The Art of Thinking Clearly

The Art of Thinking Clearly

Author: Rolf Dobelli

Publisher: Harper Collins

Published: 2014-05-06

Total Pages: 269

ISBN-13: 0062359800

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A world-class thinker counts the 100 ways in which humans behave irrationally, showing us what we can do to recognize and minimize these “thinking errors” to make better decisions and have a better life Despite the best of intentions, humans are notoriously bad—that is, irrational—when it comes to making decisions and assessing risks and tradeoffs. Psychologists and neuroscientists refer to these distinctly human foibles, biases, and thinking traps as “cognitive errors.” Cognitive errors are systematic deviances from rationality, from optimized, logical, rational thinking and behavior. We make these errors all the time, in all sorts of situations, for problems big and small: whether to choose the apple or the cupcake; whether to keep retirement funds in the stock market when the Dow tanks, or whether to take the advice of a friend over a stranger. The “behavioral turn” in neuroscience and economics in the past twenty years has increased our understanding of how we think and how we make decisions. It shows how systematic errors mar our thinking and under which conditions our thought processes work best and worst. Evolutionary psychology delivers convincing theories about why our thinking is, in fact, marred. The neurosciences can pinpoint with increasing precision what exactly happens when we think clearly and when we don’t. Drawing on this wide body of research, The Art of Thinking Clearly is an entertaining presentation of these known systematic thinking errors--offering guidance and insight into everything why you shouldn’t accept a free drink to why you SHOULD walk out of a movie you don’t like it to why it’s so hard to predict the future to why shouldn’t watch the news. The book is organized into 100 short chapters, each covering a single cognitive error, bias, or heuristic. Examples of these concepts include: Reciprocity, Confirmation Bias, The It-Gets-Better-Before-It-Gets-Worse Trap, and the Man-With-A-Hammer Tendency. In engaging prose and with real-world examples and anecdotes, The Art of Thinking Clearly helps solve the puzzle of human reasoning.


Book Synopsis The Art of Thinking Clearly by : Rolf Dobelli

Download or read book The Art of Thinking Clearly written by Rolf Dobelli and published by Harper Collins. This book was released on 2014-05-06 with total page 269 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A world-class thinker counts the 100 ways in which humans behave irrationally, showing us what we can do to recognize and minimize these “thinking errors” to make better decisions and have a better life Despite the best of intentions, humans are notoriously bad—that is, irrational—when it comes to making decisions and assessing risks and tradeoffs. Psychologists and neuroscientists refer to these distinctly human foibles, biases, and thinking traps as “cognitive errors.” Cognitive errors are systematic deviances from rationality, from optimized, logical, rational thinking and behavior. We make these errors all the time, in all sorts of situations, for problems big and small: whether to choose the apple or the cupcake; whether to keep retirement funds in the stock market when the Dow tanks, or whether to take the advice of a friend over a stranger. The “behavioral turn” in neuroscience and economics in the past twenty years has increased our understanding of how we think and how we make decisions. It shows how systematic errors mar our thinking and under which conditions our thought processes work best and worst. Evolutionary psychology delivers convincing theories about why our thinking is, in fact, marred. The neurosciences can pinpoint with increasing precision what exactly happens when we think clearly and when we don’t. Drawing on this wide body of research, The Art of Thinking Clearly is an entertaining presentation of these known systematic thinking errors--offering guidance and insight into everything why you shouldn’t accept a free drink to why you SHOULD walk out of a movie you don’t like it to why it’s so hard to predict the future to why shouldn’t watch the news. The book is organized into 100 short chapters, each covering a single cognitive error, bias, or heuristic. Examples of these concepts include: Reciprocity, Confirmation Bias, The It-Gets-Better-Before-It-Gets-Worse Trap, and the Man-With-A-Hammer Tendency. In engaging prose and with real-world examples and anecdotes, The Art of Thinking Clearly helps solve the puzzle of human reasoning.


Thinking Clearly

Thinking Clearly

Author: Jill LeBlanc

Publisher: W W Norton & Company Incorporated

Published: 1998

Total Pages: 314

ISBN-13: 9780393972184

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In tune with the needs of students, Thinking Clearly focuses squarely on core issues of critical reasoning.


Book Synopsis Thinking Clearly by : Jill LeBlanc

Download or read book Thinking Clearly written by Jill LeBlanc and published by W W Norton & Company Incorporated. This book was released on 1998 with total page 314 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In tune with the needs of students, Thinking Clearly focuses squarely on core issues of critical reasoning.


Thinking Clearly with Data

Thinking Clearly with Data

Author: Ethan Bueno de Mesquita

Publisher: Princeton University Press

Published: 2021-11-16

Total Pages: 400

ISBN-13: 0691215014

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An engaging introduction to data science that emphasizes critical thinking over statistical techniques An introduction to data science or statistics shouldn’t involve proving complex theorems or memorizing obscure terms and formulas, but that is exactly what most introductory quantitative textbooks emphasize. In contrast, Thinking Clearly with Data focuses, first and foremost, on critical thinking and conceptual understanding in order to teach students how to be better consumers and analysts of the kinds of quantitative information and arguments that they will encounter throughout their lives. Among much else, the book teaches how to assess whether an observed relationship in data reflects a genuine relationship in the world and, if so, whether it is causal; how to make the most informative comparisons for answering questions; what questions to ask others who are making arguments using quantitative evidence; which statistics are particularly informative or misleading; how quantitative evidence should and shouldn’t influence decision-making; and how to make better decisions by using moral values as well as data. Filled with real-world examples, the book shows how its thinking tools apply to problems in a wide variety of subjects, including elections, civil conflict, crime, terrorism, financial crises, health care, sports, music, and space travel. Above all else, Thinking Clearly with Data demonstrates why, despite the many benefits of our data-driven age, data can never be a substitute for thinking. An ideal textbook for introductory quantitative methods courses in data science, statistics, political science, economics, psychology, sociology, public policy, and other fields Introduces the basic toolkit of data analysis—including sampling, hypothesis testing, Bayesian inference, regression, experiments, instrumental variables, differences in differences, and regression discontinuity Uses real-world examples and data from a wide variety of subjects Includes practice questions and data exercises


Book Synopsis Thinking Clearly with Data by : Ethan Bueno de Mesquita

Download or read book Thinking Clearly with Data written by Ethan Bueno de Mesquita and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2021-11-16 with total page 400 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An engaging introduction to data science that emphasizes critical thinking over statistical techniques An introduction to data science or statistics shouldn’t involve proving complex theorems or memorizing obscure terms and formulas, but that is exactly what most introductory quantitative textbooks emphasize. In contrast, Thinking Clearly with Data focuses, first and foremost, on critical thinking and conceptual understanding in order to teach students how to be better consumers and analysts of the kinds of quantitative information and arguments that they will encounter throughout their lives. Among much else, the book teaches how to assess whether an observed relationship in data reflects a genuine relationship in the world and, if so, whether it is causal; how to make the most informative comparisons for answering questions; what questions to ask others who are making arguments using quantitative evidence; which statistics are particularly informative or misleading; how quantitative evidence should and shouldn’t influence decision-making; and how to make better decisions by using moral values as well as data. Filled with real-world examples, the book shows how its thinking tools apply to problems in a wide variety of subjects, including elections, civil conflict, crime, terrorism, financial crises, health care, sports, music, and space travel. Above all else, Thinking Clearly with Data demonstrates why, despite the many benefits of our data-driven age, data can never be a substitute for thinking. An ideal textbook for introductory quantitative methods courses in data science, statistics, political science, economics, psychology, sociology, public policy, and other fields Introduces the basic toolkit of data analysis—including sampling, hypothesis testing, Bayesian inference, regression, experiments, instrumental variables, differences in differences, and regression discontinuity Uses real-world examples and data from a wide variety of subjects Includes practice questions and data exercises


Thinking Clearly about Death

Thinking Clearly about Death

Author: Jay F. Rosenberg

Publisher: Hackett Publishing

Published: 1998-01-01

Total Pages: 374

ISBN-13: 9780872204263

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Jay Rosenberg's penetrating and persuasively argued analysis of the central metaphysical and moral questions pertaining to death has been updated and revised to expand and deepen several of its key arguments and to address conceptual developments of the past fifteen years. Among the topics discussed are: Life After Death; The Limits of Theorizing; The Limits of Imagination; Death and Personhood; Values and Rights; Mercy Killing; Prolonging Life; Rational Suicide; and One's Own Death. Rosenberg's prose is lucid, lively, thoroughly absorbing, and accessible to introductory-level readers. Essential reading for anyone interested in reflecting on this engaging topic.


Book Synopsis Thinking Clearly about Death by : Jay F. Rosenberg

Download or read book Thinking Clearly about Death written by Jay F. Rosenberg and published by Hackett Publishing. This book was released on 1998-01-01 with total page 374 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Jay Rosenberg's penetrating and persuasively argued analysis of the central metaphysical and moral questions pertaining to death has been updated and revised to expand and deepen several of its key arguments and to address conceptual developments of the past fifteen years. Among the topics discussed are: Life After Death; The Limits of Theorizing; The Limits of Imagination; Death and Personhood; Values and Rights; Mercy Killing; Prolonging Life; Rational Suicide; and One's Own Death. Rosenberg's prose is lucid, lively, thoroughly absorbing, and accessible to introductory-level readers. Essential reading for anyone interested in reflecting on this engaging topic.


How to Think

How to Think

Author: Tom Chatfield

Publisher: SAGE

Published: 2021-06-02

Total Pages: 84

ISBN-13: 1529758807

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This is a book about thinking. Engaging and down-to-earth, it captures the habits and practices that are fundamental to clear thinking and effective study. In his warm and friendly style, Tom Chatfield shows you how to: Identify and examine your biases Engage in lively, curious skepticism See the value in emotion and use rhetoric persuasively Know when to say ′I don′t know′ Construct reasoned arguments and explanations Think critically about how you engage with technology. Short and punchy, the book views critical thinking as a skill to be continually practiced and developed. It equips you with a toolkit for clearer thinking, describing ten key concepts that help you to apply what you have learned. Including regular reflective exercises, key concepts, further readings, each chapter also offers recommendations for how to put the ideas it discusses into practice. This book is for undergraduate students and anyone looking to understand the core ideas behind critical thinking. Celebrating both self-reflection and collaboration, this book empowers you to pause, think twice and, above all, think well.


Book Synopsis How to Think by : Tom Chatfield

Download or read book How to Think written by Tom Chatfield and published by SAGE. This book was released on 2021-06-02 with total page 84 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a book about thinking. Engaging and down-to-earth, it captures the habits and practices that are fundamental to clear thinking and effective study. In his warm and friendly style, Tom Chatfield shows you how to: Identify and examine your biases Engage in lively, curious skepticism See the value in emotion and use rhetoric persuasively Know when to say ′I don′t know′ Construct reasoned arguments and explanations Think critically about how you engage with technology. Short and punchy, the book views critical thinking as a skill to be continually practiced and developed. It equips you with a toolkit for clearer thinking, describing ten key concepts that help you to apply what you have learned. Including regular reflective exercises, key concepts, further readings, each chapter also offers recommendations for how to put the ideas it discusses into practice. This book is for undergraduate students and anyone looking to understand the core ideas behind critical thinking. Celebrating both self-reflection and collaboration, this book empowers you to pause, think twice and, above all, think well.


Mister Yam

Mister Yam

Author: Yeng Tan

Publisher:

Published: 2021-08-06

Total Pages: 296

ISBN-13:

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Mister Yam - a twentysomething year old man disillusioned with corporate work in San Francisco - would find his life forever changed after an inexplicable phone call with a strange woman and an invitation to a musical show. Thus begins a series of events that would take Mister Yam chasing nameless figures across the country; solving a mystery only he can explain.


Book Synopsis Mister Yam by : Yeng Tan

Download or read book Mister Yam written by Yeng Tan and published by . This book was released on 2021-08-06 with total page 296 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mister Yam - a twentysomething year old man disillusioned with corporate work in San Francisco - would find his life forever changed after an inexplicable phone call with a strange woman and an invitation to a musical show. Thus begins a series of events that would take Mister Yam chasing nameless figures across the country; solving a mystery only he can explain.


Focus: The Art of Clear Thinking

Focus: The Art of Clear Thinking

Author: Valerie Pierce

Publisher: Mercier Press Ltd

Published: 2014-05-09

Total Pages: 200

ISBN-13: 1781172811

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Focus is natural. We are born with an instinct to focus on exactly what we want and a very strong pair of lungs to help us to get it. Then, somewhere along the way, we begin to lose that focus. In the digital age we are bombarded with information from all angles and live our lives at such a breakneck pace that it sometimes seems that our lives are completely out of our control. In three easy steps this book teaches the reader how to regain control through the art of clear thinking: 1) FOCUS eliminate information overload 2) TRANSFORM negative thinking into positive action 3) THINK CLEARLY in the moment The author shows how you can use this strategy to achieve your goals in work and in life.


Book Synopsis Focus: The Art of Clear Thinking by : Valerie Pierce

Download or read book Focus: The Art of Clear Thinking written by Valerie Pierce and published by Mercier Press Ltd. This book was released on 2014-05-09 with total page 200 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Focus is natural. We are born with an instinct to focus on exactly what we want and a very strong pair of lungs to help us to get it. Then, somewhere along the way, we begin to lose that focus. In the digital age we are bombarded with information from all angles and live our lives at such a breakneck pace that it sometimes seems that our lives are completely out of our control. In three easy steps this book teaches the reader how to regain control through the art of clear thinking: 1) FOCUS eliminate information overload 2) TRANSFORM negative thinking into positive action 3) THINK CLEARLY in the moment The author shows how you can use this strategy to achieve your goals in work and in life.


Make Up Your Mind

Make Up Your Mind

Author: Hal Mooz

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2012-02-14

Total Pages: 22

ISBN-13: 111817271X

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A proven decision-making system guides readers to the rightchoice every time Make Up Your Mind provides author Hal Mooz’sproprietary system for decision making. This approach consists ofthree decision-making models, including: the Decision Type Model,which characterizes what is at stake with any decision; theDecision Solution Model, which frames the most suitablealternatives; and the Decision Judgment Model, which provides tenbases for judging alternatives, some of which may be defensible andothers that, although popular, may not be defensible to challenge.These models guide the reader's thinking to the most promisingalternatives and the best choice. A decision fit person enjoys the benefit of thinking clearlyabout decisions and their outcomes and is competent to actknowledgeably and decisively about creating the alternatives andjudging them appropriately. Become decision fit. Think clearly and act decisively on yourown decisions and help others to do the same.


Book Synopsis Make Up Your Mind by : Hal Mooz

Download or read book Make Up Your Mind written by Hal Mooz and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-02-14 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A proven decision-making system guides readers to the rightchoice every time Make Up Your Mind provides author Hal Mooz’sproprietary system for decision making. This approach consists ofthree decision-making models, including: the Decision Type Model,which characterizes what is at stake with any decision; theDecision Solution Model, which frames the most suitablealternatives; and the Decision Judgment Model, which provides tenbases for judging alternatives, some of which may be defensible andothers that, although popular, may not be defensible to challenge.These models guide the reader's thinking to the most promisingalternatives and the best choice. A decision fit person enjoys the benefit of thinking clearlyabout decisions and their outcomes and is competent to actknowledgeably and decisively about creating the alternatives andjudging them appropriately. Become decision fit. Think clearly and act decisively on yourown decisions and help others to do the same.


The Art of the Good Life

The Art of the Good Life

Author: Rolf Dobelli

Publisher: Hachette Books

Published: 2018-11-06

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13: 9780316445061

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Since antiquity, people have been asking themselves what it means to live a good life. How should I live? What constitutes a good life? What's the role of fate? What's the role of money? Is leading a good life a question of mindset, or is it more about reaching your goals? Is it better to actively seek happiness or to avoid unhappiness? Each generation poses these questions anew, and somehow the answers are always fundamentally disappointing. Why? Because we're constantly searching for a single principle, a single tenet, a single rule. Yet this holy grail--a single, simple path to happiness--doesn't exist. Rolf Dobelli--successful businessman, founder of the TED-style ideas conference Zurich Minds, bestselling author, and all-around seeker of big ideas--has made finding a shortcut to happiness his life's mission. He's synthesized the leading thinkers and the latest science in happiness to find the best shortcuts to satisfaction in The Art of the Good Life, his follow up to the international bestseller The Art of Thinking Clearly (which has sold more than 2.5 million copies in 40 languages all around the globe). The Art of the Good Life is a toolkit designed for practical living. Here you'll find fifty-two happiness hacks--from guilt-free shunning of technology to gleefully paying your parking tickets--that are certain to optimize your happiness. These tips may not guarantee you a good life, but they'll give you a better chance (and that's all any of us can ask for).


Book Synopsis The Art of the Good Life by : Rolf Dobelli

Download or read book The Art of the Good Life written by Rolf Dobelli and published by Hachette Books. This book was released on 2018-11-06 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since antiquity, people have been asking themselves what it means to live a good life. How should I live? What constitutes a good life? What's the role of fate? What's the role of money? Is leading a good life a question of mindset, or is it more about reaching your goals? Is it better to actively seek happiness or to avoid unhappiness? Each generation poses these questions anew, and somehow the answers are always fundamentally disappointing. Why? Because we're constantly searching for a single principle, a single tenet, a single rule. Yet this holy grail--a single, simple path to happiness--doesn't exist. Rolf Dobelli--successful businessman, founder of the TED-style ideas conference Zurich Minds, bestselling author, and all-around seeker of big ideas--has made finding a shortcut to happiness his life's mission. He's synthesized the leading thinkers and the latest science in happiness to find the best shortcuts to satisfaction in The Art of the Good Life, his follow up to the international bestseller The Art of Thinking Clearly (which has sold more than 2.5 million copies in 40 languages all around the globe). The Art of the Good Life is a toolkit designed for practical living. Here you'll find fifty-two happiness hacks--from guilt-free shunning of technology to gleefully paying your parking tickets--that are certain to optimize your happiness. These tips may not guarantee you a good life, but they'll give you a better chance (and that's all any of us can ask for).


The Art of Thinking Clearly

The Art of Thinking Clearly

Author: Rolf Dobelli

Publisher: Hachette UK

Published: 2013-04-11

Total Pages: 310

ISBN-13: 1444759558

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*OVER 3 MILLION COPIES SOLD* This book will change the way you think about decision-making. If you want to lead a happier, more prosperous life, you don't need shiny gadgets, complicated ideas or frantic activity. You just need to make better choices. From why you should not accept a free drink to why you should keep a diary, from dealing with a personal problem to negotiating at work, The Art of Thinking Clearly is a simple, straightforward and always surprising guide to a better, smarter you. Making better choices will transform your life at work, at home, forever. 'A treat - highly relevant, scientifically grounded and beautifully written' Claudio Feser, Senior Partner, McKinsey 'Intelligent, informative and witty' Christoph Franz, former Lufthansa CEO PRAISE FOR ROLF DOBELLI 'Dobelli has a gift for identifying the best ideas in the world' Jonathan Haidt, author of The Righteous Mind 'One of Europe's finest minds' Matt Ridley, author of The Evolution of Everything 'A virtuosic synthesizer of ideas' Joshua Greene, author of Moral Tribes


Book Synopsis The Art of Thinking Clearly by : Rolf Dobelli

Download or read book The Art of Thinking Clearly written by Rolf Dobelli and published by Hachette UK. This book was released on 2013-04-11 with total page 310 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: *OVER 3 MILLION COPIES SOLD* This book will change the way you think about decision-making. If you want to lead a happier, more prosperous life, you don't need shiny gadgets, complicated ideas or frantic activity. You just need to make better choices. From why you should not accept a free drink to why you should keep a diary, from dealing with a personal problem to negotiating at work, The Art of Thinking Clearly is a simple, straightforward and always surprising guide to a better, smarter you. Making better choices will transform your life at work, at home, forever. 'A treat - highly relevant, scientifically grounded and beautifully written' Claudio Feser, Senior Partner, McKinsey 'Intelligent, informative and witty' Christoph Franz, former Lufthansa CEO PRAISE FOR ROLF DOBELLI 'Dobelli has a gift for identifying the best ideas in the world' Jonathan Haidt, author of The Righteous Mind 'One of Europe's finest minds' Matt Ridley, author of The Evolution of Everything 'A virtuosic synthesizer of ideas' Joshua Greene, author of Moral Tribes