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Toward a Mathematical Theory of Counterterrorism

Author: Jonathan David Farley

Publisher:

Published: 2007

Total Pages: 72

ISBN-13:

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When then U.S. Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld was making this statement: "Today we lack metrics to know if we are winning or losing the global war on terror," the RAND journal Studies in Conflict and Terrorism was already attempting to address his concern. Wars are composed of battles, so presumably the war on terror is composed - at least in part - of battles against terrorist cells. But how can one tell if those battles have been won? How can we measure that? In this monograph, the author lays out a mathematical model for answering these questions. Although not meant to be all inclusive, he shows through his examples, some uses, details and suggestions for possible improvements in current processes. If one accepts the formalism of the model, with a few additional and reasonable assumptions, one can ask, "What is the structure of the 'perfect' terrorist cell? Which terrorist cells are most robust? Which cells are least likely to be disrupted if a certain number of its members have been captured or killed?"

Book Synopsis Toward a Mathematical Theory of Counterterrorism by : Jonathan David Farley

Download or read book Toward a Mathematical Theory of Counterterrorism written by Jonathan David Farley and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: When then U.S. Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld was making this statement: "Today we lack metrics to know if we are winning or losing the global war on terror," the RAND journal Studies in Conflict and Terrorism was already attempting to address his concern. Wars are composed of battles, so presumably the war on terror is composed - at least in part - of battles against terrorist cells. But how can one tell if those battles have been won? How can we measure that? In this monograph, the author lays out a mathematical model for answering these questions. Although not meant to be all inclusive, he shows through his examples, some uses, details and suggestions for possible improvements in current processes. If one accepts the formalism of the model, with a few additional and reasonable assumptions, one can ask, "What is the structure of the 'perfect' terrorist cell? Which terrorist cells are most robust? Which cells are least likely to be disrupted if a certain number of its members have been captured or killed?"

Toward a Mathematical Theory of Counterterrorism: the Proteus Monograph Series

Author: Jonathan Farley

Publisher: CreateSpace

Published: 2013-04-30

Total Pages: 80

ISBN-13: 9781484848111

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Professor Jonathan David Farley is in the department of mathematics at the California Institute of Technology. He has formerly been a Science Fellow at Stanford University's Center for International Security and Cooperation and a professor at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Seed Magazine named him one of "15 people who have shaped the global conversation about science in 2005."

Book Synopsis Toward a Mathematical Theory of Counterterrorism: the Proteus Monograph Series by : Jonathan Farley

Download or read book Toward a Mathematical Theory of Counterterrorism: the Proteus Monograph Series written by Jonathan Farley and published by CreateSpace. This book was released on 2013-04-30 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Professor Jonathan David Farley is in the department of mathematics at the California Institute of Technology. He has formerly been a Science Fellow at Stanford University's Center for International Security and Cooperation and a professor at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Seed Magazine named him one of "15 people who have shaped the global conversation about science in 2005."

Toward a Mathematical Theory of Counterterrorism (Proteus USA, Volume 1, Issue 2, December 2007).

Author:

Publisher:

Published: 2007

Total Pages: 80

ISBN-13:

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Wars are composed of battles, so presumably the war on terror is composed-at least in part-of battles against terrorist cells. But how can one tell if those battles have been won? One could ask for the annihilation of the opposing side, but surely that is too crude a measure; Paris's Troy may have been sacked, but not Petain's Paris. One could declare a battle won if the terrorist cell has not conducted an attack, but of course it is the potential for attack that is the chief concern. How can we measure that? In the first part of this paper, we will review a mathematical model for answering questions like this. This model has many shortcomings, but also perhaps some uses; details and suggestions for possible improvements will be found below. But if one accepts the formalism of the model, with a few additional- and, we trust, reasonable-assumptions, one can ask, "What is the structure of the 'perfect' terrorist cell? the most robust terrorist cell? the cell that is least likely to be disrupted if a certain number of its members have been captured or killed?" This becomes a precise mathematical question, which we address in the latter part of this paper. Finally we propose additional mathematics problems engendered by our research; we hope government investigators, academics, and students will pursue them.

Book Synopsis Toward a Mathematical Theory of Counterterrorism (Proteus USA, Volume 1, Issue 2, December 2007). by :

Download or read book Toward a Mathematical Theory of Counterterrorism (Proteus USA, Volume 1, Issue 2, December 2007). written by and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Wars are composed of battles, so presumably the war on terror is composed-at least in part-of battles against terrorist cells. But how can one tell if those battles have been won? One could ask for the annihilation of the opposing side, but surely that is too crude a measure; Paris's Troy may have been sacked, but not Petain's Paris. One could declare a battle won if the terrorist cell has not conducted an attack, but of course it is the potential for attack that is the chief concern. How can we measure that? In the first part of this paper, we will review a mathematical model for answering questions like this. This model has many shortcomings, but also perhaps some uses; details and suggestions for possible improvements will be found below. But if one accepts the formalism of the model, with a few additional- and, we trust, reasonable-assumptions, one can ask, "What is the structure of the 'perfect' terrorist cell? the most robust terrorist cell? the cell that is least likely to be disrupted if a certain number of its members have been captured or killed?" This becomes a precise mathematical question, which we address in the latter part of this paper. Finally we propose additional mathematics problems engendered by our research; we hope government investigators, academics, and students will pursue them.

Mathematical Methods in Counterterrorism

Author: Nasrullah Memon

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2009-08-25

Total Pages: 388

ISBN-13: 3211094423

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Terrorism is one of the serious threats to international peace and security that we face in this decade. No nation can consider itself immune from the dangers it poses, and no society can remain disengaged from the efforts to combat it. The termcounterterrorism refers to the techniques, strategies, and tactics used in the ?ght against terrorism. Counterterrorism efforts involve many segments of so- ety, especially governmental agencies including the police, military, and intelligence agencies (both domestic and international). The goal of counterterrorism efforts is to not only detect and prevent potential future acts but also to assist in the response to events that have already occurred. A terrorist cell usually forms very quietly and then grows in a pattern – sp- ning international borders, oceans, and hemispheres. Surprising to many, an eff- tive “weapon”, just as quiet – mathematics – can serve as a powerful tool to combat terrorism, providing the ability to connect the dots and reveal the organizational pattern of something so sinister. The events of 9/11 instantly changed perceptions of the wordsterrorist andn- work, especially in the United States. The international community was confronted with the need to tackle a threat which was not con?ned to a discreet physical - cation. This is a particular challenge to the standard instruments for projecting the legal authority of states and their power to uphold public safety. As demonstrated by the events of the 9/11 attack, we know that terrorist attacks can happen anywhere.

Book Synopsis Mathematical Methods in Counterterrorism by : Nasrullah Memon

Download or read book Mathematical Methods in Counterterrorism written by Nasrullah Memon and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-08-25 with total page 388 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Terrorism is one of the serious threats to international peace and security that we face in this decade. No nation can consider itself immune from the dangers it poses, and no society can remain disengaged from the efforts to combat it. The termcounterterrorism refers to the techniques, strategies, and tactics used in the ?ght against terrorism. Counterterrorism efforts involve many segments of so- ety, especially governmental agencies including the police, military, and intelligence agencies (both domestic and international). The goal of counterterrorism efforts is to not only detect and prevent potential future acts but also to assist in the response to events that have already occurred. A terrorist cell usually forms very quietly and then grows in a pattern – sp- ning international borders, oceans, and hemispheres. Surprising to many, an eff- tive “weapon”, just as quiet – mathematics – can serve as a powerful tool to combat terrorism, providing the ability to connect the dots and reveal the organizational pattern of something so sinister. The events of 9/11 instantly changed perceptions of the wordsterrorist andn- work, especially in the United States. The international community was confronted with the need to tackle a threat which was not con?ned to a discreet physical - cation. This is a particular challenge to the standard instruments for projecting the legal authority of states and their power to uphold public safety. As demonstrated by the events of the 9/11 attack, we know that terrorist attacks can happen anywhere.

Theory and Applications of Models of Computation

Author: Manindra Agrawal

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2012-05-04

Total Pages: 636

ISBN-13: 3642299520

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This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 9th International Conference on Theory and Applications of Models of Computation, TAMC 2012, held in Beijing, China, in May 2012. The conference was combined with the Turing Lectures 2012, dedicated to celebrating Alan Turing’s unique impact on mathematics, computing, computer science, informatics, morphogenesis, philosophy, and the wider scientific world. Eight Turing Lectures were given at the TAMC 2012. The 40 revised full papers presented together with invited talks were carefully reviewed and selected from 86 submissions. The papers address 4 special sessions at TAMC 2012 which were algorithms and information in networks, complexity and cryptography, models of computing and networking, programming and verification.

Book Synopsis Theory and Applications of Models of Computation by : Manindra Agrawal

Download or read book Theory and Applications of Models of Computation written by Manindra Agrawal and published by Springer. This book was released on 2012-05-04 with total page 636 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 9th International Conference on Theory and Applications of Models of Computation, TAMC 2012, held in Beijing, China, in May 2012. The conference was combined with the Turing Lectures 2012, dedicated to celebrating Alan Turing’s unique impact on mathematics, computing, computer science, informatics, morphogenesis, philosophy, and the wider scientific world. Eight Turing Lectures were given at the TAMC 2012. The 40 revised full papers presented together with invited talks were carefully reviewed and selected from 86 submissions. The papers address 4 special sessions at TAMC 2012 which were algorithms and information in networks, complexity and cryptography, models of computing and networking, programming and verification.

Assessing the Tradecraft of Intelligence Analysis

Author: Gregory F. Treverton

Publisher: Rand Corporation

Published: 2008-02-27

Total Pages: 75

ISBN-13: 0833046012

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This report assesses intelligence analysis across the main U.S. intelligence agencies and makes a number of recommendations, some of which parallel initiatives that have begun in the wake of the December 2004 legislation, for instance, create a Deputy Director of National Intelligence as a focal point for analysis, establish a National Intelligence University, build a Long Term Analysis Unit at the National Intelligence Council, and form an Open Source Center for making more creative use of open-source materials.

Book Synopsis Assessing the Tradecraft of Intelligence Analysis by : Gregory F. Treverton

Download or read book Assessing the Tradecraft of Intelligence Analysis written by Gregory F. Treverton and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2008-02-27 with total page 75 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report assesses intelligence analysis across the main U.S. intelligence agencies and makes a number of recommendations, some of which parallel initiatives that have begun in the wake of the December 2004 legislation, for instance, create a Deputy Director of National Intelligence as a focal point for analysis, establish a National Intelligence University, build a Long Term Analysis Unit at the National Intelligence Council, and form an Open Source Center for making more creative use of open-source materials.

Advances in Network Analysis and its Applications

Author: Evangelos Kranakis

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2012-10-24

Total Pages: 415

ISBN-13: 3642309038

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As well as highlighting potentially useful applications for network analysis, this volume identifies new targets for mathematical research that promise to provide insights into network systems theory as well as facilitating the cross-fertilization of ideas between sectors. Focusing on financial, security and social aspects of networking, the volume adds to the growing body of evidence showing that network analysis has applications to transportation, communication, health, finance, and social policy more broadly. It provides powerful models for understanding the behavior of complex systems that, in turn, will impact numerous cutting-edge sectors in science and engineering, such as wireless communication, network security, distributed computing and social networking, financial analysis, and cyber warfare. The volume offers an insider’s view of cutting-edge research in network systems, including methodologies with immense potential for interdisciplinary application. The contributors have all presented material at a series of workshops organized on behalf of Canada’s MITACS initiative, which funds projects and study grants in ‘mathematics for information technology and complex systems’. These proceedings include papers from workshops on financial networks, network security and cryptography, and social networks. MITACS has shown that the partly ghettoized nature of network systems research has led to duplicated work in discrete fields, and thus this initiative has the potential to save time and accelerate the pace of research in a number of areas of network systems research.

Book Synopsis Advances in Network Analysis and its Applications by : Evangelos Kranakis

Download or read book Advances in Network Analysis and its Applications written by Evangelos Kranakis and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-10-24 with total page 415 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As well as highlighting potentially useful applications for network analysis, this volume identifies new targets for mathematical research that promise to provide insights into network systems theory as well as facilitating the cross-fertilization of ideas between sectors. Focusing on financial, security and social aspects of networking, the volume adds to the growing body of evidence showing that network analysis has applications to transportation, communication, health, finance, and social policy more broadly. It provides powerful models for understanding the behavior of complex systems that, in turn, will impact numerous cutting-edge sectors in science and engineering, such as wireless communication, network security, distributed computing and social networking, financial analysis, and cyber warfare. The volume offers an insider’s view of cutting-edge research in network systems, including methodologies with immense potential for interdisciplinary application. The contributors have all presented material at a series of workshops organized on behalf of Canada’s MITACS initiative, which funds projects and study grants in ‘mathematics for information technology and complex systems’. These proceedings include papers from workshops on financial networks, network security and cryptography, and social networks. MITACS has shown that the partly ghettoized nature of network systems research has led to duplicated work in discrete fields, and thus this initiative has the potential to save time and accelerate the pace of research in a number of areas of network systems research.

The Routledge Handbook of Terrorism Research

Author: Alex Schmid

Publisher: Taylor & Francis

Published: 2011-02-25

Total Pages: 737

ISBN-13: 1136810404

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This major new Handbook synthesises more than two decades of scholarly research, and provides a comprehensive overview of the field of terrorism studies. The content of the Handbook is based on the responses to a questionnaire by nearly 100 experts from more than 20 countries as well as the specific expertise and experience of the volume editor and the various contributors. Together, they guide the reader through the voluminous literature on terrorism, and propose a new consensus definition of terrorism, based on an extensive review of existing conceptualisations. The work also features a large collection of typologies and surveys a wide range of theories of terrorism. Additional chapters survey terrorist databases and provide a guide to available resources on terrorism in libraries and on the Internet. It also includes the most comprehensive World Directory of Extremist, Terrorist and other Organizations associated with Guerrilla Warfare, Political Violence, Protest and Organized- and Cyber-Crime. The Routledge Handbook of Terrorism Research will be an essential work of reference for students and researchers of terrorism and political violence, security studies, criminology, political science and international relations, and of great interest to policymakers and professionals in the field of counter-terrorism.

Book Synopsis The Routledge Handbook of Terrorism Research by : Alex Schmid

Download or read book The Routledge Handbook of Terrorism Research written by Alex Schmid and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2011-02-25 with total page 737 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This major new Handbook synthesises more than two decades of scholarly research, and provides a comprehensive overview of the field of terrorism studies. The content of the Handbook is based on the responses to a questionnaire by nearly 100 experts from more than 20 countries as well as the specific expertise and experience of the volume editor and the various contributors. Together, they guide the reader through the voluminous literature on terrorism, and propose a new consensus definition of terrorism, based on an extensive review of existing conceptualisations. The work also features a large collection of typologies and surveys a wide range of theories of terrorism. Additional chapters survey terrorist databases and provide a guide to available resources on terrorism in libraries and on the Internet. It also includes the most comprehensive World Directory of Extremist, Terrorist and other Organizations associated with Guerrilla Warfare, Political Violence, Protest and Organized- and Cyber-Crime. The Routledge Handbook of Terrorism Research will be an essential work of reference for students and researchers of terrorism and political violence, security studies, criminology, political science and international relations, and of great interest to policymakers and professionals in the field of counter-terrorism.

Psychology of Terrorism

Author: Bruce Michael Bongar

Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA

Published: 2007

Total Pages: 511

ISBN-13: 0195172493

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Publisher description

Book Synopsis Psychology of Terrorism by : Bruce Michael Bongar

Download or read book Psychology of Terrorism written by Bruce Michael Bongar and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2007 with total page 511 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Publisher description

Principles of Conflict Economics

Author: Charles H. Anderton

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2009-03-23

Total Pages: 345

ISBN-13: 0521875579

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Drawing on a half-century of scholarship, this book presents a primer on the key themes and principles of conflict economics. Although much work in the field is abstract, the book is made accessible to a broad audience of scholars, students, and policymakers by relying on historical data, relatively simple graphs, and intuitive narratives.

Book Synopsis Principles of Conflict Economics by : Charles H. Anderton

Download or read book Principles of Conflict Economics written by Charles H. Anderton and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2009-03-23 with total page 345 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Drawing on a half-century of scholarship, this book presents a primer on the key themes and principles of conflict economics. Although much work in the field is abstract, the book is made accessible to a broad audience of scholars, students, and policymakers by relying on historical data, relatively simple graphs, and intuitive narratives.