522

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"Precision ... Statistical and Mathematical Methods in Horse Racing" thoroughly discusses the mathematical and statistical methods in handicapping and betting techniques. Differentiations, combinatorics, normal distribution, kernel smoothing and other mathematical and statistical tools are introduced. The jargons and equations are kept to a minimum so that it is easy to understand for most readers. More than 20 professional programs are freely available to download, which can allow readers to easily apply the methodology introduced in the book. This book can be divided into three main parts: horse handicapping (Chapters 2-6), wagering (Chapters 7-9) and theories in practices (Chapters 10-11). Chapter 1 will explain why long term gains are possible in horse racing. About horse handicapping, we will start with analysing racing forms in Chapter 2. Other handicapping factors such as weight carried, jockeys, trainers and pedigrees will be discussed in Chapter 3. Some advanced statistical methods, such as chi-square test and kernel smoothing, will be introduced in Chapter 4 to further analyse those handicapping factors discussed in previous chapters. The following two chapters are about probability estimations. In Chapter 5, normal distribution and multinominal logistic regression are introduced in estimating winning probability of each race horse. In Chapter 6, we will talk about some methods in misconceptions in estimating placed probability. Two main concepts in wagering, Kelly criterion and hedging, will be discussed in Chapters 7 and 8. To hit exotic pools, those theories in combinatorics in Chapter 9 will definitely help the readers. The author will share his experiences in betting syndicate in Chapter 10, and tell you how to be a successful professional horseplayer in the last Chapter. Some readers may find the mathematics in this book difficult, but the free program will take your pain away and do all the calculations. You can simply apply all the professional formulae by no more than a click, and pick your horses like an expert analyst. As an awardee in Asian-Pacific Mathematics Olympiad, the author abandoned his career as an actuary and became a key member in a gambling syndicate. This book was reprinted in the 4th edition in Hong Kong, ranked #2 in the best-selling chart in the international Chinese weekly Yazhou Zhoukan, and now available worldwide.


Book Synopsis Precision by : C. X. Wong

Download or read book Precision written by C. X. Wong and published by Outskirts Press. This book was released on 2011-03 with total page 282 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Precision ... Statistical and Mathematical Methods in Horse Racing" thoroughly discusses the mathematical and statistical methods in handicapping and betting techniques. Differentiations, combinatorics, normal distribution, kernel smoothing and other mathematical and statistical tools are introduced. The jargons and equations are kept to a minimum so that it is easy to understand for most readers. More than 20 professional programs are freely available to download, which can allow readers to easily apply the methodology introduced in the book. This book can be divided into three main parts: horse handicapping (Chapters 2-6), wagering (Chapters 7-9) and theories in practices (Chapters 10-11). Chapter 1 will explain why long term gains are possible in horse racing. About horse handicapping, we will start with analysing racing forms in Chapter 2. Other handicapping factors such as weight carried, jockeys, trainers and pedigrees will be discussed in Chapter 3. Some advanced statistical methods, such as chi-square test and kernel smoothing, will be introduced in Chapter 4 to further analyse those handicapping factors discussed in previous chapters. The following two chapters are about probability estimations. In Chapter 5, normal distribution and multinominal logistic regression are introduced in estimating winning probability of each race horse. In Chapter 6, we will talk about some methods in misconceptions in estimating placed probability. Two main concepts in wagering, Kelly criterion and hedging, will be discussed in Chapters 7 and 8. To hit exotic pools, those theories in combinatorics in Chapter 9 will definitely help the readers. The author will share his experiences in betting syndicate in Chapter 10, and tell you how to be a successful professional horseplayer in the last Chapter. Some readers may find the mathematics in this book difficult, but the free program will take your pain away and do all the calculations. You can simply apply all the professional formulae by no more than a click, and pick your horses like an expert analyst. As an awardee in Asian-Pacific Mathematics Olympiad, the author abandoned his career as an actuary and became a key member in a gambling syndicate. This book was reprinted in the 4th edition in Hong Kong, ranked #2 in the best-selling chart in the international Chinese weekly Yazhou Zhoukan, and now available worldwide.

Blackjack Autumn

Blackjack Autumn

Author: Barry Meadow

Publisher: Huntington Press Inc

Published: 2012-05-10

Total Pages: 354

ISBN-13: 1935396129

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When Barry Meadow decided to take two months off from his everyday life to play blackjack in every Nevada casino, he had no idea what he would find. Leaving behind his business, his fiancee, and his son, he set out on the road with a suitcase, a tape recorder, and $8,000 on the trip of a lifetime.He ran into cowboys and Indians, suffered the Stardust curse, split 10s in Winnemucca, and learned more about real-world gambling than anyone should have to know.With wit and wisdom, Meadow takes you on an incredible journeyliterally, figuratively, even spirituallyall within the context of a professional blackjack player's remarkable way of life.Gambling lessons, life's lessons, Nevada geography lessonsthis one's got it all. One of the most highly acclaimed gambling books in the past half-decade.


Book Synopsis Blackjack Autumn by : Barry Meadow

Download or read book Blackjack Autumn written by Barry Meadow and published by Huntington Press Inc. This book was released on 2012-05-10 with total page 354 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: When Barry Meadow decided to take two months off from his everyday life to play blackjack in every Nevada casino, he had no idea what he would find. Leaving behind his business, his fiancee, and his son, he set out on the road with a suitcase, a tape recorder, and $8,000 on the trip of a lifetime.He ran into cowboys and Indians, suffered the Stardust curse, split 10s in Winnemucca, and learned more about real-world gambling than anyone should have to know.With wit and wisdom, Meadow takes you on an incredible journeyliterally, figuratively, even spirituallyall within the context of a professional blackjack player's remarkable way of life.Gambling lessons, life's lessons, Nevada geography lessonsthis one's got it all. One of the most highly acclaimed gambling books in the past half-decade.

Risk Intelligence

Risk Intelligence

Author: Dylan Evans

Publisher: Simon and Schuster

Published: 2015-09-29

Total Pages: 288

ISBN-13: 1451610912

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We must make judgments all the time when we can't be certain of the risks. Should we have that elective surgery? Trust the advice of our financial adviser? Take that new job we've been offered? How worried should we be about terrorist attacks? In this lively and groundbreaking book, pioneering researcher Dylan Evans introduces a newly discovered kind of intelligence for assessing risks, demonstrating how vital this risk intelligence is in our lives and how we can all raise our RQs in order to make better decisions every day. Evans has spearheaded the study of risk intelligence, devising a simple test to measure a person's RQ which when posted online sparked a storm of interest and was taken by tens of thousands of people. His research has revealed that risk intelligence is quite different from IQ, and that the vast majority of us have quite poor risk intelligence. However, he did find some people who have very high RQs. So what makes the difference? Introducing a wealth of fascinating research findings, Evans identifies a key set of common errors in our thinking that most of us fall victim to and that undermine our risk intelligence, such as "ambiguity aversion," overconfidence in our knowledge, the fallacy of mind reading, and our attraction to worst-case scenarios. We are also regularly led astray by the ways in which information is provided to us. Citing a wide range of real-life examples--from the brilliant risk assessment skills of horse race handicappers to the tragically flawed evaluations of risk that caused the financial crisis--Evans illustrates that sometimes our most trusted advisors, including the experts and analysts at the top of their disciplines, don't always give us the best advice when it comes to risk evaluation. Presenting his revolutionary test that allows readers to evaluate their own RQs, Evans introduces a number of simple techniques we can use to build our risk assessment powers and reports on the striking results he's seen in training people to develop their RQs. Both highly engaging and truly mind-changing, Risk Intelligence will fascinate all of those who are interested in how we can improve our thinking in order to enhance our lives.


Book Synopsis Risk Intelligence by : Dylan Evans

Download or read book Risk Intelligence written by Dylan Evans and published by Simon and Schuster. This book was released on 2015-09-29 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We must make judgments all the time when we can't be certain of the risks. Should we have that elective surgery? Trust the advice of our financial adviser? Take that new job we've been offered? How worried should we be about terrorist attacks? In this lively and groundbreaking book, pioneering researcher Dylan Evans introduces a newly discovered kind of intelligence for assessing risks, demonstrating how vital this risk intelligence is in our lives and how we can all raise our RQs in order to make better decisions every day. Evans has spearheaded the study of risk intelligence, devising a simple test to measure a person's RQ which when posted online sparked a storm of interest and was taken by tens of thousands of people. His research has revealed that risk intelligence is quite different from IQ, and that the vast majority of us have quite poor risk intelligence. However, he did find some people who have very high RQs. So what makes the difference? Introducing a wealth of fascinating research findings, Evans identifies a key set of common errors in our thinking that most of us fall victim to and that undermine our risk intelligence, such as "ambiguity aversion," overconfidence in our knowledge, the fallacy of mind reading, and our attraction to worst-case scenarios. We are also regularly led astray by the ways in which information is provided to us. Citing a wide range of real-life examples--from the brilliant risk assessment skills of horse race handicappers to the tragically flawed evaluations of risk that caused the financial crisis--Evans illustrates that sometimes our most trusted advisors, including the experts and analysts at the top of their disciplines, don't always give us the best advice when it comes to risk evaluation. Presenting his revolutionary test that allows readers to evaluate their own RQs, Evans introduces a number of simple techniques we can use to build our risk assessment powers and reports on the striking results he's seen in training people to develop their RQs. Both highly engaging and truly mind-changing, Risk Intelligence will fascinate all of those who are interested in how we can improve our thinking in order to enhance our lives.

The Winning Horseplayer

The Winning Horseplayer

Author: Andrew Beyer

Publisher: Houghton Mifflin Harcourt

Published: 2007

Total Pages: 218

ISBN-13: 9780618871780

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This advanced guide to handicapping, which includes a new Foreword by the author, is chock-full of the wit and wisdom that have made Beyer a legend in the sport. The Winning Horseplayeroffers the sophisticated bettor invaluable advice on handicapping and betting. "(Beyer) is the grand guru . . . of handicapping".--Boston Globe


Book Synopsis The Winning Horseplayer by : Andrew Beyer

Download or read book The Winning Horseplayer written by Andrew Beyer and published by Houghton Mifflin Harcourt. This book was released on 2007 with total page 218 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This advanced guide to handicapping, which includes a new Foreword by the author, is chock-full of the wit and wisdom that have made Beyer a legend in the sport. The Winning Horseplayeroffers the sophisticated bettor invaluable advice on handicapping and betting. "(Beyer) is the grand guru . . . of handicapping".--Boston Globe

Word Freak

Word Freak

Author: Stefan Fatsis

Publisher: HMH

Published: 2001-07-07

Total Pages: 427

ISBN-13: 0547524315

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This “marvelously absorbing” book is “a walk on the wild side of words and ventures into the zone where language and mathematics intersect” (San Jose Mercury News). A former Wall Street Journal reporter and NPR regular, Stefan Fatsis recounts his remarkable rise through the ranks of elite Scrabble players while exploring the game’s strange, potent hold over them—and him. At least thirty million American homes have a Scrabble set—but the game’s most talented competitors inhabit a sphere far removed from the masses of “living room players.” Theirs is a surprisingly diverse subculture whose stars include a vitamin-popping standup comic; a former bank teller whose intestinal troubles earned him the nickname “G.I. Joel”; a burly, unemployed African American from Baltimore’s inner city; the three-time national champion who plays according to Zen principles; and the author himself, who over the course of the book is transformed from a curious reporter to a confirmed Scrabble nut. Fatsis begins by haunting the gritty corner of a Greenwich Village park where pickup Scrabble games can be found whenever weather permits. His curiosity soon morphs into compulsion, as he sets about memorizing thousands of obscure words and fills his evenings with solo Scrabble played on his living room floor. Before long he finds himself at tournaments, socializing—and competing—with Scrabble’s elite. But this book is about more than hardcore Scrabblers, for the game yields insights into realms as disparate as linguistics, psychology, and mathematics. Word Freak extends its reach even farther, pondering the light Scrabble throws on such notions as brilliance, memory, competition, failure, and hope. It is a geography of obsession that celebrates the uncanny powers locked in all of us, “a can’t-put-it-down narrative that dances between memoir and reportage” (Los Angeles Times). “Funny, thoughtful, character-rich, unchallengeably winning writing.” —The Atlantic Monthly This edition includes a new afterword by the author.


Book Synopsis Word Freak by : Stefan Fatsis

Download or read book Word Freak written by Stefan Fatsis and published by HMH. This book was released on 2001-07-07 with total page 427 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This “marvelously absorbing” book is “a walk on the wild side of words and ventures into the zone where language and mathematics intersect” (San Jose Mercury News). A former Wall Street Journal reporter and NPR regular, Stefan Fatsis recounts his remarkable rise through the ranks of elite Scrabble players while exploring the game’s strange, potent hold over them—and him. At least thirty million American homes have a Scrabble set—but the game’s most talented competitors inhabit a sphere far removed from the masses of “living room players.” Theirs is a surprisingly diverse subculture whose stars include a vitamin-popping standup comic; a former bank teller whose intestinal troubles earned him the nickname “G.I. Joel”; a burly, unemployed African American from Baltimore’s inner city; the three-time national champion who plays according to Zen principles; and the author himself, who over the course of the book is transformed from a curious reporter to a confirmed Scrabble nut. Fatsis begins by haunting the gritty corner of a Greenwich Village park where pickup Scrabble games can be found whenever weather permits. His curiosity soon morphs into compulsion, as he sets about memorizing thousands of obscure words and fills his evenings with solo Scrabble played on his living room floor. Before long he finds himself at tournaments, socializing—and competing—with Scrabble’s elite. But this book is about more than hardcore Scrabblers, for the game yields insights into realms as disparate as linguistics, psychology, and mathematics. Word Freak extends its reach even farther, pondering the light Scrabble throws on such notions as brilliance, memory, competition, failure, and hope. It is a geography of obsession that celebrates the uncanny powers locked in all of us, “a can’t-put-it-down narrative that dances between memoir and reportage” (Los Angeles Times). “Funny, thoughtful, character-rich, unchallengeably winning writing.” —The Atlantic Monthly This edition includes a new afterword by the author.

Blackjack Autumn

Blackjack Autumn

Author: Barry Meadow

Publisher: TR Publishing

Published: 1999

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13: 9780945322030

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When Barry Meadow decided to take two months off from his life to play blackjack in every casino in Nevada, he had no idea what he would find. In this wise and witty true story, he takes you deep into a little-known world.


Book Synopsis Blackjack Autumn by : Barry Meadow

Download or read book Blackjack Autumn written by Barry Meadow and published by TR Publishing. This book was released on 1999 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: When Barry Meadow decided to take two months off from his life to play blackjack in every casino in Nevada, he had no idea what he would find. In this wise and witty true story, he takes you deep into a little-known world.

Extreme Pace Handicapping: If You Doodle They Will Come

Extreme Pace Handicapping: If You Doodle They Will Come

Author: Randy Giles

Publisher: CreateSpace

Published: 2008-06

Total Pages: 136

ISBN-13: 9781438222745

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The best payoffs I've had at the track were generated by extreme pace aberrations. Those nice payoffs didn't come from pedestrians. I'm talking about thieves and carpetbaggers, opportunists who were ordinary but found themselves in extraordinary situations - the right place, the right time. When I started playing the extreme pace way, it made such a difference that I dedicated my handicapping life to it. Extreme Pace Handicapping will show you what made the difference and why. It's simple, really. I like to call it pace picture doodling. If you doodle it, they will come: The Thief, The Clever Thief, The Loner, and the Carpetbagger. Includes one FREE month of the PACEAPPRAISER PPs. Here's how: Buy the book. Go to the author's website (see About the Author at the end of the book for website address). Send a copy of your Amazon receipt along with your first and last name. You will receive your login information by return email.


Book Synopsis Extreme Pace Handicapping: If You Doodle They Will Come by : Randy Giles

Download or read book Extreme Pace Handicapping: If You Doodle They Will Come written by Randy Giles and published by CreateSpace. This book was released on 2008-06 with total page 136 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The best payoffs I've had at the track were generated by extreme pace aberrations. Those nice payoffs didn't come from pedestrians. I'm talking about thieves and carpetbaggers, opportunists who were ordinary but found themselves in extraordinary situations - the right place, the right time. When I started playing the extreme pace way, it made such a difference that I dedicated my handicapping life to it. Extreme Pace Handicapping will show you what made the difference and why. It's simple, really. I like to call it pace picture doodling. If you doodle it, they will come: The Thief, The Clever Thief, The Loner, and the Carpetbagger. Includes one FREE month of the PACEAPPRAISER PPs. Here's how: Buy the book. Go to the author's website (see About the Author at the end of the book for website address). Send a copy of your Amazon receipt along with your first and last name. You will receive your login information by return email.

How We Know What Isn't So

How We Know What Isn't So

Author: Thomas Gilovich

Publisher: Simon and Schuster

Published: 2008-06-30

Total Pages: 228

ISBN-13: 1439106746

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Thomas Gilovich offers a wise and readable guide to the fallacy of the obvious in everyday life. When can we trust what we believe—that "teams and players have winning streaks," that "flattery works," or that "the more people who agree, the more likely they are to be right"—and when are such beliefs suspect? Thomas Gilovich offers a guide to the fallacy of the obvious in everyday life. Illustrating his points with examples, and supporting them with the latest research findings, he documents the cognitive, social, and motivational processes that distort our thoughts, beliefs, judgments and decisions. In a rapidly changing world, the biases and stereotypes that help us process an overload of complex information inevitably distort what we would like to believe is reality. Awareness of our propensity to make these systematic errors, Gilovich argues, is the first step to more effective analysis and action.


Book Synopsis How We Know What Isn't So by : Thomas Gilovich

Download or read book How We Know What Isn't So written by Thomas Gilovich and published by Simon and Schuster. This book was released on 2008-06-30 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Thomas Gilovich offers a wise and readable guide to the fallacy of the obvious in everyday life. When can we trust what we believe—that "teams and players have winning streaks," that "flattery works," or that "the more people who agree, the more likely they are to be right"—and when are such beliefs suspect? Thomas Gilovich offers a guide to the fallacy of the obvious in everyday life. Illustrating his points with examples, and supporting them with the latest research findings, he documents the cognitive, social, and motivational processes that distort our thoughts, beliefs, judgments and decisions. In a rapidly changing world, the biases and stereotypes that help us process an overload of complex information inevitably distort what we would like to believe is reality. Awareness of our propensity to make these systematic errors, Gilovich argues, is the first step to more effective analysis and action.