Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting

Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting

Author: Francis X. Diebold

Publisher: Princeton University Press

Published: 2013-01-15

Total Pages: 223

ISBN-13: 0691146802

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Understanding the dynamic evolution of the yield curve is critical to many financial tasks, including pricing financial assets and their derivatives, managing financial risk, allocating portfolios, structuring fiscal debt, conducting monetary policy, and valuing capital goods. Unfortunately, most yield curve models tend to be theoretically rigorous but empirically disappointing, or empirically successful but theoretically lacking. In this book, Francis Diebold and Glenn Rudebusch propose two extensions of the classic yield curve model of Nelson and Siegel that are both theoretically rigorous and empirically successful. The first extension is the dynamic Nelson-Siegel model (DNS), while the second takes this dynamic version and makes it arbitrage-free (AFNS). Diebold and Rudebusch show how these two models are just slightly different implementations of a single unified approach to dynamic yield curve modeling and forecasting. They emphasize both descriptive and efficient-markets aspects, they pay special attention to the links between the yield curve and macroeconomic fundamentals, and they show why DNS and AFNS are likely to remain of lasting appeal even as alternative arbitrage-free models are developed. Based on the Econometric and Tinbergen Institutes Lectures, Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting contains essential tools with enhanced utility for academics, central banks, governments, and industry.


Book Synopsis Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting by : Francis X. Diebold

Download or read book Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting written by Francis X. Diebold and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2013-01-15 with total page 223 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Understanding the dynamic evolution of the yield curve is critical to many financial tasks, including pricing financial assets and their derivatives, managing financial risk, allocating portfolios, structuring fiscal debt, conducting monetary policy, and valuing capital goods. Unfortunately, most yield curve models tend to be theoretically rigorous but empirically disappointing, or empirically successful but theoretically lacking. In this book, Francis Diebold and Glenn Rudebusch propose two extensions of the classic yield curve model of Nelson and Siegel that are both theoretically rigorous and empirically successful. The first extension is the dynamic Nelson-Siegel model (DNS), while the second takes this dynamic version and makes it arbitrage-free (AFNS). Diebold and Rudebusch show how these two models are just slightly different implementations of a single unified approach to dynamic yield curve modeling and forecasting. They emphasize both descriptive and efficient-markets aspects, they pay special attention to the links between the yield curve and macroeconomic fundamentals, and they show why DNS and AFNS are likely to remain of lasting appeal even as alternative arbitrage-free models are developed. Based on the Econometric and Tinbergen Institutes Lectures, Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting contains essential tools with enhanced utility for academics, central banks, governments, and industry.


Bond Pricing and Yield Curve Modeling

Bond Pricing and Yield Curve Modeling

Author: Riccardo Rebonato

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2018-06-07

Total Pages: 1080

ISBN-13: 1316732959

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

In this book, well-known expert Riccardo Rebonato provides the theoretical foundations (no-arbitrage, convexity, expectations, risk premia) needed for the affine modeling of the government bond markets. He presents and critically discusses the wealth of empirical findings that have appeared in the literature of the last decade, and introduces the 'structural' models that are used by central banks, institutional investors, sovereign wealth funds, academics, and advanced practitioners to model the yield curve, to answer policy questions, to estimate the magnitude of the risk premium, to gauge market expectations, and to assess investment opportunities. Rebonato weaves precise theory with up-to-date empirical evidence to build, with the minimum mathematical sophistication required for the task, a critical understanding of what drives the government bond market.


Book Synopsis Bond Pricing and Yield Curve Modeling by : Riccardo Rebonato

Download or read book Bond Pricing and Yield Curve Modeling written by Riccardo Rebonato and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2018-06-07 with total page 1080 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this book, well-known expert Riccardo Rebonato provides the theoretical foundations (no-arbitrage, convexity, expectations, risk premia) needed for the affine modeling of the government bond markets. He presents and critically discusses the wealth of empirical findings that have appeared in the literature of the last decade, and introduces the 'structural' models that are used by central banks, institutional investors, sovereign wealth funds, academics, and advanced practitioners to model the yield curve, to answer policy questions, to estimate the magnitude of the risk premium, to gauge market expectations, and to assess investment opportunities. Rebonato weaves precise theory with up-to-date empirical evidence to build, with the minimum mathematical sophistication required for the task, a critical understanding of what drives the government bond market.


Analysing and Interpreting the Yield Curve

Analysing and Interpreting the Yield Curve

Author: Moorad Choudhry

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2019-04-15

Total Pages: 390

ISBN-13: 1119141052

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Understand and interpret the global debt capital markets Now in a completely updated and expanded edition, this is a technical guide to the yield curve, a key indicator of the global capital markets and the understanding and accurate prediction of which is critical to all market participants. Being able to accurately and timely predict the shape and direction of the curve permits practitioners to consistently outperform the market. Analysing and Interpreting the Yield Curve, 2nd Edition describes what the yield curve is, explains what it tells participants, outlines the significance of certain shapes that the curve assumes and, most importantly, demonstrates what factors drive it and how it is modelled and used. Covers the FTP curve, the multi-currency curve, CSA, OIS-Libor and 3-curve models Gets you up to speed on the secured curve Describes application of theoretical versus market curve relative value trading Explains the concept of the risk-free rate Accessible demonstration of curve interpolation best-practice using cubic spline, Nelson-Siegel and Svensson 94 models This advanced text is essential reading for traders, asset managers, bankers and financial analysts, as well as graduate students in banking and finance.


Book Synopsis Analysing and Interpreting the Yield Curve by : Moorad Choudhry

Download or read book Analysing and Interpreting the Yield Curve written by Moorad Choudhry and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2019-04-15 with total page 390 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Understand and interpret the global debt capital markets Now in a completely updated and expanded edition, this is a technical guide to the yield curve, a key indicator of the global capital markets and the understanding and accurate prediction of which is critical to all market participants. Being able to accurately and timely predict the shape and direction of the curve permits practitioners to consistently outperform the market. Analysing and Interpreting the Yield Curve, 2nd Edition describes what the yield curve is, explains what it tells participants, outlines the significance of certain shapes that the curve assumes and, most importantly, demonstrates what factors drive it and how it is modelled and used. Covers the FTP curve, the multi-currency curve, CSA, OIS-Libor and 3-curve models Gets you up to speed on the secured curve Describes application of theoretical versus market curve relative value trading Explains the concept of the risk-free rate Accessible demonstration of curve interpolation best-practice using cubic spline, Nelson-Siegel and Svensson 94 models This advanced text is essential reading for traders, asset managers, bankers and financial analysts, as well as graduate students in banking and finance.


Yield Curve Modelling at the Bank of Canada

Yield Curve Modelling at the Bank of Canada

Author: David Bolder

Publisher:

Published: 1999

Total Pages: 56

ISBN-13: 9780662276029

DOWNLOAD EBOOK


Book Synopsis Yield Curve Modelling at the Bank of Canada by : David Bolder

Download or read book Yield Curve Modelling at the Bank of Canada written by David Bolder and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:


A Practitioner's Guide to Discrete-Time Yield Curve Modelling

A Practitioner's Guide to Discrete-Time Yield Curve Modelling

Author: Ken Nyholm

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2021-01-07

Total Pages: 152

ISBN-13: 1108982301

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

This Element is intended for students and practitioners as a gentle and intuitive introduction to the field of discrete-time yield curve modelling. I strive to be as comprehensive as possible, while still adhering to the overall premise of putting a strong focus on practical applications. In addition to a thorough description of the Nelson-Siegel family of model, the Element contains a section on the intuitive relationship between P and Q measures, one on how the structure of a Nelson-Siegel model can be retained in the arbitrage-free framework, and a dedicated section that provides a detailed explanation for the Joslin, Singleton, and Zhu (2011) model.


Book Synopsis A Practitioner's Guide to Discrete-Time Yield Curve Modelling by : Ken Nyholm

Download or read book A Practitioner's Guide to Discrete-Time Yield Curve Modelling written by Ken Nyholm and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2021-01-07 with total page 152 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Element is intended for students and practitioners as a gentle and intuitive introduction to the field of discrete-time yield curve modelling. I strive to be as comprehensive as possible, while still adhering to the overall premise of putting a strong focus on practical applications. In addition to a thorough description of the Nelson-Siegel family of model, the Element contains a section on the intuitive relationship between P and Q measures, one on how the structure of a Nelson-Siegel model can be retained in the arbitrage-free framework, and a dedicated section that provides a detailed explanation for the Joslin, Singleton, and Zhu (2011) model.


Term-Structure Models

Term-Structure Models

Author: Damir Filipovic

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2009-07-28

Total Pages: 259

ISBN-13: 3540680152

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Changing interest rates constitute one of the major risk sources for banks, insurance companies, and other financial institutions. Modeling the term-structure movements of interest rates is a challenging task. This volume gives an introduction to the mathematics of term-structure models in continuous time. It includes practical aspects for fixed-income markets such as day-count conventions, duration of coupon-paying bonds and yield curve construction; arbitrage theory; short-rate models; the Heath-Jarrow-Morton methodology; consistent term-structure parametrizations; affine diffusion processes and option pricing with Fourier transform; LIBOR market models; and credit risk. The focus is on a mathematically straightforward but rigorous development of the theory. Students, researchers and practitioners will find this volume very useful. Each chapter ends with a set of exercises, that provides source for homework and exam questions. Readers are expected to be familiar with elementary Itô calculus, basic probability theory, and real and complex analysis.


Book Synopsis Term-Structure Models by : Damir Filipovic

Download or read book Term-Structure Models written by Damir Filipovic and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-07-28 with total page 259 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Changing interest rates constitute one of the major risk sources for banks, insurance companies, and other financial institutions. Modeling the term-structure movements of interest rates is a challenging task. This volume gives an introduction to the mathematics of term-structure models in continuous time. It includes practical aspects for fixed-income markets such as day-count conventions, duration of coupon-paying bonds and yield curve construction; arbitrage theory; short-rate models; the Heath-Jarrow-Morton methodology; consistent term-structure parametrizations; affine diffusion processes and option pricing with Fourier transform; LIBOR market models; and credit risk. The focus is on a mathematically straightforward but rigorous development of the theory. Students, researchers and practitioners will find this volume very useful. Each chapter ends with a set of exercises, that provides source for homework and exam questions. Readers are expected to be familiar with elementary Itô calculus, basic probability theory, and real and complex analysis.


Interest Rate Modelling in the Multi-Curve Framework

Interest Rate Modelling in the Multi-Curve Framework

Author: M. Henrard

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2014-05-29

Total Pages: 300

ISBN-13: 1137374667

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Following the financial crisis dramatic market changes, a new standard in interest rate modelling emerged, called the multi-curve framework. The author provides a detailed analysis of the framework, through its foundations, evolution and implementation. The book also covers recent extensions to collateral and stochastic spreads modelling.


Book Synopsis Interest Rate Modelling in the Multi-Curve Framework by : M. Henrard

Download or read book Interest Rate Modelling in the Multi-Curve Framework written by M. Henrard and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-05-29 with total page 300 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Following the financial crisis dramatic market changes, a new standard in interest rate modelling emerged, called the multi-curve framework. The author provides a detailed analysis of the framework, through its foundations, evolution and implementation. The book also covers recent extensions to collateral and stochastic spreads modelling.


Interest Rate Risk Modeling

Interest Rate Risk Modeling

Author: Sanjay K. Nawalkha

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2005-05-31

Total Pages: 429

ISBN-13: 0471737445

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

The definitive guide to fixed income valuation and risk analysis The Trilogy in Fixed Income Valuation and Risk Analysis comprehensively covers the most definitive work on interest rate risk, term structure analysis, and credit risk. The first book on interest rate risk modeling examines virtually every well-known IRR model used for pricing and risk analysis of various fixed income securities and their derivatives. The companion CD-ROM contain numerous formulas and programming tools that allow readers to better model risk and value fixed income securities. This comprehensive resource provides readers with the hands-on information and software needed to succeed in this financial arena.


Book Synopsis Interest Rate Risk Modeling by : Sanjay K. Nawalkha

Download or read book Interest Rate Risk Modeling written by Sanjay K. Nawalkha and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2005-05-31 with total page 429 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The definitive guide to fixed income valuation and risk analysis The Trilogy in Fixed Income Valuation and Risk Analysis comprehensively covers the most definitive work on interest rate risk, term structure analysis, and credit risk. The first book on interest rate risk modeling examines virtually every well-known IRR model used for pricing and risk analysis of various fixed income securities and their derivatives. The companion CD-ROM contain numerous formulas and programming tools that allow readers to better model risk and value fixed income securities. This comprehensive resource provides readers with the hands-on information and software needed to succeed in this financial arena.


Advanced Fixed Income Analysis

Advanced Fixed Income Analysis

Author: Moorad Choudhry

Publisher: Elsevier

Published: 2015-08-28

Total Pages: 272

ISBN-13: 0080999417

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Each new chapter of the Second Edition covers an aspect of the fixed income market that has become relevant to investors but is not covered at an advanced level in existing textbooks. This is material that is pertinent to the investment decisions but is not freely available to those not originating the products. Professor Choudhry’s method is to place ideas into contexts in order to keep them from becoming too theoretical. While the level of mathematical sophistication is both high and specialized, he includes a brief introduction to the key mathematical concepts. This is a book on the financial markets, not mathematics, and he provides few derivations and fewer proofs. He draws on both his personal experience as well as his own research to bring together subjects of practical importance to bond market investors and analysts. Presents practitioner-level theories and applications, never available in textbooks Focuses on financial markets, not mathematics Covers relative value investing, returns analysis, and risk estimation


Book Synopsis Advanced Fixed Income Analysis by : Moorad Choudhry

Download or read book Advanced Fixed Income Analysis written by Moorad Choudhry and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2015-08-28 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Each new chapter of the Second Edition covers an aspect of the fixed income market that has become relevant to investors but is not covered at an advanced level in existing textbooks. This is material that is pertinent to the investment decisions but is not freely available to those not originating the products. Professor Choudhry’s method is to place ideas into contexts in order to keep them from becoming too theoretical. While the level of mathematical sophistication is both high and specialized, he includes a brief introduction to the key mathematical concepts. This is a book on the financial markets, not mathematics, and he provides few derivations and fewer proofs. He draws on both his personal experience as well as his own research to bring together subjects of practical importance to bond market investors and analysts. Presents practitioner-level theories and applications, never available in textbooks Focuses on financial markets, not mathematics Covers relative value investing, returns analysis, and risk estimation


Interest Rate Modeling

Interest Rate Modeling

Author: Leif B. G. Andersen

Publisher:

Published: 2010

Total Pages: 1154

ISBN-13: 9780984422104

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

"The three volumes of Interest rate modeling are aimed primarily at practitioners working in the area of interest rate derivatives, but much of the material is quite general and, we believe, will also hold significant appeal to researchers working in other asset classes. Students and academics interested in financial engineering and applied work will find the material particularly useful for its description of real-life model usage and for its expansive discussion of model calibration, approximation theory, and numerical methods."--Preface.


Book Synopsis Interest Rate Modeling by : Leif B. G. Andersen

Download or read book Interest Rate Modeling written by Leif B. G. Andersen and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 1154 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The three volumes of Interest rate modeling are aimed primarily at practitioners working in the area of interest rate derivatives, but much of the material is quite general and, we believe, will also hold significant appeal to researchers working in other asset classes. Students and academics interested in financial engineering and applied work will find the material particularly useful for its description of real-life model usage and for its expansive discussion of model calibration, approximation theory, and numerical methods."--Preface.