Author: Mr. Nicolas End
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Published: 2022-02-18
Total Pages: 59
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKHow do policy communications on future f iscal targets af fect market expectations and beliefs about the future conduct of f iscal policy? In this paper, we develop indicators of f iscal credibility that quantify the degree to which policy announcements anchor expectations, based on the deviation of private expectations f rom official targets, for 41 countries. We find that policy announcements partly re-anchor expectations and that f iscal rules and strong fiscal institutions, as well as a good policy track record, contribute to magnifying this effect, thereby improving fiscal credibility. Conversely, empirical analysis suggests that markets reward credibility with more favorable sovereign financing conditions.
Book Synopsis Trust What You Hear: Policy Communication, Expectations, and Fiscal Credibility by : Mr. Nicolas End
Download or read book Trust What You Hear: Policy Communication, Expectations, and Fiscal Credibility written by Mr. Nicolas End and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2022-02-18 with total page 59 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How do policy communications on future f iscal targets af fect market expectations and beliefs about the future conduct of f iscal policy? In this paper, we develop indicators of f iscal credibility that quantify the degree to which policy announcements anchor expectations, based on the deviation of private expectations f rom official targets, for 41 countries. We find that policy announcements partly re-anchor expectations and that f iscal rules and strong fiscal institutions, as well as a good policy track record, contribute to magnifying this effect, thereby improving fiscal credibility. Conversely, empirical analysis suggests that markets reward credibility with more favorable sovereign financing conditions.