Verifying Exchange Rate Regimes

Verifying Exchange Rate Regimes

Author:

Publisher: World Bank Publications

Published: 2000

Total Pages: 72

ISBN-13:

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One reason intermediate exchange rate regimes have fallen out of favor is that they are not transparent or easy to verify. A simple peg or a simple float may be easier for market participants to verify than a more complicated intermediate regime.


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Download or read book Verifying Exchange Rate Regimes written by and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2000 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: One reason intermediate exchange rate regimes have fallen out of favor is that they are not transparent or easy to verify. A simple peg or a simple float may be easier for market participants to verify than a more complicated intermediate regime.


Verifying Exchange Rate Regimes

Verifying Exchange Rate Regimes

Author: Jeffrey A. Frankel

Publisher:

Published: 2004

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13:

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Credibility and transparency are at the core of the current debate on exchange rate regimes. Among the reasons why intermediate regimes have fallen out of favor, a possibly important one is that they are not transparent: it is difficult to verify them. This paper investigates how difficult it is for investors to verify from observable data if the authorities are in fact following the exchange rate regime that they claim to be following. Of the various intermediate regimes, we focus on the case of basket pegs with bands. Statistically, it can take a surprisingly long span of data for an econometrician or an investor to verify whether such a regime is actually in operation. We find that verification becomes more difficult as the regime's bands widen and/or more currencies enter in the basket peg. At the other extreme, we also analyze regimes announced as free-floating, and find that in some cases the observed exchange rate data are consistent with the announced regime.


Book Synopsis Verifying Exchange Rate Regimes by : Jeffrey A. Frankel

Download or read book Verifying Exchange Rate Regimes written by Jeffrey A. Frankel and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Credibility and transparency are at the core of the current debate on exchange rate regimes. Among the reasons why intermediate regimes have fallen out of favor, a possibly important one is that they are not transparent: it is difficult to verify them. This paper investigates how difficult it is for investors to verify from observable data if the authorities are in fact following the exchange rate regime that they claim to be following. Of the various intermediate regimes, we focus on the case of basket pegs with bands. Statistically, it can take a surprisingly long span of data for an econometrician or an investor to verify whether such a regime is actually in operation. We find that verification becomes more difficult as the regime's bands widen and/or more currencies enter in the basket peg. At the other extreme, we also analyze regimes announced as free-floating, and find that in some cases the observed exchange rate data are consistent with the announced regime.


Exchange Rate Economics

Exchange Rate Economics

Author: Ronald MacDonald

Publisher: Routledge

Published: 2005

Total Pages: 334

ISBN-13: 1134838220

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''In summary, the book is valuable as a textbook both at the advanced undergraduate level and at the graduate level. It is also very useful for the economist who wants to be brought up-to-date on theoretical and empirical research on exchange rate behaviour.'' ""Journal of International Economics""


Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Economics by : Ronald MacDonald

Download or read book Exchange Rate Economics written by Ronald MacDonald and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2005 with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: ''In summary, the book is valuable as a textbook both at the advanced undergraduate level and at the graduate level. It is also very useful for the economist who wants to be brought up-to-date on theoretical and empirical research on exchange rate behaviour.'' ""Journal of International Economics""


The Empirics of Exchange Rate Regimes and Trade

The Empirics of Exchange Rate Regimes and Trade

Author: Mr.Charalambos G. Tsangarides

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2010-02-01

Total Pages: 46

ISBN-13: 145196319X

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This paper examines the impact of exchange rate regimes on bilateral trade while differentiating the effects of "words" and "deeds". Our findings-based on an extended database for de jure and de facto exchange rate classifications-show that while fixed exchange rate regimes increase trade, there is no systematic difference in the effects of policy announcements versus actions to maintain exchange rate stability. The trade generating effect of more stable exchange rate regimes is however more pronounced when words and actions are aligned, both in the short and long-run. Policy credibility therefore plays an important role in determining the effects of de jure and de facto exchange rate arrangements such that deviations between the two could be costly. In addition, we find evidence that (i) the impact of hard pegs such as currency unions is broadly similar to that of conventional pegs; (ii) the currency union and direct peg effects evolve over time; and (iii) the effects of more stable regimes are heterogeneous across country groups.


Book Synopsis The Empirics of Exchange Rate Regimes and Trade by : Mr.Charalambos G. Tsangarides

Download or read book The Empirics of Exchange Rate Regimes and Trade written by Mr.Charalambos G. Tsangarides and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-02-01 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the impact of exchange rate regimes on bilateral trade while differentiating the effects of "words" and "deeds". Our findings-based on an extended database for de jure and de facto exchange rate classifications-show that while fixed exchange rate regimes increase trade, there is no systematic difference in the effects of policy announcements versus actions to maintain exchange rate stability. The trade generating effect of more stable exchange rate regimes is however more pronounced when words and actions are aligned, both in the short and long-run. Policy credibility therefore plays an important role in determining the effects of de jure and de facto exchange rate arrangements such that deviations between the two could be costly. In addition, we find evidence that (i) the impact of hard pegs such as currency unions is broadly similar to that of conventional pegs; (ii) the currency union and direct peg effects evolve over time; and (iii) the effects of more stable regimes are heterogeneous across country groups.


Exchange Rate Forecasting: Techniques and Applications

Exchange Rate Forecasting: Techniques and Applications

Author: I. Moosa

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2016-02-05

Total Pages: 424

ISBN-13: 0230379001

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Forecasting exchange rates is a variable that preoccupies economists, businesses and governments, being more critical to more people than any other variable. In Exchange Rate Forecasting the author sets out to provide a concise survey of the techniques of forecasting - bringing together the various forecasting methods and applying them to the exchange rate in a highly accessible and readable manner. Highly practical in approach, the book provides an understanding of the techniques of forecasting with an emphasis on its applications and use in business decision-making, such as hedging, speculation, investment, financing and capital budgeting. In addition, the author also considers recent developments in the field, notably neural networks and chaos, again, with easy-to-understand explanations of these "rocket science" areas. The practical approach to forecasting is also reflected in the number of examples that pepper the text, whilst descriptions of some of the software packages that are used in practice to generate forecasts are also provided.


Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Forecasting: Techniques and Applications by : I. Moosa

Download or read book Exchange Rate Forecasting: Techniques and Applications written by I. Moosa and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-02-05 with total page 424 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasting exchange rates is a variable that preoccupies economists, businesses and governments, being more critical to more people than any other variable. In Exchange Rate Forecasting the author sets out to provide a concise survey of the techniques of forecasting - bringing together the various forecasting methods and applying them to the exchange rate in a highly accessible and readable manner. Highly practical in approach, the book provides an understanding of the techniques of forecasting with an emphasis on its applications and use in business decision-making, such as hedging, speculation, investment, financing and capital budgeting. In addition, the author also considers recent developments in the field, notably neural networks and chaos, again, with easy-to-understand explanations of these "rocket science" areas. The practical approach to forecasting is also reflected in the number of examples that pepper the text, whilst descriptions of some of the software packages that are used in practice to generate forecasts are also provided.


Evolution and Performance of Exchange Rate Regimes

Evolution and Performance of Exchange Rate Regimes

Author: Mr.Kenneth Rogoff

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2003-12-01

Total Pages: 85

ISBN-13: 1451875843

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Using recent advances in the classification of exchange rate regimes, this paper finds no support for the popular bipolar view that countries will tend over time to move to the polar extremes of free float or rigid peg. Rather, intermediate regimes have shown remarkable durability. The analysis suggests that as economies mature, the value of exchange rate flexibility rises. For countries at a relatively early stage of financial development and integration, fixed or relatively rigid regimes appear to offer some anti-inflation credibility gain without compromising growth objectives. As countries develop economically and institutionally, there appear to be considerable benefits to more flexible regimes. For developed countries that are not in a currency union, relatively flexible exchange rate regimes appear to offer higher growth without any cost in credibility.


Book Synopsis Evolution and Performance of Exchange Rate Regimes by : Mr.Kenneth Rogoff

Download or read book Evolution and Performance of Exchange Rate Regimes written by Mr.Kenneth Rogoff and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-12-01 with total page 85 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using recent advances in the classification of exchange rate regimes, this paper finds no support for the popular bipolar view that countries will tend over time to move to the polar extremes of free float or rigid peg. Rather, intermediate regimes have shown remarkable durability. The analysis suggests that as economies mature, the value of exchange rate flexibility rises. For countries at a relatively early stage of financial development and integration, fixed or relatively rigid regimes appear to offer some anti-inflation credibility gain without compromising growth objectives. As countries develop economically and institutionally, there appear to be considerable benefits to more flexible regimes. For developed countries that are not in a currency union, relatively flexible exchange rate regimes appear to offer higher growth without any cost in credibility.


Choosing an Exchange Rate Regime

Choosing an Exchange Rate Regime

Author: International Monetary Fund

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 1990-09-15

Total Pages: 394

ISBN-13: 9781557751331

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This collection of papers, edited by Victor Argy and Paul De Grauwe, examines issues surrounding the choice of exchange rate regime in smaller industrial countries. It contains a comprehensive summary by Jacques J. Polak.


Book Synopsis Choosing an Exchange Rate Regime by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Choosing an Exchange Rate Regime written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1990-09-15 with total page 394 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This collection of papers, edited by Victor Argy and Paul De Grauwe, examines issues surrounding the choice of exchange rate regime in smaller industrial countries. It contains a comprehensive summary by Jacques J. Polak.


Exchange Rate Regime Choice in Historical Perspective

Exchange Rate Regime Choice in Historical Perspective

Author: Michael D. Bordo

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2003-08-01

Total Pages: 29

ISBN-13: 1451857764

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In this paper, I survey the issue of exchange rate regime choice from the perspective of both the industrial and emerging economies taking an historical perspective. I first survey the theoretical issues beginning with a taxonomy of regimes. I then examine the empirical evidence on the delineation of regimes and their macroeconomic performance. The penultimate section provides a brief history of monetary regimes in industrial and emerging economies. The conclusion considers the case for a managed float regime for today's emerging economies.


Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Regime Choice in Historical Perspective by : Michael D. Bordo

Download or read book Exchange Rate Regime Choice in Historical Perspective written by Michael D. Bordo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-08-01 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, I survey the issue of exchange rate regime choice from the perspective of both the industrial and emerging economies taking an historical perspective. I first survey the theoretical issues beginning with a taxonomy of regimes. I then examine the empirical evidence on the delineation of regimes and their macroeconomic performance. The penultimate section provides a brief history of monetary regimes in industrial and emerging economies. The conclusion considers the case for a managed float regime for today's emerging economies.


Exchange Rate Regimes and the Stability of the International Monetary System

Exchange Rate Regimes and the Stability of the International Monetary System

Author: Mr.Atish R. Ghosh

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2011-03-15

Total Pages: 48

ISBN-13: 1589069315

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The member countries of the International Monetary Fund collaborate to try to assure orderly exchange arrangements and promote a stable system of exchange rates, recognizing that the essential purpose of the international monetary system is to facilitate the exchange of goods, services, and capital, and to sustain sound economic growth. The paper reviews the stability of the overall system of exchange rates by examining macroeconomic performance (inflation, growth, crises) under alternative exchange rate regimes; implications of exchange rate regime choice for interaction with the rest of the system (external adjustment, trade integration, capital flows); and potential sources of stress to the international monetary system.


Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Regimes and the Stability of the International Monetary System by : Mr.Atish R. Ghosh

Download or read book Exchange Rate Regimes and the Stability of the International Monetary System written by Mr.Atish R. Ghosh and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-03-15 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The member countries of the International Monetary Fund collaborate to try to assure orderly exchange arrangements and promote a stable system of exchange rates, recognizing that the essential purpose of the international monetary system is to facilitate the exchange of goods, services, and capital, and to sustain sound economic growth. The paper reviews the stability of the overall system of exchange rates by examining macroeconomic performance (inflation, growth, crises) under alternative exchange rate regimes; implications of exchange rate regime choice for interaction with the rest of the system (external adjustment, trade integration, capital flows); and potential sources of stress to the international monetary system.


Exchange Rate Regime Choice

Exchange Rate Regime Choice

Author: Mr.Robert P. Flood

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 1991-09-01

Total Pages: 9

ISBN-13: 1451851324

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Traditionally the choice of exchange rate regime has been seen as a second-best policy choice, which can be directed toward mitigating the distortionary effects of price or information rigidities. In this paradigm the optimal degree of exchange rate flexibility is found to depend of the source and nature of shocks hitting an economy. More recent literature views the exchange rate as a widely and frequently seen manifestation of government policy with careful exchange-rate management emerging as a tool that can enhance shaky policy credibility.


Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Regime Choice by : Mr.Robert P. Flood

Download or read book Exchange Rate Regime Choice written by Mr.Robert P. Flood and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1991-09-01 with total page 9 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Traditionally the choice of exchange rate regime has been seen as a second-best policy choice, which can be directed toward mitigating the distortionary effects of price or information rigidities. In this paradigm the optimal degree of exchange rate flexibility is found to depend of the source and nature of shocks hitting an economy. More recent literature views the exchange rate as a widely and frequently seen manifestation of government policy with careful exchange-rate management emerging as a tool that can enhance shaky policy credibility.